Our guest blogger is Henry Fernandez, a Senior Fellow at the Center For American Progress Action Fund working on state and municipal issues.
As has happened at different points throughout United States history, New Americans — immigrants and the children of immigrants — are changing the face of the electorate. And apparently they aren’t too happy with the way their communities are being treated. This may in the end decide the outcome of the presidential election.
In a report released today, the Immigration Policy Center points out that New Americans are big voting blocs in key swing states, including: 14.8% of the electorate in Nevada and 14% in Florida. IPC also notes that Latinos and Asians together account for 31.5% of all registered voters in New Mexico, 16.2% in Nevada, 12.6% in Florida, and 11.1% in Colorado.
Most daunting for those politicians who have chosen to scapegoat immigrants — according to a Pew Hispanic Center poll this summer, 75% of Latino voters view the immigration issue as important or very important.
And they plan to vote — a recent NALEO Educational Fund poll found that an astonishing 90% of Latinos in battleground states (Colorado, Florida, Nevada, and New Mexico) say they are certain to vote.
Why does this matter? The vote count gurus over at FiveThirtyEight.com rank Colorado, Florida, Nevada and New Mexico as top “tipping point states,” meaning a state that in a close national election would alter the outcome if decided differently. Both Pollster.com and FiveThirtyEight currently lists all of these swing states won in 2004 by Bush as leaning to Obama based on recent polling.
Why have these states and their 46 electoral votes moved? NALEO’s poll finds dramatically higher Latino support for Obama than the Latino vote for Kerry just four years ago.

Check out the full report here.
That's great. The problem is that those new voters are the ones most likely to be challenged, taken off the rolls, or otherwise not counted.
October 23rd, 2008 at 7:25 pmThis is precisely why the GOPukes and their assorted minions are attacking/challenging new registrations...
If you find your registration has been challenged, it is now already too late to do anythinbg about it in most states...
I suspect there are gonna be a LOT of "New" American voters showing up at the polls and going away without casting a ballot..;.
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The McCain campaign must know something about the white male voter that isn't apparent to the rest of us. To drive away women, minorities, gays, veterans, etc, etc, is not a good strategy.
October 23rd, 2008 at 7:38 pmThe grapevine will take care of Flordia's Latino vote. McCain/Palin haven't given Latino's the time of day nor any other minority group.
October 23rd, 2008 at 7:38 pmMccain shot himself in the foot by flipping on immigration
October 23rd, 2008 at 7:46 pmreform a bill he co-wrote with Ted K.. Just like taxes and
torture, etc....
These are the very people who should be voting early. Same goes for every minority in this country.
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October 23rd, 2008 at 8:38 pm.
What's going on with the polling in Florida?
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October 23rd, 2008 at 9:30 pm“Thank you, Lou Dobbs, Tom Tancredo, et al. for a job well done.”
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