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The Norwegian Commission on Low Emissions: If They Can Do It….

The Norwegian government believes it can reduce greenhouse gas emissions 50% to 80% by 2050 without having to pay an “exorbitant” cost. And pursuing the key solutions will “strengthen Norway’s technological expertise.”

This is the conclusion of the final report of the Commission on Low Emissions. You can find the details in their press release or the full report (the latter is in Norwegian). This chart shows how they do it:

norway-small.gif

None of this is rocket science. In fact, it isn’t science at all — it is morality. As the Commission notes,

Fairness dictates that the rich countries reduce their greenhouse gases by about two-thirds from current levels by the middle of this century.

Clearly, this country needs a government Commission on Low Emissions — but, tragically, that will almost certainly have to wait until 2009.

Yglesias

If Conditionals Were Ponies

Fareed Zakaria’s through with the Iraq War and says it’s time to pack up and start heading home. Andrew Sullivan comments “I’m not there yet and willing to give the military one last try, if Rumsfeld is fired and a serious new plan for regaining control is unveiled.” Personally, I’m willing to buy a $2 million townhouse if someone gives me $2 million to buy a house with. What does this mean? It’s an escapist fantasy, not a position on the issues.

Rumsfeld isn’t going to be fired and Bush has made his Iraq policy clear — leaving is losing, so we’ll just stay and people will keep dying. One can support that policy or one can cast one’s lot with the opposition, but the leopard isn’t going to change its spots and devise a magical new plan for victory.

Media

White Power?

For arguably the first time, the city politics plotline really took center stage in last night’s Wire with a continued focus on the way Carcetti’s campaign is being aided by his friends in the Baltimore Police Department. Consistent with the spirit of season four so far, racial issues have been brought to the foreground in a way they weren’t in earlier seasons, as I think we’re pretty clearly supposed to see Major Valchek as motivated primarily by a desire to see one of his own in City Hall. From Valchek’s perspective as, in essence, a dead-ender as commander of the Southeastern District, that seems to make sense. He’s a pissy old man, entrenched in his position, but without hope of future advancement, so he can indulge his whims. Deputy Chief Rawls’ pro-Carcetti sentiments, on the other hand, strike me as difficult to understand.

Rawls, presumably, would like to be commissioner. It seems to me that, logically, Carcetti is the last candidate who’s going to be in a position to make that happen. As keeps being emphasized, his only hope of winning is for Tony Gray to split the black vote. Under the circumstances, to secure re-election, Carcetti’s going to need to seriously bolster his support from African-Americans. Meanwhile, his law-and-order campaign is walking a knife’s edge. On the one hand, the inner-city poor are the primary victims of crime so his emphasis on those issues gives him some access to that constituency. On the other hand, African-American voters tend (with reason) to be suspicious that efforts to mobilize concern about crime are, in practice, just part of the politics of white supremacy. Firing a black police commissioner to replace him with a white one would be a fiasco. Burrell, by contrast, has ample wiggle-room to reward supporters (see, e.g., Herc) irrespective of race.

Yglesias

Get Clear

Via Greg Djerejian, a classic up-is-down moment from Team Bush: “Yet a number of senior U.S. officials have said privately that they would welcome a North Korean test, regarding it as a clarifying event that would forever end the debate within the Bush administration about whether to solve the problem through diplomacy or through tough actions designed to destabilize North Korean leader Kim Jong Il’s grip on power.”

Or, more briefly, the failure of our policies demonstrates the need to adhere to our policies more rigidly. It’s like we’re being ruled by the cast of a Twighlight Zone episode.

Yglesias

Battlestar: Iraq

Obviously, like all decent people I wasn’t around the house watching television when the season premiere of Battlestar: Galactica aired Friday not. Less obviously, I forgot to DVR it and I thought all was lost. Fortunately, someone or other decided to mail Spencer screener DVDs of the first two or three episodes, so I was able to watch the premiere yesterday. Rather hilariously, what they sent out didn’t have all the special effects completed, so you’d repeatedly see on-screen text like “VFX: Raptor Landing” or “VFX: Explosions.” Nevertheless, I think I understood what was going on.

It’s pretty bold of them to have gone down the path of offering up such a straightforward Iraq analogy. In particular, they’ve done what really nobody‘s been willing to do in American politics which is try to cast a sympathetic eye on the insurgency. Of course, this is easier to do allegorically where you get a chance to paper over the fact that the Iraqi insurgency’s substantive ideas about the nature of a just Iraqi state are rather repugnant. Nevertheless, I think it does do a good job of capturing the basic logic of occupation and rebellion. The cylons say they’re seizing control of New Caprica for humanity’s own good.

But who on the human side is going to believe them, especially given their past history (and note the USA’s previous support for Saddam’s regime, betrayal of the ’91 intifada, decades-long indifference to the question of Arab democracy, view of Israel-Palestine universally regarded as anti-Arab by Arabs)? So people fight back. So the cylons fight back in turn. But cylon efforts to tighten their control merely reenforces their pre-existing bad image. The insurgents have much more leeway in adopting extreme tactics because they’re not an alien force. They have a presumption of legitimacy while the occupiers have a presumption of illegitimacy. That Baltar is, in fact, the democratically elected leader of the Colonies is neither here nor there, for the simple fact of collaboration with the occupiers trumps the legitimacy of elections.

Yglesias

Euston in America

Jeffrey Herf on the Open University blog announces the launch of NewAmericanLiberalism.org, a rather crudely HTMLed offshoot of the Euston Manifesto project designed, as Herf puts it, to call for “a ‘new political alignment’ among those ranging from the democratic left to ‘egalitarian liberals.’”

In addition to the co-authors, the now 178 signers include many people who are closely associated with The New Republic, notably Martin Peretz and Leon Wieseltier, past and recent contributors such as Daniel Bell, David Bell, Walter Laqueur, Daniel Goldhagen, Robert Leiken, Benny Morris, and Ronald Radosh, and a host of other very distinguished scholars, intellectuals, and policy analysts too long to be included here but readily available on the websites. The full list of signers is at the website.

An awful lot of these people seem to me to just be rightwingers, a stratnge starting point for a reconstruction of American liberalism.

Yglesias

Happy Columbus Day!

The concept of the long weekend has questionable meaning when you don’t really have a job, but everyone likes a holiday nonetheless. These days, Washigton, DC overwhelmingly presents itself to the world as a northeastern city rather than a southern one. Traditionally, however, that’s not been the case; a phenomenon which is represented on days like this one. Real northeastern cities — New York, Boston, Philadelphia, etc. — are all deeply marked by the legacy of “white ethnic” immigration from the pre-1920s era of high immigration. Cities like that, as a consequence, have genuine Irish-American traditions on St. Patrick’s Day and Italian-American ones on Columbus Day. But in a town that doesn’t have a Little Italy or a North End, Columbus Day signifies nothing.

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