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Blitzer Dismantles Rep. Boustany’s Assertions Of Progress In Iraq

Appearing on CNN’s Late Edition this morning, Rep. Charles Boustany (R-LA), who recently returned from Iraq, asserted “some major improvements” are being witnessed in Iraq. Echoing claims made by Gen. David Petraeus, Boustany said “sectarian deaths are down.”

Host Wolf Blitzer corrected Boustany’s assertion, citing Iraqi health ministry statistics that report Iraqi civilian deaths have been climbing. The LA Times reports:

Bombings, sectarian slayings and other violence related to the war killed at least 1,773 Iraqi civilians in August, the second month in a row that civilian deaths have risen, according to government figures obtained Friday. In July, the civilian death toll was 1,753, and in June it was 1,227.

Blitzer emphasized, “In terms of Iraqi dead people, those numbers are high and getting worse despite the increased military troop levels of the United States — the so-called surge — having been in effect over the past couple of months.”

Confronted with factual evidence proving his claims incorrect, Boustany attempted to pivot to anecdotal evidence of what he saw on the ground. “I want to point out that just two or three months ago, I would have never thought that four members of Congress would be able to walk through the streets of Fallujah,” he said. But Blitzer quickly noted “you had a lot of security with you,” forcing Boustany to acknowledge he walked with “a platoon of Marines.”

Watch it:

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Obama and Iran, Redux

Some suggestion that this post was unfair to Barack Obama. An, certainly, this August 28 statement on Bush’s Iran / mushroom cloud remarks from Obama doesn’t sound like the words of a man looking to beat the drums of war:

There is an eerie echo to the President’s words today. Five years ago, he made a misleading case to the American people that the trail to al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden somehow led through Iraq, and too many in Washington followed without asking the hard questions that should have been raised. Now we are dealing with the consequences of that failure of candor and judgment, and the President is using the politics of fear to continue a wrong-headed policy. It’s time to turn the page on the failed Bush-Cheney strategy and conventional Washington thinking, remove our combat troops from Iraq, mount a long overdue surge of diplomacy, and focus our attention on a resurgent al Qaeda in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

Similarly, one plausible (albeit frightening) interpretation of what’s happening here is that the Bush administration is blocking legislative efforts at an approach to Iran centered around sanctions and carrots specifically in order to be able to proclaim that the diplomatic approach “failed” and military strikes are needed. So, okay, I don’t think Obama’s trying to grease the skids for war. At the same time, his Daily News op-ed did get the head and subhead “Hit Iran where it hurts: Democratic presidential hopeful takes a get-tough stance against tyrant of Tehran.” Writers don’t pick their own headlines, but you’ve got to imagine that the campaign signed off on that framing on some level. What game is Obama playing? Well, according to the Jewish Week:

Capitol Hill insiders say Obama genuinely believes in the necessity of curbing Iran’s nuclear ambitions — but also that his championing of the Iran divestment measure is part of a concerted effort to reassure Jewish voters that began with his March speech to a Chicago gathering of AIPAC.

“There are soft spots in his campaign,” said Kean University political scientist Gilbert Kahn. “He doesn’t have a long record; he got negative attention for suggesting he would negotiate with Syria and Iran. So he wants to stake out a piece of the Mideast question where he knows he’s not going to get any Jewish flak.”

Basically, there seems to be one policy here, namely that curbing Iranian nuclear ambitions is an important priority that needs to be accomplished through a greater commitment to diplomacy on both the carrots (willing to hold talks without preconditions) and sticks (sanctions) front, and that a war with Iran would be a bad idea. But there also seem to be two messages here, one about a “get-tough stance” that’s supposed to “reassure Jewish voters” and another about an “eerie echo” that’s aimed at other people. I’m not sure how long an Iran message divided against itself can stand. I’m also not sure what the evidence is that Jewish voters (as opposed to AIPAC board members) have unusually hawkish views on Iran.

Yglesias

The Case for DC

Sommer Mathis interviewed by Garrett Graf:

What makes Washington special? Every day you can meet someone who turns out to be the smartest, most well-informed person you’ll ever know on a given subject. It’s like living in the best university in the world but without all those essays to write.

Indeed. On the other hand, Washington also kind of sucks. If you could take the people, and the whole “the government’s here and so’s your job” thing, and put it all someplace else, that’d probably be better.

Yglesias

More Libertarians Needed

Nick Confessore and Sarah Kershaw report on fraud in New York State’s largely unregulated home health care industry. I don’t know anything about that subject except what I read in their article, so you might as well read it rather than pay attention to me. This did, however, kind of leap out:

“To make someone else’s home fabulous, you need a license and your name goes in a state registry,” said Jeffrey Lerner, a spokesman for the state attorney general, Andrew M. Cuomo. “But to care for someone in their home who is old and infirm, there is no central registry.”

Doesn’t it seem like at least half the problem here is that you need a license to be an interior decorator? In general, the amount of seemingly unnecessary small business regulation on a state and local level is fairly mind-boggling and one suspects that 70 percent or so of it is totally unnecessary and only serves the interests of incumbent operators looking to throw roadblocks in the path of potential competition.

Climate Progress

Climate Progress at one year: Traffic statistics

A lot of blogs publish their statistics, and since I am preparing a first year report for the powers that be (TPTB), I thought I would share the numbers with you. I also wanted to thank all of you for reading the blog and solicit your advice for improving it.

Climate Progress was launched on the one-year anniversary of hurricane Katrina because my brother lost his home in the storm, and that led me to begin talking to climate scientists so I could advise him on whether he should rebuild his home (I had studied physical oceanography at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography). And that led directly to my book, which led to this blog.

We relaunched the blog in early January with its current design. Then, at the suggestion of TPTB, I began posting three or four times a day in mid-May. Since then, readership has soared.

TRAFFIC STATISTICS
Unique visitors in August (37,000) are up 50% from July. We now have 8 times the readers we had in January.

Visits (73,000) and pages read (167,000) are both up 40% from July. We have 6 times the number of visits we did in January and 4 times the pages read.

Read more

Yglesias

Why Homeownership?

homechart.jpg

Well, obviously, there are a lot of reasons a person might want to own a home. The question is less why would one want to own a home than why the country has so much public policy aimed specifically at encouraging homeownership. Roger Lowenstein’s New York Times Magazine article on the housing market doesn’t directly address this point, and neither does the chart from that article that I’ve reproduced to the left. Still, look at the chart.

The highest homeownership rates are in West Virginia, Michigan, Delaware, and Mississippi. I couldn’t say for certain, especially since I don’t know much about Delaware, but the common factor here seems to be economic stagnation leading to relatively low housing costs plus relatively small numbers of new people moving to the state. Now, it’d be dumb to say that high levels of home ownership are making Mississippi so poor (try history) or causing Michigan’s current economic woes (try to auto industry) but it does seem to indicate that boosting homeownership rates doesn’t produce any miraculous consequences.

If we didn’t subsidize howmownership, people would own less home and own more stocks and bonds instead. Some of that owning “less home” would come from people renting rather than buying, and some would come from buyers simply buying smaller houses. That’s be good for the environment, and more capital would be available for business operating in non-housing sectors. Meanwhile, I feel like if we weren’t specifically encouraging an ideology of home ownership (“American dream” and all that), you might get less of the risky behavior that seems to be causing trouble of late. I feel like there are a lot of people who would never dream of doing something so exotic as margin trading who’ve been basically willing to do the same thing with their investment in the housing market. If anything, it seems to me that we should be work at the margin to discourage people from treating their homes as speculative investment commodities.

Culture

More Than Toast, Less Than a Staplegun

I just saw Superbad last night, and along with Knocked Up it seems to mark a trend (two makes a trend in blog terms) in the direction of a very odd thematic juxtaposition. On one level, these are movies telling guys that what you need to do to get the girl is basically to stop acting like such a fucktard. And in that sense, in addition to being funny movies, they’re both movies that have a kind of worthy social message.

On another level, however, both movies seem to imply that there are tons of gorgeous women out there, seemingly intelligent and kind, who are just chomping at the bit for the opportunity to go out with fundamentally unlikable losers if they can just pull themselves together and act like average human beings for a minute. The primary focus is really is on the first theme, but this secondary element is vital to the plot mechanics, and seems to substantially undercut the intended message.

Politics

Couric Admits Her Rosy Report From Iraq Is Based On ‘What The U.S. Military Wants Me To See’

CBS News anchor Katie Couric is currently reporting from Iraq. Today she spoke to Bob Schieffer on CBS’s Face the Nation and largely reiterated Gen. Petraeus’s talking points on Iraq.

She said that Petraeus believes there “really is a trend” of success on the security situation in Iraq and believes President Bush’s escalation “needs to continue.” She also recounted “signs of life that seem to be normal” at a market she visited, but then conceded that the positive aspects of her report are based on “what the U.S. military wants” her to see:

Well, I was surprised, you know, after I went to eastern Baghdad, I was taken to the Allawi market, which is near Haifa, which was the scene of that very bloody gun battle back in January. And, you know, this market seems to be thriving. And there were a lot of people out and about. A lot of family-owned businesses and vegetable stalls.

And so, you do see signs of life that seem to be normal. Of course, that’s what the U.S. military wants me to see, so you have to keep that in mind as well. But I think there are definitely areas where the situation is improving.

Watch it:

Rep. Ellen Tauscher (D-CA), who recently returned from Iraq and spoke with ThinkProgress, also admitted that it’s “very, very easy to be influenced, from their [the military's] point of view, that things are better.” “I will tell you that when you get in the Green Zone, there is a physiological phenomenon I think called Green Zone fog,” said Tauscher. “It’s death by powerpoint. … It’s always that their argument is winning.”

Nonpartisan government reports dispute the Bush administration’s rosy claims of success. A leaked draft of an upcoming Government Accountability Office (GAO) analysis contradicts “the Bush administration’s conclusion in July that sectarian violence was decreasing as a result” of the surge. It concludes, “The average number of daily attacks against civilians remained about the same over the last six months; 25 in February versus 26 in July.”

Digg It!

Transcript: Read more

Culture

We’re In

Okay, Team USA Basketball got the job done in the FIBA Americas Tournament, and we’re now guaranteed an Olympic berth. That we had to play for the spot at all is, however, a mere testament to how far the program has fallen after its disappointing performances in ’02, ’04, ’06. To celebrate, a clip from the glory days, Vince Carter’s dunk of death:

Onward to Beijing. Basketball’s one sport they won’t need to cancel due to air quality concerns.

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