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Yglesias

Order Without Empire

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Gideon Rachman notes that the American Empire fad of 2002-2003 now seems well behind us but he’s got some worries:

Some worry that a world without a dominant “imperial” power will be more dangerous. Who will ensure order? Who will keep the shipping lanes open and set the rules for the global financial system? The idea that all these things will be peacefully settled at the United Nations does not seem realistic.

I think it’s worth trying to draw a few distinctions here. Most of all, the idea of the United States acting in an “imperial” manner, shouldn’t be conflated with the United States acting through military force. The United States can engage in imperial, but non-military conduct. We could, for example, do our best to strangle the the economy of Cuba unless it adopts a form of government we approve of and return the property of the previous dictatorship’s elite. But we can also act in a way that’s military, but not imperial; stationing troops in West Germany to deter a Soviet invasion. Or we might act in response to acts of direct aggression perpetrated against the United States, as when the Taliban was working hand-in-glove with al-Qaeda and al-Qaeda was blowing up America’s largest office towers and so we worked to help anti-Taliban Afghans overthrow the Taliban government.

Similarly, the idea of things being settled at the United Nations isn’t the same as them being settled peacefully. One thing the United Nations can do is authorize the use of military force to eliminate a threat to world peace. Another thing the United Nations Charter does is recognize the inherent right of nations to engage in individual or collective self-defense.

The specter of imperialism raises its head pretty specifically when the United States proposes that we ought to be able to launch unilateral military strikes against countries that aren’t attacking anyone else. Since the United States obviously doesn’t endorse a general right of countries to engage in that sort of war-fighting (if India, say, decided to take advantage of political problems in Pakistan to invade or if Syria mounted a preventive attack on Israel’s WMD facilities), we’re envisioning not a world of American leadership, but a world of American domination. And that’s what’s not working for us.

It’s worth being clear about this, because I think the general trajectory Rachman’s argument takes is basically right. America will soon be experiencing a period of war-weariness where there’ll be a general desire to “do less” in the world. But if one defines the alternative to the Bush/Cheney brand of imperial domination purely in terms of “doing less” then inevitably the time will come once again when it seems necessary and appropriate to “do something” and, indeed, it often is a good idea to do something. But America playing an active role in the world doesn’t mean America seeking to dominate the world, and avoiding a quest for domination doesn’t mean eschewing the use of military force in all circumstances — it means working through legitimate institutional mechanisms.

Politics

Natural disasters quadrupled in past two decades.

“More than four times the number of natural disasters are occurring now than did two decades ago,” said Oxfam today, largely blaming global warming for the increase in severe weather:

The world suffered about 120 natural disasters per year in the early 1980s, which compared with the current figure of about 500 per year, according to the report. [...]

The number of people affected by extreme natural disasters, meanwhile, has surged by almost 70 percent, from 174 million a year between 1985 to 1994, to 254 million people a year between 1995 to 2004, Oxfam said.

Floods and wind-storms have increased from 60 events in 1980 to 240 last year, with flooding itself up six-fold.

“This is no freak year. It follows a pattern of more frequent, more erratic, more unpredictable and more extreme weather events that are affecting more people,” added Oxfam director Barbara Stocking.

Yglesias

The Sanchez Strategy

I suppose I agree with what he’s saying, and I certainly understand the logic of using former military officers as spokespeople on national security issues, but I’m really not sure General Ricardo Sanchez is the best front man for an Iraq-related PR drive. I’m just trying to think of what I’d be writing if the Republicans were putting this guy out front and center to be their spokesman. I think what Spencer Ackerman said back in October still applies.

Politics

Right-wing outfit claims ‘multiculturalism’ threatens U.S.

Family Security Matters — the right-wing front group that deemed ThinkProgress “one of the most dangerous organizations in America” — writes that “multiculturalism exposes the U.S. to terrorism.” “In our nation’s quest to prove to the world that we are inclusive and tolerant,” FSM writes, “we have, literally, allowed those who want to kill us into some of the most sensitive areas of our government, areas where they put our national security at risk.”

Climate Progress

Climate, meet Food. Food, Climate, meet Eco-Equity.

I think it’s safe to say that for many, Thanksgiving is such a beloved holiday because of how much time we get to spend thinking about food. But in that lazy down time, there are climate connections to food and environmental justice to let circle thoughtfully through your tryptophan-induced state.

Thanksgiving is most certainly an exception to the following (so no need to feel lazy as you veg.), but it’s worth knowing what health experts are saying these days about food and climate: Diet and driving habits both have implications on your weight and the climate.

So say you start to get pro-active about the food you consume, what other climate connections are there? Are what does it matter to equality?

Read more

Media

Memo To New York Post: The Bush Administration Was Warned About 9/11

picNew York Post reporter Andy Soltis writes of the latest Scripps Howard/Ohio University poll that finds a great majority of Americans believe the government failed to heed warnings about 9/11. Soltis writes that this poll shows increasing support for 9/11 “conspiracy theories”:

Nearly two-thirds of Americans believe the federal government had warnings about 9/11 but decided to ignore them, a national survey found.

And that’s not the only conspiracy theory with a huge number of true believers in the United States. [...]

Sixty-two percent of those polled thought it was “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that federal officials turned a blind eye to specific warnings of the 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon.

The NY Post’s headline blares: “‘Blame U.S. For 9/11′ Idiots In Majority.” As frequent readers of this site are well aware, ThinkProgress does not condone 9/11 conspiracy theories which allege the attacks were an inside job. But whether the Bush administration failed to heed warnings of a terrorist strike is not a conspiracy theory — it is a fact.

Here are some bits of information the NY Post may want to read up on:

1) Bush received intel briefing on Aug. 6, 2001 entitled “Bin Laden Determined To Strike In US.” The briefing specifically warned to “patterns of suspicious activity in this country consistent with preparations for hijackings or other types of attacks,” particularly targeted at New York.

2) CIA Director George Tenet briefing Condoleezza Rice and other top administration officials on July 10, 2001 about a specific urgent and looming threat from al Qaeda.

3) An FBI agent in Phoenix sent a memo to FBI headquarters on July 10, 2001, which advised of the “possibility of a coordinated effort” by bin Laden to send students to the United States to attend civil aviation schools.

The alarming nature of the Scripps poll is not that 62 percent of Americans believe the government ignored warnings of 9/11; it’s that nearly 40 percent still aren’t aware of that fact.

UPDATE: Malkin proudly trumpets the NY Post story as evidence of “America: Tinfoil hat nation.”

UPDATE II: Atrios pulls up this gem from the archives:

knew

Politics

Fred Thompson Attacks Fox News

This morning on Fox News Sunday, Republican presidential candidate Sen. Fred Thompson (R-TN) charged “that Fox News is biased against his campaign, charging that the network highlights commentators who have been critical of his run for the presidency.”

After Fox aired clips of Fred Barnes and Charles Krauthammer attacking Thompson’s candidacy, Thompson responded, “This has been a constant mantra of Fox, to tell you the truth.” “I don’t know that Fox has been going after you,” host Chris Wallace asserted. Thompson told Wallace, “You have the right to put in your one side, and put in the Fox side, and I have the right to respond to it.”

Watch it:

Fox News has been accused of having a bias in favor of presidential contender Rudy Giuliani, particularly in the wake of allegations by former book publisher Judith Regan, who claimed NewsCorp wanted to protect Giuliani’s presidential aspirations.

Transcript: Read more

Politics

White House ‘pessimistic’ about Afghanistan war.

The Washington Post reports that the National Security Council “has concluded that wide-ranging strategic goals that the Bush administration set for 2007 have not been met, even as U.S. and NATO forces have scored significant combat successes against resurgent Taliban fighters”:

Intelligence analysts acknowledge the battlefield victories, but they highlight the Taliban’s unchallenged expansion into new territory, an increase in opium poppy cultivation and the weakness of the government of President Hamid Karzai as signs that the war effort is deteriorating. [...]

Overall, “there doesn’t seem to be a lot of progress being made. … I would think that from [the Taliban] standpoint, things are looking decent,” the intelligence official said.

Senior White House officials privately express pessimism about Afghanistan. There is anxiety over the current upheaval in neighboring Pakistan, where both the Taliban and al-Qaeda maintain headquarters, logistical support and training camps along the Afghan border.

A recent report from the Senlis Council found that the Taliban now controls 54 percent of Afghanistan.

Media

Doughty

Mark Steyn on John Howard:

Of all the doughty warriors of the Anglosphere, Howard, his Foreign Minister Alexander Downer and their colleagues had the best rhetoric on the present war, and I often wished the Bush Administration had emulated their plain speaking.

A better one-sentence take on the Hawk Pundit view of the world could hardly be imagined. Howard and Downer aren’t warriors, they’re politicians. And they’re not “steadfastly courageous” — that’s an attribute of actual warriors who do fighting. Indeed, Howard was also at pains to avoid Tony Blair’s mistakes and not put much of anything actually on the line in Iraq. But like the doughty war pundits of yore, he offered solid rhetoric thus ensuring their spots in Valhalla.

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