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Yglesias

O’Hanlon Quality Analysis

Ah, excellent, just what I needed. Some fresh Michael O’Hanlon commentary on Iraq:

The most intriguing area of late is the sphere of politics. To track progress, we have established “Brookings benchmarks” — a set of goals on the political front similar to the broader benchmarks set for Baghdad by Congress last year. Our 11 benchmarks include establishing provincial election laws, reaching an oil-revenue sharing accord, enacting pension and amnesty laws, passing annual federal budgets, hiring Sunni volunteers into the security forces, holding a fair referendum on the disputed northern oil city of Kirkuk, and purging extremists from government ministries and security forces.

At the moment, we give the Iraqis a score of 5 out of 11 (our system allows a score of 0, 0.5, or 1 for each category, and is dynamic, meaning we can subtract points for backsliding). It is far too soon to predict that Iraq is headed for stability or sectarian reconciliation. But it is also clear that those who assert that its politics are totally broken have not kept up with the news.

I think Brookings Benchmarks are kind of like Disney Dollars, i.e. funny money. We get no sense of where this five out of eleven comes from or what it’s really supposed to signify. The general thrust of the exercise seems to be to cast “failure” as such an extreme scenario that it can never actually happen. O’Hanlon will always be wisely positioned between the over-optimists and the over-pessimists, always urging us to hang on for a couple more Friedman Units, and so the war will continue, forever and ever just as John McCain wants.

Culture

Wire Finale

Wow. The newspaper plot was still hokie, but in essence all is forgiven and season five delivered in the end. Best show ever.

Politics

MSNBC cancels Tucker Carlson.

TV Newser reports:

Tucker Carlson’s 6pmET show Tucker is getting the axe, but Carlson stays on as a political contributor to all MSNBC shows at least through the 2008 election. The official announcement, expected tomorrow, will include details about who will replace Tucker at 6pmET as well as other political programming additions. Sources say the network is going to beef up its schedule with more NBC News talent. [...]

Carlson is expected to host the show through next week, with his new role and title to take effect March 17. We’re told he’ll also be reporting from the campaign trail.

Yglesias

South Jerusalem

A new blog that’ll be well-worth reading launches today South Jerusalem by Gershom Gorenberg & Haim Watzman. They’re promising “A Progressive, Skeptical Blog on Israel, Judaism, Culture, Politics, and Literature.”

Politics

Tea Leaves

It’s often hard to know the real significance of things, this NRCC spin on the Illinois special election leaves us with only two options:

The one thing 2008 has shown is that one election in one state does not prove a trend. In fact, there has been no national trend this entire election season. The presidential election is evidence of that. The Democratic candidates are trading election victories from week to week and the nomination could hinge on a few news cycles. The one message coming out of 2008 so far is that what happens today is not a bellwether of what happens this fall.

Either the NRCC desperately needs to fire the buffoon who wrote this and hire someone who can make some sense, or else GOP congressional candidates are just doomed and there’s nothing even highly competent spinsters can come up with to obscure that fact.

Security

Bozell Ignores Iraq War, Falsely Claims Clinton ‘Devastated’ The ‘Military Infrastructure’

brent_bozellweb.jpgIn the Washington Post today, Brent Bozell, the president of the conservative Media Research Center, argues that Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) “may have the Beltway crowd in his corner, but grass-roots conservatives aren’t sold.” Claiming that McCain “is the one who arguably least qualifies as a Reagan conservative,” Bozell suggests ways that the Arizona senator can motivate the conservative movement.

But in making his argument, Bozell falsely claims that it was the Clinton administration, not the Bush administration, that created the current strains on the “military infrastructure“:

This is what conservatives call on him to do:

McCain must present a strategy to defeat the threat of radical Islam. He needs to call on the United States to rebuild its military infrastructure, so devastated by the Clinton administration.

Bozell’s attack on the Clinton administration is a common trope from conservatives. In January, when Rudy Giuliani made the claim during a New Hampshire debate, FactCheck.org noted that “most of the cutting to which” conservatives often refer “occurred during the administration of George H.W. Bush.”

Additionally, while Bozell is busy trying to blame Clinton, military leaders are saying that it is Bush and McCain’s war in Iraq that has stretched the ­military “dangerously thin.” In a survey last month of “more than 3,400 current and retired officers, including more than 200 generals and admirals,” 60 percent said that “the military was weaker today than five years ago.”

In fact, Bush’s misguided policies have been so devastating to the military that Army Chief of Staff Gen. George Casey argues that it’s going to take “three to four years” and a “substantial amount of resources” for the Army to recover from the Iraq war.

Politics

McCain walks back claim that Baghdad is like a U.S. city.

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) yesterday equated the security situation in Baghdad with any American city, telling an audience, “There’s problems in America with safe neighborhoods as we well know.” But he quickly tried to walk back his comment, stating, “I’m not making that comparison. Because it’s much more deadly in Iraq obviously. But it’s kind of the same theory.” Americablog has the video.

Culture

Messing With Texas

If I were a Houston Rockets fan, I wouldn’t be very happy to hear Yao Ming assuring Chinese fans he’ll be ready for the olympics. Yao’s become a fantastic player, but also clearly a pretty fragile one.

Meanwhile, eighteen in a row! I’ll be rooting for whoever comes out of the West (probably Lakers or Spurs) against the evil Celtics, but Houston’s definitely my sentimental favorite in the Western. What’s more, a schedule of New Jersey at home, Atlanta on the road, and Charlotte at home with no back-to-backs makes a 21 game streak seem plausible.

Politics

King Digs In Deeper: ‘Of Course I Stand By My Remarks’

Rep. Steve King (R-IA), who recently declared that al Qaeda would be “dancing in the streets” if Barack Obama were elected President “because of his middle name,” again stood by his comments in an interview with Fox News this morning.

“Of course I stand by my remarks. They’re something I’ve thought about for quite some time,” King said. He took issue with Obama calling the Iraq war “a botched and ill-advised military incursion into a Muslim country.”

King made clear that, while he disagrees with Obama’s stance on redeploying from Iraq, his chief concern is that Obama could potentially be perceived as a Muslim by people in the Middle East because of his middle name:

By the way, I was careful not to say his middle name. But it means something different in the Middle East than it means here. We’ve risen above this in the United States. About 25 percent of Americans will change their religion during their lifetime. To them [Middle Easterners], religion is more hereditary. So it’s harder for Obama to convince them that he’s Christian. He’s convinced me. But I don’t think he’ll convince a lot of the Middle East because it is hereditary.

“We’ve got to understand the Middle East culture,” King said, as he continued to disparage Obama’s middle name. The Fox host took King’s side, saying, “I get a sense from you that you’re really trying to talk about policy.” Watch it:

On CNN’s Late Edition, Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) distanced himself from King’s claim that al Qaeda will be dancing in the streets. “I don’t think that will actually occur,” Kyl said.

Also on CNN, Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. called King’s comments “reckless, irresponsible, and certainly divisive.” It’s “fearmongering at its worst and is just horrible,” Jackson said in calling on King to apologize.

Rep. Gregory Meeks (D-NY) added, “This is the kind of thing that divides all Americans. That’s what he’s intending to do. There’s no place for it and there’s no substance to it.

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