ThinkProgress Logo

Climate Progress

Bush Climate Negotiator Fails To ‘Understand The Real World’

At the week-long Bangkok international climate negotiations that have just concluded, chief U.S. negotiator Harlan Watson told the Associated Press:

If you push the globe into recession, it certainly isn’t going to help the developing world. Exports go down, and many of the developing countries of course are heavily dependent on exports. So there’s a lot of issues which need to be fleshed out … so people understand the real world.

It is, of course, the Bush administration that does not understand the real world.

REAL WORLD: The Planet Is In Crisis Today

Every day, every week, the local, regional and global impacts of climate change that are already here are reported by officials and scientists.

– “Spain’s northeast Catalonia region will need to import water by ship and train from May to ensure domestic supplies” because “rainfall in all but one of Catalonia’s 15 river basins was below emergency levels for the year so far.”

– “Canada’s massive Mackenzie Delta is feeling the impact of climate change faster than expected and could foretell of problems elsewhere in the Arctic.” The researchers warn that “greater than expected storm surges and coastal flooding should be a concern for companies looking at drilling in the energy-rich Mackenzie Delta and areas of the Beaufort Sea.”

– In India, “the early ripening of the popular ‘Kaafal’ wild fruit in Kumaun division of Uttarakhand is being seen by experts as a fallout of global warming in the Himalayan region. The edible wild fruit has hit the markets this year a month before than the usual time and it is being sold at four times higher than its normal rate.”

REAL WORLD: The United States Is Not Immune

– “From deadly heat waves in the Midwest and Northeast to more intense Gulf Coast hurricanes and Southwest droughts, the effects of climate change will have an unprecedented impact on the health of Americans, a report said Monday.”

– “Utah still remains at the epicenter of global warming in the United States, becoming ever more arid,” warned a NOAA researcher. “It would take 15 years of average runoff conditions” to fill Utah’s Lakes Powell and Mead, but studies of the region suggest that won’t happen.

– Increasing drought means “Canada could one day be forced to allow bulk shipments of water” to the United States. Tony Clarke of the Polaris Institute said that “many U.S. cities could face critical water shortages by 2015 and noted the Southwest was already clearly in trouble.”

REAL WORLD: Developing Countries Want Climate Action

– At the Bali climate negotiations last fall, developing countries shamed the U.S. delegation into accepting a roadmap. “Then South Africa, responding to the US, said developing countries had voluntarily moved to accept new obligations for their national actions on climate change that were ‘measurable, reportable and verifiable,’ a concession that only a year ago, he said, ‘would have been unthinkable.’”

– At the Bangkok negotiations, “We believe that Africa is getting a raw deal in these negotiations once more,” said Grace Akumu, head of the Nairobi-based environmental group Climate Network Africa. “The African continent will suffer the most from the impact of climate change and that’s why we’re getting very worried.”

– Developing countries like the island nation of Tuvalu are already running out of time. “The nature of the U.S.’ commitment … is unclear, and I suspect we’re not going to get a clear signal from the U.S. until after the next election,” said a representative for Tuvalu in Bangkok. “The uncertainty is troubling, particularly for highly vulnerable countries, like small island states.”

REAL WORLD: Just Climate Action is a Pathway Out of Poverty

– Representatives from developing nations and advocates for the disenfranchised in our country “understand the real world” and share a common vision for a climate-positive future built on sustainability, justice, and economic opportunity.

The rest of the world knows this — it is the Bush administration, the polluters, and their conservative allies who are trying to delay and deny the rest of us a positive future.

Media

Snow: The ‘Bad Guys Backed Down’ In Basra ‘Because They Were Getting Crushed’

snow383.jpgHosting Bill O’Reilly’s Radio Factor today, Tony Snow accused Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi of wanting the U.S. “to lose” in Iraq after she warned Gen. David Petraeus that she didn’t “want to hear any glorification of what happened in Basra.”

Snow was irate that Pelosi refused to declare “mission accomplished” about Basra. According to Snow, the six days of fighting last week resulted in an overwhelming defeat for “the bad guys”:

What happened was the bad guys backed down because they were getting crushed! … Moqtada al-Sadr is in hiding in Iran. That’s how tough it is.

Listen to it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/snowsadr.320.40.flv]

In fact, last week’s fighting may have actually emboldened Sadr’s hand. Reuters explained, “Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki’s crackdown on militias in the southern oil port of Basra appears to have backfired, exposing the weakness of his army and strengthening his political foes ahead of elections.” Experts agree:

Jonathan Steele: “Iraq’s prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki…has emerged with his authority severely weakened. … Meanwhile, Moqtada al-Sadr, the target of the assault, comes out of the crisis strengthened. His militiamen gave no ground and, by declaring a ceasefire that has successfully held since Sunday, Sadr has demonstrated his authority and the discipline of his men.” [LINK]

Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE): “Here, Maliki says he’s going down and he’s going to take out all these malcontents, as well as take out Sadr and his Mahdi Army. And it looks to me like, at least on the surface, Sadr may have come out a winner here. You know, he lives to fight another day.” [LINK]

Juan Cole: “For the Iraqi government to depend on Badr and Peshmerga militias, however, weakens its independence and makes it hostage to allies of Iran…So not only did Iran gain stature and authority in Iraq by negotiating a (fragile) ceasefire between al-Maliki and Muqtada al-Sadr, but al-Maliki has is now more than ever dependent on Iranian clients.” [LINK]

Brian Katulis: “This was a thumpin’ for the Iraqi army and this was a thumpin’ from a political perspective for the Iraqis.” [LINK]

Snow is simply wrong. It was Maliki’s government — not Sadr — who traveled to Iran and requested the cease-fire, and it is Maliki’s government that remains close to Iran.

As for Snow’s claim that Sadr is “in hiding in Iran” because of “how tough it is,” just yesterday he called for a million-man march against U.S. forces — what ABC News characterized as “a massive show of strength.”

Anthony Cordesman, national security analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, specifically warned that a good guy/bad guy framing like Snow’s is “a dangerous oversimplification.”

Politics

Conyers slams McCain for 1983 vote against MLK Day.

Today, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) apologized for voting against a 1983 bill creating a holiday in honor of Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. In fact, McCain also supported former Arizona governor Evan Mecham in 1987 when Mecham rescinded the holiday in the state. On MSNBC today, Conyers took McCain to task for apologizing decades later — the midst of his presidential run:

Well look. I’m happy. That was in 1983, he didn’t make any apology, he didn’t make any apologies in 1987, so I guess I’m thrilled and forgiving that finally when he’s running for President he remembers to apologize. No, that’s great.

C&L has the video.

Politics

Brian Williams tells McCain: ‘You got a very nice reception.’

Despite the fact that John McCain faced some heckling from the audience today after acknowledging he “was wrong” to vote against the MLK day legislation in 1983, NBC anchor Brian Williams told him, “You got a very nice reception from the ground.” Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/mcmlk.320.240.flv]

McCain told Williams he was proud to have later worked “very hard” to get MLK day recognized in the state of Arizona. But in 1987, when then-governor Evan Mecham rescinded the holiday, McCain said Mecham was “correct in his decision.”

Culture

Surprised by the Hornets

J.A. Adande correctly notes that “Coach of the Year often is a way to cover up bad predictions” and this will likely redound to the benefit of New Orleans coach Byron Scott since the team is doing better than expected. It’s worth asking, though, if anything especially surprising happened. When you get right down to it — not really. They didn’t make any offseason moves that turned out much better than expected, they haven’t seen a rookie turn out to be a great contributor, and they haven’t seen an unheralded guy emerge into greatness.

Chris Paul was a great player last season and he’s even better this season, but that’s really what you expect from a young player. The main difference, it seems to me, is this — thus far Paul has missed two games over the course of the season, whereas last year he missed 18. David West has missed six games this season, whereas last season he missed 30. Tyson Chandler has missed three games, but last season he missed nine. It’s hard to win the games when your best players don’t play, especially when you’re a team with a bad bench. Have those players available more, and the team does better. New Orleans’ success wasn’t widely predicted (though there were exceptions) since they didn’t do so well last year, don’t have a distinguished pedigree, and didn’t do anything interesting in the off-season. But their success has mostly amounted to everyone doing what they did last year but being injured less.

Politics

Government-funded website blocks searches on abortion.

The search database Popline dubs itself a “connection to the world’s reproductive health literature.” But the government-funded site, run by Johns Hopkins University, has recently begun blocking searches on the word abortion, “concealing nearly 25,000 search results” — censorship a University of California at San Francisco librarian noticed this week:

Puzzled, she contacted the manager of the database, Johns Hopkins’ Debbie Dickson, who replied in an April 1st e-mail that the university had recently begun blocking the search term because the database received federal funding. “We recently made all abortion terms stop words,” Dickson wrote in a note to Gloria Won, the UCSF medical center librarian making the inquiry. “As a federally funded project, we decided this was best for now.”

The federal government also sponsors a wesbite, 4parents.gov, that has peddled unscientific claims about abortion and has launched a national TV ad campaign promoting abstinence.

Update

In a statement, Dean of Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health says, “I could not disagree more strongly with this decision [to block abortion searches], and I have directed that the Popline administrators restore ‘abortion’ as a search term immediately.”

Yglesias

Teaching and Prestige

One big problem with trying to turn primary and secondary teaching into a “prestige” profession is that there are just so damn many teachers — over 3.2 million in public schools plus about 470,000 additional ones in private schools. That’s a lot of people — several percent worth of the country’s total labor force.

Teaching is already a somewhat prestigious profession that only educated people can do, and given the sheer numbers of people involved, it’s unlikely to be feasible to transform it into something radically more prestigious or “elite” than it currently is. But good teachers matter! So what’s to be done? Well, we should definitely work on changing elements of our current system that tend to leave the kids who are most in need without access to the best teachers available. And we also need to reform the certification process so that the qualifications needed to become a teacher are more in line with evidence about what’s actually needed to teach effectively.

But we also need systems and curricula that can work when implemented by what amounts to a mass labor force of teachers. It’s misleading to look at smallish programs like Teach for America and then start dreaming of what things might be like if that experience could be universalized — it just can’t be.

Photo by Flickr user iboy daniel used under a Creative Commons license

Media

O’Reilly Disgusted By Transgender Couple: ‘Imagine A Poor Kid Getting Born Into That Family’

The media have been fixated on the story of Thomas Beatie, a man who “used to be a woman before undergoing gender reassignment surgery.” Beatie married a woman and is now six months pregnant.

Yesterday on Fox News, Bill O’Reilly — clearly disgusted — railed against the media’s coverage of Beatie, exclaiming, “[D]o you want a 13-year-old watching this kind of stuff and you’ve got to explain all this crazy stuff?” From his exchange with right-wing pundit Bernard Goldberg:

O’REILLY: Yes. It’s hard to keep track, Bernie. It is. Imagine a poor kid getting born into that family, going, hey –

GOLDBERG: That’s — that’s the real tragedy.

O’REILLY: Of course.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/oreillytranstrag4.320.240.flv]

There’s no evidence that the child born to Beatie and his wife will be psychologically damaged, as O’Reilly claims. According to a fact sheet by the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry:

Current research shows that children with gay and lesbian parents do not differ from children with heterosexual parents in their emotional development or in their relationships with peers and adults. It is the quality of the parent/child relationship and not the parent’s sexual orientation that has an effect on a child’s development. Contrary to popular belief, children of lesbian, gay, or transgender parents:

* Are not more likely to be gay than children with heterosexual parents.
* Are not more likely to be sexually abused.
* Do not show differences in whether they think of themselves as male or female (gender identity).
* Do not show differences in their male and female behaviors (gender role behavior).

Transcript: Read more

Economy

New Job Losses — The Kind McCain Won’t Bring Back

Today’s Department of Labor monthly employment report shows a 5.1% unemployment rate (an increase of 0.3% from last month) and a loss of 80,000 jobs across the country (a year to date reduction of 288,000).

This month’s figures also highlight a disappointing trend in the kinds of jobs that are being lost: manufacturing jobs. In 2007, only six states — Washington, Utah, Nevada, Kansas, Nebraska and Louisiana — created manufacturing jobs. The bulk of those positions being industry-specific, such as airplane production or transportation. In the more traditional manufacturing, rust belt states — Indiana, Ohio, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Michigan — manufacturing employment was either stagnant or declined.

cnn

Just before Michigan’s January Republican primary, McCain made his now infamous pronouncement:

I’ve got to give you some straight talk: Some of the jobs that have left the state of Michigan are not coming back… They are not. And I am sorry to tell you that.

Michigan, which has an unemployment rate over 2 percent above the national average, lost 5.3 percent, or 76,500 manufacturing jobs in 2007 — the largest job loss of any state. Michigan’s non-farm economy is comprised of 15 percent manufacturing.

Note to McCain: this is how you get manufacturing jobs back.

Yglesias

My First Review

Somewhat ironically, what I believe to be the first Heads in the Sand review is a James Kirchick piece in the City Journal. Not surprisingly, he’s unconvinced by my arguments! I don’t think it would make sense to respond in great detail, but one issue he raises does point to an issue worth elucidating:

He echoes Osama bin Laden when he argues that Islamist anger against the West is a justified response to foreign powers that “occupy Muslim land.” This is a bold assertion, and yet Yglesias doesn’t care to explore why Iran and Syria—countries where foreign soldiers haven’t set foot for decades—continue to be the two most active state sponsors of international terrorism.

I’m not quite sure why he’s playing dumb here, but the crux of the disagreement is that I think the appropriate response to 9/11 is for the United States to engage the various instruments of American power against al-Qaeda. Iran and Syria have their own reasons of state for providing support to Hezbollah, thus earning the designation “the two most active state sponsors of international terrorism.” But in terms of al-Qaeda this is all neither here nor there — both Syria and Iran have, at various times, indicated an interest in collaborating with the United States against al-Qaeda.

Kirchick, following the prevailing conventional wisdom on the right, thinks we should eschew a narrow, focused, and efficacious assault on al-Qaeda in favor of a vaguely defined “war on terror” that includes sundry Muslims Behaving Badly including Saddam Hussein, the Assads, the Iranian, Hamas, Hezbollah, and whoever else you like. Which is fine if you think the past several years worth of blundering around have been a good idea and you’re eager to see the United States follow John McCain’s lead and start thrashing harder. But I don’t think this constitutes a reasonable response to 9/11 or a sensible means of dealing with al-Qaeda. What’s more, I think most of the hawks know that it doesn’t make sense to most people, which is why they insist on using a lot of terminological funny business to obscure the move away from al-Qaeda and toward a wide variety of not-really-related other adversaries.

Older

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up