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Yglesias

Petraeus Complicates McCain Talking Points on Afghanistan

Spencer Ackerman reports that no less a figure than David Petraeus himself, talking at the Heritage Foundation, was publicly casting some doubt on John McCain’s notion that we can just export “surge” tactics and Petraeus awesomeness from Iraq into Afghanistan. And then there’s this:

Petraeus also came out unambiguously in his talk at Heritage for opening communications with America’s adversaries, a position McCain is attacking Obama for endorsing. Citing his Iraq experience, Petraeus said, “You have to talk to enemies.” He added that it was necessary to have a particular goal for discussion and to perform advance work to understand the motivations of his interlocutors.

In part, Petraeus is just calling it like he sees it. But in part, my guess is that he reads the same polling numbers everyone else reads. It’s worth recalling that before he became the darling of the conservative movement, Petraeus was actually an important source for a lot of the Bush administration’s critics in the press, so the general is clearly someone who’s comfortable allying himself with all different kinds of folks and by no means a slavish adherent of the right-wing.

Yglesias

Tough Press Conference

Unlike Marc Ambinder, I’ve never met Cullen Sheehan and have no idea whether or not he’s a nice guy, but it’s impossible to watch this and not feel kind of sorry for him. I note that if Al Franken wins, he’ll earn the prestigious title of Only Senator to Have Ever Had Some Beers in a Bar With Matt Yglesias (and other TAP staff) Once.

Politics

Perino Confirms White House Won’t Extend Jobless Benefits, Says People Should Just Find A Job

During today’s press briefing, White House press secretary Dana Perino suggested the Bush administration would oppose any effort to extend jobless benefits — a stance the White House has taken before. She explained their position by saying, “we want people to be able to return to the workplace as soon as possible.” The suggestion was that extending benefits somehow prevents people from returning to work.

She concluded by saying that “the best way to help” the economy and unemployed people is for unemployed people to simply “get back to work.” Watch it:

It is both insulting and naive to suggest that people aren’t working because jobless benefits are somehow too generous and they’re too lazy to look for work again. People aren’t working because Bushonomics have hemorrhaged jobs and slashed the safety nets for laid off workers:

– The Department of Labor reported last week that the country shed 159,000 jobs in September, and the unemployment rate has increased to its highest level in five years.

– The Washington Post reported yesterday that “unemployment claims are at a seven-year high, and factory orders are sharply down. … Small businesses can’t get financing.”

– According to a July survey by the National Conference of State Legislatures, states are being forced to slash spending and cut jobs “in order to close a projected $40 billion shortfall in the current fiscal year,” more than triple the size of the previous year’s.

State jobless funds are drying out. According to the National Employment Law Project, at least 11 states are facing financial challenges paying their jobless benefits.

The Bush administration’s refusal to extend a helping hand to those punished by the economy it created is nothing new: Last month, the White House threatened to veto a second stimulus package over opposition to an expansion of food stamps benefits.

Transcript: Read more

Politics

Fox report: ‘More and more’ McCain rallies are taunting Obama as ‘traitor, criminal, and even terrorist.’

Fox News’ political reporter Carl Cameron is on the trail with John McCain. Reporting from a live McCain rally this evening, he said:

You’ll hear the booing behind me. In recent days, when Barack Obama’s name has been mentioned, it has gone from boos and hissing to actual chants and calls of traitor, criminal, and even terrorist.

The McCain campaign says they don’t condone it, they don’t want to see it happen, but it’s happening more and more every day.

Watch it:

The crowd reaction may have something to do with the frequent charges from the McCain campaign that Obama “pals around with terrorists.”

Update

During one of McCain’s rallies, a man could be heard yelling, “Off with his head,” when McCain spoke about Obama’s tax plan. (HT: Jed Report)

Climate Progress

Town hall again reveals just an anti-science, out-of-touch McCain

zeiss1.jpgFew qualities are more dangerous in a national politician than a lack of interest in — or understanding of — science. It represents a genuine risk to the health and well-being of the nation and the world.

We get to see something close to the real John McCain only when he lets down his guard somewhat in these town hall meetings. A stunning December 2007 video revealed The real, Luddite McCain, who told a New Hampshire town hall, “The truly clean technologies don’t work.”

McCain made more revealing, shudder-inducing remarks in Tuesday’s Nashville town hall debate:

[Obama] voted for nearly a billion dollars in pork barrel earmark projects, including, by the way, $3 million for an overhead projector at a planetarium in Chicago, Illinois. My friends, do we need to spend that kind of money?

And he even came back to this would-be zinger:

Read more

Politics

Nicolle Wallace: John McCain Is A Corporation’s ‘Worst Nightmare’

This morning on MSNBC, Nicolle Wallace, Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) senior campaign adviser, falsely claimed that McCain “isn’t for giving tax cuts to corporations,” adding that “John McCain is their worst nightmare.”

Far from being a corporate nightmare, the cornerstone of McCain’s economic plan — cutting the corporate tax rate from 35 to 25 percent — makes him quite the corporate darling. In fact, McCain himself has regularly touted this aspect of his plan:

MCCAIN: I’m not sure how many Americans are aware that American corporations pay the second highest taxes of any nation in the world. [...] We need to cut the corporate tax rate in America. It’s not a very sexy kind of a thing you know, but it’s real.

Watch a compilation:

Not only is Wallace wrong in claiming that McCain does not favor cutting corporations’ taxes but she’s also way off the mark in saying he’s their “worst nightmare.” In fact, the richest 200 American corporations stand to benefit handsomely ($45 billion) from a McCain administration.

McCain’s plan would dole out $4 billion a year to Big Oil (despite the numerous campaign claims to the contrary), $2 billion to health insurance companies and $1.44 billion to the parent companies of mainstream media outlets. Eight companies — Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Exxon Mobil Corp., ConocoPhillips Co., Bank of America Corp., AT&T, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co., and Microsoft Corp. — would each receive over $1 billion a year.

But if McCain is a corporation’s “worst nightmare,” then his campaign sure has everyone fooled, including the richest CEOs, who have given approximately 10 times as much to McCain as they have to Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL).

Climate Progress

Dingell Offers Climate Draft With Options: Polluter Bailout Or Green Recovery

Dingell, stepping it upAs the 110th Congress comes to a close, two of the legislators in charge of climate legislation in the House of Representatives yesterday released a draft climate plan. Rep. John Dingell (D-MI), the powerful chair of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, and Rep. Rick Boucher (D-VA), chair of the Energy and Air Quality subcommittee, have primary jurisdiction in the House for legislation that puts mandatory limits on carbon emissions. Although such legislation has been a top priority for Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) since she became Speaker of the House in January 2007, Dingell and Boucher declared they would not be rushed, instead working on the 2007 energy bill, holding several hearings and releasing four white papers from October to May of this year. Dingell’s district is in the heart of the U.S. auto industry; Boucher represents Virginia’s coal country. Below is an analysis of some of the key issues raised in their 460-page draft legislation, an ambitious effort by the two congressmen.

EMISSIONS TARGETS. Dingell and Boucher call for emissions reductions of 80 percent from 2005 levels by 2050, in line with the minimum of scientific recommendations, but with reductions of only six percent below 2005 levels by 2020. Punting any significant reductions until after 2020 means that the Dingell-Boucher plan falls grossly short of what is needed to forestall catastrophe:

Dingell-Boucher emissions pathway

In contrast, Europe is maintaining its commitment to unilateral reductions of 20 percent below 1990 levels by 2020.

REGULATORY STRUCTURE. In their letter to other members, Dingell and Boucher criticize the Supreme Court’s Massachusetts v. EPA decision that the EPA must regulate greenhouse gases, saying, “We believe that elected and accountable representatives in the Congress, not the Executive Branch, should properly design that regulatory program.” Their legislation would overturn the Supreme Court ruling by removing greenhouse gases from the Clean Air Act’s National Ambient Air Quality Standards regulations.

The draft provides a broad range of options for dealing with vehicle emissions standards, ranging from preempting the right of California and other states to provide additional protection from automotive pollution to allowing the EPA and the states to implement such protections. They also signal that they see state-level regulation of emissions as an economic threat, saying their actions “could be disruptive to interstate commerce and counterproductive to the goal of limiting national greenhouse gas emissions.” Their draft legislation would outlaw any state or regional cap and trade program.

MONEY. The Center for American Progress strongly supports the “polluter pays” principle for cap and trade programs to reduce global warming. The cost of pollution allowances should not be shifted to the taxpayer. Giving free permits to polluters would be a global warming bailout. The polluting industries are lobbying heavily to receive most if not all permits for free, particularly in initial years of the program. The European cap-and-trade system originally gave away permits, resulting in massive windfall profits for polluters. They are moving to a full auction of permits, like the new Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative cap-and-trade program that covers northeastern states.

The Dingell-Boucher draft does not take a position on how permits should be allocated initially, instead detailing four scenarios, three of which involve massive giveaways to covered industries. In every scenario, Dingell-Boucher would protect low-income consumers from increases in energy prices through tax breaks and rebates, and invest heavily in new technology deployment (e.g., renewables, advanced coal, advanced vehicles). Although their allocation scenarios are risible in detail, they do a good job of covering the competing priorities in moving to a low-carbon economy:

  1. Protect low-income consumers from energy costs
  2. Minimize compliance costs for covered polluters
  3. Invest in technology development and deployment
  4. Invest in complementary programs in efficiency and clean energy
  5. Support international efforts and adaptation
  6. Give rebates to middle- and upper-income consumers

Dingell and Boucher believe that low-income families must be protected, that industry should receive pollution cost protection and new technology support, and that all else is up for debate. Over half of their Democratic colleagues indicated last week a very different set of priorities, that focuses not on protecting polluters but on respecting scientific urgency, delivering economic equity, and capturing the energy opportunity.

Yglesias

After McCain

mccain_1.jpg

Kevin Drum observes that one consequence of the fact that the right-wing base doesn’t like John McCain very much is that if he loses the GOP will probably move to the right:

Actually, it’s worse than that. If McCain loses, as he’s almost certain to, we’re going to see two reactions. First, Steve Schmidt wasn’t nasty enough. In the future, Republicans need to return to their Lee Atwater roots and really teach Americans what liberal treachery is all about. Second, we told you a RINO couldn’t win. The conservative base will be convinced for years that the big problem with McCain was that he was trying to be a pale shadow of liberal Democrats. (Sarah Palin will be conveniently forgotten, or else finally seen for the tokenism she really is.) The nation still hungers for genuine conservatism, they’ll say, and they knew McCain was a phony all along. If only the party had nominated a Romney or a Huckabee the public would have swarmed to their cause.

Kevin says this is “probably good news for Democrats.” And it probably is. Still, I wouldn’t assume that GOP issue positioning is going to be key to the political future. If Democrats secure unified political control amidst an economic downturn, the outcome of the 2010 and 2012 elections will be mostly determined by whether or not the new administration and new congress manage to produce a return to strong economic growth and avoid noteworthy foreign policy disasters.

Politics

McCain Proposes A Progressive Housing Policy, But Still Wants To Reward Bankers Who Made Bad Loans

mccaindebateii.JPGDuring the presidential debate last night, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) announced that, if elected President, he “would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes,” in order to enable troubled homeowners to stay in their homes:

I would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes – at the diminished value of those homes and let people be able to make those – be able to make those payments and stay in their homes.

Is it expensive? Yes. But we all know, my friends, until we stabilize home values in America, we’re never going to start turning around and creating jobs and fixing our economy. And we’ve got to give some trust and confidence back to America.

McCain’s plan – the American Homeownership Resurgence Plan – is a good step because he recognizes what he failed to understand before: the mortgage crisis is at the root of the current financial trouble. As the Associated Press noted today, McCain’s plan is akin to one proposed by the Center for American Progress (CAP), which has “been pushing a similar idea for some time.”

In December, 2007, CAP’s Andrew Jakabovics proposed a plan modeled on FDR’s New Deal-era Home Owners Loan Corporation. Under the CAP proposal, the government “would issue new, fixed-rate mortgages to those borrowers ‘underwater’ and facing default or foreclosure,” while buying “the old adjustable-rate mortgages from lenders and investors” at current value.

McCain should be applauded for embracing the progressive goal of helping homeowners with decent credit, who are nevertheless burdened with bad mortgages. However, he wants to buy the mortgages at full face value, which means he “wants to give $100 billion of taxpayers’ money to America’s worst-behaving mortgage financiers.”

Here’s how McCain’s proposal works:

- If a homeowner bought a house for $300,000 – and the value then fell to $200,000 – McCain would have the government purchase the mortgage for $300,000, instead of forcing lenders to accept the loss and renegotiate the loan.

- The only way in which the government then makes a profit is if the house’s value rises above its original market value of $300,000, which is possible, but unlikely.

As Matthew Yglesias wrote, “instead of having the lenders take a haircut in order to avoid mass foreclosures, McCain wants the taxpayers to bare all the costs of doing so.”

Brad DeLong noted that McCain plans to “give a present of $100 billion to the bankers who made the loans,” and “acquire and regularize the mortgages of only two-thirds as many homeowners as could have been accomplished if the $300 billion were invested wisely.”

McCain’s idea to buy and restructure mortgages is a good one, but he can accomplish it without overpaying and rewarding bankers who made bad loans.

Cross-posted at The Wonk Room.

Update

The following conservatives are up in arms about McCain’s “populism run amok“: Michelle Malkin, Linda Chavez, Mark Steyn, Amanda Carpenter, Stephen Spuiell, Jonathan Garthwaite, and Brian Sullivan.

Economy

McCain Proposes A Progressive Housing Policy, But Still Wants To Reward Bankers Who Made Bad Loans

mccaindebateii.JPGDuring the presidential debate last night, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) announced that, if elected President, he “would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes,” in order to enable troubled homeowners to stay in their homes:

I would order the secretary of the treasury to immediately buy up the bad home loan mortgages in America and renegotiate at the new value of those homes – at the diminished value of those homes and let people be able to make those – be able to make those payments and stay in their homes.

Is it expensive? Yes. But we all know, my friends, until we stabilize home values in America, we’re never going to start turning around and creating jobs and fixing our economy. And we’ve got to give some trust and confidence back to America.

McCain’s plan – the American Homeownership Resurgence Plan – is a good step because he recognizes what he failed to understand before: the mortgage crisis is at the root of the current financial trouble. As the Associated Press noted today, McCain’s plan is akin to one proposed by the Center for American Progress (CAP), which has “been pushing a similar idea for some time.”

In December, 2007, CAP’s Andrew Jakabovics proposed a plan modeled on FDR’s New Deal era Home Owners Loan Corporation. Under the CAP proposal, the government “would issue new, fixed-rate mortgages to those borrowers ‘underwater’ and facing default or foreclosure,” while buying “the old adjustable-rate mortgages from lenders and investors” at current value.

McCain should be applauded for embracing the progressive goal of helping homeowners with decent credit, who are nevertheless burdened with bad mortgages. However, he wants to buy the mortgages at full face value, which means he “wants to give $100 billion of taxpayers’ money to America’s worst-behaving mortgage financiers.”

Here’s how McCain’s proposal works:

- If a homeowner bought a house for $300,000 – and the value then fell to $200,000 – McCain would have the government purchase the mortgage for $300,000, instead of forcing lenders to accept the loss and renegotiate the loan.

- The only way in which the government then makes a profit is if the house’s value rises above its original market value of $300,000, which is possible, but unlikely.

As Matthew Yglesias wrote, “instead of having the lenders take a haircut in order to avoid mass foreclosures, McCain wants the taxpayers to bear all the costs of doing so.”

Brad DeLong noted that McCain plans to “give a present of $100 billion to the bankers who made the loans,” and “acquire and regularize the mortgages of only two-thirds as many homeowners as could have been accomplished if the $300 billion were invested wisely.”

McCain’s idea to buy and restructure mortgages is a good one, but he can accomplish it without overpaying and rewarding bankers who made bad loans.

Cross-posted at Think Progress.

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