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Yglesias

Car Industry Crashing Everywhere

toyota_camry_hybrid_1.jpg

When thinking about the prospects of some kind of bailout for US automakers, it’s important to understand that problems in the car industry are, at the moment, worldwide. Toyota, the biggest and most successful firm in the business, is looking at taking a huge hit. Under the circumstances, the outlook for Detroit’s embattled firms looks even worse. They’re not, in other words, one quick fix from viability — they’re the sick men of an industry that’s in big overall trouble. Simply put, much more capacity exists to make new cars than there is demand to buy new cars. Propping up failing manufacturers isn’t going to solve any broader economic problems. Helping the people or even the geographical areas affected by the liquidation of the weakest car firms would be a reasonable course of action.

But trying to help them by helping the firms themselves is going to be costlier and ultimately slower in terms of putting people in a sustainable situation.

Politics

Poll: Majority of Americans liked Obama’s first presser as President-elect.

Yesterday, President-elect Barack Obama gave his first press conference since being elected, discussing his plan to move forward on the economy and other issues. In a poll out today, Rasmussen Reports found that a majority of Americans liked the tone Obama set during the presser:

obama1.jpgOver half of U.S. voters (54%) say they followed Very Closely news stories about Barack Obama’s first press conference as president-elect yesterday, and nearly as many (52%) say he set the right tone in his remarks.

Another 26% say they followed news of Obama’s Chicago press conference somewhat closely, and just six percent (6%) say they did not follow news of it at all, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken Friday night.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) do not think Obama set the right tone in his remarks. One-out-of-five (20%) are not sure.

The poll also found that “over half of voters (52%) expect President Obama to do a better job on the economy than President Bush.”

Yglesias

Feingold an Unacceptable Committee Chair?

473px_russ_feingold_official_photo_2_1.jpg

Some “Democratic strategist” named Michael Feldman seems to think that John Kerry shouldn’t be Secretary of State because that would (combined with Joe Biden’s departure for the Vice Presidency) leave Russ Feingold to chair the Foreign Relations Committee. He says “of course that poses a whole series of problems.”

Andrea Mitchell sensibly asks “Why does it pose a series of problems?”

To which Feldman replies: “Well, because of Senator Feingold’s opposition to the war and I think that would immediately, his vocal opposition to the war, I think that would immediately then raise some issues for the caucus and for leader Reid.”

Now the truth is that Feingold, like most any Senator, has taken some positions over the years I don’t agree with (opposing NATO expansion in the mid-nineties, for example) but the idea that anyone could, with a straight face, argue that Feingold should be disqualified on account of having been correct about Iraq is a sad comment on the state of things. That said, the soon-to-be presence in the White House of a war opponent is changing things. Mitchell is a soundly establishmentarian figure and she immediately shoots back with “But the president[-elect] of the United States is opposed to the war.”

At any rate, though I’ve heard enough asinine things on television to believe that Feldman may well have said this because he meant it, I also think this may be more about Kerry than about Feingold. There’s a developing meme out there that Kerry is some kind of dangerous leftwing radical (his selection “would be … bound to provoke controversy with moderate Democrats” for some reason) and the Richard Holbrooke Fan Club hasn’t gone out of business yet in the press.

Politics

McCain and Palin to stump for Chambliss.

Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), who is locked in a run-off election against challenger Jim Martin, will be calling on support from John McCain and Sarah Palin:

U.S. Sen. John McCain will come to Georgia to campaign for Republican U.S. Sen. Saxby Chambliss, the Moultrie lawmaker’s campaign confirmed Friday.

“We just have to work out the dates,” said Chambliss’s spokeswoman, Michelle Grasso.

Grasso said the campaign is also in touch with Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s office about a possible Georgia appearance.

“She wants to come down, but right now we are working with her schedulers to see if that’s possible,” Grasso said.

Yglesias

Polling We Can’t Believe In

I think a post-election Gallup tracking poll is really what we don’t need. If this past election revealed anything, it’s that all too many people don’t grasp the concept of “random variation” in this kind of thing. But suffice it to say that if you do a poll of roughly Gallup’s size and take a three day rolling average, you wind up generating all sorts of neat-looking vaguely sinusoidal curves that people then dream up narratives to “explain.” The whole thing’s a waste of time, and ultimate does more to misinform people than to help them understand the world.

Health

Bush Cuts Outpatient Medicaid Services

bush-health-bills.jpgAfter arguing that legislation to cut over-payments to private insurers would “harm beneficiaries by taking private health plan options away from them,” President Bush, on Friday, “narrowed the scope of services that can be provided to poor people under Medicaid’s outpatient hospital benefit.”

The new regulation arrives at a time when states are considering limiting Medicaid eligibility and Americans are losing their employer health benefits. In fact, the administration issued its rule to take public “health options away” on the very same day that the Department of Labor announced that the U.S. unemployment rate is at a 14-year high of 6.5 percent.

“Public hospitals and state officials immediately protested the action, saying it would reduce Medicaid payments to many hospitals at a time of growing need,” the New York Times reports. Ann Clemency Kohler, the executive director of the National Association of State Medicaid Directors, said:

The new rule is a pretty sweeping change from longtime Medicaid policy. Since the beginning of the program, states have been allowed to define hospital outpatient services. We have to question why the rule is being issued now, three days after the election, with a new administration coming in.

Bush’s last-minute effort to deny public health care benefits to millions of Americans squares with his health care legacy, however. As recently as February 2008, Bush proposed cutting Medicaid by $18.2 billion over five years, essentially “shifting costs to the states” and forcing “states to institute even bigger program cuts or tax increases,” according to the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP). In January of 2008, the Bush administration imposed restrictions on the “ability of states to expand eligibility for Medicaid, in an effort to prevent them from offering coverage to families of modest incomes.”

Politics

Novak: Gingrich Will Be The Conservative Movement’s ‘Moses’

gingrichs.jpg Conservatives are reeling after Tuesday’s progressive victories, desperately insisting that the country remains center-right, holding secret soul-searching meetings, and floating the idea of a revived “Project for a New American Century” to help neocons in the wilderness.

In short, conservatives are holding out for a hero. In his newest column, Robert Novak says that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is shaping up to be the best hope:

In serious conversations among Republicans since their election debacle Tuesday, what name is mentioned most often as the Moses, or Reagan, who could lead them out of the wilderness before 40 years?

To the consternation of many Republicans, it is none other than Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House.

Gingrich is far from a unanimous or even a consensus choice to run for president in 2012, but there is a strong feeling in Republican ranks that he is the only leader of their party who has shown the skill and energy to attempt a comeback quickly.

Gingrich appears to be consciously positioning himself as a possible savior. He has been working to shape the next generation of GOP foot soldiers in Congress, allegedly whipping up last-minute opposition to the financial bail-out package in September. NBC’s Mike Barnicle said that conservatives told him this event was “the opening salvo of Newt Gingrich’s presidential campaign four years hence,” although Gingrich has denied any such involvement. Gingrich even appeared as a “guest star” in the GOP energy protest over the summer, which conservatives considered “America’s greatest hour.”

Gingrich may have stiff competition from Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK), whom many conservatives are also mentioning as a possible 2012 candidate. After all, Gingrich may be likened to Reagan and Moses, but can he send “little starbursts through the [tv] screen“?

Update

On Thursday, Gingrich spoke at the Indiana Chamber of Commerce awards dinner echoed other conservatives and claimed that the country remains center-right:

“This was a performance election, not an ideological election,” Gingrich said. “Senator Obama did not run on any major left wing theme unless you count the anti-war movement. He primarily ran on ‘he’s going to cut taxes for the middle class, he’s going to make government work better, he’s going to bring us together.’ The fact is that no one campaigning as a general liberal, an open liberal, has been elected since 1964.”


Update

,Yglesias writes, “[W]hat Gingrich offers doesn’t really qualify as ideas. Instead, call them ‘ideas.’ Instead of thinking about ways to solve problems in people’s lives, Gingrich is good at offering ways to package predetermined special-interest priorities as solutions to things that arise.”


[upd

Yglesias

Wieseltier: Black President Is the End of Classical Music

These are the kind of thoughts that your editor is supposed to stop you from writing. Leon Wieseltier:

I woke up the next morning still under the spell of solidarity and love. I decided to make the spell last. I gave away my tickets to a performance of some late Shostakovich quartets, because for once I was not interested in the despair. Instead I spent the day listening to the Ebonys and the Chi-Lites and the Isley Brothers. For lunch I went to Georgia Brown’s for fried green tomatoes.

I was waiting for the next sentence to be about watermelons, but he spared us that at least.

Security

Taqiya!

rubin_big.jpgTo add to Yglesias’, and Justin Logan’s posts dismantling Michael Rubin’s latest argument for bombing Iran, a bit about Rubin’s invocation of taqiya as a clever way credit Iranian statements that bolster his thesis and discredit those that don’t.

This isn’t the first time Rubin has misrepresented this Islamic concept. Back in September 2006, Rubin referred to taqiya as “religiously-sanctioned lying.”

Many Islamists feel justified saying one thing to a Western audience, and quite another to fellow Islamists. Muhammad Khatami, soon to receive an honorary degree at St. Andrew’s University in celebration of his “practical work to improve relations between Muslim, Christian and Jewish communities,” is one example. No need for Khatami to explain statements justifying murder and terror. The case of Tariq Ramadan, the Islamist scholar whom Notre Dame University tried to hire, has become a cause célèbre. Many progressives are in an uproar that the State Department this week again denied Ramadan a visa. After all, doesn’t he say the right things in academic salons? Perhaps, but beyond the window dressing and the material support for terrorists, what does Ramadan stand for?

Taqiya is commonly understood as dissimulation in order to protect one’s life, family, or the faith. It developed in Shi’i jurisprudence as a defense against persecution by Sunnis or non-Muslims. It is not simply a license to lie, nor is it simply a technique to “lull an enemy,” as Rubin claims here.

The concept of taqiya has generally been looked upon with skepticism and suspicion by the vast majority of Muslims who are Sunni. Tariq Ramadan, who is Sunni, has never, as far as I know, indicated that he believes the concept is a legitimate Islamic practice, Rubin’s careless assertions notwithstanding. Ironically, sinister claims about taqiya have historically been deployed by Sunnis to stir up fear of Shias, just as Rubin deploys them here to stir up fear of Iran.

The implications of Rubin’s treatment of the concept are obvious. After all, if Muslims are encouraged to lie as a matter of religious duty, then why should we believe anything they say, ever? The right-wing blogosphere is rife with this sort of ignorant nonsense, but it’s pretty disgraceful that Rubin would use his scholarly credibility, such as it is, to feed it. Given his own past work in Doug Feith’s Office of Special Plans, it’s also pretty ridiculous that Rubin tries to pitch taqiya as some sort of devious occult practice, as if non-Muslim leaders never dissimulate, lie, spin, or misrepresent facts and intentions in order to achieve their political goals.

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