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Politics

Alaska Senate Democratic candidate leads Stevens by 3 votes.

Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich leads incumbent Republican Ted Stevens by 3 votes in the latest tally. “The new numbers, reflecting nearly 43,000 absentee ballots counted today, are from all over the state.” On election night, Stevens led Begich by about 3,000 votes. The Division of Elections still has 10,000 more ballots to count today and roughly 35,000 additional absentee and questioned ballots over the next week.

Update

“Sens. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.) and John Ensign (R-Nev.) say they’ll back Sen. Jim DeMint’s effort to boot convicted Sen. Ted Stevens from the Republican caucus — if Stevens wins his still too-close-to-call election in Alaska.”


Update

,Stevens is now behind by more than 800 votes.

Media

Blogger Solidarity

Rachel Maddow is a national treasure:

For many years I’ve owned no pajamas, but shortly after I moved (into a condo I bought, thank you very much, not my parents basement [not that my dad has a basement]) Sara bought me a pair and, frankly, they’re great blogging gear.

Health

The Baucus Health Plan & The Tax Incentive Tweak

taxcuts_h-726000.jpgDuring the presidential campaign, progressives criticized Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) for dismantling the employer-based health insurance system by exposing employee tax benefits to income taxes. This morning, Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) proposed financing his comprehensive health reform plan by reforming the tax incentives for employer coverage.

So what’s the difference? Why aren’t progressives jumping down Baucus’ throat and accusing him of treason? While McCain proposed replacing the employee deduction with a one-size-fits-all tax credit without reforming the health insurance market, Baucus pairs employee-tax tweaks with market reforms that would increase access to group coverage.

Baucus proposes two changes to the tax exclusion: capping the amount of health care premiums that can be excluded from employee wages and restructuring the exclusion on a sliding scale based on income, giving people with lower wages a larger deduction. But, since the plan simultaneously expands Medicaid, Medicare and SCHIP, creates an insurance exchange, allows Americans to buy into a new public plan, and ends discrimination against individuals with pre-existing conditions, the restructuring of the tax exclusion would not leave Americans without coverage.

Most progressives recognize the regressive nature of the employee tax exemption. As the Baucus white paper points out, “current incentives are also regressive because they are, for the most part, more valuable to taxpayers who are subject to higher marginal rates. As such, they give larger subsidies to higher-income workers, instead of to the lower income Americans who need more help buying insurance.” In fact, even Obama adviser Jason Furman argued that our current tax exemption for health insurance could (or should) be revamped.

The Baucus plan also meets another progressive requirement: it builds on the current employer-system. While the employer-based system isn’t perfect, it plays a crucial role in connecting Americans to coverage by encouraging risk pooling through employer policies and guarding against adverse selection. Baucus seeks to expand and strengthen the system by requiring employers to offer a Section 125 plan which would allow employees to pay their health insurance premiums through their employer’s payroll deduction and with pre-tax dollars.

As Ezra Klein points out, “by offering something that hews closely to Obama’s principles and traces the expressed preferences of most leading Democrats, [Baucus] he’s constructed a broadly acceptable base on which to build the process. There is plenty yet to be defined, traded, added, and decided — which is to say, there is plenty of reason for other senators to take a role in the process. If his colleagues agree, then this will be, as Baucus hopes, Max Baucus’s health reform process.”

Politics

Gun Industry Profits Off NRA’s Fearmongering About Obama Gun Policies

Gun stores across the nation are reporting a surge in gun sales since the election of Barack Obama. Customers are convinced that Obama either seeks to limit or revoke entirely Americans’ rights to bear arms. As the Chicago Tribune reports today:

Some say they are worried that the incoming Obama administration will attempt to reimpose the ban on assault weapons that expired in 2004. Others fear the loss of their right to own handguns. A few say they are preparing to protect themselves in the event of a race war.

Some gun sellers like Wild West Guns in Anchorage, AK are holding “Obama Sale” events to take advantage of their customers’ misinformed fears and news outlets from NPR to Fox News have produced reports documenting the gun buying binge:

obamagun.jpg

The FBI reported that from November 3-9, they “received over three hundred and seventy thousand requests for background checks on gun buyers” — a 49 percent increase since last year. Moreover, “reports from around the nation suggest the sudden surge of November gun-buying is far surpassing the normal hunting-season spike that often occurs this time of year.”

What the major media outlets overlook is that the Obama gun sale boom appears to be the result of a multimillion dollar effort launched by the National Rifle Association last summer to misinform voters about Obama’s gun policy proposals. As Politico reported in June:

The National Rifle Association plans to spend about $40 million on this year’s campaign, with $15 million of that devoted to portraying Barack Obama as a threat to the Second Amendment rights. … This fall, NRA members will get automated phone calls, mail pieces and pre-election editions of the group’s three magazines making the case against Obama.

The NRA claimed of Obama, “[N]ever in NRA’s history have we faced a presidential candidate … with such a deep-rooted hatred of firearm freedoms.” As FactCheck notes, however, the NRA’s campaign is based almost entirely on falsehoods. Indeed, FactCheck writes, much of the NRA’s campaign “dismisses Obama’s stated position [on gun rights] as ‘rhetoric’ and substitutes its own interpretation of his record as a secret ‘plan.’”

The “political uncertainty” created by the NRA’s misinformation campaign may have more to do with making a sale than it does with shaping gun policy. The New York Times explained last week:

What is clear is that every gun seller — not to mention every advocacy group for gun ownership that depends on dues-paying members — has an incentive to stoke the concern that can prompt a gun sale. Political uncertainty, gun dealers say, is great for business. … “Clinton was the best gun salesman the gun manufacturers ever had,” said Rick Gray, owner of the Accuracy Gun Shop in Las Vegas. “Obama’s going to be right up there with him.”

Yglesias

Bicycle Safety Enhancement Act

All decent residents of Washington, DC will be joining me in supporting Jim Graham’s Bicycle Safety Enhancement Act of 2008. Click here to send some email to your City Council representative. The council doesn’t get all that much contact from constituents outside a relatively narrow group of usual suspects, so this sort of thing can make a big difference.

Politics

Maddow wears pajamas on air in solidarity with bloggers, says she sees herself as ‘a blogger on TV.’

Last night, MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow showed a clip of Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) complaining about being criticized by “some blogger” sitting “in their parents’ basement.” Maddow — who later said she saw herself as “a blogger on TV” — did the show in her pajamas to show solidarity with bloggers. Watch it:

Conservatives love to blast bloggers. Defending Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), Joe Scarborough mocked bloggers “just sitting there, eating Cheetos” in “their underwear,” while Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) complained that bloggers add “vituperation toxicity” to the political debate.

Climate Progress

Why is our energy policy so lame? Ask the three GOP stooges.

3-stooges.jpg

Okay, you probably don’t need any more reasons why U.S. energy policy is so lame. But don’t complain to me, complain to Greenwire (subs. req’d), which reported on a Forbes panel of three Stooges former Republican energy secretaries who seem to revel in their ignornance of all things energy [sound effects added]:

Former South Carolina Gov. James Edwards, who served as Reagan’s Energy secretary from 1981 to 1982, was the most pessimistic, predicting that the Democrats would preside over an era of energy doom and gloom. A foolish pursuit of carbon emissions controls and fear of nuclear power would result in much higher electricity costs, job losses and some parts of the country left in the dark, he warned.

Are you trying to give me the doubletalk?

An era of energy doom and gloom? What the heck does he call the Bush administration? Massive power outages, huge energy price spikes, Detroit on the verge of bankruptcy, a war in the Persian Gulf, soaring electricity costs, job losses?

Now listen, grape-head. I’ll explain this so even you can understand it.” The one thing we know for certain — pursuit of nuclear power would inevitably raise electricity costs. Indeed, in Florida, utilities are allowed to jack up rates years long before the plant is built. It looks like the lucky customers of Progress Energy will get to each pay more than $100 a year for years and years and years before they even get one kilowatt-hour from these plants (see “Nuclear power, Part 2: The price is not right“).

Herrington, who served as secretary under Presidents Reagan and George H.W. Bush from 1985 to 1989, expressed skepticism about Obama and the Democratic Congress supporting new nuclear power. He was especially critical of Obama’s call for “safe” nuclear power.

” ‘Safe’ is the code word for no nuclear,” Herrington said.

Oh, a wise guy? Does Herrington even realize what he is saying — claiming that anybody who talks about safety is secretly a nuclear opponent. What is this, the former Soviet Union? This nuclear McCarthyism is a terrific way to get another accident — and yet it is a widespread view in the GOP (see McCain calls concern about nuclear safety and waste “blah, blah, blah.”).

For the three GOP stooges “Nyuk, nyuk, nyuk” is apparently replaced by “nuclear, nuclear, nuclear.”

“Cap and trade doesn’t work,” Edwards said. “It hasn’t worked in Europe, and it won’t work here.”

Certainly! It worked here for us to limit sulfur dioxide emissions from utilities far faster and far cheaper then conservative like Edwards claimed. And since Europe’s real 5-year carbon cap only kicked in this year, it is absurdly premature to say that it hasn’t worked, especially since it looks like Europe will actually meet its Kyoto obligations (see “15 EU countries on track to meet Kyoto targets“).

But here is where the Three Stooges make clear they have taken one too many blows to the head:

The three said they favored the recent energy policy proposal offered by oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens, especially his call to divert the nation’s natural gas reserves to fueling transportation. Pickens has suggested building massive wind farms in the Midwest to replace the electricity now generated by natural gas.

I’m tryin’ to think, but nothin’ happens.

Diverting the nation’s natural gas reserves to fuel transportation remains arguably the dumbest energy idea ever proposed in a major multi-million ad campaign — and its pointlessness from an energy or environmental perspective is surpassed only by its political and practical impossibility (see “Memo to T. Boone Pickens: Your energy plan is half-brilliant, half-dumb“). It is safe to say that anybody who endorses such a plan understands neither energy nor the environment nor practical considerations (see “Pickens’ natural gas plan makes no sense and will never happen“).

Read more

Health

Progressives Won. Now What?

Our guest blogger is Brian Levine, a Senior Policy Adviser at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

Last week, progressives won a resounding victory. The question is: Now what? Today, the Center for American Progress released its own recovery strategy for 2009 and beyond. The CAP report cautions against being “penny wise and pound foolish” as we confront large budget deficits in the short-term. We must invest immediately in health care, energy and education to help our economy through this crisis and lay the groundwork for future growth.

The report lays out a strategy that begins with stabilizing the economy by ensuring the solvency of financial institutions, restoring confidence to the credit and stock markets, and ending the housing crisis, while jumpstarting the recovery with an intelligently crafted stimulus package.

These steps must be accompanied by a sustained economic agenda that focuses on build­ing the foundation for a brighter future. As the report points out:

Today’s crisis is not just the failing economy but the looming barriers to future prosperity in the form of unsustainable and growing levels of health care costs, the lack of adequate clean, depend­able energy, and our inability to educate our children for the needs of our economy.

We must slow the growth of health care costs, which will require an upfront investment, partly because it requires universal coverage. In addition to covering everyone, we must incorporate new medical technologies into the system and promote more efficient delivery of care.

We need to invest in a new green energy infrastructure to create jobs now and begin the shift to clean, sustainable energy. Using energy more efficiently makes our economy as a whole more efficient. And renewable energy and efficiency are growth industries that can drive American economic leadership well into the future.

And the economic crisis must not prevent us from transforming the public education system to one that prepares our children to compete for high-quality jobs in the global economy and tackling the problem of college affordability.

After the period when deficit spending is needed to strengthen the economy, we must restore fiscal discipline as quickly as possible.

Politics

O’Hanlon: Obama needs an Iraq hawk in his cabinet.

Today, Politico’s Arena asked several foreign policy experts, “Who should Obama consider for his foreign policy and national security team?” Brookings Institution analyst and Iraq war hawk Michael O’Hanlon said that Obama needs a cabinet member who is skeptical of a timeline for withdrawal:

It is important that Senator Obama hear from centrists on Iraq, and Susan [Rice] may not be such a person on that subject. As such, given Iraq’s relative importance, it is crucial that in addition to military officers with responsibility for the operation there, at least one key member of the cabinet not be firmly wed to Senator Obama’s ill-advised proposal for a firm and rapid withdrawal schedule from Iraq over the coming 16 to 18 months.

Yglesias

Multi-Party

Every now and again someone observes that it’s a shame that we have to cram our political debate into just two parties. Well, Switzerland has four major political parties (at least that’s how they describe it, arguably five is more accurate). There are your basic Social Democrats and then your Christian Democrats (think the Party of Sam’s Club) and your Free Democrats (think Cato Institute) and your Swiss People’s Party (think Pat Buchanan) and also a Green Party that doesn’t count as major even though it gets about 10 percent of the vote.

Nevertheless, even with all that to choose from, most of the Swiss members of the group I’m with who I’ve asked about it tell me that they don’t quite feel that any party really represents their views.

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