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Yglesias

Leverage

Josh Marshall says an auto industry bailout could lead to electric cars:

More to the point of creativity — one of the things about crisis is that it opens opportunities would never exist in normal times. People have been looking for ways to get Detroit to get serious about developing cleaner, more fuel efficient cars for years. At this point, we’re beyond that. We need to get serious about cars that don’t use gas at all. If the whole domestic auto industry is all but asking to be taken into federal receivership, that tells me that the people running the federal government now have quite a lot of leverage.

A few things in response:

1 — I sure hope this is right, since it seems to me we’re probably going to do this!

2 — I think this sense of leverage is a bit illusory. If today Detroit has the political clout to get billions of dollars from politicians, then this is really Detroit having leverage over congress and not the reverse. And once important politicians have committed themselves to the idea of an auto bailout, it gets harder and harder for them to say “no, this isn’t working, we need to pull the plug.” And whatever leverage congress has is predicated on being seriously willing to say no.

3 — A lot of this talk has an air of socialistic hubris about it. If this line of thinking were correct and the primary impediment to the production of technological miracles was a lack of government leverage, then state-owned enterprises would have been a smashing success. In reality, outside of a relatively narrow range of utility-type activities, they’ve been flops. If the negative externalities associated with carbon emissions were correctly priced, I’m quite sure that would lead people in various places to develop lower emissions cars. But is just sort of pointing at GM’s engineers and telling them “make low-emissions cars!” really going to lead to the intended result?

UPDATE: Let me further add that the risk here, as I see it, isn’t that we’re going to waste too much money on a Detroit bailout. Rather, the risk is that we’re going to slide into a situation where big swathes of the economy are dominated by zombie firms. If firms with unviable business models are prevented from failing, then other more successful firms can’t arise or expand to fill the niche and the whole sector goes dysfunctional employing tons of labor and resources but not creating real value.

And then you have other sectors that are being productive but that are burdened with taxes that are being used to prop up sectors that aren’t creating value. Then, even if we manage to halt the slide into recession we’ll have created a situation in which it’s difficult to return again to growth. By contrast, even the total liquidation (as opposed to reorganization under chapter 11) of one or more of the “big three” wouldn’t cause all the resources as the liquidated firm to vanish. Rather, if GM vanished from the earth that would be an opportunity for the other car companies and whichever of them is best-situated to expand to fill the market share void left by GM could profitably some of the capital and labor currently in use. But if a dead firm is kept on life support, that weakens all its competitors’ positions without offering any promise of resurrection.

Climate Progress

Coal stocks hit as reality of climate and EPA ruling finally sets in

It was inevitable that the increasingly dire threat of catastrophic climate change would hit coal companies — especially since neither the Bush administration nor the coal industry have taken climate change seriously, and therefore they failed to pursue clean coal (i.e. carbon capture and storage) aggresively.

In fact, they pursued CCS incompetently (see “Can the coal industry be saved in spite of itself? Should it be?” and “In seeming flipflop, Bush drops mismanaged ‘NeverGen’ clean coal project“).

The 2007 Supreme Court ruling that CO2 is a pollutant began a chain of events that led to the landmark ruling yesterday by the EPA Environmental Appeals Board yesterday, which in turn hits coal stocks hard today (see below).

The AP reported today that, as I suggested yesterday, “The fate of scores of new coal-burning power plants is now in limbo”:

Read more

Climate Progress

Dingell Pledges His Cooperation To Progressive Climate Principles

John DingellRoll Call reports that senior Congressional Black Caucus members John Lewis (D-GA) and John Conyers (D-MI) have announced their support for John Dingell’s (D-MI) continued chairmanship of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce. Rep. Henry Waxman (D-CA) announced he was seeking the chair after the elections, spurring Dingell to wage a highly visible campaign to keep his seat. Dingell’s announced supporters now include seven members of the Congressional Black Caucus, twelve Blue Dogs, two Michigan freshmen, and eight others.

In October, Dingell and Rep. Rick Boucher (D-VA) released “draft climate legislation after nearly two years of hearings and discussions. In the accompanying letter, they indicated significantly different priorities and emissions goals than those of Sen. Barack Obama or the majority of the Democratic caucus, who signed on to a letter of progressive principles circulated by Waxman, Rep. Ed Markey (D-MA), and Jay Inslee (D-WA).

Today, following news coverage of recent criticism of the draft plan by Center for American Progress senior fellow Robert Sussman, Dingell has released a defense to his fellow members, arguing that his plan “aligns with the principles and goals” of the Waxman-Markey-Inslee letter. Dingell further pledged his cooperation to ensuring any final legislation would embody the letter’s principles.

The text of this letter and accompanying press release follows: Read more

Politics

Laura Bush elaborates on Michelle Obama’s White House tour: ‘I showed her the closets.’

In an interview with CNN that aired today, First Lady Laura Bush described her Monday meeting with Michelle Obama at the White House. She said she told Michelle that “this house really can be a home” and showed her “all the things that women are interested in.” The First Lady didn’t elaborate on what those “things” were, beyond, “I showed her the closets.” Watch it:

Health

Bobby Jindal’s Uncertain Health Care Proposal

jindal.jpgToday, Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA) is expected to propose restructuring the state’s Medicaid program by steering “hundreds of thousands of low-income Louisiana residents into private managed-care plans.”

The Jindal ‘concept paper’ establishes “managed care” networks of physicians, hospitals and other medical care providers to improve patient health, eliminate duplications or unnecessary services and generally reduce cost by better managing and coordinating an individual’s care.

Under the proposal, the government would “pay a per-patient fee that would vary by the health status of its patients” and “doctors and hospitals would receive incentive payments if they meet certain performance criteria.”

While Jindal’s efforts to coordinate care and reform the poor fee-for-service payment model are laudable, the governor has yet to detail his proposal.

It could go one of two ways: the governor could either be introducing a truly effective ‘medical home model‘ — as is required by a 2007 state law — or a more industry-friendly approach that allows insurers to make short-term profits without focusing on long term investments (or value of care).

Some have indicated that Jindal has chosen the latter. Louisiana Hospital Association president John Matessino, for instance, has described Jindal’s plan as “a very top-heavy, managed care’ assignment of patients” that would actually take money out of the Medicaid system to fund more insurance bureaucracy. The primary care physician would act as a gatekeeper, limiting care and keeping costs low, without coordinating patients’ care to ensure that each individual patient receives efficient, timely, and effective treatment. These plans have difficulty changing the behavior of physicians because they pay for episodic care and not value of care.

In a medical home model, conversely, health service providers help coordinate care and manage success primarily through improved health outcomes and patient satisfaction. Medical homes reconfigure the delivery of primary care to involve interdisciplinary teams of doctors, advanced information technology, care coordination, patient outreach, and other techniques designed to improve quality of and access to services.” This approach can actually reduce costs and improve health outcomes.

Politics

Rep. Cummings asks, ‘Is Kashkari a chump?’

In a hearing today, Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD) excoriated “bailout czar” Neil Kashkari after reports emerged saying that AIG doled out $503 million to top executives. Noting the financial troubles in his Baltimore district, Cummings asked rhetorically whether his constituents would think Kashkari is a “chump” after learning of the AIG bonuses:

CUMMINGS: I’m just wondering how you feel about an AIG giving $503 million worth of bonuses on the one hand, and accepting $154 billion from hard-working taxpayers. You know, because I’m trying to make sure you get it. What really bothers me is all these other people who are lined up. They say, well, is Kashkari a chump?

“I wouldn’t want to be asking my friend for some money to stay afloat. … Then my friend, who can barely afford to go to McDonald’s sees me in a restaurant costing $150 a meal. There’s absolutely something wrong with that picture!” exclaimed Cummings. Watch it:

CNBC and Gawker have more angry reactions from lawmakers.

Yglesias

What Moderates Want

Stan Greenberg and Bob Borosage have a smart piece taking on the notion that the larger number of self-described conservatives than liberals show that we’re a “center-right” nation. They observe that on the vast majority of issues, moderates have pretty liberal views. The difference is that moderates are skeptical that government can be made to work well. Thus, what progressives need to do is not to trim, but to govern effectively:

[P]rogressives needn’t be defensive about the majority that is dubious about government spending. Making government work effectively is at the heart, not the capillaries of the progressive agenda. This test doesn’t distract; it focuses us on our task. No progressive majority can ever be consolidated for long if it doesn’t demonstrate that government can be an effective ally for everyone.

And that is all moderates are looking for. They aren’t skeptical about the need for government. By large margins, they think regulation does more good than harm. They want investments made in education and training. They favor a concerted government-led drive for energy independence. They far prefer a health-care plan with a choice between their current insurance and a public plan like Medicare, rather than one that would give them a tax credit to negotiate with insurance companies on their own. Their concern is less that government will do too much and more that government will fail to do what it must and waste their money in the process.

Right on. Meanwhile, any incumbent party needs to govern effectively to hold on to power, so it’s not like this is some special challenge over and above the basic tasks.

Politics

Flashback: McCain Promised To Do ‘Whatever…Needs To Be Done To Help Our Automotive Industry’

Today, the New York Times reports that Republicans are balking at a rescue package for the struggling auto industry. The bill would use some of the funds originally appropriated to shore up the banking system. Democrats need 60 votes to move the measure forward, but Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT) said, “Right now, I don’t think there are the votes.” Some Republicans who have spoken out against the measure: Reps. John Boehner (R-OH) and Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) and Sens. Saxby Chambliss (R-GA), Richard Shelby (R-AL), and Mitch McConnell (R-KY).

So far, Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) hasn’t spoken up. (ThinkProgress contacted his spokesperson, but has yet to receive a reply.) But back in October, when McCain was still running for president, the senator indicated support for this rescue package:

Q: We’re finding out that there may be a possibility of some sort of bail-out or government assistance for the auto industry. Would that be something that you would support?

MCCAIN: Well, we’ve already done that to $25 billion, and we’ve delayed getting them the money. I would do whatever I think needs to be done to help our automotive industry. We’ve got to make this transition to flex fuel, battery powered, hydrogen automobiles. And, obviously — and, also, I would provide tax credits for people who buy these new automobiles. We’ve got to keep this industry alive. There’s no doubt about that.

Watch it:

Shelby has summed up conservatives’ justification for opposing an auto industry rescue bill: “The financial situation facing the Big Three is not a national problem but their problem.” However, as Obama transition co-chair John Podesta has noted, “the auto industry directly employs about 250,000 people” and is “the backbone of our manufacturing economy.” In fact, one in 12 U.S. jobs is tied to car manufacturing.

Other conservatives, such as Boehner, are arguing that there needs to be reform addressing the “root causes crippling automakers’ competitiveness around the world.” Both House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) agree, saying that “federal aid should come with ’strong conditions,’ such as requirements that car makers build more fuel-efficient vehicles.”

On the campaign trail, McCain made it clear that it’s important to cross party lines on certain issues. Will he now buck the GOP leadership and support an auto industry rescue package?

Economy

Kucinich: In ‘What Country’ Is The Treasury Secretary ‘Passionate’ About Helping Homeowners?

Yesterday, the Wonk Room noted Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s reversal in regards to the aim of the $700 billion Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP). Today, the Domestic Policy Subcommittee of the House Oversight Committee — chaired by Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) — held a hearing to find out whether TARP is being used to prevent home foreclosures, “as Congress intended.”

Kucinich questioned Interim Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability Neel Kashkari — who is charged with administering the $700 billion — as to why the Treasury has not focused more on helping homeowners facing foreclosure. When Kashkari replied that the Treasury Secretary is “passionate” about helping homeowners, Kucinich asked “He is? Where? What country?” Watch it:

Kucinich was absolutely right to be skeptical. As Andrew Jakabovics explained, Paulson “yesterday made it absolutely clear that he had no intention of using the authority granted to him by Congress” to stem foreclosures. “The message was clear to homeowners facing foreclosure and their neighbors watching the value of their homes plummet — drop dead,” wrote Jakabovics.

It’s not as if legitimate plans to help homeowners don’t exist. Today, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Chairman Sheila Bair released a plan that could “prevent 1.5 million foreclosures in the next year by offering financial incentives to companies that agree to sharply reduce monthly payments on mortgage loans. ”

The estimated cost of this program is $24.4 billion, a drop in the bucket relative to the entire $700 billion program. Treasury and the White House, though, have made it clear that they are not interested.

In testimony before the subcommittee, Center for American Progress Action Fund Senior Fellow Michael Barr explained what Treasury needs to do to aid homeowners:

Under Section 109 of the [Emergency Economic Stabilization Act], the Treasury secretary is authorized to ‘use loan guarantees and credit enhancements to facilitate loan modifications to prevent avoidable foreclosures.’ Under Section 101 of the act, the secretary is authorized to ‘make and fund commitments to purchase’ troubled assets, including home mortgage loans. These authorities can be deployed now to help homeowners and stabilize our markets.

As Jakabovics wrote, “The solution is simple: Focus on the mortgages. Gain access to home mortgages and restructure them. Now.”

Yglesias

What Might Have Been

200px_cern_logosvg.png

My group had a chance to talk to the head of CERN yesterday. Mostly his talk and our discussion focused on the Large Hadron Collider and also some organization aspects of CERN. He did, however, mention that the work that led to the development of the World Wide Web was done at CERN. He also said that when CERN realized this Web concept was promising, they tried to put it up for sale. But nobody was interested. And since nobody was interested, they released their work to the public for free and one thing led to another and now we have the Web we all know and love.

Internet history isn’t something I’m all that familiar with, despite my familiarity with all internet traditions, but it’s fascinating to think about what might have happened had some firm decided to buy in. Maybe the open internet we have today wouldn’t have existed?

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