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Yglesias

Infrastimulus

Andrew Samwick makes the case for infrastructure as the cornerstone of stimulus:

[T]here is no free lunch: the money we spend today is a loss to the Treasury, whether as “timely, temporary, and targeted” tax cuts that have no discernible impact; payments to delay bankruptcy for large, mismanaged entities, whether AIG or the Big 3; or the largest public works program since the interstate highway system. That loss to the Treasury must be made up at some future date, by later cohorts of taxpayers.

Fortunately, both of these problems can be overcome by focusing all new spending on investment rather than consumption and on public investment rather than private investment. By their nature, capital investments last for years or decades, so that there is a better chance that those who are paying for the spending are reaping its benefits. Public investment also meets the criterion that the spending goes for projects that are within the government’s responsibilities. Repairing roads today removes the need to repair them for a number of years. In 2005, the American Society of Civil Engineers released a report card in which it estimated that $1.6 trillion would be required over a five-year period to restore the nation’s physical infrastructure to good condition. If I had a target of $500 billion to spend, every dime would go for public infrastructure investments, and we’d still have quite a bit of work to do.

These are reasonable points. The counterbalancing consideration is that it takes time to get these projects going. My understanding is that there aren’t $500 billion worth of products that are “ready to go” within the relevant time frame. So we need to mix infrastructure investments with other stuff that acts faster like aid to state and local governments.

Yglesias

President SUPERTRAIN

Good times:

literally.

Transportation will play a central role in Obama’s first months in office, not just for policy changes aimed at improving highway, air and rail travel, but as a road toward economic recovery, energy independence and environmental protection.

Solve road congestion, Obama’s reasoning goes, and you put people to work.

Use less gasoline and help clean the air.

Build better trains and move goods more efficiently.

Get people out of their cars and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

“We will create millions of jobs,” he said recently, “by making the single largest new investment in our national infrastructure since the creation of the federal highway system in the 1950s.”

[...]

Bush’s transportation philosophy “seemed to be, ‘This is what the federal government should be responsible for and nothing else.’ And the ‘nothing else’ category was public transportation,” said William Millar, executive director of the American Public Transportation Association, whose members include transit agencies.

Obama, on the other hand, has described himself as a strong advocate of mass transit.

While Bush proposed what some lawmakers described as “starvation budgets” for Amtrak, Obama has pledged support for the passenger rail carrier and for developing a national network of high-speed passenger trains.

I’m excited. The economic cost of traffic jams is both incredibly high and also absurdly preventable. Getting things totally right requires smart state and local policies, but a federal government that offered good incentives rather than bad ones could make a huge difference plus the direct federal role is pretty big.

Security

Diehl: Give Bush Points For Trying

bush-flag.jpgJackson Diehl works very hard to find something good about George W. Bush’s foreign policy legacy, and he comes up with this:

There is, however, one important way in which the president has been faithful to his cause — and one practice he has pioneered that ought to outlast him. Throughout the past several years, Bush has gone out of his way to meet personally with advocates for democratic change around the world — especially those under pressure from their governments. He has invited them to the White House and has looked for them in their own countries. Last year, in Prague, he even attended a conference of dissidents from all over the world.

Diehl’s account of Bush’s freedom agenda is essentially this: “Bush pushed for freedom, autocrats pushed back,” as if Bush gave it the old college try, but in the end was defeated by the mean old world. This is nonsense. The problem is that Bush’s freedom agenda was nested within a broader set of policies — the war on terror and the invasion of Iraq — that was fundamentally inimical to genuine democratic reform, and indeed has proven disastrous for the actual promotion of democracy, especially in the Middle East.

By offering democratic reform as a component to the war on terror, which many in the Muslim world see as a war against Islam, Bush alienated at the outset scores of potential reformist allies. By then promoting the war in Iraq as a showpiece for that agenda (“This could be your country! Who’s in?”) he discredited it even more.

Many praised President Bush’s soaring — at least on the page — freedom rhetoric, but did it help or hinder the cause of freedom for Bush to condemn authoritarian regimes like Syria at the same time that he was rendering suspects there to be tortured?

It’s a rather huge oversight for Diehl to ignore all of this in his account of the failure of Bush’s freedom agenda. Yes, it’s great that Bush took time out of his busy schedule to have coffee with some democratic activists. It’s important to show that the United States supports their work. It’s also important that the United States not pursue policies that make their work harder.

Politics

McCain campaign sells surplus Blackberries with ‘hundreds of emails,’ phone numbers still on them.

mccainbb.jpgThe Washington Post reported this week that the McCain campaign is selling surplus office and computer equipment. Reporters from Fox’s Washington, DC affiliate went over to the “fire sale” and bought several Blackberries from the campaign. When the Fox employees turned the devices on, they found that Blackberries still “contained more than 50 phone numbers for people connected with the McCain-Palin campaign, as well as hundreds of emails.” Contacted by Fox News, one of the former Blackberry owners said, “They should have wiped that stuff out. … Given the way the campaign was run, this is not a surprise.”

Climate Progress

The day the (coal) music died

Bye-bye, Miss American Pie.
Drove my Chevy to the levee,
But the levee was under a half mile of rubble from a mountaintop that had been decapitated….

Okay, I’m no Don McClean, but then neither is the ACCCE (American Coalition for Clean Coal Euphemisms?). We’re still two weeks from Christmas, but the coal industry front group has yanked its offensive “lumps of coal sing bastardized Christmas carols” video. The explanation offered:

We had fun this week with the Clean Coal Carolers and hope you enjoyed them. Now it’s time for them to head home for the holidays. Season’s greetings from America’s Power!

Treehugger still has the videos here along with a blogosphere round-up of snarkiness and some great NRDC parodies of the parodies. ThinkProgress notes that even while removing the videos, the industry flacks still defended them:

Read more

Health

Krauthammer: Preventive Care Is ‘A Nice Thing’ But ‘It Doesn’t Save Money’

Yesterday’s Special Report with Brit Hume had good fun with President-elect Barack Obama’s nominations to head-up health reform. After Fred Barnes suggested that universal health coverage would only increase costs, Charles Krauthammer chimed in with his own unique analysis of Obama’s health care plan.

Using smoking cessation programs as an example, Krauthammer explained that while Obama’s focus on preventive care was “a nice thing, it doesn’t save money”:

The biggest preventative healthcare success in American history is the reduction in smoking. What happens instead of dying young if you smoke, you die older, spending years in a nursing home, and the costs end up higher. I’m not in favor of dying young, but it’s more expensive if you live longer. If you die of a heart attack at 50, that’s awful, but it’s cheap. If you live into your 80′s, you will end up with Alzheimer’s or cancer or a chronic disease that’s expensive.

Watch it:

Krauthammer’s argument is this: if people forego preventive care, they will become sick and die, sparing the country the costs of long-term care. But between diagnosis and death lies treatment of chronic diseases, on which we spend the great majority of our health care dollars.

As the Campaign for Tobacco Free Kids points out, tobacco use adds billions to the national health tab:

- $97 billion: Productivity losses caused by smoking each year.

- $96 billion: Total annual public and private health care expenditures caused by smoking.

- $30.9 billion: Annual Federal and state government smoking-caused Medicaid payments.

- $27.4 billion: Federal government smoking-caused Medicare expenditures each year.

- $4.98 billion: Annual health care expenditures solely from secondhand smoke exposure.

Krauthammer blames rising health care costs on defensive medicine and “trial lawyers,” suggesting that “the way to save money in healthcare, the most immediate and effective, is to eliminate defensive medicine.” “I was a chief resident 30 years ago and a lot of our tests are entirely unnecessary and are a way to prevent lawsuits. The Democrats will never do that because of their dependence on the trial lawyers,” he explained.

Research indicates that “defensive medicine” does affect spending, but only to a point. The Congressional Budget Office concluded that malpractice costs amounted to less than 2 percent of overall health care spending in 2002. Thus, even a reduction of 25 percent to 30 percent in malpractice costs would lower health care costs by only about 0.4 percent to 0.5 percent.

In fact, the larger potential for true reform is in the area of better quality of care and more equitable compensation of those suffering large losses, not reduced health care spending.

Politics

Rice: The Republican Party Brought Us To A Place Where ‘People Can Look Beyond Race’

rice.jpgYesterday, Secretary of State Condelezza Rice sat for an interview with CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo. In a portion of the interview that does not appear to have aired, Bartiromo asked Rice about her “thoughts on the Republican party.” Rice claimed that the GOP has played a large role in bringing the country to a place where “people can look beyond race“:

RICE: [T]he Republican Party also has done a lot for bringing us to a place that — not that race doesn’t matter, but where people can look beyond race. If you look at the last two Secretaries of State, African Americans, they were Republican administrations, the Administration of George W. Bush that appointed them.

Rice’s rosy picture of race relations in America is puzzling. In March of this year, Rice more credibly argued that “America doesn’t have an easy time dealing with race.” Rice noted at the time how prevalent the after effects of our national “birth defect” — slavery — continue to be:

RICE: [T]hat’s not a very pretty reality of our founding, and I think that particular birth defect makes it hard for us to confront [race], hard for us to talk about [race], and hard for us to realize that [race] has continuing relevance for who we are today. … [D]escendents of slaves, therefore, did not get much of a head start. And I think you continue to see some of the effects of that.

More puzzling, however, is her crediting the Republican party with the significant progress that has been made with regard to race and racism in America. In recent years, the party has blocked attempts to protect civil rights. Additionally, Republican power brokers have spouted xenophobic and racist rhetoric, while members of the conservative movement cheer them on. In particular, Republican presidential candidates have a history of exploiting racial and ethnic divides for electoral benefit.

The Republican party’s failure to include minorities is evident by the lack of diversity in the congressional Republican caucus. Of the 247 members in the caucus, none are African-American and just five are Hispanic. Similarly, at the 2008 Republican National Convention, just 2 percent of the delegates were black.

In fact, as former Bush speechwriter David Frum put it in criticizing his party on NPR this morning, the Republican Party is the “party of white America.”

Climate Progress

Dispatch From Poznan: When Asked About Climate Regrets, Bush Advisers Blame Russia

Our guest blogger is Andrew Light, a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress, who is now attending the United Nations climate change talks in Poznań, Poland. This is the fourth of several on-the-scene dispatches.

In one of the more surreal moments of this year’s UN climate change talks, Bush’s chief environmental adviser blamed Russia for the Bush administration’s climate change obstructionism. The US negotiating team featuring James Connaughton, Paula Dobriansky, and Harlan Watson appeared Thursday evening for a press conference where they largely dodged a series of questions about the last eight years of inaction, obfuscation, and general mayhem. When asked by Fioney Harvey of The Financial Times: “If you look back over the course of the last few years, is there anything you would have done differently or is there anything you wished had happened but didn’t happen?” Connaughton, Bush’s chief environmental adviser, devised a mindbending response:

I wish first that Russia had made its mind up sooner as to whether it was going to join Kyoto or not. I think we lost a couple of years of work while that decision was being made. It almost didn’t matter which way they came out but we lost a couple years until it was decided whether Kyoto would go forward or not. As soon as it was decided that Kyoto would go forward then countries began to face up to the reality of what they needed to do at the national level to work toward meeting those commitments.

Except, of course, Bush didn’t “face up” to any such thing, instead waiting until this year to propose a global warming plan sufficient only in Bizarro World. Read more

Politics

DOJ blocking Obama transition team from reviewing documents on wiretapping and torture.

According to the Blog of Legal Times, the Justice Department is blocking President-elect Obama’s agency review team’s request “to review classified legal opinions related to secret CIA and National Security Agency programs.” Included in these documents are the “legal rationale of the NSA’s warrantless spying program and the CIA’s detention and interrogation policies, among other intelligence initiatives.” According to a senior Justice Department official, they are “reluctant to provide the opinions to Obama’s team without permission from the two intelligence agencies whose activities they address.” (HT: Daily Kos and Talk Left)

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