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Franken leads by 225 votes after completion of recount.

Al Franken holds an unofficial lead of 225 votes over incumbent Republican Sen. Norm Coleman. “With the recount complete, focus immediately shifted to the Minnesota Supreme Court, which continued to consider a request from the Coleman campaign to alter the process and add more absentee ballots to be reconsidered.” Eric Kleefeld notes that “Minnesota law is unique in that it prohibits the issuing of an official certificate of election until the legal challenges are all resolved.”

Update

Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, threatened to a filibuster to block Democrats if they considered seating Franken.

Yglesias

Hospital Quality

Via Tyler Cowen, a paper on consumer-driven health care in action:

Amenities such as good food, attentive staff, and pleasant surroundings may play an important role in hospital demand. We use a marketing survey to measure amenities at hospitals in greater Los Angeles and analyze the choice behavior of Medicare pneumonia patients in this market. We find that the mean valuation of amenities is positive and substantial. From the patient perspective, hospital quality therefore embodies amenities as well as clinical quality. We also find that a one-standard-deviation increase in amenities raises a hospital’s demand by 38.4% on average, whereas demand is substantially less responsive to clinical quality as measured by pneumonia mortality. These findings imply that hospitals may have an incentive to compete in amenities, with potentially important implications for welfare.

This is irrational on one level. But on the other hand, it’s pretty intuitive — people are much better equipped to judge the quality of hospital amenities than they are to judge the quality of patient care. I’m also familiar with research indicating that when it comes to malpractice suits the main issue isn’t how much the doctor screws up, but whether or not he or she is a generally nice and friendly person. Again, you can see why it might go that way, but these things are important aspects of the health care market.

Yglesias

Ground Attack

Israeli ground forces now moving into Gaza. Whatever you think of the merits of this step, I think we can take it as implicit acknowledgment by the IDF that the past week’s worth of air strikes were, though deadly to the people killed or maimed by high explosive and flying rubble, basically useless and undertaken without real strategy. So far, though, the fighting has succeeded in boosting the incumbent Labor/Kadima coalition’s poll numbers versus their Likud adversaries. So that’s something, I guess.

Yglesias

Standing Back

This is days old, but important. Back on December 29, Ta-Nehisi Coates wrote of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict:

I’ve never understood why anyone in their right mind would accept us as an honest broker, given our declared allegiances. But more than that, I wonder why it’s incumbent on us to broker at all. Lately, our judgment hasn’t exactly been the greatest either.

I think the idea that we should just step away from the whole thing and not see the United States as obligated to play an active role in pushing for a settlement has some logic to it. And of course it’s also a tempting idea for people who don’t want to spend their time in endless bitter arguments about the various Israeli-Arab conflicts. But it’s crucial to underscore that if you really want the United States to step away from the conflict, you would need to push us to genuinely step away. As long as Israel is the primary recipient of United States foreign assistance funds, it doesn’t make sense to say that we’re taking a hands off approach to the issue. When our hands are off, as they have been throughout this bombing campaign, it’s you and me who’s tax dollars are going to defray the costs of the operation.

Yglesias

Rangel and AIG

This certainly doesn’t look good to me:

The company has never made a contribution. But less than a month after Mr. Rangel met with its officials, the company turned to the congressman for help: A senior A.I.G. executive who had attended the fund-raising meeting wrote a letter directly to Mr. Rangel, chairman of the powerful House Ways and Means Committee, urging him to support a provision of a tax bill that would save A.I.G. millions of dollars a year, according to Joseph M. Norton, a company spokesman.

Mr. Rangel’s exchange with A.I.G. last spring appears to be at odds with the public statements he has made since his fund-raising for the school became an issue. When his approach to A.I.G. was first reported in The Washington Post in July, Mr. Rangel said that he could not recall any issues his committee might have considered in which A.I.G. had an interest.

To be honest, this hardly seems like the most pernicious political quid pro quo in the universe. But there are lines of explicitness you can’t cross without getting in trouble, and certainly it doesn’t help when it turns out you’ve done things that “appear[] to be at odds with the public statements” you’ve made.

Politics

Bush Administration Trying To Make It Easier To Turn Forests Into Housing Subdivisions

rey.jpgIn yet another potential last minute rule change, “the Bush administration appears poised to push through a change in U.S. Forest Service agreements that would make it far easier for mountain forests to be converted to housing subdivisions.” Though President-elect Obama has opposed the move, Mark E. Rey, the former timber lobbyist who heads the Forest Service, has signaled that he intends to finalize the plan before Obama’s inauguration. As a presidential candidate, Obama vocally criticized Rey’s plan while campaigning in Montana, calling it “outrageous.”

Rey is pushing a technical change that it will have “large implications“:

The shift is technical but with large implications. It would allow Plum Creek Timber to pave roads passing through Forest Service land. For decades, such roads were little more than trails used by logging trucks to reach timber stands.

But as Plum Creek has moved into the real estate business, paving those roads became a necessary prelude to opening vast tracts of the company’s 8 million acres to the vacation homes that are transforming landscapes across the West.

Scenic western Montana, where Plum Creek owns 1.2 million acres, would be most affected, placing fresh burdens on county governments to provide services, and undoing efforts to cluster housing near towns.

After Rey first proposed the rule last summer, Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) requested a Government Accountability Office report that eventually found “considerable internal disagreement” within the Forest Service about the proposed change. The GAO concluded that 900 miles of logging roads could be paved in Montana and that amending the long-held easements “could have a nationwide impact.” Rey told the Washington Post on Wednesday that he plans to push his plan forward “in the next week or so” after he holds courtesy meetings with lawmakers. Tester says no meetings have been arranged yet.

Throughout his tenure heading the Forest Service, Rey has regularly tried to avoid public scrutiny of his anti-environmental policies, such as when he “waited until late on December 23, 2003 to announce the removal of roadless protections to allow logging” in Alaska’s Tongass National Forest. When Rey testified before the House Subcommittee on Forests and Forest Health in 2001, he said that wanted the Forest Service to be able to “use categorical exclusions more often” because he believed that environmental assessments wasted “the time of resource managers and taxpayer dollars.”

For more on Bush’s last-minute regulations and proposals, read ThinkProgress’s report, “Bush’s Backward Sprint To The Finish.”

Yglesias

A Strongman Scorned

Former Iraqi PM hops on the anti-Bush bandwagon:

“Yes, Bush’s policies failed utterly,” said Allawi, describing the U.S. administration that once backed him. “Utter failure. Failure of U.S. domestic and foreign policy, including fighting terrorism and economic policy.”

“His insistence on names like ‘democracy’ and ‘open elections’, without giving attention to political stability, was a big mistake. It cast shadows on Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan and Egypt, and I believe this will be remembered in history as President Bush’s policy,” he said.

A lot of truth to this, though of course Allawi shouldn’t be taken too seriously. His view was that being a cozy “pro-American” Iraqi leader ought to entitle him to being installed as permanent (“political stability”) strong man of Iraq at the tip of American bayonets. Bush tried it Allawi’s way for a while and his recognition that it wasn’t going to work out counts, in my view, as a non-error of the occupation regime. Indeed, quite the reverse. The smart pay would have been to seize advantage of Iraqi’s early 2005 elections, and the Iraqi public’s clear rejection at the polls of the Bush-Allawi vision for Iraq, to set a timeline for withdrawal way back then before the great civil war and ethnic cleansing of 2006 and 2007.

Yglesias

Organizing Your People

man_using_laptop.jpg

Julian Sanchez has a very thoughtful critique of the “rebuild the party” initiative to upgrade the GOP’s use of high-tech tools. I agree with everything he says, but I want to emphasize a point hidden within one of Julian’s points:

Moreover, you’re still fundamentally doing political organizing. Part of what made Obama’s vaunted online operation succeed where Howard Dean’s fizzled—and this is something his online people themselves always stress—was that it was an organic component of the broader brick-and-mortar campaign.The core skill set here is still political: What you need are people who know enough tech to understand how the different tools can work with each other, and with more traditional tactics, toward the ultimately non-technical goal of persuading moderates and mobilizing your base. The tech is only useful in the hands of people who are, first and foremost, good at doing those other things.

The fact that online political organizing is still political organizing leads to, I think, a larger issue here. Organizing suburban evangelical mega-churches did a lot for conservatives. But adopting suburban mega-church organizing tools wouldn’t be a very smart strategy for progressives. The audience is wrong. Conversely, outreach to black ministers does a lot of good for Democrats but doesn’t work for Republicans — the black churches are full of black people and black people don’t like Republicans. And at the moment, neither does the core audience for things like Twitter and Facebook. Under the circumstances, it’s difficult for the GOP to do lots of useful organizing on social media platforms.

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