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Obama advisers conclude efforts at bipartisanship were misguided.

Earlier today, ThinkProgress highlighted “Obama’s wasted efforts at bipartisanship.” Reporting on the same subject, The New York Times’ Peter Baker writes that Obama advisers concluded that they mistakenly “allowed the measure of bipartisanship to be defined as winning Republican votes rather than bringing civility to the debate.” Center for American Progress President and CEO John Podesta said the problem was “wishful thinking“:

“I’m not sure I would describe it as naïve, but wishful thinking,” said John D. Podesta, a former White House chief of staff who ran Mr. Obama’s transition and still informally advises his team.

The White House will be able to “pick off” individual Republicans on individual issues, Mr. Podesta predicted, but will not be able to change the calculation made by the opposition party to be in opposition.

“What would make it change?” Mr. Podesta asked, referring to the Republican determination to challenge Mr. Obama. “If you’re going to do this at the moment of greatest need, at the height of his popularity, what sort of thing would get you to change?”

“Yes, we’ve learned some lessons from this,” said Obama adviser David Axelrod. “But primarily we’re happy with the way it turned out.”

Politics

RNC Chair Steele on his own party: ‘No reason, none, to trust our words or our actions at this point.’

On Glenn Beck’s Fox News show this evening, Beck told RNC Chairman Michael Steele that conservatives are “pissed” at Republicans because they don’t “expect socialism” from them. “Why should we even think twice of pulling a lever again?” asked Beck. Steele responded that he was right and that voters have “no reason” to trust the GOP “at this point”:

STEELE: Yeah, no, Glenn. I’m not gonna, look, I’m not going to soft pedal this with you. I’m not going to try to blow smoke either. The reality of it is, you are absolutely right. You have absolutely no reason, none, to trust our word or our actions at this point. So, yeah, it’s going to be an uphill climb.

Watch it:

Security

LA Times Jumps The Gun On Iranian Nukes

ajad-nukes.jpgA number of conservative bloggers have seized on a sensationalistic LA Times’ story from yesterday which stated that “the Obama administration has made it clear that it believes there is no question that Tehran is seeking the bomb.”

In his news conference this week, President Obama went so far as to describe Iran’s “development of a nuclear weapon” before correcting himself to refer to its “pursuit” of weapons capability.

Obama’s nominee to serve as CIA director, Leon E. Panetta, left little doubt about his view last week when he testified on Capitol Hill. “From all the information I’ve seen,” Panetta said, “I think there is no question that they are seeking that capability.”

The language reflects the extent to which senior U.S. officials now discount a National Intelligence Estimate issued in November 2007 that was instrumental in derailing U.S. and European efforts to pressure Iran to shut down its nuclear program.

Not so much, actually. Delivering the intelligence community’s annual threat assessment (pdf) yesterday, director of national intelligence Dennis Blair “said US intelligence assesses that Iran has not restarted nuclear weapons design and weaponization work that it halted in late 2003.”

“Although we do not know whether Iran currently intends to develop nuclear weapons, we assess Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop them,” he said in an annual threat assessment to Congress.

The assessment essentially reaffirmed a 2007 intelligence report that at the time was widely seen as a setback to international efforts to put pressure on Iran to abandon its nuclear program.

The 2007 NIE (pdf) has been the source of much controversy, but here’s what it actually said:

We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program (1); we also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons. We judge with high confidence that the halt, and Tehran’s announcement of its decision to suspend its declared uranium enrichment program and sign an Additional Protocol to its Nuclear non-Proliferation Treaty Safeguards Agreement, was directed primarily in response to increasing international scrutiny and pressure resulting from exposure of Iran’s previously undeclared nuclear work.

1. For the purposes of this Estimate, by “nuclear weapons program” we mean Iran’s nuclear weapon design and weaponization work and covert uranium conversion-related and uranium enrichment-related work; we do not mean Iran’s declared civil work related to uranium conversion and enrichment.

While it’s important not to underplay Iran’s problematic behavior here — the step from “civil work related to uranium conversion and enrichment” to weaponization is a relatively small one — the distinction between “nuclear weapon” and “nuclear weapons capability” is not trivial. It’s clear that Iran would like the capability, but it’s also clear by looking at Iran’s behavior that the regime understands that actually building a weapon would trigger a number of highly undesirable consequences.

We should also remember that the main reason that the 2007 NIE made such a splash was because President Bush and other administration officials had, in the previous months, been engaged in a troublingly familiar threat-hyping exercise. Just as he had done in the lead-up to the Iraq war, President Bush represented “no doubt” about Iran’s intention to possess a nuclear weapon. The 2007 NIE showed that there was, in fact, some doubt, an assessment which remains operative today — the LA Times’ attempt to generate traffic notwithstanding.

Yglesias

Bartlett: New Deal Failed Because It Wasn’t Big Enough

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Bruce Bartlett has a very nice column on the real lessons of the New Deal:

One reason why Republicans strenuously oppose the Obama administration’s fiscal stimulus plan is because it repeats the errors of Franklin D. Roosevelt. To them, the New Deal was mainly about vastly expanding government spending and deficits, which Republicans believe made the Great Depression worse rather than better. Therefore, doing so again in the present downturn will also lead to failure.

The true New Deal legacy, however, is more complicated. Serious mistakes were indeed made. In particular, the National Industrial Recovery Act was fundamentally ill-conceived and retarded economic recovery. But in terms of fiscal policy, Roosevelt’s error wasn’t that he spent too much, but that he didn’t spend nearly enough.

Right. I think the right-wing’s view that the New Deal was, on net, a bad thing is mistaken. But it’s certainly true that the New Deal featured some bad ideas. And the day Barack Obama proposes organizing the economy into cartels that will be able to exercise enough market power to force retail prices up, I hope John Boehner will go on Fox News and ring the alarm bells. But in fiscal policy terms, the best evidence from the 1930s and 40s suggests that fiscal expansion can work—but that when faced with really big problems it needs to be really big in order to work.

Media

Krauthammer Claims He Doesn’t ‘Complain’ About Liberal Bias, Forgetting His Long Record Of Doing So

krauthammer.jpgIn a new column, Editor & Publisher’s Joe Strupp writes that conservative columnists are finding “a definite upside” to having a liberal in the White House after eight years of George W. Bush. “It is a lot easier to be in opposition, it is easier to criticize,” Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer told Strupp.

In his interview, Krauthammer also told Strupp that the Bush years were especially difficult for conservative columnists because of “a pro-liberal media bias.” Though he claimed he doesn’t “complain about it,” Krauthammer added that “it’s always harder for a conservative“:

Krauthammer says that even when Bush was in power, he and other conservative columnists had a more difficult time because of what he believes is a pro-liberal media. “The media bias is so overwhelming, I don’t even complain about it,” he said. “It is always harder for a conservative, no matter who is in power.”

The irony of Krauthammer claiming he doesn’t complain while simultaneously griping about how hard the media world is for conservatives is especially rich considering Krauthammer’s record of media bias complaints. For instance, in a Fox News segment last October on “Media Bias in Covering the Presidential Campaign,” Krauthammer griped about the coverage of then-candidate Barack Obama:

KRAUTHAMMER: Look, I think that’s the point. The mainstream media, it has gone beyond the point of a lack of curiosity, a lack of questions, a lack of probing into Obama’s associations in the past.

It’s that it has dropped a curtain over these associations, and implied or claimed openly as it said in the editorial page of The New York Times that to probe into them, to question them, and to bring them up is to engage in a form of racism. [...]

We are looking at the most left-wing candidate with the most radical associations since Henry Wallace in 1948, and the press has ruled out as illegitimate any inquiries into this.

Krauthammer has been even more explicit in his syndicated column over the years:

“This is not an isolated case. In fact the case is a perfect illustration of an utterly commonplace phenomenon: the mainstream media’s obliviousness to its own liberal bias.” [Washington Post, 1/14/05]

When the subject of liberal bias in the media is brought up, particularly during an election campaign, journalists tend to roll their eyes and groan ‘there you go again’ at this recrudescence of an old right-wing shibboleth.” (Washington Post, 1/29/00]

Clearly, Charles Krauthammer doesn’t “complain” about media bias except for all those times he complains about it.

Yglesias

Vegas Baby, Vegas!

Some curious logic from Jim DeMint’s office:

The President has a point that taxpayer money should not be used to pay for Wall Street fat cats to fly to Las Vegas but why is it okay for taxpayer money to be used to help pay for Hollywood elites to get there on a fancy gambling train? And why are we subsidizing leisure in a stimulus bill rather than encouraging work and greater productivity?

Several points. One — there’s no such provision in the bill. Two — there are two million people in the Las Vegas metro area, so it’s not as if taking the train to gamble is the only conceivable use of such a route. Three — lots of people go from L.A. to Las Vegas, it’s not an “elites only” option. I would refer Senator DeMint’s staff to this well-known scene from Swingers:

The larger rhetorical theme here seems to be that DeMint believes there should be no infrastructure projects of any sort in Southern California because any such project would, per se, be a taxpayer subsidy to “Hollywood elites.” It’s a pretty repugnant sentiment. For whatever reason, conservatives are constantly allowed to get away with this business of summarily dismissing vast regions of the country as unworthy and never get called on it. But this sort of thing is leading the movement on a direct (albeit, non-rail) route to a Dixie-only ghetto.

Yglesias

Washington Post Notes Damage Done By Senate “Centrists” Only When It’s Too Late

reidpelosi_onpage_1.jpg

The Washington Post has a decent article by Lori Montgomery making the point that the changes Senate “centrists” made to economic recovery legislation will make the package much more ineffective, costing hundreds of thousands of people their jobs. But as Jon Chait observes it would have been nice of them to make this point back when it could have made a difference:

What frustrates me is that the Post didn’t write this when it could have made a difference. It’s possible that none of the economists the Post consulted were able to make models before today. But I suspect that the story fell victim to the conventions of objectivity. Writing a story that says, “Centrist Changes Hurt Job Growth, Economists Agree” would be partisan.Writing it after the bill is done, and in a context that downplays the specific actors responsible for the changes, is the kind of thing newspapers can do without feeling like they’re being “biased.”

Of course one can’t say for sure why the Post was so slow, but surely inability to model in a timely manner can’t have been to blame. Will Straw published an analysis for CAP on February 10 that had this conclusion. Paul Krugman had similar figures at about the same time.

It’s also worth saying that the “centrists” aren’t the only ones to blame. There are dozens of Senate conservatives who could have said “I don’t believe in the idea of Keynesian stimulus, but as long as you guys want to do a Keynesian stimulus you may as well do one properly, thus even though I’ll vote ‘no’ on the final bill I’ll agree to vote ‘yes’ on cloture if you undue the damage done by Sens. Specter, Collins, Snowe, and Nelson.”

Politics

Gregg Shrugs Off Right Wing’s Census Tantrum: White House Would ‘Do A Pretty Good Census’

Recently, the White House announced that it would appoint a Census Bureau director who would have a direct line to the White House, after “black and Hispanic leaders raised concerns over Commerce Secretary-nominee Judd Gregg’s commitment to core functions of the Census Bureau.”

In the following days, conservatives had a conniption over the new census procedures, claiming it would lead to White House politicization at the behest of chief of staff Rahm Emanuel. Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) even called for an official investigation:

Rep. John Boehner: It just tells me that the census, the counting of the population of the United States is going to be politicized.

Sen. John Cornyn: And to shift it to the White House to me just politicizes the census, which is not something we should be doing.”

Rep. Darrell Issa: Would Democrats Trust Karl Rove to Control Census?

But in an interview with CNBC today, Gregg suggested that the census procedures weren’t much of an issue to him. “The way it was explained to me is that the Census would still report to the Commerce Secretary, but the White House wanted to have a major interest in the census process also,” he said. Gregg even praised the White House:

GREGG: The person that the White House has proposed to manage the Census, Ken Pruitt, did it in 2000 when I was chairman of the Appropriations Committee that had oversight over Commerce Dept. And I thought he did an excellent job. So I thought the people were going to be in place to do a pretty good census.

When CNBC asked if he “didn’t feel comfortable” with the White House’s involvement, Gregg responded, “I actually hadn’t concluded as to how that was going to play out, to be honest. I thought that when I go there I could probably straighten that out if it was a problem.” Watch it:


Update

Gregg said today that he will vote no on the recovery package. Brad DeLong highlights Gregg’s hypocrisy.

Yglesias

Boehner Slams Mythical Vegas HSR Project, Ignores Ohio Rail Opportunity

taiwan_hsr2_2.jpg

The madness continues on the right-wing’s crusade against a mythical high-speed rail to Las Vegas project that Harry Reid is alleged to have snuck into the stimulus bill. “Tell me how spending $8 billion,” asked House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) on the floor, “in this bill to have a high-speed rail line between Los Angeles and Las Vegas is going to help the construction worker in my district.”

For one thing, if we stuck by the standard that members of congress should only agree to fund infrastructure projects located in their own districts, then obviously we’d have no infrastructure at all. This is a debate that I thought we settled in the days of Henry Clay. But beyond that there is no such provision in the bill. This, by contrast, is an accurate description of the high-speed rail provisions of the Recovery Act:

The Stimulus Plan includes two provisions modeled after the Act that finance high-speed rail development. First, the Stimulus Plan provides a $2 billion grant for high-speed rail projects that will remain available until September 30, 2011. The grant will be distributed among applicant states, interstate compacts, public agencies having responsibility for providing high-speed rail service and Amtrak for capital projects associated with inter-city passenger rail services reasonably expected to reach speeds of at least 110 miles per hour. The Secretary of Transportation will have discretion to award grants based on an extensive set of criteria, including the legal, financial and technical capacity of the applicant to carry out the project; compatibility with relevant national plans; and anticipated economic, environmental and transportation effects.

In a last-minute change, the total quantity of funds available was increased. But there’s no special plan for Las Vegas. The money will be spread all across the country. As it happens, I think an LA-Vegas HSR line is a perfectly reasonable project. But in practice the areas that will get a leg up should be the Federal Railroad Administration’s officially designated high-speed rail corridors. As it happens, LA-Vegas doesn’t make the cut. But guess who does have such a corridor? Ohio!

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Indeed, the existing plan is a bit freakishly Ohio-centric, offering both a Cleveland-Toledo-Chicago line and a Cleveland-Columbus-Cincinnati-Indianapolis corridor while leaving things like Houston-Dallas and Orlando-Jacksonville (and, indeed, LA-Vegas) off the list. Long story short, John Boehner doesn’t know what he’s talking about and his position on this issue would imperil both short term jobs for Ohioans and an opportunity to substantially improve Ohio’s long-run capacity for economic growth.

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