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Sacrifice

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Apparently Chuck Todd asked President Obama why he isn’t asking people to “sacrifice” more amidst the recession.

The standard progressive answer to this starts by observing that the hundreds of thousands of people who are losing their jobs each week are, presumably, sacrificing. I take it that their spouses and kids are also sacrificing. And though they don’t count in the job loss tallies, I also spare some thoughts for the young people leaving school and coming into the workforce at a time when nobody’s hiring anyone. This all seems like a lot of sacrifice.

But there’s also some more fundamental misconceptions going on here. A lot of people in the press seem obsessed with the idea that it would be noble for politicians to ask people to sacrifice. But in general, the whole idea in public policy is to make things better, not worse, so the logic here is a bit hard to understand. It’s true that Charles Murray seems to think that suffering promotes virtue but this doesn’t really make sense.

Alternatively, underlying this is the idea that if some of us sacrificed that would make things better for other people. This is true in a certain narrow sense. If Vikram Pandit sacrificed some of the money he has and mailed it to some unemployed former manufacturing workers in the rust belt, they’d be in somewhat better shape. But if Americans were to collectively sacrifice—everyone agree to eat only potatoes on Wednesdays or something—that wouldn’t help anyone except the potato farmers. Consumption in a market economically is almost always a positive-sum exchange; economic growth, and therefore prosperity, requires more economic activity, not more sacrifice. If the big national problem were a giant war, things might be different—we could all conserve gasoline and save it to fuel the tanks. But it’s hard to see how sacrifice could solve the problem of rapidly rising unemployment.

Politics

Terkel Discusses O’Reilly’s Harassment Machine With MSNBC’s Olbermann

Last weekend, Bill O’Reilly sent his producers to ambush ThinkProgress’s Amanda Terkel while she vacationed in Virginia. Last night, O’Reilly showed portions of the footage, lying to viewers that Amanda had attacked rape victims and a rape victims’ support organization.

Tonight, Amanda discussed O’Reilly’s harassment machine — of which she is hardly the first victim — with MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann. Amanda noted the disturbing irony of O’Reilly trying to defend his comments about rape by sending out two men to stalk her:

Bill O’Reilly was trying to show that he cares about women who have been victims of crime. So to make that point, he sends two men to find my home address and to follow me on vacation? I mean, it was incredibly disturbing. The rest of the weekend, I was constantly looking over my shoulder, wondering how long they had been following me, if they’re still following me.

Amanda also noted that O’Reilly’s producer ambushed her when she was least expecting it and unprepared to answer his questions. “O’Reilly may be surprised I don’t sit around on vacation thinking about him,” she said. Watch it:


Olbermann concluded the segment by stating, “On behalf of television, my apologies for him.”

Amanda also appeared on The Young Turks to explain what happened. Watch it:

Climate Progress

Obama says his energy plan and cap-and-trade “will be authorized” even if it’s not in the budget “and I will sign it” — Washington Post confused

Some have misinterpreted Congress’s removing cap-and-trade from the budget as a backing off of near-term climate action (see “George Stephanopoulos, Nate Silver, and Marc Ambinder all seem confused about global warming and budget politics“).

[UPDATE1: The Washington Post has two articles -- a front-page story ("Democrats Take Knife to Budget" and an editorial "Softening the Wish List" -- that are quite confused on this point. Both articles also don't get that Obama's middle class tax cut is fully paid for by the cap. The WP mistakenly thinks that removing the tax cut from the budget is a deficit-reducing measure congressional Democrats are imposing on Obama. That is just bad political and budgetary analysis, again as I explained here.

UPDATE2: At least one person in the media heard the same press conference I did. E&E News (subs. req'd) ] headlines their story: “Obama makes bold cap-and-trade prediction: ‘We’ll get it done’.“]

President Obama was asked about this in his prime time news conference tonight. He made clear that he remains committed to cap-and-trade and expects to see a bill on his desk (transcript here):

Q: Right now on Capitol Hill, Senate Democrats are writing a budget. And according to press accounts and their own statements, they’re not including the middle-class tax cut that you include in the stimulus, they’re talking about phasing that out, they’re not including the cap- and-trade that you have in your budget, and they’re not including other measures.

I know when you outlined your four priorities over the weekend, a number of these things were not in there. Will you sign a budget if it does not contain a middle-class tax cut, does not contain cap-and- trade?

[As an aside, people don't seem to get that the middle-class tax cut is entirely paid for by the cap, by the auctioning of CO2 permits. So that is another reason it's good that cap-and- trade is not in the budget: It means that the tax cut will have to be clearly tied to the cap from both a legislative and messaging perspective -- as it should be (see "CBO: Free cap and trade CO2 credits won't reduce consumer costs").]

Read more

Politics

GOP Senators Who Used Budget Reconciliation To Pass Bush Agenda Items Now Calling It ‘Chicago Style Politics’

kitbond.jpgToday, Politico reported that Republican senators are prepared to go “nuclear” — essentially shutting down the Senate through the use of parliamentary maneuvers — if President Obama attempts to use budget reconciliation to pass key parts of his legislative agenda, such as health care reform and cap-and-trade. Reconciliation allows some legislation to be protected from filibusters and passed by a simple majority. On NPR this morning, Sen. Kit Bond (R-MO) repeated a now familiar attack on budget reconciliation:

BOND: “In this post-partisan time of Barack Obama, we’re seeing a little Chicago politics. They steamroller those who disagree with them, then, I guess in Chicago, they coat them in cement and drop them in the river.” [NPR, 3/24/09]

Bond appears to be parroting his colleague Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH), who said any use of budget reconciliation by President Obama would be “regarded as an act of violence” against Republicans, and likened it to “running over the minority, putting them in cement and throwing them in the Chicago River.” Other GOP senators have chimed in against reconciliation, with Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) calling it a “purely partisan exercise” and Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) saying it “would be a mess.”

Despite their howls against Obama, Republicans employed the same procedure to pass major Bush agenda items (which were supported by all four aforementioned Senators):

– The 2001 Bush Tax Cuts [HR 1836, 3/26/01]
– The 2003 Bush Tax Cuts [HR 2, 3/23/03]
– Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005 [HR 4297, 5/11/06]
– The Deficit Reduction Act of 2005 [H. Con Res. 95, 12/21/05]

As ThinkProgress has noted, Gregg defended using the reconciliation procedure to open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for domestic drilling in 2005, arguing, “The president asked for it, and we’re trying to do what the president asked for.” Evidently, Gregg has lost the same sense of patriotic duty.

While Republicans seem to be experiencing a particular form of political amnesia from the Bush years, they ought to be reminded that budget reconciliation has been used by several other presidents, including Clinton and Reagan. In fact, Republicans — with Bond and Gregg among the leaders of the charge — were instrumental in pushing through key provisions of their signature legislative agenda, the Contract with America, using budget reconciliation.

A list of instances where reconciliation was implemented: Read more

Yglesias

Ehud Barak to Join Netanyahu Cabinet

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Kadima Leader Tzipi Livni has spent weeks resisting Benjamin Netanyahu’s pleas that she enter his cabinet, citing the fact that she has no desire to be moderate window-dressing for a hard-right administration that’s overtly opposed to a two-state resolution of the Israel-Palestine conflict. Ehud Barak, though, is eager to provide such window-dressing and now he’s got his party’s approval to enter into a coalition in which he’ll play third fiddle to Netanyahu and Yisrael Beiteinu leader Avigdor Lieberman.

It’s hard to imagine this being anything other than the end for the remnants of the Labor Party. This behavior will give voters no reason whatsoever to back Labor in subsequent elections irrespective of their ideological proclivities. It’s hard to think of other examples of individuals whose leadership has had such a calamitous impact on the political party they headed. One case that comes to mind is Canada’s Brian Mulroney who basically destroyed the Progressive Conservative Party. But the PCP’s collapse was something of a big bang, where the Barak-era Labor Party has been a long slow bleed.

Culture

Is LeBron James Having One of the Best Seasons Ever?

John Hollinger says the answer is yes and that LeBron James 2008-2009 season is almost as good as Michael Jordan’s 1987-88 season. One key argument is this chart, which adjusts everyone’s numbers to a flat per-40-minute basis and adjusts to the faster pace of the ’86-’88 Bulls:

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I’m not sure, however, that it really makes sense for those of us who aren’t John Hollinger to lean so heavily on his PER stat. Look at shooting efficiency—Jordan had a TS% of 60.3 in the 1988 season, James’ is 58.6; indeed, in the 1989 season Jordan got all the way up to 61.4 and I would say arguably that was a better season than his top PER year as his rebound rate was higher then too.

I would say, in other words, that while LeBron is very good—and still only 24—Jordan still outpaces him. But note that LeBron is still only 24; it wouldn’t be unusually for him to continue improving for several more seasons. In particular, it would only take a small improvement in his 3 point percentage to turn this into an efficient shot, at which point all bets would be off in terms of defending him.

Politics

Fox Business anchor compares tax on AIG bonuses to sexual abuse.

Today, Fox Business Network anchor Dagen McDowell appeared on Fox News to make the case against the tax on AIG bonuses by comparing it to sexual abuse:

You don’t want to think if you get in bed with Uncle Sam he’s going to strip you naked, chain you to the bed, leave you there and then take nasty pictures of you and then put them on the Internet. Because that’s what’s been happening.

Watch it:

“Thank you, Dagen, well stated,” responded Bill Hemmer.

Climate Progress

Good news or bad news? Tata Motors launches “Nano”: 55 mpg, $2000 car Peoples Car

I’d love to hear your comments on the Tata Nano. Tata Motors launched commercial sales of the low-cost car Monday.

The 2-cylinder Nano gets 55 mpg (23.6 km/litre), which the company claims is “the highest for any petrol car in India” and hence has “the lowest CO2 emission amongst cars in India.”

That’s the “good news.” On the other hand, the stripped down version — yes, it is a bit odd to describe any version of a 9 foot by 5 foot by 5 foot car as not stripped down — which does not have heating or air conditioning, air bags, a stereo or, apparently, even a “cup holder in front console,” is only $2000.

And that means a lot more potential buyers.

Still, I’m not sure anybody United States — where the average vehicle gets 20 mpg! — can criticize India too much. That didn’t stop the New York Times editorial page a year ago when the car was first unveiled:

Read more

Health

Len Nichols Explains Why Cadillac Health Care Plans Aren't The Cause Of Rising Insurance Costs

Opponents of health reform argue that progressive proposals would require everyone to purchase Cadillac health insurance plans and drive-up the costs of insurance. As health care crisis denier Sally Pipes pronounced during a recent Congressional hearing, “because a young man of 30 wants to get a high deductible plan, Why should he pay $12 to $15 thousand to cover my in vitro fertilization?”

Well, as the New America Foundation’s Len Nichols explained during today’s HELP committee hearing, Pipe’s in vitro fertilization (which only 13 states cover) — or other so-called benefit mandates — has little impact on the price of health care coverage:

Benefit mandates don’t really add that much to costs, the serious econometric work that is in my profession suggests three to five percent, the CBO has concluded that. The state of Texas’ Department of Insurance, not a noted left-wing organization, concluded 3 percent in the state of Texas…The reason those econometric studies find that there is very little specific next impact of specific benefit mandates because they compare the small group hubs, where those things are relevant to the large group hubs. The large group hubs are uniformly more generous,and yet they have lower costs. So let’s ask ourselves, how do they do that?

Watch it:

Indeed, according to state experiences and an exhaustive study by the Congressional Budget Office, “eliminating some of the most expensive mandates — maternity, mental health, and preventive care for children — would bring” only a small reduction to health care premiums. The CBO report found that “the impact in the small group market is no more than five percent of premiums” while California’s Health Benefit Review Program “determined that eliminating all 44 of California’s mandates would reduce premiums by no more than 4.8 percent.”

“The point is this,” Nichols says, “how we pay for and manage care is far more important than the benefits that are covered.” Large employers are able to use their buying power to offer more substantive coverage and bargain for better rates. Conservatives, however, misdiagnose the cause of rising health care costs and typically propose breaking-up large purchasing pools and pushing individuals into bare bone policies on the individual market.

As Nichols explains, to lower health care costs, we need to move in the opposite direction and “extend that bargaining power and that information, that utilization potential to all of us, not just some of us.”

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Paul Ryan’s Alternative Budget: $1.5 Million in Tax Bonuses for CEOs

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Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI), the Ranking Member of the House Budget Committee, has thoughtfully gone beyond mere whining about the Obama administration’s budget for fellow Obama critics to consider embracing. What’s in it? Well, in a striking break from standard-fare Republican recipes, he’s decided that maybe what the country needs is tax cuts for the rich. I, for one, say it’s about time we gave that a try. My colleague Ben Furnas has some more detailed analysis:

Like the Bush tax cuts, Congressman Ryan and his allies in Congress would cut taxes for the wealthiest Americans and reject public investment or a fairer tax code that would ensure broadly shared prosperity.

The Center for American Progress Action Fund finds that Congressman Ryan’s proposals would cut taxes for the average CEO by $1.5 million per year and do nothing at all for a minimum wage worker.

Ryan calls for lowering the 35%, 33% and 28% income tax brackets to 25%, eliminating the capital gains tax, and cutting the top corporate tax rate from 35% to 25%. These hugely regressive tax cuts would extend the Bush economic strategy of massive tax cuts for the wealthy and gutted government revenue.

It’s strange that the Republicans railing about long-term deficits seem to love long-term deficits when the point of the deficits is to further enrich the rich.

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