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Politics

Glenn Beck Exhales And States: ‘Look How Much Pollution I Just Put Out!’

On his Fox News show today, comedian Glenn Beck interviewed Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY) to mock the danger of global warming. In what he billed as an “Inconvenient Segment,” Beck argued that a “smoking gun” memo proves that the proposed Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finding on the threat of global warming pollution is based on politics instead of science.

“It turns out, the truth that’s inconvenient is that it’s not like any of this stuff is based on, you know, science. It’s all politics,” Beck said of the danger of carbon pollution. He concluded:

By the way, just so you know, this show has won so many science awards, sometimes we get talking about high-falutin science things like this, and people are like, “What are you talkin’ about?” So let me break it down. Carbon dioxide is basically this. (Exhales.) Look at how much pollution I just put out.

Watch it:

Unless you eat fossil fuels, spewing hot air from one’s mouth is not a major source for pollution…except for Glenn Beck.

Barrasso told Beck that the Obama administration is using the threat of EPA regulation of carbon dioxide “as a club to force cap-and-trade taxes,” but that he is using this memo to say, “Hey look, the science isn’t behind you.”

As Office of Management and Budget (OMB) director Peter Orszag explained, however, the White House agreed that the “proposed finding is carefully rooted in both law and science,” and the “OMB simply collated and collected disparate comments from various agencies during the inter-agency review process of the proposed finding.” The author of the skeptical comments forwarded by the OMB was Joseph M. Johnson, a Bush administration holdover in the Small Business Administration’s Office of Advocacy. In 2005, Johnson joined the SBA from the Mercatus Center, an anti-regulatory think tank founded by right-wing pollution giant Koch Industries.

Politics

Bill Clinton on Cheney’s re-emergence: ‘It’s over.’

In March, Vice President Cheney famously claimed that the country is less safe under President Obama and has since become the right’s fiercest critic of the Obama administration. Today, while campaigning for Virginia gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe, President Clinton “laughed off” Cheney’s attacks:

“I wish him well,” Clinton told CNN while greeting voters after a campaign stop with Virginia gubernatorial candidate Terry McAuliffe. “It’s over,” he added, apparently a reference to the Bush administration. “But I do hope he gets some more target practice before he goes out again,” Clinton said with a grin before moving along the ropeline.

Watch it:

Politics

Leahy: Bybee refused to appear before Judiciary subcommittee hearing on torture memos.

impeachbybee.jpgLast month, Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Patrick Leahy (D-VT) invited Judge Jay Bybee to testify in front of a subcommittee about his “views” regarding torture and his “role” in drafting the torture memos. The Los Angeles Times subsequently reported that Bybee had chosen to ignore Leahy’s request. Today, however, in a statement during the hearing, Leahy said that Bybee had specifically refused to appear:

Since Judge Bybee, through his lawyers, has declined to testify before the Committee at this time about his role in the drafting and authorization of memoranda from the Office of Legal Counsel that permitted torture, I can only presume that he has no exonerating information to provide. Judge Bybee must know that the presumption in our civil law is that when a person fails to come forward with information in his possession that is relevant to a matter, it is presumed to be because the information is negative and not helpful to his cause.

Testifying voluntary before the Judiciary Committee about these now-public memoranda is one way in which Judge Bybee could have helped complete the record of what happened and why but he refused. This is especially inappropriate given that Judge Bybee has hardly maintained silence about these matters.

ThinkProgress asked Leahy’s office if Bybee’s lawyers informed the committee of his decision after the Times’s report. “I have to be vague,” an aide said, declining to give any specifics as to when Bybee refused the request.

Update

At an Alliance for Justice event today discussing Judge Bybee’s future, Constitutional scholar and impeachment expert Micheal Gerhardt said that an official such as Bybee “may be impeached” even if he did not commit a “prosecutable crime.”

Climate Progress

Mark Mellman must read on climate messaging: “A strong public consensus has emerged on the reality and severity of global warming, as well as on the need for federal action” — ecoAmerica “could hardly be more wrong”

Mark Mellman, a leading pollster for progressives since 1982, has written a must-read op-ed slamming the latest dubious messaging advice:

Some progressives seem unwilling to take yes for an answer.

Just as the long battle for public opinion on global warming is being won, along comes a well-meaning Bob Perkowitz and his ecoAmerica with a politically na¯ve, methodologically flawed and factually inaccurate study, which he apparently interprets as telling us that voters do not care about global warming.

He could hardly be more wrong.

In fact, most Americans believe global warming is real, is happening now and constitutes a serious threat, particularly to future generations.

Last week, I was very critical of ecoAmerica’s advice on climate messaging after sitting through the full two-hour presentation (see “Messaging 101b: EcoAmerica’s phrase ‘our deteriorating atmosphere’ isn’t going to replace ‘global warming’ “” and that’s a good thing“).

Perkowitz, in the comments, questioned “What background do you have in the cognitive sciences or marketing?“  Although it is my full-time job — and has been my part-time job for nearly two decades — and although I have followed all the polling and messaging reports closely, I’m just a lowly messaging amateur.

On the other hand, Robert J. Brulle, Professor of Sociology and Environmental Science, Department of Culture and Communications, Drexel University — and a widely published expert on environmental messaging — emailed me about my analysis:

I liked your blog post today.   I think we agree at about the 95% level across the board.

And now we have Mark Mellman, president of The Mellman Group, whose “current clients include the majority leaders of both the House and Senate.”  Mellman is one of the most respected pollsters and messaging gurus in the progressive world.  Here’s his take on the public view of global warming based on all the recent polling, including his own:

Read more

Politics

Cantor Mimics Luntz’s Health Care Message: There’s A ‘Crisis’ But ‘Washington’ Shouldn’t Solve It

Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA)Last week, GOP wordsmith Frank Luntz authored a new messaging memo defining the Republican rhetoric on health care reform, in which he argued that his poll-tested words “should be used by everyone” in order to hijack the health care debate. ThinkProgress noted that Luntz’s suggested talking points were quickly embraced by congressional Republicans.

On Bill Bennett’s radio show today, Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA) followed Luntz’s framing exactly. Here’s how Cantor’s rhetoric today lines up with Luntz’s suggestions:

LUNTZ: “Acknowledge the ‘crisis’ or suffer the consequences. … A better approach is to define the crisis in your terms. ‘If you’re one of the millions who can’t afford healthcare, it is a crisis.’
CANTOR: “Listen Bill, there’s a health crisis. You know when you have, don’t have coverage, that’s a crisis for you and your family. We need to address it.”

LUNTZ: “The arguments against the Democrats’ healthcare plan must center around ‘politicians,’ ‘bureaucrats,’ and ‘Washington.’”
CANTOR: “But the answer is not to lay it on Washington, to pump up what Washington‘s role in this.”

LUNTZ: “You’ll notice we recommend the phrase ‘government takeover’ rather than ‘government run’ or ‘government controlled.’”
CANTOR: “We all need to be standing up and saying no to a government takeover of our system.”

Listen to Cantor here:

As the Wonk Room’s Igor Volsky has detailed, Luntz’s strategy is to “obstruct health reform by ignoring what Obama is actually offering.” But Luntz is very candid about his strategy of misdirection. Since Republicans currently have absolutely no plan for reforming health care, Luntz advises that it is best to avoid projecting a policy plan and instead focus on language that “captures not just what Americans want to see but exactly what they want to hear.”

As ThinkProgress has previously noted, Luntz also provides his polling and language advice to a plethora of health insurance companies.

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Obama Pushing Derivatives Regulation

regulators-and-lobbyists-cutting-red-tape

This is a good idea.

That said, I’m pretty skeptical about regulatory reforms. If you think back to the pre-crisis years, there was already more regulators could have done with the laws already on the books, but they chose not to use that authority. What’s more, the existence of derivatives wasn’t an obscure point, nor was the fact that they were largely unregulated. And it’s not as if key policymakers were ringing the alarm bells and calling for more authority, but then being defeated in legislative battles. In other words, there was a strong presumption in the Clinton administration that became an overwhelming presumption in the Bush administration that financial regulation was boring and over. That was Alan Greenspan’s mentality and it was Ben Bernanke’s mentality and it was the mentality of key officials at Treasury. The view was that markets should be allowed to function, and that regulatory arbitrage was a good thing.

And it’s this mentality, more than any specific rule or lack of rules that was the bigger driver. The real question moving forward relates to whether or not that mentality can be changed, and to how long the change can be made stable. Promulgating new rules about derivatives is a nice step in that direction, but it’s just a start.

Climate Progress

North Pole poised to be largely ice-free by 2020: “It’s like the Arctic is covered with an egg shell and the egg shell is now just cracking completely”

It’s the ice thickness, stupid.

The Arctic ice cover, which has endured for at least 100,000 years, will be all but gone within a decade according to a volume-based projection by a leading British scientist, the BBC reports.  At the same time, “a gruelling 73-day” survey of sea-ice thickness found “the average thickness of the sea ice was 1.774 m” [5.8 feet].

One surveyor said the data “seems to suggest it was almost all first-year ice.”  And that confirms what the National Snow and Ice Data Center reported in April:

http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20090406_Figure5_thumb.png

The view of the Arctic from above tells you only ice area, not volume.  So even as the climate science deniers (temporarily) crow about the latest two-dimensional data, those who think three-dimensionally know that the Arctic is a cracking eggshell (see NSIDC: Arctic melt passes the point of no return, “We hate to say we told you so, but we did.”).

Peter Wadhams, head of the polar ocean physics group at the University of Cambridge, “believes the ice, which has been a permanent feature for at least 100,000 years, is now so thin that almost all of it will disappear in about a decade“:

Read more

Politics

Krauthammer: I will say things in my column even if I don’t believe what I’m saying.

On May 1, Washington Post columnist Charles Krauthammer conceded in a column that waterboarding is torture. Krauthammer argued that torture is justifiable “under two circumstances” and that in those cases “you do what you have to do. And that includes waterboarding.” But in an interview on Dennis Miller’s radio show today, Krauthammer said that he didn’t mean it when he wrote that waterboarding is torture:

MILLER: And I’m going to move beyond that and say the pertinent question to me is, is it necessary. Where do you stand on this?

KRAUTHAMMER: You know, I’m in the midst of writing a column for this week, which is exactly on that point. Some people on the right have faulted me because in that column that you cite I conceded that waterboarding is torture. Actually, I personally don’t think it is cause it’s an absurdity to have to say the United States of America has tortured over 10,000 of its own soldiers because its, you know, it’s had them waterboarded as a part of their training. That’s an absurd sentence. So, I personally don’t think it is but I was willing to concede it in the column without argument exactly as you say to get away from the semantic argument, which is a waste of time and to simply say call it whatever you want. We know what it is. We know what actually happened. Should it have been done and did it work? Those are the only important questions.

Listen here:

No where in Krauthammer’s original article did he say that he was making the concession for the sake of argument. Given his comments to Miller, it seems that Krauthammer feels comfortable asserting claims in his Washington Post column that he doesn’t actually believe to be true. Responding to falsehoods in a previous Krauthammer column, Yglesias once wrote that “the only question is why The Washington Post thinks it’s a good idea to publish columns that are designed to mislead its audience rather than to inform its audience.” It’s still a good question.

Yglesias

On Risk-Taking

Just to throw an idea out there, you hear all the time that the financial crisis was caused by excessive risk-taking. And clearly there’s something to that. But on another level, it looks to me kind of like excessive risk-aversion. If you look at something like venture capital that doesn’t have this kind of blow-up, it’s not that they’re not taking risks. On the contrary, venture capital investments are very risky. The point is that the venture capitalist is consciously accepting risk. He understands that an investment in a start-up could easily go bust and that a lot is riding on the shrewdness of the people evaluating the substantive merits of the investment. You can hedge your bets to some extent, but clearly you can’t make the risk go away. And that’s the whole point. If you “win,” by getting in on the ground floor of the next Google or Microsoft or Apple you could make a ton of money. Or you could make a much more modest sum. Or you could lose everything. It’s just inherent to the enterprise.

The issue on Wall Street, as best I understand it, is that people convinced themselves that the risk inherent in investing could all be engineered away. That you could create a situation where you didn’t really need to evaluate the underlying soundness of the investments and didn’t need to accept that investing is an inherently risky enterprise. Instead, thanks to the engineering, you could get big returns with total security.

However you want to characterize it, this was wrong. But I think it’s better to characterize it as too much effort being put into a futile risk-eradication campaign rather than too little. If you just accept that investing is risky, then you focus your energy on trying to identify sound investments with risks you’re willing to accept. What happened instead was a kind of willful denial of risk.

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