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Politics

Hatch brushes aside his 1998 vote for Sotomayor: ‘Now we’re talking about the most important court on Earth.’

In 1998, Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) was one of just seven Republicans to break ranks and approve Sonia Sotomayor for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit. But today on MSNBC, Hatch said that although he found her suitable for the federal bench then, he now might have problems with her:

HATCH: In 1998, for the circuit court of appeals, I did vote for her because I believe in giving the president due deference, especially for circuit court of appeals nominations.

But now we’re talking about the most important court on Earth. We’re talking about the court of last resort. We’re talking about a court that everyone of us takes great interest in. And now we’re talking about a woman who has been in the federal judicial system since 1992, who has all kinds of decisions that she’s made, all kinds of opinions that she’s written, who has written articles, who has spoken in public — all of that has to be looked into.

Watch it:

As Brian Beutler points out, “Hatch cites, among other things, an article Sotomayor wrote in 1996 — two years before he supported her confirmation to the Second Circuit Court of Appeals.”

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

“Maria” Sotomayor and the Looming Pretty-Much-The-Same Court

Judge Sonia Sotomayor with Barack Obama and Joe Biden

I’ve been wondering all day “what will Mike Huckabee say about Judge Sotomayor?” And now I know:

“The appointment of Maria Sotomayor for the Supreme Court is the clearest indication yet that President Obama’s campaign promises to be a centrist and think in a bi-partisan way were mere rhetoric. Sotomayor comes from the far left and will likely leave us with something akin to the ‘Extreme Court’ that could mark a major shift. The notion that appellate court decisions are to be interpreted by the ‘feelings’ of the judge is a direct affront of the basic premise of our judicial system that is supposed to apply the law without personal emotion. If she is confirmed, then we need to take the blindfold off Lady Justice.”

Ah, yes, Maria. Say it loud and there’s music playing, say it soft and it’s almost like praying. But name mix-ups aside, what on earth is Huckabee talking about here? Sotomayor will, when confirmed, be replacing David Souter on the Court. Most likely, she’ll vote similarly to Souter and things will be basically the same. But if for some reason an issue does emerge on which she has some kind of “extreme” view, then she’ll lose 8-1. Supreme Court confirmation battles are fun political theater and an important fundraising opportunity for a lot of groups.

But the fact of the matter is that a center-left justice being replaced by a veteran federal judge selected by a Democratic president is very unlikely to lead to major change in the legal landscape. And if there is to be any change, it would have to come from Sotomayor being more conservative than Souter on some issue or other.

Meanwhile, this argument about “feelings” is really beneath contempt. Judicial decisions aren’t made by robots or Vulcans. By definition, controversial appellate cases arise in situations where reasonable people disagree about how to construe and apply the law.

Politics

Frank Luntz: It doesn’t matter what Obama’s health care plan says, we’ll still call it ‘government takeover.’

luntzstandingIn an interview with the New York Times, GOP wordsmith Frank Luntz — who recently penned a health care messaging memo instructing Republicans to attack President Obama’s health reform efforts by criticizing the deficiencies in foreign health care systems — concedes that Republicans will label Obama’s reform effort a “government takeover” of health care, regardless of the actual proposal:

Is it a correct description of the president’s plans for reform?
We don’t know what he is proposing. We want to avoid “a Washington takeover.”

But that’s not at issue. What the Democrats want is for everyone to be able to choose between their old, private health-insurance plan and an all-new, public health-insurance option.
I’m not a policy person. I’m a language person.

Indeed, “rather than challenging the tenets of American reform proposals, Luntz establishes a straw man argument against a non-existent health plan.” As Democratic strategist Paul Begala observes in a recent retort to the Luntz memo, “Because they know they cannot win the argument honestly, Republicans are resorting to mendacity.”

Cross-posted on The Wonk Room.

Climate Progress

Why future Katrinas and Gustavs will be MUCH worse at landfall, Part 2

Part 1 discussed why global warming means killer storms worse than Katrina and Gustav.  This post looks in more detail at Katrina and Gustav, and why they weren’t as strong and hence as devastating at landfall as they could have been.

My key point here is one that is rarely discussed in the literature dealing with global warming and hurricanes: All things being equal, if a storm taking the same track of Gustav (or Katrina) occurred in 2050, then, rather than weakening before making landfall, it would probably have strengthened considerably, creating far more havoc.

Let’s look at the region in 2050, assuming BAU (business-as-usual) warming, or no effort to reverse current emissions trends.

ornl-final.jpg2050-ornl-final.jpg

Now that is bad news for New Orleans, the Gulf Coast, and the South Atlantic. The average warming in the Gulf, Caribbean, and coastal Atlantic is 1°C to 2°C, but this model has an enormous body of very warm water 2°C to 3°C over much of the typical storm path for a hurricane like Katrina or Gustav. There are two relevant points to recall:

  1. The National Climatic Data Center 2006 report on Katrina notes that the surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Gulf of Mexico during the last week in August 2005 “were one to two degrees Celsius above normal.
  2. In the case of both Katrina and Gustav, they hit colder water before hitting the coast — a key reason they were far weaker at landfall than they might have been, as these pictures make clear:

Read more

Health

Frank Luntz: It Doesn’t Matter What Obama’s Health Care Plan Says, We’ll Still Call It ‘Government Takeover’

luntzstandingIn an interview with the New York Times, GOP wordsmith Frank Luntz — who recently penned a health care messaging memo instructing Republicans to attack President Obama’s health reform efforts by criticizing the deficiencies in foreign health care systems — concedes that Republicans will label Obama’s reform effort a “government takeover” of health care, regardless of the actual proposal:


Is it a correct description of the president’s plans for reform?

We don’t know what he is proposing. We want to avoid “a Washington takeover.”

But that’s not at issue. What the Democrats want is for everyone to be able to choose between their old, private health-insurance plan and an all-new, public health-insurance option.
I’m not a policy person. I’m a language person.

Indeed, “rather than challenging the tenets of American reform proposals, Luntz establishes a straw man argument against a non-existent health plan.” As Democratic strategist Paul Begala observes in a recent retort to the Luntz memo, “Because they know they cannot win the argument honestly, Republicans are resorting to mendacity.”

Politics

Inhofe worries that Sotomayor may allow ‘undue influence from her own personal race, gender.’

inhofe222Republican members of Congress have been trying to subtly raise questions about Sonia Sotomayor’s objectivity — simply because of her non-traditional race, gender, and upbringing. Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX) said today that he is concerned Sotomayor has shown “personal bias based on ethnicity and gender.” Similarly, Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) said in a statement today that Sotomayor may be subject to the “undue influence” of her race and gender:

Of primary concern to me is whether or not Judge Sotomayor follows the proper role of judges and refrains from legislating from the bench. Some of her recent comments on this matter have given me cause for great concern. In the months ahead, it will be important for those of us in the U.S. Senate to weigh her qualifications and character as well as her ability to rule fairly without undue influence from her own personal race, gender, or political preferences.

Responding to Inhofe, The American Prospect’s Dana Goldstein writes, “Yes. Because the worldviews of John Roberts, Sam Alito, John Paul Stevens, Anthony Kennedy, Stephen Breyer, and Antonin Scalia are not impacted at all by their white male identities. White men are raceless and genderless, haven’t you heard?”

Culture

The Hedo Factor

turkogloarticle_large-1

Good jokes from The Onion “Nation Refuses To Get To Know Hedo Turkoglu”:

Despite the TNT network’s best efforts to acquaint its audience with the major players of the Magic-Cavaliers playoff series, the population of the United States has emphatically declined the opportunity to get to know Orlando’s Hedo Turkoglu. “When I see one of those pre-produced packages about how he’s from Serbia or wherever, I immediately mute my TV or change the channel,” Atlanta resident Kevin Hazan said concerning the Turkish small forward. Added Portland, OR basketball fan Russel Carreras, “That little video of him listing all his favorite foods and making goofy faces just didn’t grab me. I don’t really care if he’s a family man who helps out in the Orlando community. Actually, I don’t care if he saves a thousand children from a burning fire. I just don’t care to welcome Hedo Turkoglu into my home.” In contrast to the nation’s utter indifference toward Turkoglu, a TNT poll indicated that if given the choice, most viewers would still prefer to smack J.J. Redick right in the face.

I’ve previously argued that despite conventional wisdom, Mehmet Okur is the best Turkish NBA player. That said, Turkoglu is clearly a big asset to Orlando.

Politics

Gonzales on Sotomayor: ‘By any measure, she is well-qualified.’

Since President Obama announced Sonia Sotomayor’s nomination to the Supreme Court this morning, conservatives — such as Karl Rove — have publicly questioned whether she has the qualifications and “intellect” for the job. Today on CNN, however, former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales said there is “no question” that Sotomayor is qualified:

GONZALES: I have no questions in my mind about her qualifications in terms of education, experience. A president is not required to nominate the most qualified person to the court. I think he’s obliged to nominate someone who is well-qualified, and I think by any measures, she is well-qualified. I think there are legitimate questions about her judicial philosophy.

Watch it:

Of course, Sotomayor may not want the endorsement of one of the most incompetent Attorneys General in history.

Health

STUDY: Without Reform, American Families’ Spending On Health Care Will Increase More Than 40% By 2019

Opponents of reform sometimes claim that we can’t afford reform. The truth is, we can’t afford the status quo.

A new study from the Urban Institute shows that, absent serious health reform, fewer and fewer Americans will have health insurance, employers will drop coverage, and health care costs will eat up an ever-greater share of household and government budgets.

They find that, absent reform, individual and family spending on health care (the sum of insurance premiums and out-of-pocket costs) will rise approximately 40% per capita under a best case scenario of low unemployment and economic growth.

Under an intermediate or worst case scenario (in which fewer workers have jobs and comprehensive insurance, more uninsured burden the system, and health care costs continue to spiral upwards), they project individual and family spending on health care to increase 50% in an intermediate case scenario or almost 60% in their worst case scenario.

Read the study here.

individual-and-household-spending

This growth would increase health care spending as a share of income from 2009 to 2019 by 13% in the best case scenario to 40% in the worst case scenario.

The study also finds that, under the best case scenario without health reform, by 2019, 20.1% of non-elderly Americans would be uninsured (approximately 57 million people). In a worst case scenario, 23.2% of non-elderly Americans, approximately 66 million people, would be uninsured.

Effective health reform would ensure affordable accessible coverage for all Americans while working to rein in health care costs, saving families, businesses and the federal government money.

Climate Progress

Salt Lake Tribune: Jim Matheson (D-UT) “picked political expediency over science” voting against climate bill and thus “failed Utah and the country”

When Waxman-Markey passed out of committee on Friday 33-25, only three Democrats voted no, along with every Republican but Bono Mack [see "House committee approves landmark (bipartisan!) clean energy and climate bill"].

One of those Democrats was Jim Matheson of Utah.  The state’s largest newspaper, The Salt Lake Tribune, wrote a strong editorial Sunday criticizing that decision, “Vital energy bill deserves support“:

Read more

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