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Health

The Senate Finance Committee’s Nothing Burger Proposal

obama-burger2I think Ezra Klein is right to argue that the leaked version of the Senate Finance Committee’s health reform legislation is somewhat of a nothing-burger. It’s not well done, it’s not rare, it’s just medium well (which, incidentally, is just how Obama likes it):

But this is what I’d term “comprehensive incrementalism.” It makes everything a bit better. It is not radical. It is not root-and-branch reform. For all the concerns about cost, there is no strong public plan able to negotiate low rates and implement aggressive reforms.

Indeed, as Klein points out, the plan institutes some important market reforms (guarantee issue, no exclusion based on preexisting conditions), but its adjusted community rating variation rate is capped at 7.5:1, which means that an insurance company can charge an older person 7.5 times the rates it charges a younger applicant. Individuals and families up to 300% of Federal Poverty Level (FPL) would receive tax credits to cover the cost of coverage and small businesses would be eligible for a temporary small business tax credit. Again, the subsidies aren’t great, but they’re better than nothing.

On the public option, the committee went with the Conrad co-op compromise and offered the new corporation some start-up seed money. Children and pregnant women below 133% of the poverty level ($28,200 for a family of four) and parents and childless adults at or below 100% of the poverty level ($10,800 per year) are eligible for Medicaid. Everyone is required to purchase coverage, but the employer role is somewhat undefined.

In fact, the “placeholder” section about employer mandate is the murkiest part of the proposal. Employers are not required to provide coverage, but employers whose workers receive Medicaid (so they are below 133% of FPL) or a tax credit in the Exchange (those at or below 300% FPL) have to pay 50% of the national average Medicaid costs on behalf of their Medicaid workers and/or 100% of the tax credit for workers in the Exchange. So employers don’t have to provide insurance if they don’t want to, but employers with a preponderance of poor workers will have to help finance their workers’ coverage. This approach preserves the employer contribution, but it doesn’t exactly preserve the system:

1) If employers are paying 50% of the national average Medicaid costs, then employers in low cost areas would be subsidizing workers in high cost areas. Employers in low-cost areas would be over-paying to provide coverage workers in high cost areas. Given this dynamic, I don’t imagine that Senators from low-cost states will find the proposal too appealing.

2) This provides employers with an incentive to not provide coverage or offer workers expensive plans, basically forcing them into the Exchange. Health reform should align the incentives so that employers and employees are all better off when the employee is insured.

The “alternatives for employer responsibility” on the last slide of the draft are no better. Option 4 is no mandate at all and the first three seem to lack an adequate penalty to encourage firms to continue providing coverage.

Economy

GOP ‘Rural American Solutions Group’ Peddles Coal Company Document As Its Own

Peabody CoalLeaders of a new GOP group, the “Rural American Solutions Group,” are distributing a document attacking climate change legislation as an economic burden to most of the country. As it turns out, the information in the press release was provided to the Republican congressmen by Peabody Energy, a juggernaut of the coal industry. Staffers for GOP Reps. Frank Lucas (R-OK), Sam Graves (R-MO), and Doc Hastings (R-WA) are emailing around a map that purports to detail “how the Democrats’ National Energy Tax unfairly targets rural Americans.”

A closer look at the source of the image reveals the document’s origins:

Peabody Document Properties

Two employees of Peabody Energy are listed in the metadata of the map document: Chairman and CEO Greg Boyce and Communications Manager Chris Taylor. The congressmen opposing climate change legislation — Reps. Lucas, Graves, and Hastings — are simply copying-and-pasting information that has been directly fed to them by Peabody Energy.

Peabody Energy’s outsized political influence is well-documented:

From 2004 to 2008, the Peabody Energy PAC contributed $579,538 to federal candidates including Rep. Sam Graves and Rep. Frank Lucas. In 2008, Peabody contributed $150,290; $180,500 in 2006; $130,250 in 2004; $118,498 in 2002. [Opensecrets]

Peabody Is An $8.4 Million Lobbying Juggernaut. Peabody Energy directly spent over $8.4 million lobbying Congress in 2008, up 3,200 percent from 2004, as legislation to limit coal pollution became an election-year issue. In addition, the Peabody-supported front groups ACCCE and the National Mining Association spent a further $9.95 million and $4.56 million respectively on lobbying efforts. [OpenSecrets]

Update

Democrat Marcy Kaptur (OH) may be joining the Republicans’ efforts. According to Roll Call, Kaptur “has been passing out maps contending that most states would lose out under the cap-and-trade bill crafted by Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman (D-Calif.) and Energy and Environment Subcommittee Chairman Ed Markey (D-Mass.).” It is unclear whether the maps Kaptur is handing out are Peabody’s maps.

Economy

New Ranking Member On Ed And Labor Committee Continually Acts Against Workers And Students

Rep. John Kline (R-MN)

Rep. John Kline (R-MN)

Yesterday, the Republican Steering Committee designated Rep. John Kline (R-MN) as the new ranking member of the House Education and Labor Committee. Kline is replacing Rep. Buck McKeon (R-CA), who’s taking up the role of ranking member on the House Armed Services Committee.

According to the Duluth News-Tribune, “issues in front of the [Ed and Labor] committee are not those Kline ran on when he got into politics…But he said that in his four two-year terms he has gained education and labor experience.” Well, here’s some of what that experience had led him to do:

– He voted against a minimum wage increase three different times in 2007.

– He voted against lowering interest rates for student borrowers enrolled in the Federal Family Education Loan and Direct Loan programs.

– He voted against the Ensuring Continued Access to Student Loans Act.

– He introduced the Secret Ballot Protection Act, which would “prohibit a union from being recognized” through a majority sign-up process.

– He supported “some system of personal accounts” as “a central component” of Social Security reform.

The National Education Association actually gave Kline an F grade for both 2007 and 2008.

According to the St. Paul-Minneapolis Star Tribune, “in his new role, Kline will be expected to be a leading GOP combatant” against the Employee Free Choice Act. But with his Secret Ballot Protection Act, Kline revealed that he has no idea how union drives even work. He advocated taking the majority sign-up option away from workers, even though, since 2003, half a million workers have organized in this fashion, including employees at AT&T, UPS and Pacific Gas and Electric.

Kline, as he laid out in this Washington Times op-ed, is very concerned with the “coercion, intimidation and bullying” of union organizers (even though there is no evidence that this occurs in states that allow majority sign-up), but he doesn’t spare a word for the coercive and punitive tactics that employers use to prevent employees from unionizing. Instead of leveling the playing field for workers, Kline would simply prefer preserving the anti-worker status quo.

Politics

Perino laughs at idea of Fox News getting unprecedented access to the Bush administration.

Dana Perino in a purple suitAppearing on the Washington Times’ America’s Morning News radio show today, former Bush press secretary Dana Perino jumped on the conservative bandwagon and criticized ABC News’ upcoming special “Questions for the President: Prescription for America.” Asked by right-wing host Melanie Morgan what the reaction would be if Fox News had similar access at the Bush White House, Perino laughed and said that “there are a lot of double standards“:

MORGAN: I just keep wondering, you know, what would be the reaction of these same people in the mainstream media if President Bush had allowed, say, Fox News to turn over their entire broadcast from the Blue Room at the White House.

PERINO: Well, you know…

MORGAN: Hahaha, I think we both know the answer that question.

PERINO: Yeah, look, I think there are a lot of double standards. Both, maybe you know, from the right and the left. And so I try not to use it as an excuse or a grudge.

Listen here:

As ThinkProgress noted earlier today, the Bush administration regularly gave Fox News “unprecedented access” to the White House, allowing the network to produce hagiographic documentaries for both President Bush and Vice President Cheney. Who was press secretary when those documentaries aired? Dana Perino.

Politics

The Wonk Room’s Matt Duss discusses the future of the Iranian protests on MSNBC

This afternoon, the Wonk Room’s Matt Duss appeared on MSNBC to discuss President Obama’s statements on Iran and what to watch for during the upcoming days’ protests. He credited Obama for being “clear and steady” in his support of the Iranians’ human rights and questioned “what, if anything, [Obama] could do simply by speaking out, as his critics insist he should.” He also drew parallels between the events happening now in Iran and those before the 1979 Revolution:

DUSS: As you said, the huge ceremonies and demonstrations that are happening right now, this is very important symbolism. These are the same sort of demonstrations that took place leading up to the 1979 Revolution and Mousavi and the people around him have been very smart to put Khamenei in the position of the Shah right now. And we need to wait and see something that could really tip this or be a tipping point is when the clerical establishment starts to fall away from the regime and start to go out and release more statements in support of the demonstrators.

Watch it:

Foreign Policy interviews Mousavi’s spokesman about what Mousavi wants from the U.S.

Claire Teitelman

Yglesias

Endgame

You’d think the ongoing DC Monsoon would get congress worried about climate change, but I guess not:

— Public opinion in the 1930s was totally wrong.

— Tyler Cowen’s new book.

— Will seniors kill health reform?

— CAP’s Nina Hachigian responds to Chris Bowers on IMF funding.

— In the real world, I don’t have this kind of clout but it’s nice to play make-believe.

— Driving in low-income countries is really dangerous

Not sure I totally understand why you’d care what kind of cars a girl prefers.

Purple Line keeps marching forward as I march out of the office.

Climate Progress

National Solar Observatory, NASA say no “Maunder Minimum” — sorry, deniers — Solar Cycle 24 poised to rev up

The sunspot cycle is about to come out of its depression, if a newly discovered mechanism for predicting solar cycles — a migrating jet stream deep inside the sun — proves accurate.  And that will add a small amount of warming in the next few years, which were already predicted to be record-setting by two recent studies.

When we last looked at the sun [please, don't try that at home], we were at “a 12-year low in solar ‘irradiance’.”  As NASA explained in April:  “the sun’s brightness has dropped by 0.02% at visible wavelengths” since the solar minimum of 1996, which was “not enough to reverse the course of global warming.”  It’s been “the quietest sun we’ve seen in almost a century,” said sunspot expert David Hathaway of the Marshall Space Flight Center.

The deniers have been rooting for a Maunder Minimum to stifle global warming (which it wouldn’t have done anyway, see here).  But human-caused global warming is so strong that not bloody much stifling has been going on given that “this will be the hottest decade in recorded history by far,” nearly 0.2°C warmer than the 1990s.  Heck, even with a La Ni±a and an unusually inactive sun, 2008 was almost 0.1°C warmer than the decade of the 1990s as a whole — and of course the 1990s were, at the time, the hottest decade in recorded history.  Changes in the sun just ain’t the big dog anymore when it comes to driving climate change (see here).

Yesterday, NASA reported remarkable news, “Mystery of the Missing Sunspots, Solved?“:

Read more

Justice

In 5-4 Decision, Conservative Supreme Court Denies DNA Evidence To Potentially Innocent Man

roberts-alitoIn 1993, William Osburne was convicted of kidnapping, assaulting and raping a woman in Anchorage, Alaska.  He spent the next 14 years of his life behind bars.  Osburne insists that he is innocent, the State of Alaska has in its possession DNA evidence which will once and for all prove his guilt or innocence, and Osburne has offered to pay for DNA testing out of his own pocket.  Allowing Osburne to prove—or disprove–his claim of innocence will cost Alaska literally nothing.

Nevertheless, the Supreme Court held today in a 5-4 decision by Chief Justice Roberts that Osburne is out of luck.  Although Roberts conceded that “[i]t is now often possible to determine whether a biological tissue matches a suspect with near certainty,” he determined that Osburne has no right to pay for a test that could exonerate him for a crime he did not commit.  Allowing Osburne to prove his potential innocence, Roberts said, risks “unnecessarily overthrowing the established system of criminal justice.”

In dissent, Justice Stevens explains why this decision makes no sense:

The State of Alaska possesses physical evidence that, if tested, will conclusively establish whether respondent William Osborne committed rape and attempted murder. If he did, justice has been served by his conviction and sentence. If  not, Osborne has needlessly spent decades behind bars while the true culprit has not been brought to justice. The DNA test Osborne seeks is a simple one, its cost modest, and its results uniquely precise. Yet for reasons the State has been unable or unwilling to articulate, it refuses to allow Osborne to test the evidence at his own expense and to thereby ascertain the truth once and for all.

It’s unclear why the five conservative justices think that determining Osborne’s guilt or innocence would overthrow “the established system of criminal justice,” and equally unclear why a system that would prevent a potentially innocent man from proving his case at his own expense does not deserve to be overthrown.

Yglesias

How Regimes End

Protests in Iran

Protests in Iran

Douglas Muir has a very interesting post running down some of the political science on “protestor versus regime” scenarios. Unfortunately, it ends on a somewhat depressing note:

And finally, the government is both willing and able to use massive force: China, Burma, Armenia. In these cases, the government wins. There is, in recent history, not a single clear counterexample. If the government keeps its nerve, and the men with guns stay loyal, and the regime is willing to escalate without limit — the government wins.

Relevance to Iran: Looks pretty high right now. While there are some reports of unease among the security forces, it appears the police and the military are holding steady.

Until and unless this changes, Ahmadinejad looks quite secure — green paint and massive street protests notwithstanding.

One hopes this will prove wrong.

Politics

Armitage: Obama conducting foreign policy ‘in a more intelligent way’ than Bush.

richard-armitageFormer Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage spoke earlier this week at the Missouri Boys State, an event that was held on the campus of the University of Central Missouri. During the question and answer period, Armitage was asked about President Obama’s “softer force when dealing with other nations.” “Mr. Obama is in some ways presenting a much better face to the world. I wouldn’t call it a soft face, I’d call it a smart face,” Armitage replied. He then took a subtle dig at President Bush:

ARMITAGE: I think he’s using both our soft and hard power in a more intelligent way. [...] I think he’s using our power more intelligently. And using all the tools in our kit box now, in our tool box. Mr. Bush just used sanctions and force. And I think this gives us a better opportunity to prevail. What is soft power? It’s the ability to attract. You want to persuade, you want to attract them. Hard power is coercive. Well, force them to do something. If you can attract people I think it’s always better. It seems to last longer.

Earlier in the discussion, Armitage said he disagrees with Vice President Cheney’s criticism of the Obama administration adding that he should “pipe down.” “I think it’s unseemly,” Armitage said. Later, referring to Colin Powell’s criticism of Republican Party, Armitage said that Powell is just trying to get the GOP to stop acting “like a bunch of knuckleheads.”

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