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Coburn Wants To Dump Political Science Funding Since Americans Can Just ‘Turn To CNN, Fox News, MSNBC’

Tom Coburn Yesterday, Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) introduced an amendment that would bar the National Science Foundation (NSF) from “wasting federal research funding on political science.” Coburn argues that these political sciences issues “have little, if anything, to do with science.” From his amendment:

The largest award over the last 10 years under the political science program has been $5.4 million for the University of Michigan for the “American National Election Studies” grant. The grant is to “inform explanations of election outcomes.” The University of Michigan may have some interesting theories about recent elections, but Americans who have an interest in electoral politics can turn to CNN, FOX News, MSNBC, the print media, and a seemingly endless number of political commentators on the internet who pour [sic] over this data and provide a myriad of viewpoints to answer the same questions.

Coburn adds, “Theories on political behavior are best left to CNN, pollsters, pundits, historians, candidates, political parties, and the voters, rather than being funded out of taxpayers’ wallets.” His argument is like saying that schools should just have students watch Jim Cramer on CNBC instead of teaching economics.

Part of Coburn’s objections seem political, as Henry at Crooked Timber points out. As examples of the way the NSF has wasted its money, Coburn cites a study that found the United States is increasingly willing to torture terrorism suspects and research by Nobel-Prize winning economist Paul Krugman. Today on his blog, Krugman responded to Coburn:

I can’t quite remember when I last received NSF support, but it has to be at least 20 years ago — and it was, of course, for work on international trade, work that, you know, won me a Clark Medal and that other prize. So the standard seems to be that if anyone ever supported by the NSF expresses liberal political opinions decades later, that discredits the program.

But much worse is the way Coburn singles out support for the American National Election Studies as a boondoggle. As I said, I’m not a political scientist — but I’ve done enough data-surveying to know that the ANES is a treasure trove of information that can’t be found anywhere else — certainly not, as Coburn suggests, on CNN, Fox, and MSNBC. Of course, it’s obvious from what Coburn says that neither he nor anyone on his staff even bothered to look at what the ANES does.

Robert Lowry, a professor of political science at the University of Texas at Dallas, further explained the difference between the social science and the punditry: “I tell my undergraduate students, There’s a difference between arguing over pizza at 3 a.m. and doing actual hypothesis-testing. CNN has a lot of smart people, but at best it’s all a very short-term cycle. They chew over the results from last night’s election, and by the next week they’re on to something else.”

The Chronicle of Higher Education notes that in 1995, a House committee approved a bill that would have eliminated nearly all the social science programs from the NSF, and Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX) introduced a similar measure three years ago. The American Political Science Association is now asking people to contact senators to show support for their social science.

Security

Sheriff Joe Arpaio Admits Clothing, Speech, And Conduct Help Determine If Someone Is ‘Illegal’

Over the past 24 hours, Arizona Sheriff Joe Arpaio has appeared on several major news networks groaning about his curtailed power to enforce immigration laws and denying allegations of racial profiling which many believe are the reason federal immigration authorities decided to present him with a new agreement which limits his authority. However, in a CNN interview with Rick Sanchez this afternoon, Arpaio revealed that his deputies are in fact arresting people based on the way they look:

SANCHEZ: You just said you detain people who haven’t committed a crime — how do you prove they they’re not illegal?

ARPAIO: It has to do with their conduct, what type of clothes they’re wearing, their speech, they admit it, they may have phony IDs. A lot of variables are involved.

SANCHEZ: You judge people and arrest them based on their speech and the clothes they’re wearing sir?

ARPAIO: No, when they’re in the vehicle with someone who has committed a crime. We have the right to talk to those people. When they admit that they are here illegally we take action…the federal law specifies the speech, the clothes, the environment, the erratic behavior. It’s right in the law.

Watch it:

Arpaio insists that his deputies do not employ racial profiling. The 2,700 lawsuits collecting dust on Arpaio’s desk seem to suggest otherwise. Complaints of discrimination finally mounted to the point where the Department of Justice had to intervene and open up an investigation of Arpaio’s immigration enforcement tactics which the Sheriff has refused to cooperate with. Arpaio probably won’t be receiving any awards from the Obama administration, but he has acquired a few neo-Nazi fans.

The Department of Homeland Security ordered the standardization and review of all agreements between local police and Immigration and Customs Enforcement after the Government Accountability Office released a report showing that many local police are using their authority to deport immigrants stopped for minor violations such as speeding. Arpaio’s new agreement with ICE will only allow him to scan the immigration status of his inmates. While Arpaio is already acting as if his new agreement is a done deal, ICE head John Morton has yet to officially sign off.

Politics

Olbermann: Bachmann should apologize to those who have actually been stalked.

On Fox News last night, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) told Bill O’Reilly that she has “stalkers” at an unnamed cable news network, presumably referring to MSNBC. “It’s an interesting phenomena,” said Bachmann. “I think it happened with a competing cable network that took an interest in me and it’s only grown, so now it’s almost like I have personal stalkers, only they have TV shows.” In a statement to TVNewser, MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann responded, saying that Bachmann should apologize to those who have actually been threatened by stalkers:

MSNBC’s Keith Olbermann responds to TVNewser, “Having had an actual stalker myself, I think the Congresswoman needs to apologize to women (and men) whose lives are blighted and ruined by such terror and threat. Not even in the mildest of senses – of journalists whose aggressiveness might verge colloquially into ‘stalking’ – is she anywhere close to being such a victim.”

Watch Bachmann’s comments:

Yglesias

Endgame

S-s-sing my song and y-y-you sing along:

— Canadian PM Steven Harper teams up with Yo-Yo Ma to do a Beatles cover.

— This makes the Obama administration look pretty foolish.

— Jonah Goldberg takes on liberal bias in dictionaries.

— A public option compromise that just might work.

— French cabinet minister putting the “dead girl, live boy” theory of political scandal to the test.

I hadn’t realized that Junior Senior was Danish until I got here. Here’s “Move Your Feet”.

Economy

Bank Regulator ‘Relishes The Chance’ To Defend His Failed Agency: ‘It’s A Lot Of Fun’

83104896_ba00c631f5_oLast week, Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) explained that he doesn’t want to consolidate bank regulators as part of a regulatory reform effort, because he enjoys watching them blame each other for regulatory failures. And Corker is evidently not the only one who’s enjoying the drive to prevent meaningful regulatory reform.

John Bowman, who is the acting director of the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS), told the Boston Globe that he “relishes the chance to defend the Office of Thrift Supervision against efforts by President Obama and Congress to shut it down”:

It’s a lot of fun,’’ said Bowman…Bowman and the other regulators insist that they have a legitimate case, saying they have been unfairly blamed for the economic crisis. “We have very real concerns. To dismiss it as simply being turf is selling us short.’’

Bowman is just the latest in a parade of regulators marching out to claim that the regulatory status quo is fine. But he may have the most chutzpah of all, because the OTS was by far the worst of the regulatory agencies, when it came to enforcing consumer protection or bank safety and soundness.

Even the Obama administration’s proposed regulatory reform plan — which is far less ambitious than the one Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT) is proposing in the Senatemerges the OTS with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. And for good reason. Consider these great moments in OTS history:

The OTS was in charge of regulating American International Group (AIG), which required a taxpayer-funded bailout of $180 billion after it was unable to honor $45 billion in credit default swaps. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner has said that AIG was “allowed to build up without any adult supervision,” and indeed, in the eight months prior to AIG’s collapse, the OTS held just one 45 minute meeting regarding the company’s soundness.

The OTS was in charge of regulating IndyMac, which had to be taken into FDIC receivership, at a cost of $10.7 billion to taxpayers. The Inspector General of the Treasury Department found that the OTS “repeatedly ignored warnings…about the dangerous excesses” at IndyMac, and viewed “growth and profitability as evidence that IndyMac management was capable.” The OTS knew IndyMac was having trouble with its cash-flow in 2005, but took no formal action until 2008.

Read more

Politics

Beck: Madeleine Albright looks like a ‘turkey’ because of ‘the neck skin on her.’

On his radio and TV shows recently, Glenn Beck has been positioning himself as an advocate for America’s mothers, who he says will be the “ones who will save the Republic.” “When are mothers going to stand up and demand the respect they deserve? Beck said on Fox this week. But as Media Matters noted on Tuesday, Beck has a long history of disrespecting women and moms with sexist commentary. Just today, he said that former secretary of state Madeleine Albright, a mother and grandmother , looks like a “turkey” because of “the neck skin on her.” Listen here:

On Sunday, Republican strategist Mary Matalin defended Beck’s public persona by saying that he was connecting with “maligned mothers.”

Politics

Boehner Brushes Off Past GOP Moves To Rush Bills Through Congress: ‘It Was A Different Time’

Last night on Fox News, House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) complained about the process of moving bills forward for a vote. “I’m going to introduce a resolution here in the House that would require all committees to post within 24 hours the actions taken by their committee,” he declared.

Host Greta Van Susteren piled on. “Why in the world don’t we have that?” After Boehner spent much of the segment calling on the Democratic majority to “let people read these bills,” Van Susteren turned the tables and asked Boehner what the standard practice was when the Republicans were in power:

VAN SUSTEREN: All right, when your party was in leadership in the House and there were issues about transparency, any recollection how you handled it? Did you guys resist it at all? I realize that different times, but did you resist it at all?

BOEHNER: Well, it was a different time. I can tell you when I was Majority Leader, at the time, in almost all cases, I insisted that members have at least 24 hours to read a bill before it came to the floor. But that was — it’s a different time. I’ve made a commitment, and as have my Republican members, that if we take the majority back, we will have a requirement that no bill will come to the floor that hasn’t been out and available to the public and to the members for at least three days.

Watch it:

Boehner may have “insisted” that members have at least 24 hours to read a bill before a vote when he was (briefly) Majority Leader, but that guidance wasn’t always followed. At 9:21 P.M. on Sept. 26, 2006, the House Rules Committee reported the Military Commissions Act to the House, which then was voted on and passed at 4:45 P.M. the next day. The Secure Fence Act of 2006 also had about a day after it was reported out of committee and before it was voted on in the House.

When asked if the GOP leadership waved rules requiring at least 72 hours for members to read bills before voting on them, former Rules Committee Chairman David Dreier (R-CA) said, “Absolutely — it is among the most commonly waived rules the House has.”

Indeed, during the GOP’s House reign, Republican leaders rushed major pieces of legislation through without giving 24 hours for members to read over the bills, let alone 72, including the Medicare Prescription Drug benefit, President Bush’s second tax cut for the wealthy in 2003, and the USA Patriot Act of 2001.

In fact, presumably much to Boehner’s delight, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently pledged to put health care reform legislation, and any amendment, online “for at least 72 hours before the House votes.”

Update

Today on the House floor, Rep. Michele Bachmann said three days isn’t enough time for her. “Three days to read the bill? Please! Three months would be a minimum,” she said. Watch it:

Yglesias

Glenn Beck, Goldbug

It seems that Glenn Beck has taken to advising his audience to invest in gold. At the same time, his remaining advertiser base consists primarily of gold merchants. Nice conflict of interest there.

But beyond the conflict of interest, it should be said that the whole idea of investing in gold as a hedge against the possible future decline in the value of the dollar is a bit bizarre. Currencies devalue relative to other currencies. If you think that in the future the dollar will be worth less (not a crazy prediction) the reasonable course of action isn’t to invest in gold, it’s to invest in some other currency. Buy Yen or Australian dollars or Norwegian krone or whatever you like.

Norwegian krone versus dollar and euro

Norwegian krone versus dollar and euro

Gold isn’t much of a pure currency play. Its price depends on things like discoveries of new gold, technological improvements in mining, the waxing and waning of demand for gold for industrial applications, etc. I would not, personally, be inclined to become a currency speculator. But if you do think you have special insight into the future movements of currencies, there are much more reasonable ways to put your money where your mouth is.

Security

Levy: Neocons Stoking Fear About US-Israel Relationship To Undermine President Obama

Today the neoconservative-leaning Hudson Institute hosted an all day event entitled “U.S.-Israeli Relations at a Crossroads? Challenges to the Special Relationship.” A quick look at the agenda indicates the event was based largely on the presumption that the Obama administration’s approach to Israel represents a departure from past administrations, and endangers the U.S.-Israel relationship.

In the day’s first panel — “The War of Narratives: Do the Obama Administration and Israel Have Different Views of History?” — New America Foundation’s Daniel Levy attacked that presumption head on, blasting cynical attempts by neoconservatives to raise questions about President Obama’s commitment to the U.S.-Israel relationship in order to undermine his Middle East peace agenda. “I think it is irresponsible if not dangerous to turn the US-Israel relationship into an instrument of cheap political point scoring,” Levy said. “And I think those who are serious about the US-Israel relationship should be very, very careful in the way in which they discuss this over the next years.”

Levy’s comments came right after co-panelist Doug Feith delivered a meandering disquisition on the history of the conflict. Unsurprisingly, Feith laid all the blame at the feet of the Arabs for not recognizing the right of European colonial powers to divvy up their land, and faulted the Obama administration for failing to recognize Arab opposition to Israel’s existence as rooted in “principle” — an odd claim, given the existence of the 2002 Arab Peace Initiative, which offers Israel recognition in exchange for ending the occupation. While Levy agreed that we should have a debate in the U.S. over the U.S.-Israel relationship, he insisted that we shouldn’t use the debate “in a scurrilous way… to undermine the administration.”

“What I think this should really be about is not the historical narratives,” Levy said, “this is really about what do we do next.”

I think there are two key point of departure for this conversation and the first point of departure is that America has an interest in seeing this conflict solved and a new equilibrium created, that there are consequences for American national security interest in the continuation of the conflict and its deterioration. And my second premise and point of departure is that the US-Israel strategic relationship needs to be maintained and there are consequences for the United States if that relationship is not maintained.

Now there are two ways of then relating to this. What I would call the head-banging, hard-line ideological right spends much of their time trying to dismiss the first part of that equation and trying to convince us that in fact there is no cost to America to the conflict continuing as is, and America playing the same role, that this is actually a side show, settlements are not a problem, it’s all about Arab rejectionism, the Arabs don’t really care about the Palestinians, this is all an invention. They don’t live in the real world.

The hard-line ideological left questions the second part of the premise. America doesn’t need to maintain its alliance with Israel, they would say. ‘Let’s haul Israel up in front of the International Criminal Court after the Goldstone Report, let’s through Israel under a bus, let’s cut the aid — let’s end the aid — this is too costly for America. I’d suggest there is a way of squaring the circle, of addressing the US national interest, and of maintaining the relationship with Israel. And that that would be the sensible way forward to create a new equilibrium.

Acknowledging the difficult strategic and political situation in which Israel currently finds itself, Levy stressed the importance of American leadership, advising that “we should take very seriously the notion that the way to help Israel out of this malaise is to help Israel make real choices.”

I don’t rule out Benjamin Netanyahu being a Menachem Begin, who made the historical peace with Egypt and withdrew from all of the Sinai, but I don’t think we can expect it to happen of our own volition. I think we have to take seriously the option of American leadership in getting there. And I think we have to take even more seriously an irresponsible effort underway in this country to discredit an American president who is a friend of Israel, and to use and instrumentalize the U.S.-Israel relationship to score cheap points in ways that will undermine that relationship in the long term.

Watch it:

Full transcript after the jump. Read more

Climate Progress

Is it just too damn late? Part 1, the Science

No.

It’s not too late to avert the worst impacts of human-caused global warming.  In fact, it’s not too late to stabilize total warming from preindustrial levels at 1.5°C — or possibly less.  But the U.S. must pass a comprehensive climate and clean energy bill, leading to a major global deal, to give us a plausible chance of getting on the necessary emissions pathway.

From a scientific perspective, a major new study (subs. req’d, discussed below) is cause for some genuine non-pessimism, concluding “Near-zero CH4 growth in the Arctic during 2008 suggests we have not yet activated strong climate feedbacks from permafrost and CH4 hydrates.”

The media and others want to move quickly from denial to despair, because both perspectives justify inaction, justify maintaining our grotesquely unsustainable behavior, justify sticking with the global Ponzi scheme in the immoral delusion we can maintain our own personal wealth and well-being for a few more decades before the day of reckoning.

I have, however, received a number of queries from progressives about the meaning of this somewhat misleading Washington Post article, “New Analysis Brings Dire Forecast Of 6.3-Degree Temperature Increase,” which begins:

Climate researchers now predict the planet will warm by 6.3 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century even if the world’s leaders fulfill their most ambitious climate pledges, a much faster and broader scale of change than forecast just two years ago, according to a report released Thursday by the United Nations Environment Program….

Robert Corell, who chairs the Climate Action Initiative and reviewed the UNEP report’s scientific findings, said the significant global temperature rise is likely to occur even if industrialized and developed countries enact every climate policy they have proposed at this point. The increase is nearly double what scientists and world policymakers have identified as the upper limit of warming the world can afford in order to avert catastrophic climate change.

 I don’t think the basic story should be a surprise to regular readers of this blog.  We’re in big, big trouble, and we’re not yet politically prepared to do what is necessary to avert catastrophe — as I’ve said many times.  But that is quite different from concluding it’s too late and we’re doomed.

The WashPost story is about the Climate Rapid Overview and Decision-support Simulator — the C-ROADS model.  It “translates complex climate modeling into readily digestible predictions” and “is being adopted by negotiators to assess their national greenhouse-gas commitments ahead of December’s climate summit in Copenhagen,” as explained in a recent Nature article (subs. req’d, excerpted here).

As one of the leading C-ROADS modelers — my friend Drew Jones — explained in his blog, the Post headline could have easily been:

“New Analysis Shows Growing Commitment to a Global Deal Will Help Stabilize Climate.”

Read more

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