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Yglesias

Reconciliation is in the Vicinity of the Table

I think the Senate leadership has good reason to not want to try to push health care reform through under the budget reconciliation process. But I also think it’s much easier to imagine a pretty good bill passing under standard procedure if it’s clear to Senators that the alternative to breaking a filibuster is reconciliation rather than no bill. That levels the bargaining position. Progressive members are being asked to support a bill that contains provisions they don’t necessarily like on the grounds that the overall package is better than the alternative. That needs to be a two-way street in which moderate members are, likewise, prepared to vote for a bill even if they don’t get there way on every single point. The prospect of reconciliation is the best way to motivate that choice.

So I was glad to read this:

In response to a question from TPMDC Nelson told reporters that, at a meeting this afternoon with Sens. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR), Reid “talked about process, procedure, discussion about reconciliation and a whole host of issues of that sort.”

“Nobody’s really jumping up and down to push for reconciliation,” Nelson said, “he’s not threatening that, but anybody can conclude that if you don’t move something on to the floor, that is one of the possibilities.”

That’s right. Doing nothing should not be an option. If it’s not possible to achieve cloture, then the best thing to do is get the best bill you can get through the reconciliation process.

Yglesias

And for Other Purposes!

Now thanks to the internet you can read the Senate health reform bill yourself in PDF form. Do so and you’ll be amused to learn that the most important piece of American social policy in 45 years is described as a proposal “To amend the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 to modify the first-time homebuyers credit in the case of members of the Armed Forces and certain other Federal employees, and for other purposes.”

Other purposes!

I have no idea why it says that, but the moral of the story is almost certainly that a great deal of Senate procedure doesn’t make a ton of sense.

Health

The Details Of The New Merged Senate Bill

pelosi_reid_0705Moments ago, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) released the merged Senate health care bill. According to preliminary CBO analysis, the Senate bill costs $849 billion over 10 years and reduces the deficit by $127 billion over 10 years. The legislation could further reduce the deficit by up to $650 billion cut over the following decade, the budget office says.

The bill –which includes a national public health insurance plan with the option for states to pass a law and opt-out — reduces the uninsured by 31 million Americans and covers 98% of Americans by 2019.

The bill increases the threshold for the so-called Cadillac tax, raises the payroll tax by 0.5% on individuals who earn more than $200,000 and families earning more than $250,000 a year, and cuts waste from Medicare. The payroll tax increase would only apply to employees (not employers) and generate $54 billion.

The bill maintains the Senate Finance Committee’s immigration language and preserves much of the more moderate Capps-abortion compromise. Federal dollars can only be used to pay for abortions when the pregnancy threatens the life of the mother or results from rape or incest; private premiums must be used to pay for any other type of abortion, including those for health reasons. Each plan in Exchange will decide whether to cover additional abortion services and at least one plan in each market must offer abortion services and one plan must not. In the public option, the Secretary can cover abortion only if the procedure is financed with private funds.

Since the Exchanges don’t open open until 2014, the bill offers immediate insurance reforms for Americans purchasing coverage in the individual market. Insurers will no longer be allowed to rescind coverage or impose life-time or annual limits and will be required to meet a medical-loss ratio of 85 percent. Americans who are denied coverage because of a pre-existing condition would participate in a national high-risk pool program until the Exchanges are established. Young Americans can stay on their parents’ policies until they turn 26. Small businesses will receive a tax credit.

Below is a comparison of the relevant provisions in the House and Senate legislation:


Senate Bill ($849 billion/10 years) House Bill ($894 billion/10 years)
Individual Mandate Yes, penalty of $750 by 2016 for those don’t purchase coverage. ($95 penalty in first year) Yes, penalty of 2.5% of income for those who remain uninsured
Employer Mandate Free rider provision. Employers would have to pay whichever is lower: $3,000 per every employee who receives a subsidy in the Exchange, or $750 for every employee (not just the subsidized worker). Yes, employers who don’t’ offer coverage would pay a fee equal to 8% of their payroll
Medicaid Expansion Up to 133% FPL. 100% federal funding for the first 3 years, then revert to Senate Finance language. Up to 150% FPL
Subsidies Between 133 – 400% FPL on sliding scale; spend 2%-9.8% of income on premiums Between 133 – 400% FPL on sliding scale; spend 2%-12% of income on premiums
Public Option National public plan, states can opt-out by 2014. Co-ops are also available. Yes, HHS secretary negotiates rates
Financing Excise tax on policies above $8,500 (individuals) and $23,000 (families), increases the payroll tax by .5% (increases to 1.95%) on individuals who earn more than $200,000 and families earning more than $250,000 a year, tax on insurers, pharmaceuticals, and medicare devices; Medicare savings 5.4% surtax on individuals earning > $500,000, couples earning more than $1 million; Medicare savings

Politics

Rep. John Culberson Gushes Over Hate Radio Talker Michael Savage: ‘We Need You’

After years of bashing Hillary Clinton, hate radio host Michael Savage has been begging for her to intervene and use her powers as Secretary of State to negotiate an end to the travel ban imposed on him by the British government. On Savage’s radio show yesterday, Rep. John Culberson (R-TX) stepped up to help Savage contact Clinton, calling his assistance “constituent work” for an “honorary Texan.” (Savage lives in Marin County, CA.)

After repeating lines from Savage’s show, Culberson gushed that he is a “fan” who listens “regularly” to Savage’s “common sense” and promised to have his congressional colleagues join in on the effort. Savage seemed touched by the gesture:

SAVAGE: You’re the most honest member of Congress I’ve ever encountered. You’re the kind of guy that won World War 2. You’re the kind of guy that if you were my platoon leader and you said charge into a machine gun nest I would do what you told me to do. I’d be proud to fight alongside you any day of the week. But I’d like to do something for you. I don’t wanna be just be passive about accepting your kindness.

CULBERSON: You’re very gracious but you do it every day by being a warrior for freedom and standing up for our for our rights as Americans.

Culberson praised Savage for his stance on immigration, saying he “embodies” the values of “welcom[ing] any and everyone from all over the world to come and join us.” But Savage has attacked non-white immigrants for years, claiming that the new “code word” for South Asians should be “terrorists,” calling Arabs “non-humans,” and fear-mongering for days that Mexican immigrants were plaguing the country with viruses.

In addition, Culberson also said he has never heard Savage “encourage hatred or incite anyone to engage in violence.” However, Savage constantly uses his show to call for violence against his enemies. He has called for using a “bunker-buster bomb on the U.N.,” hanging “every lawyer who went down to Guantánamo,” and has said a “noose will end up around” the “neck” of Media Matters staffers.

Politics

Ollie North Launches New War Against ‘Cap And Tax,’ ‘Bird Eating Machines,’ And The ‘Myth Of Global Warming’

Oliver North's Freedom Alliance mailingLt. Col. Oliver North (Ret.) has launched a new war against the “cap and tax” plans of President Barack Obama and the “socialists in Congress.” North — when not serving as a Fox News correspondent — runs the Freedom Alliance, an organization supposedly dedicated to “defending the sovereignty of the United States and promoting a strong national defense.” In a mailing acquired by ThinkProgress, North pleads for “your most-special and generous donation” to fight the “‘cap and tax’ scheme and the myth of global warming.” North warns that if “Barack Obama and the socialists in Congress” establish a system to limit global warming pollution, it will be “at our nation’s peril!”

Never mind the fact that there is no proof of man-made global warming.

Never mind the fact that Europe's "Cap and Tax" policies have failed to lower greenhouse gases.

Never mind the fact that the world has actually been cooling for the last ten years.

And never mind that there is no evidence that greenhouse gases have anything to do with global warming in the first place.

No sir! None of this matters to Barack Obama and the socialists in Congress.

Because what they really want is to control your life and mine . . .

. . . and we allow them to succeed at our nation's peril!

North goes on to attack windmill farms as “virtual bird eating machines.” The attached “petition to President Barack Obama” claims that the “dirty little secret” of global warming “is that it is a scam designed at increasing the wealth of frauds like Al Gore and nations like Red China at America’s expense.”

In reality, the “scientific evidence is clear,” as the American Association for the Advancement of Science said in 2006, that “global climate change caused by human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to society.” In reality, the European Trading System has worked, and Europe is on track to easily beat its 2012 Kyoto Protocol commitments. In reality, the last ten years are the hottest decade in history. In reality, as Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) has said, climate legislation will allow us to “help this planet” that “is in peril, create millions of new jobs for Americans that need them, and to become energy independent to make us safer.”

But none of this matters to Ollie North and his conservative compatriots.

In the mailing, North notes that he “served in the United States Marine Corps for 22 years.” He does not, however, mention that he was convicted by a jury for illegally selling weapons to Iran during the Reagan administration.

Download the Freedom Alliance mailing and petition.

Climate Progress

Sarah Palin to Rush Limbaugh: “Are we warming or are we cooling?”

Okay, we knew that Sarah “Four Pinocchios” Palin is one of those anti-scientific idealogues, having said back in August 2008, “A changing environment will affect Alaska more than any other state, because of our location. I’m not one though who would attribute it to being man-made.”  And then in a September 2008 CBS interview, she jumped the shark polar bear entirely, saying, “I’m not going to solely blame all of man’s activities on changes in climate.” Seriously.  As this Think Progress repost shows, Palin’s thinking hasn’t really evolved, so to speak….

Yesterday, former Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AK) reminded radio host Rush Limbaugh that she doesn’t believe in man-made global warming. Palin, on a nationwide tour to promote her new book, Going Rogue, questioned the “snake oil science involved” and complained about the “shady science right now.” Palin said that she thinks any changes are “in a lot of respects, cyclical“:

Read more

Yglesias

Endgame

Special night? Beard that’s white?

— Ryan Fitzpatrick to start Sunday for the Bills; I’m hoping he’ll try to intimidate Jacksonville with some Harvard’s witty Latin puns.

— Afghans see poverty and unemployment as their big problem.

Correcting myths about the stimulus bill.

— Exciting new bike lane coming to 5th street between NY Avenue and Rhode Island Avenue.

— Does Afghanistan need more troops than it’s possible to send.

— The Knicks are bad enough that adding Allen Iverson might actually help and certainly the world is owed the opportunity to see a Robinson-Iverson back court.

— Communications Workers of America team up with German union ver.di to effectively represent TMobile (aka Deutsche Telekom) workers globally.

— Human Rights Watch, displaying its usual anti-Israel bias, says the new regime in Cuba is as bad as ever.

— 1960s oil company add touts fossil fuels’ glacier-melting power.

Bob Dylan’s new track “Must Be Santa” is delightfully weird.

Politics

Texas gay marriage ban may have outlawed all marriages in Texas.

In 2005, the state of Texas adopted an amendment to its Constitution that said marriage in the state could only be between one man and one woman. The amendment also declared: “This state or a political subdivision of this state may not create or recognize any legal status identical or similar to marriage.” Now, Barbara Ann Radnofsky, a Houston lawyer and Democratic candidate for attorney general, is saying that the second section effectively “eliminates marriage in Texas”:

txShe calls it a “massive mistake” and blames the current attorney general, Republican Greg Abbott, for allowing the language to become part of the Texas Constitution. Radnofsky called on Abbott to acknowledge the wording as an error and consider an apology. She also said that another constitutional amendment may be necessary to reverse the problem.

“You do not have to have a fancy law degree to read this and understand what it plainly says,” said Radnofsky, who will be at Texas Christian University today as part of a five-city tour to kick off her campaign.

Abbott’s spokesman Jerry Strickland replied to Radnofsky’s charge by saying, “The Texas Constitution and the marriage statute are entirely constitutional.” This isn’t the first time the reach of the second section has been questioned. Before the amendment passed, a group called Save Texas Marriage warned that a judge could potentially void all marriages in the state if the language became part of the Texas Constitution.

Yglesias

CBO Says Senate Health Bill Would Cover 94 Percent of Americans, Sharply Reduce the Deficit

Brian Beutler reports on the CBO’s analysis of Reid’s health care bill:

The health care bill–which includes an opt-out public option–will require $849 billion over 10 years in new spending, to be paid for with cuts to Medicare, while reducing the deficit by $127 billion.

In that time it will extend coverage to 31 million Americans–94 percent of citizens will be covered by 2019.

CBO projects that from 2020-2029 the bill would achieve around $650 billion in deficit reduction. My prediction is that the very same centrist Democrats most likely to whine about the deficit will also be most hesitant to vote for the bill. Just saying.

Justice

Sheriff Arpaio Asks Deputy To Defy Judge’s Orders And Risk Going To Jail

Last month, surveillance footage emerged showing Maricopa County Officer Adam Stoddard pulling a document out of a public defender’s file while she had her back turned and asking a fellow officer to take the document and leave the courtroom with it. Stoddard testified that his eyes “glazed over” the document and that certain words caught his attention and prompted his actions. Superior Court Judge Gary Donahoe determined the document posed no security threat and has demanded Stoddard deliver an apology at a public news conference or else face jail time.

Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, however, has belligerently stepped in to state that the court’s orders should be defied:

My officer was doing his job and I will not stand by and allow him to be thrown to the wolves by the courts because they feel pressure from the media on this situation…I decide who holds press conferences and when they are held regarding this Sheriff’s Office.

In an interview with Rick Sanchez, criminal defense attorney Silvia Piñera-Vasquez points out that Arpaio is out of line and that the judge actually gave Stoddard a “light light sentence,” despite the fact that he violated the 4th Amendment and attorney-client privilege:

SANCHEZ: Is he [Arpaio] right in any measure? Does a judge tell a police officer what to do in this case? Or does she have to go through his boss — who I imagine she probably has some sort of relationship with?

PIÑERA-VASQUEZ: Well, in this case, the person who was held in contempt of court was obviously not the Sheriff, but Officer Stoddard. So he [the judge] has jurisdiction to tell Officer Stoddard what his punishment is once he was found in contempt of court. Having been found in contempt of court, he could order whatever punishment he deems appropriate…

Can you picture that in any courtroom a judge ordering just a public apology? Most likely that person would’ve been taken into custody, would’ve had to bond out of jail, would’ve probably been charged with theft and other charges. In this case, basically what the officer has been given is a slap on the wrist: apologize and walk away scott-free.

Watch it:

Piñera-Vasquez points out that Arpaio has put Stoddard in a difficult position: defy the court orders and risk going to jail or defy his boss and risk getting fired. She also states that Arpaio himself could be held in contempt. The attorney now representing the defendant whose case was being deliberated at the time of Stoddard’s actions indicated that she is “concerned that her client won’t get a fair sentencing in Maricopa County because of the media scrutiny Stoddard’s hearing has received.”

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