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More Fear Mongering From The Right

WarheadJust when you thought the current level of right-wing fear mongering couldn’t get any worse, the Wall Street Journal writes an editorial about nuclear weapons.

Did you know that while you were sleeping, America’s vast and technological advanced nuclear arsenal was rapidly deteriorating? It cites the Perry-Schlesinger commission as evidence to make this point, which should be news to the Perry-Schlesinger commission since the Commission’s report never makes this point. The Journal’s editorial lays out what has become the right wing’s main push back against the new START treaty currently being negotiated between the US and Russia: the state of our apparently decrepit nuclear arsenal. The right is now posturing that they will not support a new START treaty – a treaty that was initially pushed by President Ronald Reagan – unless Obama puts up money for building a new nuclear warhead to replace existing ones.

The Journal writes:

A group of Senators is telling the White House that it will have little or no chance of success unless it also moves ahead with nuclear-warhead modernization.The deteriorating U.S. nuclear arsenal is emerging as a big security problem, and Start won’t be an easy sell even with the money for warhead upgrades.

Our nuclear arsenal is not deteriorating. We spend billions on programs to ensure the reliability of the US nuclear arsenal. The Wall Street Journal and Senators like Jon Kyl seem to not have read or are just choosing to ignore the JASON report – a report from independent scientists tasked with assessing the US nuclear force. The JASON report concludes that:

Lifetimes of today’s nuclear warheads could be extended for decades, with no anticipated loss in confidence, by using approaches similar to those employed in LEPs [Life Extension Programs] to date.

In other words, what we are doing right now to maintain are nuclear weapons is working and we don’t need new warheads. Furthermore, members of Congress should know this, as the defense spending bill, which passed with bipartisan support in the House and Senate, includes funding for the nuclear stockpile stewardship program which ensures the reliability of the US nuclear arsenal.

But in the hyper-paranoid neoconservative vision of national security we can’t cut our nuclear forces. In fact we need to build new nuclear weapons, because the Cold War never ended, Russia wants to kill us, China is the new Soviet Union, and Iran and North Korea need to be attacked right away. This is crazy and is even more extreme than the disastrous foreign policy approach that dominated during the Bush administration.

Climate Progress

Breaking: Sen. Dorgan (D-ND) to retire

Does that increase the chances he’ll vote for the bipartisan climate and clean energy bill?

Sen. Byron Dorgan, a 18-year veteran Democrat, dropped a late-day bombshell, announcing he will retire when his term ends this year.  Dorgan’s announcement represents an opportunity for Republicans: North Dakota is a Republican-leaning state, where President Obama got just 45% of the vote last year.

What’s bad news for the Dems in the longer term could be good news for the climate bill in the short term.  Nate Silver had given Dorgan a “Probability of Yes” vote of 22%.  He was certainly going to be among the 5 toughest Dem votes to get.

But now he doesn’t face a tough reelection, and the Senator from the state he himself calls “the Saudi Arabia of wind” is free to vote his conscience.  Indeed, all things being equal, I think he’d like to vote ‘yes’ — see post “When Sen. Dorgan finds out what’s in the climate bill “” hint, hint, White House “” he might just support it,” which I’ll excerpt and update here:

Read more

Politics

Sen. Byron Dorgan Announces He Will Not Run For Re-Election

ap080711012023In a statement released this afternoon, Sen. Byron Dorgan (D-ND) announced that he will not be running for re-election:

I would like to do some teaching and would also like to work on energy policy in the private sector.

So, over this holiday season, I have come to the conclusion, with the support of my family, that I will not be seeking another term in the U.S. Senate in 2010. It is a hard decision to make after thirty years in the Congress, but I believe it is the right time for me to pursue these other interests.

Let me be clear that this decision does not relate to any dissatisfaction that I have about serving in the Senate. Yes, I wish there was less rancor and more bipartisanship in the U.S. Senate these days. But still, it is a great privilege to serve and I have the utmost respect for all of the men and women with whom I serve.

Dorgan is perhaps most remembered for his prescience in predicting the negative consequences of repealing the Glass-Steagall financial regulatory reforms, which broke down the barriers between investment and depository banking. Upon passage of the bill in 1999, Dorgan predicted, “I think we will look back in 10 years’ time and say we should not have done this but we did because we forgot the lessons of the past, and that that which is true in the 1930’s is true in 2010.” Watch it:

During the recent health care debate, Dorgan introduced a measure to allow Americans to import foreign drugs, thus lowering the cost of prescription medications for millions of Americans. Under his direction, the Senate Democratic Policy Committee reported on the tremendous waste and abuse of military contractors operating in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Dorgan has been a crusader for the middle class. “There’s no question the system is rigged against the little guy,” he told the Huffington Post. On his television show this afternoon, Ed Schultz offered this praise for Dorgan:

Look, Byron Dorgan has been a real respected opinion in caucus. He is a man who has really fought for the middle class. He is a guy who understands rural America, who has fought for farmers like you wouldn’t believe. … In fact, I spoke with Byron today on the radio, and he talked about what has to be done when it comes to reforming Wall Street and reeling these banks in and accountability of the Federal Reserve. He has been a real champion of the truth. And this man has got an impeccable career.

Update

Joe Romm notes that Dorgan’s announcement could be good news for the cap-and-trade debate. He had been an unlikely vote for the climate bill, “but now he doesn’t face a tough reelection, and the Senator from the state he himself calls ‘the Saudi Arabia of wind’ is free to vote his conscience.”

Security

Nativist Leader Cites Shoddy Polling Data To Claim There Is A Rift Between The Pew And The Pulpit

The anti-immigrant group, NumbersUSA, posted a video today of its director, Roy Beck, on Fox & Friends touting recent polling by its unofficial sister group, the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), which claims to show that religious leaders lobbying for comprehensive immigration reform are out of tune with the people of faith they represent. However, even Fox News religion contributor Father Jonathon Morris seemed to hesitate when it came to agreeing with the polling, despite Alisyn Camerota’s leading questions:

BECK: There’s about 5 billion people who would like to come the United States overall — they’re more impoverished than the average Mexican. And so, it’s just that the leaders have put their priorities on those where the members of those churches — their priority is on compassion within their own community — the 15 million Americans who are unemployed…

MORRIS: I believe there is a natural right of every human person to look for a better life — to emigrate with an “e.” But there’s also a responsibility of every country to control the amount of immigration. To make sure it’s sustainable, to make sure it’s safe — both for the immigrant and the citizens….

CAMEROTA: But is it religious leaders’ responsibility to lead the charge on this?

MORRIS: It’s the responsibility to give principles for decisionmakers and then for politicians to say “we’re going to implement policy that’s good for the human being.”

Watch it:

Morris’ logic echoes that of the Reform Immigration for America Campaign and the strategy he proposes resembles the approach that religious leaders have already adopted. Morris even referred to Kevin Appleby from the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB) as the “expert” on the polling. Appleby countered Beck’s claims by citing a “more scientific” survey conducted by the University of Michigan and Stanford University which found that 56 percent of Catholics support a legal path to citizenship and 61 percent say immigration levels should stay the same or increase. Another recent poll by Zogby showed that 69 percent of Catholics polled support a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, provided they register with the government. Meanwhile, the poll Beck cites indicates that 69 percent of Catholics think immigration levels are too high with 54 percent opposing a path to legalization.

A recent memo written by Dr. Robert P. Jones, president of Public Religion Research, explains many of the discrepancies by pointing out that the CIS poll “is not based on a scientific random sample of Americans but rather on an opt-in online panel survey.” Though Zogby tries to make their online samples “representative” of the U.S., it’s still a self-selected pool of respondents. Jones also notes that “the question wording is problematic in several places.” Meanwhile, the poll that Zogby conducted for the USCCB used the “tried-and-true” method of a random telephone sample.

Yglesias

Endgame

Better shape up, if you want to succeed:

— The case for Laser Avenger.

— Boise State should get an invite to the White House.

— Conservative media doing PR for al-Qaeda.

— Conservatives don’t care at all about deficits.

— Climate bill’s not dead yet in the Senate.

— Proposed WMATA cuts will ruin everything.

“Boyfriend” jeans . . . for two year-olds!

Neat acoustic version of Metric’s “Twilight Galaxy”. No sparkly vampires.

Politics

Colorado Sen. GOP candidate claims individual mandate is unconstitutional, despite expressing earlier support.

Appearing at the Jefferson County Men’s Club on Monday, Jane Norton — a former Lt. Governor who is running to unseat Senator Michael Bennet (D-CO) — endorsed Colorado Attorney General’s John Suthers’ efforts to invalidate reform and announced her opposition to the individual mandate:

One of the constitutional things, thank God we have an Attorney General, John Suthers, who is banning with 13 other Attorneys General to say, let’s look at this so-called health reform bill. Because I do not personally think that the individual mandate is constitutional. Nor do I think giving sweetheart deals to other states at the expense of other states is constitutional. So we have to just keep the pressure up and make sure that we are encouraging like-minded folks.

Watch it:

If support for dismantling health care reform will become a litmus test for conservative candidates, Norton — who served as a liaison on health insurance reform for the Governor’s office — may be in for an embarrassing campaign. In 2007, Norton appeared to endorse Selvoy M. Fillerup’s book Chronic Condition: Critical Care for America’s Collapsing Healthcare System, a health care book that promoted the individual mandate. “Initially, government must mandate that everyone will be insured,” Fillerup writes on page 147, explaining that the mandate is part of several “fundamentals” of reform. On the book’s back cover — a spot usually reserved for endorsement — Norton is quoted as saying, “‘You…have challenged our thinking.”

Health

Republican Candidates Stake Out Support For Repealing Health Care Reform

While Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) refuses to acknowledge that Republicans plan to campaign on a platform of repealing health reform, several GOP candidates have already begun questioning the constitutionality of the pending legislation. For instance, at least 8 of the 13 attorneys general challenging the the so-called Nebraska Compromise are running for re-election or aspiring to a higher office. Most recently, Jane Norton — a former Lt. Governor who is running to unseat Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) — endorsed Colorado Attorney General’s John Suthers’ efforts to invalidate reform and announced her opposition to the individual mandate:

One of the constitutional things, thank God we have an Attorney General, John Suthers, who is banning with 13 other Attorneys General to say, let’s look at this so-called health reform bill. Because I do not personally think that the individual mandate is constitutional. Nor do I think giving sweetheart deals to other states at the expense of other states is constitutional. So we have to just keep the pressure up and make sure that we are encouraging like-minded folks.

Watch it:

If support for dismantling health care reform will become a litmus test for conservative candidates, Norton — who served as a liaison on health insurance reform for the Governor’s office — may be in for an embarrassing campaign. In 2007, Norton appeared to endorse Selvoy M. Fillerup’s Chronic Condition: Critical Care for America’s Collapsing Healthcare System, a health care book that promoted the individual mandate. “Initially, government must mandate that everyone will be insured,” Fillerup writes on page 147, explaining that the mandate is part of several “fundamentals” of reform. On the book’s back cover — a spot usually reserved for endorsements — Norton is quoted as saying, “You…have challenged our thinking.”

Last Sunday, Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted that “every Republican running in ‘10 and again in ‘12 will run on an absolute pledge to repeal this bill.” “I think it’ll be a major campaign theme,” he said.

Yglesias

Lane on Cost-Control

Stethoscope

Like many people, for years I’ve known Charles Lane only from the “Charles Lane” character in Shattered Glass. Thanks to the emergence of the Post Partisan blog, however, we get to see his writing and he turns out to be . . . incredibly annoying. For example, one aim of health reform is to control costs by curbing useless or counterproductive medical procedures. He counters this with the observation that when useful new treatments are developed then people want them.

True enough but . . . so what? Obviously, if you just wanted to control costs in a totally arbitrary way this would be both easy enough as a conceptual matter and also a bad idea. The goal of health reform legislation, however, is to control costs by reducing waste and counterproductive treatment. If Lane has some insights to share on this subject, he might mention them.

Otherwise, I’ll just observe that there’s a certain kind of individual—heavily represented in the Washington Post opinion pages—whose interest in public policy seems largely motivated by a kind of rancid misanthropy. This leads to classic pain caucus thinking whereby the sole demonstration of one’s “seriousness” is a politicians is one’s willingness to afflict clear and demonstrable harm on one’s constituents. But while public policy certainly does involve tradeoffs, it’s simply not the case that policy debates typically concern strictly zero-sum matters. One way to control health costs, for example, is to change payment structures to give hospitals and hospital personnel more incentive to avoid medical errors. Giving doctors statistically valid advice about the relative efficacy of different treatment modalities, rather than relying on anecdotes and guesswork, also holds promise. So does funding efforts to build healthier communities. All this stuff is in the bill. Lane could write about it! But no.

Yglesias

Overrated Transparency

I’m sure some of this stuff sounded good as campaign promises, but as Igor Volsky explains letting TV cameras into conference committee negotiations is a terrible idea. This is also an example of the concrete harm done to the country by politicians overestimating the impact of campaign tactics on election outcomes. The fact of the matter is that if Barack Obama had never promised a more open legislative process, he would have won the election anyway. What’s more, going forward members of congress and the administration need to recognize that they’ll be judged on the basis of the results they deliver for people’s lives. If everything is terrible on Election Day then no matter how much the process is reformed, it’s still going to look corrupt and horrible to people. But if conditions are good and improving, then these process concerns will have a way of fading away.

There’s an interesting philosophical dispute about what should be done with unwise campaign promises. On the one hand, it’s more honorable to live by one’s commitments. But more fundamentally, it strikes me as the better part of valor to admit error, take the hit for flip-flopping, and forge ahead without doing anything silly.

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