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Dobbs Defends His Birther Advocacy: ‘Seems To Me Still A Perfectly Commonsense Question’

esq-lou-dobbs-0210-lgFormer CNN anchor Lou Dobbs may be singing a new tune on immigration, however, he’s sticking to his guns when it comes to defending his demand for evidence of President Obama’s birthplace. In a recent interview with Esquire magazine, Dobbs lashed out against the “extreme Left” for attacking what he continues to view as a perfectly reasonable request:

I ask a question, and I am attacked from the extreme Left as a quote-unquote birther. I mean, what the hell is that? When you can create a controversy by asking what seems to me still a perfectly commonsense question? It has been used in the extreme Left to create a toxicity that is just unbelievable.

This past summer, Dobbs didn’t just question President Obama’s citizenship and promoted the bizarre right-wing “birther” theory, he also insinuated that Obama might be an undocumented immigrant. Many have speculated that Dobbs left CNN in part because his support of the “birther” movement incited conflict between himself and CNN’s leadership.

However, in the weeks preceding his departure, Dobbs claimed that the White House was conspiring with a number of groups, including ThinkProgress, to wage “insidious and sordid attacks” against him with the goal of intimidating him and his former network. After leaving CNN, he also blamed the “far left” for characterizing him as an “enemy of Latinos.”

Cross-posted on The Wonk Room.

Health

CBO: Premiums Under Bronze Plan Lower Than Cost Of Individual Policies Without Reform

To comply with the individual mandate and avoid paying a penalty, the Senate health care bill requires individuals to purchase coverage with an actuarial value of at least 60% — a Bronze level plan. Under such a policy, an applicant’s premiums would approximately cover 60% of the health care expenses for an average population; the remaining 40% would be paid by the individual through higher cost sharing.

But the Senate bill deems the rather high-deductible policy somewhat inadequate and pegs its affordability credits to the costs of the Silver plan, leading the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to focus its premium estimates on Silver policies (with an actuarial value of 70%). Today, the CBO released its premium estimates for the Bronze plan in 2016 (excluding affordability credits). Under the Senate bill, Americans who want to avoid paying the penalty or purchase the cheapest policy would pay, on average, approximately $1,000 less that under current law:


Price Of Insurance In Individual Market WITHOUT Reform (2016) Price of Bronze Plan (2016) Effect On Premiums
$5,500 Individuals, $13,100 Families $4,500 – $5,000 Individuals, $12,000 – $12,500 Families Individuals and families could save up to $1,000 on average.

The numbers come with several caveats. The budget office assumed “that the average age, family characteristics, and other factors associated with health care costs of enrollees in Bronze plans would be similar to those of enrollees in Silver plans” and calculated “national averages” that are not necessary representative of “premiums for specific individuals“; those “would differ on the basis of their age, average spending on health care in their area of the country, and the specific plan they chose.”

A 60% actuarial value policy is also rather skimpy (a typical small business usually provides a plan with an actuarial value of 85%). As the budget office explains, the “lower actuarial value would reduce premiums for Bronze plans directly, because the policy would pay for a smaller share of enrollees’ costs for covered services, and indirectly, because enrollees would use slightly fewer or less-expensive services when faced with the higher cost-sharing requirements included in Bronze plans.” Individuals would also face much higher deductibles and co payments. Still, the reformed Bronze policy would have to cover the “essential benefits” specified in the legislation and would likely be more comprehensive than policies available in the existing nongroup marketplace. The affordability credits and out-of-pocket spending caps included in the final reform legislation would also lower costs for Americans between 133%-400% of the federal poverty line.

Climate Progress

FoxNews, WattsUpWithThat push falsehood-filled Daily Mail article on global cooling that utterly misquotes, misrepresents work of Mojib Latif and NSIDC

Latif told me: “I don’t know what to do. They just make these things up.” NSIDC Director Serreze says it is “completely false.”

30 Years of Global Cooling Are Coming, Leading Scientist Says

Latif … says we’re in for 30 years of cooler temperatures

Memo to media and anti-science disinformers (again):  If your “global cooling” piece revolves around Dr. Latif, you probably have the entire story backwards. But, at least for the disinformers, that is the goal.  And that goes double if the piece involves the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).

In an interview back on October 1, Dr. Latif told me “we don’t trust our forecast beyond 2015″³ and “it is just as likely you’ll see accelerated warming” after then. Indeed, in his published research, rapid warming is all-but-inevitable over the next two decades. He told me, “you can’t miss the long-term warming trend” in the temperature record, which is “driven by the evolution of greenhouse gases.”  Finally, he pointed out “Our work does not allow one to make any inferences about global warming.”

In an interview today, he confirmed that he accepts the IPCC’s finding that most of the warming in the past century was very likely due to human causes — “definitely,” he said.

UPDATE:  Latif spoke to the UK’s Guardian, apparently after we chatted and I emailed him the piece, see “Leading climate scientist challenges Mail on Sunday’s use of his research:  Mojib Latif denies his research supports theory that current cold weather undermines scientific consensus on global warming.”

Latif remains puzzled and dismayed by articles like those in the Daily Mail, “Could we be in for 30 years of global COOLING?” that purport to be based on his work, that supposedly quote him directly, but in fact just make stuff up.   Of course, the Daily Mail made up a lot stuff for this article, like this whopper about the NSIDC’s work:

Read more

Security

Dobbs Defends Birther Remarks Used By ‘Extreme Left To Create A Toxicity’

esq-lou-dobbs-0210-lgFormer CNN anchor Lou Dobbs may be singing a new tune on immigration, however, he’s sticking to his guns when it comes to defending his demand for evidence of President Obama’s birthplace. In a recent interview with Esquire magazine, Dobbs lashed out against the “extreme Left” for attacking what he continues to view as a perfectly reasonable request:

I ask a question, and I am attacked from the extreme Left as a quote-unquote birther. I mean, what the hell is that? When you can create a controversy by asking what seems to me still a perfectly commonsense question? It has been used in the extreme Left to create a toxicity that is just unbelievable.

This past summer, Dobbs didn’t just question President Obama’s citizenship and promoted the bizarre right-wing “birther” theory, he also insinuated that Obama might be an undocumented immigrant. Many have speculated that Dobbs left CNN in part because his support of the “birther” movement incited conflict between himself and CNN’s leadership.

However, in the weeks preceding his departure, Dobbs claimed that the White House was conspiring with a number of groups, including ThinkProgress, to wage “insidious and sordid attacks” against him with the goal of intimidating him and his former network. After leaving CNN, he also blamed the “far left” for characterizing him as an “enemy of Latinos.”

Politics

Former Bush Solicitor General Ted Olson goes after right-wing fear-mongering on marriage equality.

Ted Olson and David Boies The historic federal trial challenging the constitutionality of same-sex marriage bans commenced in California today, focusing on Proposition 8, which state voters approved last year. David Boies and former Bush solicitor general Ted Olson, who argued opposite each other in the Bush v. Gore case, are now arguing together on behalf of the two couples who wished to be married but were denied marriage licenses because of Prop. 8. In his opening statement, Olson, President Bush’s former Solicitor General, went right after common right-wing arguments against marriage equality:

And, as for protecting “traditional marriage,” our opponents “don’t know” how permitting gay and lesbian couples to marry would harm the marriages of opposite-sex couples. Needless to say, guesswork and speculation is not an adequate justification for discrimination. In fact, the evidence will demonstrate affirmatively that permitting loving, deeply committed, couples like the plaintiffs to marry has no impact whatsoever upon the marital relationships of others.

When voters in California were urged to enact Proposition 8, they were encouraged to believe that unless Proposition 8 were enacted, anti-gay religious institutions would be closed, gay activists would overwhelm the will of the heterosexual majority, and that children would be taught that it was “acceptable” for gay men and lesbians to marry. Parents were urged to “protect our children” from that presumably pernicious viewpoint.

At the end of the day, whatever the motives of its Proponents, Proposition 8 enacted an utterly irrational regime to govern entitlement to the fundamental right to marry, consisting now of at least four separate and distinct classes of citizens: (1) heterosexuals, including convicted criminals, substance abusers and sex offenders, who are permitted to marry; (2) 18,000 same-sex couples married between June and November of 2008, who are allowed to remain married but may not remarry if they divorce or are widowed; (3) thousands of same-sex couples who were married in certain other states prior to November of 2008, whose marriages are now valid and recognized in California; and, finally (4) all other same-sex couples in California who, like the Plaintiffs, are prohibited from marrying by Proposition 8.

Today in Newsweek, Olson makes the “conservative case for gay marriage,” stating that “same-sex unions promote the values conservatives prize” and saying that arguments against same-sex marriage are “superficially appealing but ultimately false perceptions about our Constitution and its protection of equality and fundamental rights.”

Yglesias

Endgame

Bigger than you ever done it:

— This is why charter schools are a good idea.

— John McWhorter is vital reading on those days when the intersection of race and linguistics hits the news.

— Americans seems perfectly happy with Obama’s approach to terrorism.

— Research indicates that voters are in fact biased in favor of lighter-skinned politicians.

— Harold Ford wants you to know that he’s a Christian with right-wing views on immigration and national security.

— The Polish constitution had a very bad reputation in the late-18th century since the country had vanished, but the 1918-48 experience shows that its strategic situation was inherently problematic.

— Best headline ever: “Skywalkers in Korea Cross Han Solo”

Song of the day is The Hood Internet’s mashup “Best Jealous Lover I Ever Had”

Politics

Tucker Carlson’s new website kicks off with jokes about rape, being gay.

Ask Matt Labash Today, Tucker Carlson launched his new much-hyped conservative website, The Daily Caller. One of the most prominent features is a column by Weekly Standard senior writer Matt Labash. The “Ask Matt Labash” column is supposed to be a funny “conversation.” Highlights from this week include jokes about how getting a traffic ticket is like being raped and Rachel Maddow is “the sexiest man alive”:

For those unfamiliar with me from my day job at The Weekly Standard, I’ll give you a capsule bio by way of introduction: I have the gift of wisdom. Does that sound arrogant? I’m sorry, that wasn’t my intention. I didn’t choose wisdom. It chose me. If I had my druthers, I’d have chosen another gift, perhaps the untold riches of Lil’ Wayne, whose teeth are made of actual diamonds, or to be the sexiest man alive, like Rachel Maddow. [...]

Pick three government programs you would eliminate. Why?
–AJ

2. Legalized rape. What’s that you say? Rape isn’t sanctioned in this country? Then you must not live in a city with red-light or speed cameras, where it happens every day. Forget for a second that in one-fourth of all automated ticket cases, the ticketed car owner wasn’t the one actually driving the vehicle at the time of the infraction (what other crime-fighting technology do we consider reliable that nabs the wrong person 25 percent of the time?) Just as heinous is that every year, more and more municipal governments pretend that they plant these all-seeing menaces in the interest of “safety.” Yet every year, their revenues tend to increase from the very same technology. Meaning that the only deterrent effect the technology has is deterring your government from being honest about raping its own citizenry. If you’re going to slide me a roofie, Government, at least take me to dinner and a movie first.

Yglesias

For Better Thinking

Marvel 1602

Writing in the Wall Street Journal recently, Paul Campos offered a version of John Mueller’s argument that statistically speaking, the risks posed by terrorism are very small. Kevin Drum says “this line of argument — that terrorism is statistically harmless compared to lots of other activities — will never work. For better or worse, it just won’t. So we should knock it off.”

Dylan Matthews and Amanda Marcotte offers some arguments about how this kind of argument is more feasible than Kevin thinks.

I don’t know if they’re right or not. What I know Kevin is wrong about is that “never” is far too long a time frame on which to make this kind of claim. Some time over the summer I was on a panel with Tyler Cowen and he convinced me that a lot of people interested in politics spend much too much time thinking about in-the-now partisan political controversies. If you think back to the year 1602 and who was making real contributions 400 years ago, it’s not the people who played a key role in winning some early 17th century political controversies. Rather, the people who made a difference are the people who were promoting better, different ways of thinking about things. Promoting science and rational inquiry, tolerance, whatever.

It’s quite true that human beings do not have a great intuitive grasp of statistical arguments or a great love for them. But the world would be a better place if people thought of these things in a more statistically informed way. Likewise it’s true as Jon Chait says that people generally think differently about intentional murders than thinks like car crashes. But this, though it’s definitely a fact of life, is also a problem that it would be good to ameliorate over the long run. People tend to view threats stemming from identifiable, individual villains as more problematic than impersonal ones. But while this is a fact of life, it’s also a mistake. If we do something to very slightly reduce the risk of a terrorist attack that has the inadvertent consequence of causing a large number of additional highway deaths then that would be a mistake.

Health

Saving The Public Option Is A Two Step Process

Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) and Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)Last week, I suggested that progressives could salvage the vestiges of the national public health insurance option by including a provision in the final health care bill that provides start-up funds to states that choose to create state-based public options. But adding the provision may not be as easy as it seems. The Center for Policy Analysis reminds me that “Some state and local governments that have attempted to expand health care coverage have been successfully challenged in court under the terms of the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA)” and if the health care bill does not grant an “ERISA waiver” to states that chose to establish a public option, they may find themselves in court.

Congress enacted ERISA in 1974 to allow companies operating across state lines to offer uniform benefit packages. ERISA preempts states from enacting legislation if it is “related to” employee benefit plans. It reserves that right to the federal government. Section 514 of ERISA states that Title V (Administration and Enforcement) and Title IV (Fiduciary Responsibility) of ERISA “shall supersede any and all State laws insofar as they may… relate to any employee benefit plan.”

Hawaii successfully won a preemption battle in 1983 that allowed the state to enact an employer mandate, but single-payer advocates have also challenged the clause. During the House Education and Labor Committee’s mark-up, Rep Dennis Kucinich (D-OH) introduced an amendment that would authorize and require “the Secretary of Labor, in consultation with the Secretary of Health and Human Services” to waive the ERISA pre-emption (Sec. 514) for states that have enacted a state single payer system. The committee adopted the amendment, but it was left out of the final House bill.

It’s unclear if progressives have the votes to pass the state-based public option in the Senate, but if they do, they should include the ERISA waiver to ensure its viability.

Yglesias

The Constitutionality of the Filibuster

capitol1 1

I am attracted to the argument, made by Thomas Geoghagan and others that the filibuster is unconstitutional. That said, even if you want to accept the view that it’s unconstitutional, it’s not clear what the remedy would be. A case about congressional procedure would be a textbook example of a non-justiciable “political issue” that the Supreme Court wouldn’t rule on. So the claim doesn’t really get you anywhere.

I think the more relevant point is simply that contrary to what’s widely believed, filibustering is untraditional. Or, rather, the authentic tradition is that white supremacists would throw a hissy-fit when faced with civil rights legislation. On other controversial issues, from tariffs to FDR’s court-packing to the whip count for Medicare, everyone took for granted that a majority sufficed to legislate. The idea of a routine supermajority requirement isn’t something that was a part of the country’s governance for the first 200 or so years of its existence.

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