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Yglesias

India’s Response to Terrorism

It always strikes me that the United States could learn a lot from how India responds to terrorist attacks. From an outsider point of view, India seems to have a few clear priorities. They want robust economic growth. They want to maintain a clear military edge over Pakistan. They want to be able to deter a Chinese attack. And they want to be respected on the world stage as a great power. They understand that these are difficult but attainable goals. And they understand that neither Pakistan nor sundry irregular Islamist groups has it within their power to prevent India from meeting those goals. So when India’s citizens are killed by terrorists, it’s of course important to try to reduce vulnerability to future attacks, but most of all it’s important not to allow low-cost terrorist attacks to derail India’s national priorities.

US policy, by contrast, is dominated by hysteria, moralism, and a self-defeating quest for absolute security. It’s conventional wisdom that terrorism is a tool of the weak, but unwillingness to take a deep breath and realize that al-Qaeda is, in fact, weak. If we want to build a strong, prosperous, respected America then Osama bin Laden can’t stop us. He can only goad us into taking actions that undermine our strength, prosperity, and international standing.

Climate Progress

Bill Gates is wrong about “energy miracles”

To preserve a livable climate, we need technology deployment. That’s what drives innovation, as Gates himself used to argue.

So I listened to Bill Gates’ TED Speech a few hours after he gave it in Long Beach, CA.  Let’s just call that an IT miracle.

It wasn’t 80% crap like his recent piece on energy.

Quite the reverse, it was more like a miraculous ice cream cone made up of 80% homemade chocolate-chocolate chip ice cream and only 20% bat guano.  Curiously, the guano kind of stands out when you lick it, and that’s what people talk about.

Since TED is all hush-hush, most people get only the snippets the media shares, such as HuffPost’s headline:  “Bill Gates’ TED Speech 2010: ‘We Need Energy Miracles’.”  Mongabay.com reported:

Gates said the world needs to reduce carbon emissions to zero by 2050 and suggested researchers spent the next 20 years developing new technologies and the follow 20 years implementing them.

But I’ve got the scoop for you — and I’ll post the transcript when I get it.

Yes, Bill Gates keeps diminishing the value of aggressive action now, which is just plain suicidal.  We need both massive technology deployment now and much more innovation.  But the former is the sine qua non for having any chance to preserve a livable climate.  Ironically, the former is also the key to the latter, something Gates himself used to argue.  Strangely, Gates strongly praises Gore’s book even though its main thrust is directly at odds with Gates’.

This post will:

  1. Look at what’s good in the speech.
  2. Explain why “Energy Miracles” are widely overrated as a strategy for preserving a livable climate.
  3. Explain why tech deployment is the key to the kind of innovation Gates wishes for.
  4. Raise the issue some technologists have raised with me:  Is Gates is a hypocrite?

Read more

Yglesias

Is There a Green Tech Race? Does It Matter?

Kevin Drum considers the issue of does it really make sense to think of the United States as engaged in a clean tech race with China, Germany, and others. The level on which it clearly doesn’t make sense, is that China racing ahead doesn’t make us worse off. It’s not, in that sense, a real race. On the other hand, I think there are real benefits to being the first mover. One reason the US still does a lot of the high value-added stuff in product design and marketing for the sorts of gizmos that are likely to be manufactured in Asia is precisely that the United States spent decades leading the world in high-tech manufacturing. That foundation laid around a hundred years ago pays off lasting dividends today.

But fundamentally, the “race” metaphor probably makes the most sense as an analogy to something like the Olympics. People like to cheer for American athletes. And the Dutch cheer for their long-track speedskaters and the Canadians for their hockey team, and the Koreans for their short-trackers, and all the rest. On some level, it doesn’t really matter who wins. On another level, without the competitive spirit you wouldn’t have the games. So it makes for a healthy deployment of nationalist sentiments and national pride.

Yglesias

Means and Ends

A growing number of Israeli figures, including most recently Ehud Barak, have been acknowledging the untenable nature of the status quo. But few people in the Israeli political mainstream seem interested in articulating policies that fit their diagnosis. As Daniel Levy comments:

They show realist tendencies, but there is a powerful disconnect (one that was pervasive in Barak’s speech) between most of this camp’s diagnosis of the situation (an “end of the world as we know it” threat of apartheid or binationalism) and their prescription for addressing it: resume negotiations, blame the Palestinians, more of the same. It’s like telling someone they have life-threatening yet treatable cancer and prescribing two aspirins a day.

If the situation is so dire, then bolder steps are surely called for.

You see, of course, something similar in the debate among American Jews. To acknowledge in some abstract sense the need for Israel to un-settle the West Bank and retreat to morally, politically, and demographically defensible borders that leave space for a viable independent Palestine is commonplace. But many people are very uncomfortable with the idea that US policy should do anything about the situation, with the idea that the conflict has any broader negative consequences for the United States, or with anyone (and especially non-Jews) offering any rhetorically strong criticisms of Israeli conduct or questioning the good-faith of Israeli officials.

Yglesias

Does Immigration Explain Skill-Stagnation?

Back on the 12th I posted the Economic Report of the President’s skill stagnation chart:

skillstagnation

David Frum comments:

The most obvious explanation for this change: immigration. Unlike Canada and Australia, which emphasize highly skilled migrants, U.S. immigration policy is skewed in favor of the very low-skilled.

Katz & Goldin consider and reject this hypothesis on page 33 of their book:

skills

That said, I do agree with Frum that America would do well to increase the number of high-skill immigrants that we permit to enter the country. I’m not a supporter of reducing the volume of low-skill immigration (indeed, wouldn’t mind seeing more of it) but the purely economic case is even clearly that more immigration by educated people would be beneficial to most native-born Americans as well as to most low-skill immigrants to the USA. It seems particularly silly that people who come to the US on student visas and successfully obtain degrees here don’t automatically garner permission to work in America.

Security

Maddow Corrects GOP Rep. Schock On Basic Facts Of Abdulmuttalab Case

Today on Meet the Press, Rep. Aaron Schock (R-IL) had an unfortunate run-in with the facts of the Umar Farouk Abdulmuttalab case, courtesy of MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow. After listening to Schock regurgitate the current GOP talking points about how the case of Umar Farouk Abdulmuttalab shows the Obama administration’s national security policies were making Americans unsafe, Maddow challenged Schock to explain the “basis of the assertion that reading someone their Miranda rights in unsafe.”

MADDOW: What’s the basis of the assertion that reading someone their Miranda rights in unsafe? We did that with every single person who’s been arrested on terrorism charges since 9/11. No one’s ever made an issue of it until the Obama administration and this case with Abdulmuttalab. Really, what’s the problem with being read your rights that wasn’t the problem before?

SCHOCK: Well, first of all, you suggested earlier that reading someone his Miranda rights does not — has never indicated that they talk less to our intelligence folks –

MADDOW: We’ve never heard that from the FBI.

SCHOCK: The fact of the matter is we do know that after the Christmas Day bomber was read his Miranda he did in fact stop cooperating with our intelligence –

MADDOW: That’s not true, actually, it’s not what we know from the people who’ve been involved in this. The “factual” basis of this is so thin!

Watch it:

It’s unsurprising that Rep. Schock is confused as to what the “facts of the matter” are, given the intense ongoing effort by conservative operatives to misstate the facts of the case, and to misrepresent the Obama administration’s counter-terrorism approach.

As Maddow noted, according to FBI director Robert Mueller, Abdulmuttalab was not Mirandized until after he had already made clear that he was not going to talk. The idea that informing someone of his rights — which is a requirement under U.S. law — is some sort of license not to cooperate is a ridiculous conservative invention. And, as Maddow noted, it’s not something they ever had a problem with until they saw an opportunity to use it to attack Democrats.

Security

Despite Opposing Withdrawal From Iraq, Cheney Takes Credit For Withdrawal Success

Vice President Biden, appearing on Larry King earlier this week, stated, “I am very optimistic about Iraq. I think it’s going to be one of the great achievements of this administration.” This statement has been widely distorted, with claims from conservatives that the Obama administration is trying to take credit for the surge.

Biden’s comments do no such thing; instead they note that the withdrawal of American troops — something that conservatives for years have said would be a disaster — has gone very well. In February, President Obama announced a timetable for withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq — an issue that he campaigned on and was vigorously opposed by Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), who advocated keeping U.S. troops in Iraq indefinitely. Biden was pointing out that conservatives were wrong that withdrawal would, as Weekly Standard editor Bill Kristol argued, “likely lead to carnage on a scale that would dwarf what is now occurring in Iraq.”

On ABC’s This Week today, former Vice President Cheney further distorted Biden’s comments and took credit for a withdrawal plan he opposed, saying that Biden should be “thanking George Bush.” Biden, however, pushed back against Cheney’s distortions on Meet the Press and Face the Nation, maintaining that the Iraq war “wasn’t worth it.” Biden argued that the Obama administration has managed the drawdown “very very well,” noting that the administration has acted as a “catalyst” for political reconciliation, which was the source of violence and the primary obstacle to a successful withdrawal. He also pointed out that in January 2009, the Bush administration had no political plan for Iraq. Watch Cheney and Biden:

Cheney’s attempt to take credit for the withdrawal represents a total turnaround. Just last summer, Cheney worried that Iraq withdrawal will “waste all the tremendous sacrifice” of US troops. Cheney has long fear-mongered on the implication of U.S. withdrawal from Iraq. During the 2008 campaign, he even called the demands from Democrats in Congress for a timetable for withdrawal an act of “betrayal.”

Politics

Cheney criticizes Sarah Palin for suggesting a ‘war on Iran’ could win Obama reelection.

Last week, during a 25-minute interview with Fox News’s Chris Wallace, former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin said that she thinks Obama could win reelection if he “played the war card” by starting a “war on Iran.” Today, during an interview on ABC’s This Week, none other than former Vice President Cheney slammed Palin — whom he reportedly had referred to as a “reckless choice” for vice president — saying that he doesn’t think a president “can make a judgement like that on the basis of politics“:

CHENEY: I don’t think a president can make a judgment like that on the basis of politics. The stakes are too high, the consequences too significant to be treating those as simple political calculations

Watch it:

Besides apparently being more hawkish than Cheney, Palin’s record on Iran has been far from exemplary. Late last year, Palin mistook Iraq for Iran when she suggested that the U.S. has to crack down on Iraq to prevent nuclear war in Iran. In 2008, Palin appeared to claim that the U.S. needs to “win” the non-existent war with Iran.

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