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Celtics-Magic

By Matt Zeitlin

Game three of the Eastern Conference finals tips off in about twenty minutes and, even though we’re only two games in, it’s pretty safe to say that the Celtics are going to win the series, or at least are the prohibitive favorites to do so: three of the next possible five games are in Boston and the Celtics only have to win two of them. Qualitatively, the Celtics have been playing great all post season and have been quite impressive in their first two games.

But this seems to go against what we should have expected according to how the regular season played out. Remember Yglesias’s predictions which had the Magic beating the Lakers in the finals (and also the Spurs beating the Suns)? I can’t look into his brain, but I think most of this was based on the best predicative statistic in basketball: points differential. Or, to be more precise, the difference in points scored per 100 possessions and points given up per 100 possessions. The Magic during the regular season were +9.3 while the Celtics were +5.3. Obviously, one stat isn’t going to predict every single series, there’s only been two games that the Celtics have won by a combined seven points and Magic could still win, but it’s still worth noting that such a strong difference in the best predictive stat isn’t doing the best job of explaining the previous two games or what most experts think will happen in the two to five games.

But to anyone who watched the Celtics all year or just knew that their older stars were still quite skilled can’t be all that shocked. Anyone who watches Lakers games knows that there’s a lot of variance in performance, especially with older players. Obviously, looking at quantitative measures with a good predictive track records is the best way of predicting the outcome of a game and especially the outcomes of many games, but there has to be some way to incorporate these more intuitive conclusions.

But, then again, maybe the Celtics are getting lucky and the Magic will win in six.

Yglesias

Appearance Discrimination

By Matt Zeitlin

In tomorrow’s Times Book Review, Emily Bazelon has a review of Deborah Rhode’s “The Beauty Bias,” which talks about discrimination based on personal appearance. I, of course, haven’t read the book, but from the review, you can get a hint of both the scale of the problem and the limited ground for possible remediation. Here’s an explanation of how society has largely accepted the view that spending lots of time and money on ones appearance is necessary for advancement:

Cosmetic surgery has quadrupled over the last decade. Women still wear stiletto heels that ruin their feet and backs and buy any wrinkle-smoothing cream for any price. Being fat, Rhode says, continues to carry “as much stigma as AIDS, drug addiction and criminal behavior.” (Meanwhile, men walk around largely unplagued by their imperfections. Unless they’re short, in which case they suffer, too.)

It does no good to urge women to sally forth in sensible flat shoes while their hair grays and their faces prune. Feminists learned long ago that taking this line only makes enemies. Rhode has internalized the lesson. When she points out that there is no visible gray hair on the heads of any of the 16 female United States senators, ages 46 to 74, she chalks it up to “professional necessity.” Rhode herself is a blonde (I’ve met her and once edited her work for Slate). But that hasn’t saved her from “emergency remedial shopping” at the hands of her Stanford colleagues and a stylist who disastrously teased her hair before a fancy event that she was supervising for the American Bar Association’s Commission on Women in the Profession. (Yes, Rhode sees the irony in forced primping for an event to promote women’s equality.)

But then — once again according to Bazelon — Rhode makes the movie of offering the idea of allowing discrimination suits as “a solution in a limited number of rankly unfair cases” like when “a nursing school student who was expelled because officials thought her obesity made her a bad role model for patients.” But while such suits may allow for just outcomes in such cases, it doesn’t really do much about the more general problem of people thinking they have to look a certain way to be successful and thus exacting great personal, financial and emotional costs on themselves or about the fact that people who are naturally better looking just get more money throughout their lifetimes.

For example, we know from our good friend Greg Mankiw, that tall people can expect a substantial earnings premium over shorter people on account of their height. We also know that, in general, the stuff that people get rewarded for — having wealthy, well educated parents; genes that make them tall; well proportioned facial features and so on — have, in themselves, no real moral content and thus people’s claims to the goods gained due to these features are weaker than they think they are. But the disparities exist anyway, and are probably too deeply entrenched to be redressed through discrimination suits. So this just leaves us with, to evoke Yglesias, “higher taxes to finance more and better public services.”

Yglesias

And So the Introductions Continue…

By Matt Zeitlin

Hey guys, I’m Matt Zeitlin, and I will be another guest-blogger during Matt’s China junket. I’m really just here because I too have the first name Matt and so any gripes (or praise!) that usually get expressed as “Matt is ____” or “Matt says  ____” can be redirected towards me.

Slightly more seriously, I’m a sophomore at Northwestern who blogs here. I’ve written for Wunderkammer and CampusProgress and for a Northwestern online publication called North by Northwestern. Some of you long time readers probably know me from when I was 17 and Matt linked to my blog in the first week or so that I had it, which lead to a traffic peak that hasn’t been matched since then.

Just like how any one of us can’t match Yglesias’s production in sheer output, we probably can’t match his range of interests. So, along with the usual political noodling, I’ll  try to give you guys the requisite philosophy and basketball posts you have come to expect.

One more thing: I’m from the Bay Area, so expect the occasional Bay Area hip hop post. Like this one.

Yglesias

Now here’s a funky introduction of how nice I am…

By Jamelle Bouie

Hello everyone!  Before I begin, I want to give quick thanks to Matt for letting us guest blog; I’m pretty excited about being here.

I don’t have much to share introductions wise, so this should be short and sweet.  I am a political blogger and occasional freelance writer (I have a day job, but it’s not nearly interesting enough to share).  You can usually find me at  my blog, the United States of Jamerica, or PostBourgie where I occasionally contribute.  As far as guestblogging is concerned, I have — along with Dara — recently blogged for Spencer Ackerman and Alyssa Rosenberg.  Generally, I focus on progressive politics, public policy and assorted nerdy things.  Additionally, you can expect plenty of references to hip-hop (see above), science fiction, or some combination of the two.

In any case, I’m looking forward to sharing my perspective with y’all, and with any luck, this will be fun and enjoyable for everyone!

Yglesias

Introduce, Baby, Introduce!

By Satyam Khanna

Hello Yglesias readers! First, a special thanks to Matt for this opportunity to fill in for him while he is on his China junket. When he asked me to blog for him, the first thing I thought was, “Jesus, how am I going to keep up with Matt’s pace?” So, we’ll at least make an attempt.

In my previous life, before heading off to law school, I spent two years as a blogger for ThinkProgress, where I had a great time needling the angry right with Matt, Ryan, and Ali…so much so that I became one of the stars of an anonymous right-wing hate video (we still don’t know who took the time to make it, but suffice it to say that he or she has a lot of time to waste) accusing me of being part of a conspiracy with fellow non-caucasian bloggers to destroy America:

It’s all very plausible, right? Apparently, I was “working in the shadows” by posting on a well-read political blog.

Looking forward to returning to the blogosphere for a few days. And feel free to contact me.

Climate Progress

President’s weekly address: “First and foremost, what led to this disaster was a breakdown of responsibility on the part of BP and perhaps others, including Transocean and Halliburton.”

Obama misses another chance to reframe the debate

But even as we continue to hold BP accountable, we also need to hold Washington accountable….

If the laws on our books are inadequate to prevent such an oil spill, or if we didn’t enforce those laws – I want to know it.  I want to know what worked and what didn’t work in our response to the disaster, and where oversight of the oil and gas industry broke down. We know, for example, that a cozy relationship between oil and gas companies and agencies that regulate them has long been a source of concern.

In his weekly address (video below), Obama makes clear who is primarily to blame here (see “Should you believe anything BP says?“).

But he has taken a bold step to ensure that the country learns about all of the mistakes made this devastating environmental disaster, including those by his Administration.

Read more

Politics

Rove Ludicrously Claims Bush White House Never Questioned Opponents’ ‘Motives’ Or Called Them Names

Rove3 Former White House advisor Karl Rove made a name for himself as President Bush’s “architect” by employing underhanded tactics to win elections and smear opponents. So it was startling that during a book signing in Oklahoma this week Rove declared that Bush “never allowed” staffers to call their opposition “disparaging labels,” or “question their motives“:

“President Bush, for example, never allowed a White House staffer or administration spokesman to go out and do what this administration and our predecessor routinely did — that is to engage in calling the leaders of the opposition party disparaging labels and question their motives,” he said.

As The Oklahoman’s Ryan Dean noted, “In fact, Rove and other members of the Bush administration were routinely critical of opponents to the Iraq war and questioned their patriotism.” In a 2007 speech, Rove directly challenged the “motives” of his political opponents when he implied that Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL) intentionally used rhetoric that would endanger American soldiers:

”Let me just put this in fairly simple terms: Al Jazeera now broadcasts the words of Senator Durbin to the Mideast, certainly putting our troops in greater danger. No more needs to be said about the motives of liberals.

During the 2008 campaign, Rove cast doubt on now-President Obama’s patriotism by attacking him for not wearing a flag pin — even though Rove wasn’t wearing one at the time — and criticized Michelle Obama for not showing “adequate enough” patriotism after she had given a lengthy speech professing her love of country.

And in the very same speech where Rove touted the honesty of the Bush White House, Rove falsely attributed a statement to President Obama that was actually made by Michelle.

Yglesias

Further Introductions

By Dara Lind

Hey there, everyone. I am more than psyched to be here; many thanks to Matt for bringing us on, and to y’all in advance for putting up with us.

I’m Dara. By day I work in immigration advocacy; by night I’m an editor at Wunderkammer. I lack Ryan and Ali’s distinguished Think Progress pedigrees, but I’ve recently become something of an itinerant blogger. Most recently, you might have seen me guestblogging for Spencer Ackerman about immigration policy, social criticism and baseball, or for Alyssa Rosenberg about reading, gender norms and, erm, baseball. That’s a pretty good summary of my interests, though I’ve also taken it as my mandate to up the panda content of this blog. I have it on good authority that Matt will not be visiting any pandas over the course of his trip (not even Butterstick!), and gosh darn it, somebody’s got to hold down the fort:

If pandas aren’t your thing, sorry. Hopefully our combined guestblogging forces can provide something for everyone.

Politics

BP’s name being dragged ‘literally through the muck.’

Yesterday, BP Chief Operating Officer Doug Suttles expressed his optimism that both his company and the Gulf will “will fully recover.” While BP’s handsome profits will almost assuredly allow the company to survive the disaster, the impact on the Gulf caused by the release of 60 million gallons of oil is another matter. The ecological catastrophe will drag “BP’s reputation literally through the muck,” observes The Wonk Room’s Brad Johnson. Some images from the Gulf region:


BP in the sand
A pool of oil on a beach at the mouth of the Mississippi River on Monday (Getty)
  Damn BP! God Bless America!
A sign south of Belle Chasse, LA, on Thursday (AP)
Greenpeace takes over BP
Greenpeace protesters take over BP headquarters in London on Thursday (AP)
Beyond Petroleum?
Marine scientist Paul Horsman at the mouth of the Mississippi River on Monday (Greenpeace)

Yglesias

More Guestblogger Introductions!

By Ali Frick

Hello fellow Yglesias readers. I’m excited to join you this week! I know Matt from working with him at CAP, where I blogged for ThinkProgress for two years before before leaving to start law school at Yale. I’ve just finished my first year and hope that it hasn’t wiped all interesting thoughts from my brain. I guess we’ll find out shortly.

My interests include criminal justice reform, novels, exposing the madness of the right wing agenda, the Civil War, and Friday Night Lights (the TV show). Let’s hope that’s enough to get us through Matt’s absence!

To start off, dear readers, let’s engage in an exchange: I’m offering a few good summer reading suggestions, and you should offer your own ideas in the comments section. Since novels are so often neglected on this blog, let’s try to up the fiction quotient!

The Age of Innocence, Edith Wharton: Somehow in 16 years of education I never had to read this for school. I just read it on the beach and was so tickled to find a Victorian novel of manners and rituals set right in our own New York. Screw London and the heaths of England!

Empire Falls, Richard Russo: A beautiful story full of rich, real characters that you won’t want to put down — especially when the action picks up toward the end.

A Voyage Long and Strange, Tony Horowitz: Though non-fiction, this is a truly fun story about an entirely neglected period of American history that seeks to answer the question: What happened between Columbus’ landing in 1492 and Plymouth Rock nearly two centuries later?

The Story of Edgar Sawtelle, David Wroblewski: There’s a reason it’s a best-seller. And don’t be put off by the fact it was an Oprah book, nor that it’s about dogs. As neither an animal nor Oprah lover, I could not put down this book, and wept at its ending.

Worse Than Slavery, David Oshinksy: So it’s not the most uplifting read, but for a disturbing look at the racist foundations of our criminal justice system, there’s no comparison. As we spend the summer debating the future of the highest court in the land, it’s a great reminder of the power — for good and evil — that the law wields over us, and its real origins.

War and Peace, Tolstoy (trans. by Pevear and Volokhonsky): There is no better summer read than this, nothing that comes close to the drama, heartbreak, and beauty. It’s a giant love-story: The size makes it seem difficult when really it is nothing but a soap opera — the kind you never, ever want to end.

Anything and everything by Margaret Atwood: Like suspenseful plots? Enjoy expertly-crafted female characters? Love falling into a book and never wanting to emerge? Then there’s no one better than Atwood. Seriously. Especially The Blind Assassin, Oryx and Crake, The Handmaid’s Tale, The Year of the Flood, and Alias Grace.

Next on my list: Battle Cry of Freedom and Olive Kitteridge. What are you reading?

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