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Yglesias

Why Doesn’t Anyone Care About Serious International Relations Scholarship

The APSA discussion on journalism and political science wound up focusing very heavily on work that’s done in the “American politics” subfield, but as Robert Farley points out there are questions to be asked about the lack of engagement with the other branches of political science as well:

The question of subfield prominence also bears more attention. By and large, IR and comparative haven’t had the same impact on the journalist community in either their quantitative or qualitative forms. I think that several major concepts/grand theories from both comparative and IR have found their way into the general policy conversation (deterrence theory, for example) but it’s more difficult to find uses of clear, sound political science research. IPE might be an exception to this. The immense political science literature on ethnic conflict seems utterly detached from the way that ethnic conflict is treated in the popular media.

I think you find almost no journalistic interest in comparative politics scholarship as just part and parcel of the overall solipsism of American popular political debates which take place in a kind of comparison-free void. The IR scholarship issue is quite different, since there’s tons and tons of journalistic work on subject matter to which scholarly IR research is plainly present. And the issue here, I think, is really primarily one of politics. The kinds of policy approaches that find support in the IR literature or can be usefully illuminated through it are just too far off the center of the American political consensus.

One reason that the field of economics plays a prominent role in popular discussions of politics is that you can find very credible academic economists with PhDs and everything on both sides of most of the big partisan battles in Washington. But that’s not really the case on the foreign policy side. The intellectual basis of modern-day rightwing foreign policy is DC think tanks and magazines and has nothing to do with scholarly controversies. This is a very very very bad thing for the world and leads us into some catastrophically misguided policy choices, and it also means that journalists attention tends to be focused on the bounds of the politicized DC debate which is unusually isolated from scholarly approaches to these topics.

Yglesias

Stephen Cohen

A friend of mine was expressing amazement last night that Brad DeLong’s coauthor on The End of Influence had also managed to write Soviet Fates and Lost Alternatives: From Stalinism to the New Cold War and do all this good work for the Brookings Institution.

I had to tell him those are actually three different people, Stephen S Cohen the economist, Stephen F Cohen the Russian historian, and Stephen P Cohen the Brookings South Asia analyst. It turns out to be even more confusing than that, because some of the work I’d mentally attributed to Stephen P Cohen is actually the work of the other Stephen P Cohen, who’s a mideast specialist.

Long story short: Too many guys with this name! It’s overtaken the “Romer”-complex in confusingness.

Yglesias

Blair: Cheney Wanted War With Syria

225px-46_Dick_Cheney_3x4

The only real surprise here is that it’s no surprise at all:

Syria always feared that the White House of George W Bush and Dick Cheney would invade Damascus once it had dispatched with Baghdad in 2003 and, in his newly released memoirs, the former British prime minister Tony Blair confirmed those fears were well founded.

Describing the former US vice president as an advocate of “hard, hard power”, Mr Blair said Damascus was next on Mr Cheney’s hit list.

He would have worked through the whole lot, Iraq, Syria, Iran, dealing with all their surrogates in the course of it – Hizbollah, Hamas, etc,” Mr Blair wrote in his autobiography, A Journey. “In other words, he thought the whole world had to be made anew, and that after September 11, it had to be done by force and with urgency.”

One of the aspects of the Iraq disaster that hasn’t really penetrated the American psyche in an adequate way is the degree to which this kind of erratic belligerence undermined global nonproliferation goals. In a world where the United States initiates aggressive wars unilaterally, nuclear weapons become a vital source of security and responsible and patriotic leaders of all sorts of countries are going to want to at least keep the door open to WMD acquisition.

Justice

Judges Deny Stem Cell Plaintiffs’ Motion To Stack Panel

stem-cell-harvestEarlier this week, the Wonk Room noted that the plaintiffs seeking to end all federal embryonic stem cell funding requested that the same three right-wing judges who handled a preliminary issue in this case be reassigned to hear the case again.  To those judges’ credit, they denied this request:

Opponents of stem cell research that uses discarded or unwanted embryos have failed in their bid to, in essence, hand pick the judges who will hear an appeal of a lower court’s groundbreaking ruling barring federal funding of all embryonic stem cell research.

The request got some attention, since it seemed to be a bid to guarantee a conservative panel to take up Lamberth’s ruling and perhaps the Justice Department’s request for a stay that would allow the status quo policy to go remain in place while the appeal is heard. . . .

However, it doesn’t seem to have been reported that on Thursday the three GOP appointees passed up their right under court rules to reclaim the case. So the appeal and possibly the stay will go to a randomly-selected panel, which may or may not include some of the original judges but is highly unlikely to be exactly the same as the original panel.

The practical effect of this decision is that the case is still likely to be heard by a conservative panel — six of the DC Circuit’s nine active judges were appointed by conservative presidents, and those six judges include some of the most right-wing judges in the country.  Nevertheless, the panel that the plaintiffs were seeking is unusually conservative even for this very conservative court.

The three judges did not explain why they denied the motion, but such denials without explanation are not uncommon for this kind of judicial order.  One possible explanation is that they understood that granting the motion would create a bad precedent that could be used against them in future cases.  If conservative plaintiffs can hand-pick a panel of conservative judges to hear their appeal, than what prevents left-leaning plaintiffs from locking in their own preferred panel in a future case?

Hopefully, when a new panel finally decides whether to reinstate funding for stem cell research, that panel will be equally aware of the fact that bad precedents lead to bad consequences down the road.

The primary legal question in this appeal is whether judges are required to defer to the Clinton, Bush and Obama Administration’s interpretation of a federal law, or whether judges can substitute their own views for that of three ideologically diverse administrations.  This should be an easy question because a landmark Supreme Court decision called Chevron v. NRDC establishes that judges are supposed to pay a great deal of deference to a federal agency’s interpretation of the law.  Were a conservative panel to refuse to pay such deference in a case brought by conservatives, there is little to prevent a left-leaning panel from doing the same when the shoe is on the other foot.

Yglesias

Body Mass Index

The “body mass index” gauge of obesity is easy to calculate, but that very same simplicity means it has some obvious limitations as a metric. Still, it seems to me that it’s a very useful one and much of the criticism misguided for reasons that Monica Lastnameunknowntome explains well at Feministe:

Here’s my response: of course it is. It’s an index. This is what indexes do, they aggregate individual pieces of information to tell you something about a whole. The BMI was never intended to be used as a measure of personal health, but was instead meant to tell us something about entire populations. It’s usefulness on that score remains intact: you can broadly say that, if America’s BMI average is increasing, Americans are getting fatter. Unless it can be explained by something else, like a population-wide protein-shake/weight-training-routine frenzy, which is unlikely to happen.

Similarly, these international comparisons of BMI are telling us something meaningful:

File:Bmi30chart 1

It’s simply not the case that very-high BMI is so much more common in the United States than in France because Americans are all incredibly muscular compared to French people. Admittedly, it would be nice to have more sophisticated information on this subject, but public health is an important subject and it’s necessary to draw some conclusions based on available data.

Politics

GOP Establishment Derides Delaware Tea Party Candidate As ‘Reckless,’ ‘Hypocritical,’ And ‘Dishonest’

Tea Party candidate Christine O'Donnell

Tea Party candidate Christine O'Donnell

Fresh off its victory over Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), the Tea Party Express is setting its sights on taking down Rep. Mike Castle (R-DE) in Delaware’s Republican Senate primary. Castle, regarded as the moderate in the race, is facing a spirited challenge from Tea Party candidate Christine O’Donnell. A new poll shows the race within single digits and the Tea Party Express is committing over $250,000 on O’Donnell’s behalf.

As with Tea Party candidates Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, Mike Lee in Utah, Rand Paul in Kentucky, Ken Buck in Colorado, Joe Miller in Alaska, and Marco Rubio in Florida, the Republican establishment is trying to fend off O’Donnell’s primary candidacy. However, rather than learn from these defeats and take a more muted approach in future contested primaries, the Republican establishment is doubling down on its anti-Tea Party strategy.

Yesterday, the Republican Party of Delaware released a statement, calling O’Donnell “reckless,” “hypocritical,” and “dishonest”:

As the facts continue to emerge regarding perennial candidate Christine O’Donnell’s reckless and hypocritical behavior, I wanted to highlight some of the key media coverage her dishonest campaign has received over the last 24 hours…

Days earlier, Delaware GOP Chairman Tom Ross derided O’Donnell as a “troubled perennial candidate” who is “not electable in Delaware or anywhere else for that matter”:

Ross noted ‘while it is disappointing that the Tea Party Express has not done any due diligence on troubled perennial candidate Christine O’Donnell, it is our hope that they will investigate her half-truths and outright lies before squandering tens of thousands of dollars on a candidate who is not electable in Delaware or anywhere else for that matter.’

Indeed, the Delaware GOP doesn’t even list O’Donnell as a candidate on its website.

As Dave Weigel notes, these statements are “some swipe from the GOP.” If O’Donnell wins next Tuesday’s primary, will the Delaware GOP even support a candidate they view as dishonest and unelectable?

Yglesias

Dual Stimulus

printing-money1 1

As I said on Thursday, the most potent kind of stimulus is money-financed fiscal policy where you have the government print money and deploy the newly printed money to purchase goods and services. Our actual institutions don’t work that way, but contemplating such an effort is one of the quickest ways to see the problem with the fallacy of “the money has to come from somewhere”.

Greg Ip reports from the monetary policy at Jackson Hole on a more institutionally realistic variant of this idea:

If Q[uantitative] E[asing] cannot spur private demand on its own, combining it with looser fiscal policy may help. If the private sector will not spend, the government can do it instead, borrowing to cut taxes, send cheques to households, build infrastructure or even extinguish underwater mortgages. QE prevents all that borrowing from driving up long-term interest rates.

This kind of thing, incidentally, is why despite the operational independence of the central bank the wise president will still want to ensure that the Board of Governors is largely stocked with people who share his worldview. Re-appointing your much more conservative predecessor’s choice for Chair and then going all the way through the midterms without getting candidates for the other vacancies confirmed is not consistent with this approach.

Climate Progress

Chuck Hagel says GOP is not “presenting any alternatives, any new options or any new thinking”

David Stockman recently explained “How my Republican Party destroyed the American economy.” So you’ll be delighted to know that the party has no new thinking at all on what to do now, as TP reports in this cross-post.call 1800

noideas Former Sen. Chuck Hagel (R-NE), the chairman of the Atlantic Council, recently sat down for an interview with the Washington Diplomat. In the interview, the former senator touched on a variety of topics, including what he feels is the need for the United States to “unwind” from the war in Afghanistan.

Towards the end of the interview, Hagel says that while he has “no plans to renounce his membership in the party,” he finds that the Republican Party of which he is a part is not “presenting any new alternatives, any new options, or any new thinking“:

Read more

Climate Progress

The dirty oil coalition behind the Proposition 23 effort to stop clean energy just got a lot dirtier

Koch Industries joins Valero and Tesoro to stop climate action

No to Proposition 23!On Friday, September 03 Thomas F. Steyer, Co-Chair of the No on 23 Campaign and Paul Knepprath, Vice President for advocacy and health initiatives for the California chapter of the American Lung Association held a press call to discuss the latest donations to the Yes on 23 campaign to repeal California’s key climate and clean energy laws.

“The dirty oil coalition behind prop 23 just got a lot dirtier,” said Knepprath, referring to the $1 million contribution that Koch Industries made to the Yes on 23 campaign a day earlier. The campaign is supporting a passage of proposition 23 that was placed on the ballot by Texas oil companies.  The proposition would undo California’s Global Warming Solutions Act (also known as Assembly Bill 32, or AB 32).

Koch Industries is one of the biggest polluters in the country and is ranked the biggest spending dirty energy company.  In fact, Koch Industries outspends Exxon Mobil on climate and clean energy disinformation.  Yesterday, in addition to Koch, Tesoro donated another $1 million bringing the total contributions to the Yes on 23 campaign to more than $8 million – 97% of which comes from oil and 89% of which comes from out of state.  Valero, Tesoro and Koch alone have funded more than $6.5 million – 80% of total contributions.

Read more

Yglesias

Koch Industries Trying to Kill California Climate Legislation

8. Charles and David Koch 1

I think that reading the Koch brothers’ contributions to political advocacy causes as solely motivated by narrow economic self-interest is both hard to fit with the facts and also grounded in a somewhat implausible view of human psychology. People prefer to situate their activities inside a principled worldview that naturally includes some elements that are unmoored from direct self-interest. That doesn’t mean, however, that self-interest is irrelevant. And it certainly doesn’t mean that people should accept Julian Sanchez’ contention that the Koch brothers’ backing of a broad libertarian ideology is something they do to the exclusion of conventional rent-seeking:

A company owned by oil billionaires Charles and David Koch has contributed $1 million to Proposition 23, a November ballot initiative to suspend California’s groundbreaking 2006 global-warming law.

The contribution came from Flint Hills Resources LP, based in Wichita, Kan., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Koch Industries, the nation’s second-largest private company, with estimated annual revenue of $100 billion. It was posted online Thursday by the California secretary of state.

At any rate, everyone I know who’s ever received Koch money is aghast at the suggestion that their integrity might in any way be compromised by said funding. But that’s just not how the world works. The point is that thanks in part funding dynamics, you couldn’t very well be working at the Cato Institute and start doing a lot of writing about how one reason libertarians ought to ally themselves with the progressive coalition in the United States is that unregulated carbon dioxide emissions constitute a massive violation of the property rights of the adversely effected politicians. Indeed, people get sacked for lesser offenses.

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