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Health

Cornyn Tries To Temper Repeal Expectations

Sam Stein notes that Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) — who had been cool to the idea of repealing health care reform from the very beginning — is trying to temper expectations for what Republican will be able to achieve if they do win back the House after the mid-term elections. Here he is on the News Hour:

CORNYN: The fact of the matter, though, is that President Obama will remain president of the United States and he could veto any legislation we were able to pass. Even if we controlled the House, unless we controlled the Senate and got 60 votes, we wouldn’t be able to pass any corresponding legislation in the Senate. So I think, we need to keep expectations, again, fairly modest as far as what we can do over the next two years. I think it is a chance to work together with the president if he wants to work with us like President Clinton did following the 1994 election to pass things like welfare reform on a bipartisan basis. But, I think, if the president doesn’t reach across the aisle and actually try to do things on a bipartisan basis, the likelihood is that not a whole lot of legislating will be done.”

Watch it (at 7 minutes):

Indeed, as the administration itself has argued, defunding the law will probably be easier than repealing it, but it’s still unclear that Republicans will try to seriously pursue their Tea Party inspired agenda once in power.

Before signing repeal and replace pledges in preparation for the campaign season, the GOP was far more realistic about what it could and should accomplish. By March, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) reassured CNN’s John King that “repeal and replace will be the slogan for the fall,” but in January the party didn’t want to campaign on full repeal. On January 13th, young guns Eric Cantor (R-VA) and Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) told Politico’s Mike Allen that Republicans “WILL NOT campaign for full health care repeal, but will demand partial repeal, including mandates for health coverage.” And realistically that’s all they’ll be able to accomplish — if they can overcome all of these challenges first.

Politics

Rep. Broun Claims Federal Government Will Be Calling Your House Every Day To Make Sure You Eat Your Veggies

Earlier this month, Rep. Paul Broun (R-GA) held an America Speaks Out town hall at the Elberton Civic Center in Elberton, Georgia to discuss various issues with constituents. At one point, Broun made the wild claim to his constituents that the federal government, through the Centers for Disease Control, would be calling Americans every single day to make sure they eat their fruits and vegetables. Broun called this “socialism of the highest order”:

BROUN: I tell ya, we’ve got some new problems in Washington. Big problems. Just today, Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta said people in America are not eating enough fruits and vegetables. They want to give all the power to the federal government to force you to eat more fruits and vegetables. This is what the federal, CDC, they gonna be calling you to make sure you eat fruits and vegetables, every day. This is socialism of the highest order!

Watch it:

Needless to say, the federal government is not going to deploy the doctors and scientists of the CDC to call every American in the country every single day to make sure they eat their fruits and vegetables. But the CDC is running a public awareness campaign highlighting the various benefits to a healthier diet, and has even assembled a convenient list of recipies that Americans can use to take advantage of fruits and vegetables in their diet. Given that September is Fruits and Veggies More Matters month, perhaps Broun — who is a medical doctor by trade — should be giving his constituents tips about eating healthier instead of scaring them about the nonexistent threat of the federal government forcing them to eat their vegetables.

Economy

Coburn Blocks Fully-Offset Bill Funding Discrimination Settlement With Black Farmers

Yesterday, before the Senate’s pre-election adjournment, Senate Democrats attempted to pass legislation funding a pair of multi-billion dollar lawsuit settlements with black farmers and Native Americans. The settlements were part of “a discrimination suit filed by black farmers against the Agriculture Department” and “a case involving mismanagement of trust funds that Indian tribes filed against the Interior Department.”

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) had worked out some differences on the legislation with Sens. John Barrasso (R-WY), Jon Kyl (R-AZ), and Chuck Grassley (R-IA), and was ready to pass the bill by unanimous consent. But then along came Sen. Tom “Dr. No” Coburn (R-OK) who objected to the motion to approve the bill.

In May, Coburn blocked the same bill, objecting to the fact that the authorized payments weren’t offset with budget cuts elsewhere. This time, the bill was fully offset, but still Coburn objected. “We changed the offsets to address the concerns of Senators Grassley and Kyl in an effort to try to pass the legislation. We also addressed the concerns of Senator Barrasso and were very close to passing the legislation before we left last night. Unfortunately at the 11th hour, Senator Coburn objected,” Reid’s Deputy Communications Director Regan Lachapelle told me in an email.

This is, of course, nothing new for Coburn, who earlier this month objected to the passage of a much-needed food safety bill, saying that he took issue with the cost. That bill was also fully offset with budget cuts elsewhere. However, Coburn is not alone in his crusade to deny payments to farmers who were discriminated against by the USDA or Native Americans whose land trusts were woefully managed.

Yesterday, a cadre of House Republicans alleged that this particular settlement process is rife with “massive and widespread fraud and abuse.” Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA) — who appeared alongside Tea Party-darlings and conspiracy theorists Reps. Steve King (R-IA) and Michele Bachmann (R-MN) — said that the Obama administration “should put the brakes on this. [Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack] should not be asking the Congress to sweep money into this.”

Even Grassley doesn’t buy that preventing fraudulent settlement payments and having the funding move forward are mutually exclusive. “People who aren’t entitled to it shouldn’t get it, and that should be the Department of Agriculture’s responsibility and the court’s responsibility,” he said. But it seems that even righting past federal wrongs is too much to ask of the current Republican caucus.

Politics

Merkley: Senate Obstructionism Is ‘Damaging the Other Two Branches of Government’

Speaking at an event hosted by the Center for American Progress Action Fund this week, Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) warned that Senate obstructionism has become so severe that it is hollowing out the other branches of government:

It’s absolutely impossible to make the Senate any less deliberative than it is at this moment . … I want to add that this isn’t just about the Senate and legislation.  This is about the judiciary and the executive branches, because we are unable to confirm the nominations for the courts.  We’re unable to confirm the nominations for the President’s team, and that is outrageous that the Senate, in its role of consulting and confirming, is basically damaging the other two branches of government.

Watch it:

Merkley is right. Although Sen. Jim DeMint’s (R-SC) megolomaniacal decision to block all bills that he has not personally approved may be the most dramatic example of widespread Senate obstructionism, conservatives began sabotaging the Senate the minute that President Obama took office.  As Attorney General Eric Holder noted yesterday, judicial confirmations have slowed to such a glacial pace that fully half of all federal judgeships will be vacant by 2020 unless the pace improves.

Such obstructionism works because the Senate Rules allow the minority to delay all Senate business by up to 30 hours every time the Senate votes to confirm just one nominee.  A new president must fill approximately one thousand Senate confirmed jobs over the course of their first term.  So when you multiply the 30 hours of wasted time across all one thousand nominees, it adds up to more time than the Senate is in session for two entire presidential terms:

TyrannyofTime_webcharts-01

Politics

WSJ’s Jonathan Weisman Pens False Hit Piece On Electoral Impact Of ‘Loyalty To Obama’

In Wall Street Journal news article, political reporter Jonathan Weisman claims that “loyalty to Obama costs Democrats,” blaming votes for President Obama’s signature legislative accomplishments. Citing votes on health care, the recovery act, financial regulation, and climate change, Weisman relates the electoral chances of Rep. Patrick Murphy (D-PA) — a “loyal backer of President Barack Obama’s agenda” — and Rep. Jason Altmire (D-PA) — who is “running away from the president.” Both were elected in 2006, but Murphy is now “facing the fight of his life” and Altmire is “running away” with his race:

In their contrasting fates lie broader lessons for the coming midterms: Live by the president and you could die by the president. Democrats who have been thorns in the president’s side are doing well in some of the toughest districts for their party, from Alabama to the steel belt of western Pennsylvania. But swing-district Democrats who have voted with the president in Congress are struggling, even if they’re now asserting their independence.

Weisman repeats his assertion throughout the article, saying “resistance to the agenda is rewarding some House Democrats as the midterm elections approach” and that there is a “pattern of opponents of the Obama agenda doing better than supporters in conservative and swing districts.” Weisman’s article is accompanied by an impressive-looking chart of 11 Democrats, purporting to prove that “[i]n swing districts, House Democrats who’ve resisted some party initiatives are polling strongly” — and those who supported Obama’s agenda are in trouble.

The problem is that Weisman’s claim relies on misleadingly cherry-picked data. As Weisman points out, there are Obama supporters in conservative districts that are expected by polling mavens such as 538′s Nate Silver or Charlie Cook to lose — Murphy, Rep. Tom Perriello (D-VA), Rep. Steve Driehaus (D-OH), and Rep. Betsy Markey (D-CO). But there are also Democrats in conservative districts who supported all of Obama’s top priorities that are expected to win — such as Rep. Phil Hare (D-IL), Rep. Zack Space (D-OH), Rep. Gary Peters (D-MI), and Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-AZ).

And just as there are House Democrats who sometimes voted against Obama’s signature agenda that are doing well — Altmire, Rep. Health Shuler (D-NC), Rep. Larry Kissell (D-NC), Rep. Walt Minnick (D-ID) — there are those who are struggling — Rep. Chet Edwards (D-TX), Rep. Frank Kratovil (D-MD), Rep. Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D-SD), Rep. Harry Mitchell (D-AZ), Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-AZ), Rep. Lincoln Davis (D-TN), and Rep. Jim Marshall (D-GA).

Although Weisman points out Rep. Travis Childers (D-MS) as someone who is “running strongly” and Rep. Bobby Bright (D-AL) as “strongly in the running,” Nate Silver projects both Childers and Bright are highly likely to lose.

In fact, one of the entries in Weisman’s chart — Rep. Dina Titus (D-NV) — is shown as supporting all of Obama’s agenda and leading in her re-election campaign in a politically contested, economically devastated district:

Dina Titus

Even Weisman’s own cherry-picked data refutes the premise of his article. The reality is that there’s just no apparent statistical correlation between these four votes and the re-election chances of Democrats in tough districts. The dominant factor affecting this mid-term election is the stagnant economy, which Republicans correctly calculated would hurt the majority party more than the minority, and thus obstructed a stronger recovery package, a stronger Wall Street reform package, stronger health care legislation, clean energy jobs, ending tax cuts on the rich, closing corporate loopholes, and a host of other policies which would have created more jobs faster.

It’s possible that some influence of voting record on political viability could be found after the election results are in, but Weisman’s article is unsupportable as written.

Yglesias

Endgame

Don’t you want to?

— At long last empirical proof that Harvard is better than Yale.

— And I agree that legacy preferences in college admissions are scandalous.

Coalition politics.

Does it matter how many people call themselves conservative?

— Washington, DC’s likely new congressional overlord.

— The Gowanus canal.

— Netherlands coalition deal appears to finally be in place.

Taxpayer receipt seems like a good idea.

Sohodolls, “Bang Bang Bang Bang”

Climate Progress

UK’s Royal Society wastes everyone’s time with bland, pointless, and confused ‘summary’ of climate science

If you didn’t read the 2007 IPCC report — and won’t read the scientific literature since then — there might be a microscopic chance you would gain some value from skimming the Royal Society’s “new short guide to the science of climate change.”

The headline over at the mostly widely read — and most widely discredited — website for spreading pro-pollution, anti-science disinformation, WattsUpWithThat, tells you all you need to know, “The Royal Society’s Toned Down Climate Stance.”  The Brits own anti-sciencer disinformers, Lord Lawson’s Global Warming Policy Foundation, brag, “Royal Society Bows To Climate Change Sceptics.”

A long, long time ago on planet Earth, June 2007, to be exact, the UK’s Royal Society (the UK’s national academy of science, “the world’s oldest scientific academy in continuous existence,” founded in 1660), had something called a Royal Society Climate Change Advisory Group, which released a “simple guide” to climate controversies.  It was “an overview of the scientific understanding of climate change aimed at helping non-experts to better understand some of the debates in this complex area of science.  It debunked several standard pieces of disinformation and concluded:

Read more

Yglesias

So You Say You Want a Cheaper Dollar?

printing-money1 1

In a TAP column, I write that if politicians want a cheaper dollar (and they should) there’s a better way than threatening tariffs:

The problem with the bill in Congress is that the proposed solution misses the mark. Threatening to slap high taxes on Chinese-made goods could cause the Chinese government to change its approach. By the same token, threatening to shoot a nuclear missile at Beijing could also produce such an effect. Or it might lead to a downward spiral of retaliation and recrimination that only makes things worse. At the end of the day, putting higher taxes on Chinese-made goods is only going to make things worse for American consumers and Chinese workers alike. The proposition that it will help U.S. manufacturers is based on the dubious notion that U.S.-China trade is mostly in identical goods. Realistically, the main consequences of a trade war would be Americans purchasing more stuff from countries that are similar to China (Vietnam, Bangladesh) while China buys more from Canada, Europe, and Japan.

The good news is that there’s a better way. The spectacle of the world’s only superpower puzzling over the best way to reduce the value of our own currency is slightly bizarre. To be crude about it, you make dollars less valuable by having the Federal Reserve print more dollars, not by complaining to China. In technical terms, there are a number of ways you could achieve this. One is what’s known as unsterilized foreign-exchange interventions. Another is Joe Gagnon’s idea for bond purchases. The Fed can even print money and buy people’s old socks with it. The point is that more dollars equals less valuable dollars. The result would be modest inflation in the United States — which as Paul Krugman explains would be a good thing on its own terms. Then the only way for China to prop up the dollar would be to create ruinous inflation in its own country, which there would be no good reason to do. Problem solved.

I didn’t get into this in the column, but even though the bill that passed the House yesterday would make a bad law I think it’s arguably a good thing that it passed just in terms of the signal it sends to the Chinese. But it’s still bizarre that we’re running around talking about coercing China into allowing the dollar to devalue. This is still the world’s only superpower and there’s nothing stopping us from doing it unilaterally. Instead of hectoring the People’s Bank of China, Congress should hector the Fed.

Media

Rove: O’Donnell Has Sean Hannity To Thank If She Wins Senate Seat In Delaware

karl_roveKarl Rove got into trouble with his right-wing friends earlier this month when he attacked GOP U.S. Senate candidate in Delaware, Christine O’Donnell, after she won the state’s primary, stating that she’s a bad candidate who has “serious character problems.” While Rove was in the process of walking back that criticism, Sarah Palin advised O’Donnell to only “speak through Fox News” after a series of unflattering stories emerged. Last week, she did just that. The GOP senate candidate gave what she claimed would be her last national media interview to Fox’s Sean Hannity.

Today on Hannity’s radio show, Rove continued his walk-back campaign, saying that she had successfully answered her character questions during her interview with Hannity. But Perhaps Rove may have dug himself another hole with the pro-O’Donnell crowd, suggesting that if she wins her Senate race in Delaware, it would have nothing to do with her:

ROVE: If she wins, the moment that she began to win was the moment she appeared on your television program and you asked her the tough questions and rather than ignoring them as she had in the past she confronted them and put these character questions in the most sympathetic light possible. So if she wins, she’s going to have to come come back and thank you profusely for having gotten her on the right course. You can’t solve a problem without acknowledging the problem and on your program she acknowledged the problem and put them in the most favorable light.

Listen here:

Regardless of where Rove stands with his friends on the O’Donnell issue, the former Bush aide is essentially acknowledging what President Obama said in a recent interview with Rolling Stone, that Fox News is promoting the GOP “point of view.” While Hannity attacked the President for his comments yesterday, he didn’t take issue with Rove’s analysis.

Health

21 Of 22 States Suing Over Health Reform Begin Planning For Exchanges With Federal Funds

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced today that it would distribute $49 million in planning grants to help 48 states — 21 of which are suing the federal government over the constitutionality of the Affordable Care Act — “to invest in research and planning to get the Exchanges up and running” by 2014. “In my month on the job, I’ve been out meeting with the sates and I’ve seen near universal support for the exchanges and a strong state interest for moving forward on a state-by-sate basis,” Joel Ario, director of the Office of Insurance Exchange, said on a conference call with reporters, which the Wonk Room attended. Indeed, just two states, Minnesota and Alaska, did not apply for the grants.

The planning grants will give states up to $1 million each to assess their existing IT system, plan for consumer call centers, hire staff and plan and coordinate “enrollment systems across Medicaid, the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and the Exchanges,” but the government doesn’t expect most states to establish the Exchanges until 2011. Besides Massachusetts, Utah, and Oregon, all of which already have insurance exchanges (and California has a bill pending), “for most states it’s a 2011 proposition,” Jay Angoff the Director of the Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight said on the call.

“So we’re we’re really looking at 2011 and we do think it’s a critical legislative year opportunity to establish exchanges themselves and the governing structures so you have a body that’s going down the details as you move down 2012 and 2013.” “But we would expect robust activity in the legislative sessions of 2011.” The 48 states that are receiving the grants did not commit to establish their own exchanges by 2014, but all of the states showed an interest in moving forward, Angoff said.

For those that do — and HHS certainly expects that a handful won’t, allowing the federal government to step in — the Commonwealth Fund released a new report today by Tim Jost outlining the various difficulties states will face as their governing boards begin building the exchanges. The report, which is well worth reading, recommends that among other things, that states issue identical regulations of the individual and small-group market outside and inside the exchange to prevent adverse selection, allow the exchanges to be government by independent agencies, and “offer employers the possibility of an aggregated bill covering the premiums of all employees.”

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