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Politics

Kasich Shows He Has Hannity In His Back Pocket: Goes On Show To Pitch His Website, Raise Money For Campaign

More than lavish dinners, snazzy mailers, and email blasts, GOP candidates are flocking to the best fundraising tool this election season: Fox News. As Senate candidate Sharron Angle (R-NV) so aptly pointed out, just one mention of a campaign website on a “friendly press outlet” like Fox News host Sean Hannity’s show can translate into millions of campaign cash. Delaware’s colorful senate candidate Christine O’Donnell (R) even flaunted Hannity’s support before a meeting of GOP strategists, saying “Sean Hannity’s in my back pocket, and I can go on his show and raise money by attacking you guys.”

Indeed, Hannity’s TV and radio spots are proving to be more GOP fundraiser than anything else. And no other Republican candidate has benefited more than former Fox News host and Ohio gubernatorial candidate John Kasich (R). Hannity has hosted Kasich at least ten times since he’s declared his candidacy. After Kasich promoted his campaign website in his ninth visit to Hannity’s TV show last week, Hannity responded “I want to put this — put some emphasis on this because this is really important. Explain to people why — we cannot afford to lose that race?” But it was in their tenth exchange on Hannity’s radio show yesterday that Hannity and Kasich clearly spelled out this fundraising relationship:

HANNITY: John Kasich, we’re watching Ohio really really closely. We appreciate you being with us and thanks for taking time out of your busy day and we wish you the best. This is a very important election, I think, for the country. And we’ll be watching in the next 14 days, and on election night, we’ll be watching very closely.

KASICH: And Kasich for Ohio.com. K-A-S-I-C-H. We need your help all over the country.

HANNITY: By the way, there are some in the liberal media think that I really meant to support Barney Frank over you and the fact that I, as a conservative commentator, support you shock some people. But you know what I stand proudly in Kasich’s corner with an endorsement as long as it doesn’t hurt you.

KASICH: We need all the help you can give us, Sean. They love you out here.

HANNITY: Alright, John Kasich. This is an important race, really important race.

Listen to it:

If Angle’s $40,000 intake is any indication, there is no way that Hannity’s endorsement could hurt. As Baltimore Sun TV critic David Zurawik noted, the only thing Hannity’s actions hurt is the credibility of Fox as a news organization. “What Hannity allowed Kasich to do [on last week's show],” Zurawik states, “crosses the line as to what’s acceptable for any news organization, and we all know it isn’t the first Hannity time has done this. If Fox News management wants mainstream critics to defend the organization’s right to be treated like a news organization, it needs to behave like one — all the time. Hannity’s bosses need to publicly put an end to such partisan on-air fund raising now — not sometime in November after the election.”

But Kasich’s distinguished “friendship” with Hannity’s boss Rupert Murdoch, the CEO of Fox News’ parent company News Corporation, led to repeated donations directly to the Republican Governors Association rather than any kind of reprimand. And with almost every major contender for the 2012 GOP presidential nomination on the Fox News payroll and all but one speaking exclusively on Fox, GOP candidates can count on a long, fruitful relationship with the network that, contrary to Hannity’s belief, will shock absolutely no one.

For more on how Fox News factors into the GOP, check out today’s Progress report here.

LGBT

Court Of Appeals Temporarily Reinstates Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell

Moments ago, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals temporarily granted the government’s request to stay a federal district court’s injunction of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, potentially allowing the Pentagon to again ban gays and lesbians from serving openly in the armed forces. From the court:

This court has received appellant’s emergency motion to stay the district court’s October 12, 2010 order pending appeal. The order is stayed temporarily in order to provide this court with an opportunity to consider fully the issues presented.

Appellee may file an opposition to the motion for a stay pending appeal by October 25, 2010. To expedite consideration of the motion, no reply shall be filed.

The ruling comes after the government announced on Tuesday that recruiters had to accept gay soldiers as it was still trying — and ultimately failed — to secure a stay from U.S. District Court Judge Virginia Phillips. It filed this request for an emergency stay at approximately 11:30 this morning. The Pentagon will likely issue another guidance to bar gay recruits from enrolling. As Metro Weekly’s Chris Geidner explains:

This is not, however, a stay of the order that will last through the appeal. This is only a temporary stay granted through the time when the Ninth Circuit can decide — sometime after the Oct. 25 deadline given to the LCR attorneys to respond to the stay request — whether to issue a stay pending the outcome of the appeal.

If a stay is granted pending the appeal, though, DADT would likely go back into effect in the interim, as the appeal is not even scheduled to complete the briefing process until the second week of March 2011.

Attorneys for the Log Cabin Republicans, the plaintiffs in the case, had filed their opposition to the DOJ’s stay request, noting, “Each argument that the government asserts as a basis for a stay has already been raised to the district court, which rejected them all – not cursorily, or in passing at an oral argument, but in extensive reasoned opinions at multiple stages of the proceedings below.” (H/T: Chris Geidner)

Update

Servicemembers United:

“While we are obviously disappointed that the injunction was temporarily stayed, we hope that the Ninth Circuit will recognize the inherent contradiction in the government’s arguments for a longer stay in light of eight full days of non-enforcement with no ‘enormous consequences,’” said Alexander Nicholson, Executive Director of Servicemembers United and the sole named veteran plaintiff in the case along with the Log Cabin Republicans. “An objective look at the evidence before the court clearly indicates that ending ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’ would not harm military readiness, but would rather enhance it.”


Update

,Log Cabin Republicans:

“We view the decision as nothing more than a minor setback,” Dan Woods said. “We didn’t come this far to quit now, and we expect that once the Ninth Circuit has received and considered full briefing on the government’s application for a stay, it will deny that application.


Update

,Human Rights Campaign:

“The revival of the ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’ law is a sad day for all Americans who want the best and brightest service members defending our country. Today’s decision only furthers our resolve to send this law to the dustbin of history and also draws a spotlight on the administration to make good on their pledge to end these discharges that damage our national security.”


Update

,Servicemembers Legal Defense Network (SLDN):

“This interim temporary stay means that ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’ is once again on the books, and is likely to be enforced by the Defense Department. Gay and lesbian service members deserve better treatment than they are getting with this ruling. We now must look to the Senate next month in the lame duck session to bring about the swift certainty needed here and to repeal this unjust law that serves no useful purpose.”


Update

[/up

Climate Progress

New study puts the ‘hell’ in Hell and High Water

Must-read NCAR analysis warns we risk multiple, devastating global droughts even on moderate emissions path

drought map 3 2060-2069

Extended drought and Dust-Bowlification over large swaths of the habited Earth may be the most dangerous impact of unrestricted greenhouse gas emissions, as I’ve discussed many times (see Intro to global warming impacts: Hell and High Water).

That’s especially true since such impacts could well last centuries, whereas the actual Dust Bowl itself only lasted seven to ten years — see NOAA stunner: Climate change “largely irreversible for 1000 years,” with permanent Dust Bowls in Southwest and around the globe.

A must-read new study from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, “Drought under global warming: a review,” is the best review and analysis on the subject I’ve seen.  It spells out for the lukewarmers and the delayers just what we risk if we continue to listen to the Siren song of “more energy R&D plus adapatation.”

The NCAR study is the source of the top figure (click to enlarge), which shows that in a half century, much of the United States (and large parts of the rest of the world) could experience devastating levels of drought — far worse than the 1930s Dust Bowl, especially since the conditions would only get worse and worse and worse and worse, while potentially affecting 10 to 100 times as many people.  And this study merely models the IPCC’s “moderate” A1B scenario — atmospheric concentrations of CO2 around 520 ppm in 2050 and 700 in 2100.  We’re currently on the A1F1 pathway, which would takes us to 1000 ppm by century’s end, but I’m sure with an aggressive program of energy R&D we could keep that to, say 900 ppm.

Indeed, the study itself notes that it has ignored well understood climate impacts that could worsen the situation:

Read more

Health

Corker And Growing List Of Republicans Trying To Temper Expectations On Health Care Repeal

Ben Armbuster notes that Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN) is now denying reports that he told a group of donors that Republicans weren’t serious about repealing the entirety of the Affordable Care Act. According to the Davis Intelligence Reports, Corker “told the gathering of donors not to worry about the incoming class of ‘crazier Republicans’ because the majority of Senate Republicans, especially minority leader Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), had no intention of repealing the president’s health care bill“:

They instead planned to fix only the “bad parts” of the law, Corker reportedly told the group. Several attendees, including a very senior Republican official, appeared visibly shocked by Corker’s comments.

Sen. Corker’s office did not respond to repeated requests for comment.

“Sen. McConnell has been unambiguous [...] on the need to repeal the bill and replace it with commonsense reforms that actually reduce costs,” McConnell spokesman Don Stewart told DIG.

Corker’s denial aside, this isn’t the first time the senator has had to backtrack from pouring cold water on the GOP strategy of full repeal. “I know this is probably not the company line, but the [health care] bill is passed. The president now has in his hands a completed bill,” Corker said in March as Obama prepared to sign the legislation into law. Shortly thereafter, during a speech at Vanderbilt University, Corker admitted, “The fact is that’s [repeal] not going to happen, OK?” but later backtracked from his remarks by saying that it won’t happen before 2012.

Indeed, after promising their base the moon and the stars, Republican senators and candidates have tried to temper expectations for what they will be able to achieve if they do win back the House. On Monday, outgoing Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH) also backpedaled from the full repeal pledge, reverting back to the GOP’s original strategy of only changing parts of the law law. Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) has similarly said, “I think, we need to keep expectations, again, fairly modest as far as what we can do over the next two years.”

Politics

O’Donnell Can’t Name A Single Democratic Senator

In a debate today hosted by local television station WHYY, Delaware Republican Senate nominee Christine O’Donnell seemed unable to name a single sitting Democratic senator. Asked which Democrats she would be willing to work with were she elected, O’Donnell paused for a long moment, before saying Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. O’Donnell acknowledged that Clinton is no longer a senator, but said she hopes to be on the Foreign Relations Committee and would be able to work with her in that capacity. When her opponent, Democrat Chris Coons, suggested O’Donnell couldn’t name any Democratic senators, she responded by shouting out the name of Independent Sen. Joe Lieberman:

MODERATOR: Give me a name, Christine, of someone in the U.S. Senate, across the aisle that you’re comfortable working with.

O’DONNELL: [Pause] Well, she’s not a senator any more, but I would definitely have to say Hillary Clinton. [...]

COONS: One of the real risks as we go forward, is that if we elect someone who literally cannot name a single currently serving senator in my party with whom she would work –

O’DONNELL: Senator Lieberman!

COONS: Someone who has no experience crossing the biparistan divide.

Watch it:

Of course, this isn’t the first time O’Donnell has been stumped by a simple question. In a different debate on Monday, O’Donnell seemed confused about the text of the First Amendment, despite the fact that she has touted herself as a Constitutional scholar in the past.

For more on O’Donnell’s record, check out our ThinkProgress report: The Old Adventures of New Christine.

Politics

‘This Isn’t The Lotto’: Sheriff Halting All Foreclosures Until Banks Prove Evictions Are Legal And Legitimate

As of last week, all 50 state attorneys general had opened investigations into the mortgage practices of some of the nation’s largest financial institutions, following the revelations that many of these banks had foreclosure documents approved by “robo signers” — employees who were signing thousands of foreclosure documents a day, without verifying basic information. Additionally, the banks’ incompetence and malfeasance extends to basing evictions on “lost and forged documents and, as Reuters’ Felix Salmon reported, knowingly selling investors mortgage bonds they knew were toxic.”

Responding to pressure from the media and progressive politicians, a handful of large banks, like JP Morgan Chase, have self-imposed moratoria on foreclosures. Bank of America amd GMAC Mortgage also self-imposed moratoria, but then lifted them shortly after.

Yet, one sheriff is not waiting for the big banks to correct their own behavior or for the government to step in and set things right. Cook County, Illinois Sheriff Tom Dart recently assembled a team to investigate the foreclosures in his area. His team found that out of 350 cases reviewed, “only 17 of them had the proper paperwork.” Following the investigation, Dart announced Monday that he would be halting all evictions of homeowners — a step he took two years ago at the height of the financial crisis — and would not take part in any foreclosures unless the banks could provide the documentation to prove that the evictions were legitimate and legal:

Beginning Monday, and for the second time in two years, Cook County Sheriff Tom Dart is refusing to carry out evictions. The latest moratorium will apply to those people living in homes whose lenders aren’t able to provide documentation that the eviction is legitimate and legal. “All I am looking from them is an affidavit saying, ‘The cases you have in your system are all reviewed. All the documents were done correctly. They were all legally done. And you are not enforcing illegal orders,’” Dart said Tuesday.

He said his team recently reviewed 350 cases and found that only 17 of them had the proper paperwork. The banks involved included Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, GMAC/Ally Financial and their subsidiaries.” This is so outrageous. These poor people are being put through this day in and day out, by people who don’t do their jobs,” he said. “It’s so hard for me to stomach these people. This isn’t just we are taking their bike away, or their car away. This is their house.”

Dart held a press conference Monday to announce his decision. He told reporters, “This is not the lotto. This isn’t something where we roll the dice and say, ‘You know what? Possibly this has been done legally. Maybe it hasn’t, but in the meantime you and your children go find some place to live. There’s plenty of homeless shelters out there.’ We can’t do that.” Watch it:

The Obama administration has thus far resisted calls for a national moratorium on foreclosures. Leading progressive politicians and economists continue to argue in favor of a moratorium. Meanwhile, individual states are taking their own measures to try to stop fraudulent foreclosures, with New York leading the way by requiring lawyers bringing foreclosure claims “to file an affirmation that they themselves have taken reasonable steps to verify the accuracy of documents filed in support of residential foreclosures.” (HT: Michael Moore)

Economy

260 Candidates Sign Pledge To Repeal Tax That Affects Only The Richest 0.6 Percent Of Estates

Last week, the Wall Street Journal noted that more than 250 current congressional candidates have signed a pledge to support elimination of the estate tax (which is levied on inheritance). 253 Republicans and 2 Democrats joined the repeal pledge, which is being circulated by the American Family Business Institute, an organization that also funds right-wing attacks on the estate tax.

Due to a Bush-era budgeting gimmick, there is no estate tax this year, but President Obama has proposed permanently setting it at the 2009 level of 45 percent with a $3.5 million exemption (which means the first $3.5 million is passed on entirely tax free). Conservatives, when not pushing for outright repeal, have coalesced around a plan put forth by Sens. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) that would cut the rate to 35 percent and raise the exemption to $5 million.

The common right-wing refrain when it comes to the estate tax is that it decimates scores of small businesses and family farms, preventing them from being passed on to the next generation. But as a new report from Citizens for Tax Justice points out, at the 2008 level (which is lower than the level Obama has proposed), just 0.6 percent of deaths resulted in any estate tax liability at all:

New data from the IRS show that only 0.6 percent of deaths in the U.S. in 2008 resulted in estate tax liability in 2009. (Estate taxes are usually filed during the year after the year in which a person dies.) The estate tax that would exist under President Obama’s tax plan would affect even fewer estates, which demonstrates why Congress should consider enacting a more robust estate tax than what President Obama proposes.

As CTJ put it, “one of the strangest things about politics in our nation’s capital is that the taxes that get attacked the most by lawmakers are those taxes which affect the fewest, and the richest, people.” Indeed, the data confirms that there is certainly no case for making the estate tax any lower than it was in 2009, and plenty of reasons to increase rates on some estates.

If it were permanently set at the the 2009 level, 62.5 percent of estate tax revenue would come from estates worth more than $20 million, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Another 35 percent of the revenue would come from estates worth between $5 million and $20 million. Repealing the tax, meanwhile, would cost $784 billion over the next ten years.

CTJ endorsed the estate tax plan put forth by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), which would create a more progressive estate tax, with higher marginal rates at $10 million and $50 million and a “billionaires surtax.” This kind of move makes sense, as income inequality in the country is the worst its been since 1928 and the richest households have been taking in a bigger and bigger share of the country’s total income.

Yglesias

Wave of Election Analysis

(cc photo by vår resa)

Via Jamelle Bouie an interesting speculation from Charlie Cook that I think may be wrong:

The one sobering thought that veteran Republican consultants are already contemplating is that the larger the wave this year, the more difficult it will be to hold onto some of these seats in 2012 and 2014 in the House and 2016 in the Senate. The bigger the wave, the weaker the class and the harder it will be to hold onto those seats. Democrats only have to look at their 2006 and 2008 classes for plenty of examples. What this means is that we will likely have our third wave election in a row this year, and the bigger this one is, the more likely that there will be a countervailing wave in either 2012 or 2014.

Obviously a lot of this hinges on what we make of the concept “wave election.” But let’s just say a “wave” election is one in which one party makes large gains and a “non-wave” election is one in which the net change in seats is small.

In that framework, what I think Cook’s analysis misses is that the current Democratic majority is very large. Consequently, for the GOP to obtain even a small majority would require a “wave” of wins. But if they get a “wave” and a small majority, there’s nothing about “small GOP majority” that should lead us to expect a future wave. It’s only if Republicans win a gigantic net gain of 70-75 seats that would leave them in the position of holding many Democratic-leaning districts.

Politics

Proposed Florida Immigration Law Exempts Canadians, Western Europeans From Scrutiny

Florida is one of at least 20 states designing an immigration bill similar to Arizona’s SB-1070, which requires police to check the immigration status of anyone they think might be in the country illegally. State Rep. William Snyder (R) introduced the legislation in August, and Rick Scott, the Tea Party-backed Republican candidate for governor, favors such a bill.

Snyder has denied criticisms that such legislation could be used to discriminate against Latinos, saying in a recent radio interview that “race, ethnicity, and national origin cannot be used in making arrests. It’s immoral, illegal, and unconstitutional.” However, the bill he introduced does appear to do just that — it exempts all Canadian and Western Europeans from extensive scrutiny. The exception, first reported by the Miami New Times, says a person will be “presumed to be legally in the United States” if he or she provides “a Canadian passport” or a passport from any “visa waiver country.” Four Asian nations and all 32 Western European countries make up the visa waiver list.

So under the proposed law, Canadians and Western Europeans will simply be presumed to be here legally, and they are not required to document it. “That language makes it clear that police are targeting only a specific minority,” Susana Barciela, policy director at the Florida Immigrant Advocacy Center, told the New Times.

After running ads during the Republican primary explicitly calling for an Arizona-style immigration law in Florida, Scott has been largely silent on immigration since the general election began. But last week, Scott said he would support Snyder’s bill if it passed. At a Univision gubernatorial debate earlier this month, he reiterated his support for an Arizona-style law, but said that his support was on the condition that “none of our law enforcement is ever put in a position that they are even accused of any racial profiling.” Watch it:

Either Scott is not aware of what’s in the bill he’s promised to support, or he doesn’t find an exclusion for predominantly white countries to be “racial profiling.”

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