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Health

WSJ Offers A New Idea For Fixing The Health Care Law

The Wall Street Journal’s Holman Jenkins offers some really bizarre ideas for how the newly-elected Republican majority in the House can fix the health care law:

Happily, a path back to the future exists that just might be politically actionable in a divided Washington. It involves not repealing ObamaCare but adding something to it—an optional federal charter for health insurers.

Under this charter, let’s permit insurers to design their policies free of ObamaCare’s mandated benefit levels and free of state regulation. Let’s let these policies be purchasable with pre-tax dollars and allow them to satisfy ObamaCare’s mandate requiring individuals to have insurance and employers to provide it. [...]

What’s the first thing the new nationally-chartered insurers would do? Rush out cheap, high-deductible policies, allaying some of the resentment that the mandate provokes among the young, healthy and footloose affluent. At the same time, these policies would quickly re-revolutionize ObamaCare from within. Here’s why:

First, these folks could buy the minimalist coverage that (for various reasons) actually makes sense for them. They wouldn’t be forced to buy gold-plated coverage they don’t need so the money can subsidize the old and sick (the hidden tax logic of ObamaCare).

Secondly, this relatively healthy cohort would be covered for a rare major injury or illness. The rest of us wouldn’t have to pick up the tab.

Thirdly, and when paired with a health savings account—as would happen as employers large and small rush to take advantage of a better option than ObamaCare now affords them—it would provide a much-needed kick of consumer discipline to the medical complex’s pants, which has always been the conservative alternative to a creeping government takeover of medicine.

Unfortunately, this idea, just like the GOP’s efforts to repeal the individual mandate will spell doom to the entirety of the health care law, which of course, is its intention. First, the existing legislation already gives younger individuals the option of enrolling in high deductible plans that cover less services at cheaper rates. Insurers will also be able to price their policies based on age and charge young people rates that are three-times lower than what older (and presumably sicker) applicants will be paying.

But the larger problem with Jenkins’ charter concept is that it it would only further fragment the risk pool and create a death spiral in the exchanges. If younger people have an incentive to take their premium dollars out of the exchanges and go elsewhere for cheaper high-deductible coverage, the exchanges will be left with sicker individuals who need comprehensive coverage and use it frequently. Without healthy individuals to offset the costs of this care, premiums will have to increase, pushing out everyone but the sickest and neediest applicants. As a result, the exchanges will become cost prohibitive for most Americans.

Meanwhile, the younger people who are enrolled in the cheaper high deductible policies will find their coverage inadequate once they — as we all inevitably are — fall ill. As The Incidental Economist’s Aaron Carroll points out, “Cheap plans are bad plans. There’s no magic to this. To a limited extent, you get what you pay for. The reason McDonald’s plans were low price was they they offered almost nothing in the way of benefits.”

The law’s mandated benefit levels are designed to get rid of these policies so that everyone has adequate coverage whether they need it now or later.

Health

DeMint Predicts ‘A Very Intense Showdown’ If Obama Opposes GOP Efforts To Defund Health Reform

Tonight, during an appearance on CNN, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) urged House Republicans not to fund the Affordable Care Act and predicted “a very intense showdown” should Obama “fight us on it”:

DEMINT: We don’t have to defund it, we just don’t have to pass the funding for it. The majority in the House can control the appropriation bills and we can just not include in those appropriation bills the funding for the implementation of ObamaCare. The president may fight us on it and it could be a very intense show down. But Republicans are in a position now to make sure no funding goes forward for Obamacare.

Watch it:

Prominent Republicans including House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) and Newt Gingrich have all suggested that the GOP could effectively repeal the health care reform law by defunding it. But that may be easier said than done. As former Senator Tom Daschle explained in a recent interview, “a lot of what we did in health care reform has more of an entitlement than a discretionary funding base. So as an entitlement, they would really have to change the law rather than simply not fund in order for it to be effected. The entitlement sections of the legislation are going to be fairly immune from defunding.” The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that there is “at least $50 billion in specified and estimated authorizations of discretionary spending that might be involved in implementing that legislation” and presumably that’s the spending Republicans can more easily de-fund.

Gail Wilensky, administrator of CMS under George H. W. Bush, put it this way at a recent health event: “So you could technically see [defunding] as a way to go after all those thing that are not mandatory funding. But a lot of the activity in this early period is, I think not at risk.”

Economy

Incoming Financial Services Chairman Looks To Weaken Derivatives Reform, But CFTC Chairman Pushes Back

Rep. Spencer Bachus (R-AL), who will likely be the next chairman of the House Financial Services Committee due to the Republican victory last night, has signaled his intent to weaken a series of provisions in the Dodd-Frank financial reform law, including the Volcker rule and the resolution authority for dismantling failed banks. And he told the Wall Street Journal this morning that he also “plans to rewrite the derivatives provisions” in the law:

“That’s one of the job-killing provisions of Dodd-Frank that needs to be addressed,” the Alabama Republican said in an interview Wednesday morning, calling the provisions “overly expansive.” Mr. Bachus said the new derivatives rules, which will require most routine swaps to be traded on exchanges and routed through clearing houses, will redirect as much as $1 trillion from the U.S. economy, draining capital from the financial system that could be used for loans or job creation.

During the debate over Dodd-Frank, Bachus had an utterly incoherent position on derivatives reform, calling for transparent derivatives markets while opposing all reforms that would increase market transparency. Now, it seems, he’s ready to carry Wall Street’s water by dialing back the requirements designed to bring currently unregulated derivatives trading out of the dark.

This is troubling, as the derivatives title is one of the strongest parts of the Dodd-Frank bill, bringing much needed regulation to a portion of the financial system that suffered from a severe lack of oversight. Remember, it was AIG’s issuing of billion in credit default swaps that it couldn’t honor that led to its downfall; Lehman Brothers was also sunk by exposure to derivatives. The derivatives title of Dodd-Frank — authored by outgoing Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) — sets up exchanges so that derivatives must be traded publicly (like stocks) and employs clearinghouses to ensure that both parties in a derivatives trade have adequate collateral backing it up.

What House Republicans will likely aim to do — if their rhetoric during the financial reform debate is any indication — is try to grant wide exemptions to the exchange and clearing requirements, letting all sorts of activity that is purely speculative continue unabated.

But Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Gary Gensler, who has been one of the staunchest supporters of strong derivatives reform, is pushing back, saying the election yesterday won’t interrupt the CFTC’s rule-writing effort. “Any regulatory agency is obliged to follow the statute and what Congress wrote, and that’s what we’ll do,” Gensler said.

Health

Democrats And Republicans Find Common Ground On ‘Tweaking’ Health Reform’s 1099 Provision

In the day since Democrats lost their majority in the House and suffered several setbacks in the Senate, President Obama and Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) have suggested that they would be open to “tweaking” or revisiting parts of the Affordable Care Act. Republican leaders continue to advocate for complete repeal of the law, promising to replace it with “common sense” proposals from their Pledge To America.

This evening, during an interview on ABC News, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) reiterated that Democrats would work to preserve the core of the law, but said that they could willing to compromise with Republicans on the so-called 1099 reporting requirement. Members of both parties have argued that this portion of the law — which was designed to bolster the tax compliance of sole proprietors and pay for coverage expansion — is overly burdensome to small business. Obama specifically mentioned the provision during his press conference today and Pelosi echoed his comments tonight [Note this is an extended version of the transcript]:

PELOSI: So, I– I don’t– I don’t– think they’re going to take health care apart. There are certain parts of it that we all may want to review– one way or another. Put it out there. But the fundamentals of it, you know, when we have our patients’ bill of rights about– no preexisting conditions, and those provisions, they are– they cannot be there unless you have this basic structure of health care reform.

So, when we have this debate piece by piece, I think the American people will see how they like pieces of it, and how they relate to each other. And that some of that– you know, at 1099, it was a center provision. We didn’t like it in the House. The President mentioned it today. We’ve already passed on the floor– the repeal of 1099 in the House of Representatives. So, you know, there are certain pieces of it that should– always be subjected to review.

In September, senators from both parties proposed legislation to amend the provision, but neither version garnered 60 votes.

Sen. Mike Johanns’ (R-NE) amendment would have repealed the tax reporting requirement for small businesses, but made up for the revenue shortfall by eliminating $11 million from the Preventive Health Task Force and weakening the individual health insurance mandate. Sen. Bill Nelson’s (D-FL) alternative proposal would have required only larger businesses to report their transactions with vendors. Since then, Democrats have offered numerous other legislative compromises.

Update

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) stressed that Republicans also opposed the reporting requirement. “The first goal is repeal it and replace [the health law],” McConnell told Fox News’ Bret Baier. “If we have the votes to put it on his desk we’re going to do that. if we can’t get it to his desk or if we do and he vetoes it, we’ll go back and try to go after it piece by piece. The extraordinary unpopular individual mandate, the 1099 requirement. “

Politics

Conservatives In Their Own Words: ‘The Republican Party Is Not The Beneficiary Of A Mandate’

In his post-election press conference this afternoon, President Barack Obama strongly rejected the idea that Republicans received a mandate to enforce their policies, despite their electoral gains, saying that “no person, no party has a monopoly on wisdom. … No one party will be able to dictate where we go from here. We must find common ground in order to make progress on some uncommonly difficult challenges.”

The idea that Republicans did not receive a mandate isn’t just held by the president — it was a theme echoed throughout the night by Republican politicians and conservative pundits:

– Senator-elect Marco Rubio (R-FL): “We make a grave mistake if we believe that tonight these results are somehow an embrace of the Republican Party.

– Fox News pundit Brit Hume: “The Republican Party is not the beneficiary of some mandate this time around.”

– Former chief economic policy adviser to John McCain’s presidential campaign Douglas Holtz-Eakin: “This isn’t a pro-Republican vote. This is a repudiation of what we’ve seen the past two years, it’s not an endorsement of Republican agendas.

– RNC head Michael Steele: “There’s still the people who say, ‘well we’re not sure. We’re not sure about Republican leadership, we’re not sure about the direction.’”

– Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI): “This is not necessarily ‘we love Republicans.’ This is, ‘change course, the country’s on the wrong track.’”

Watch a compilation:

Unfortunately, some Republican leaders have signaled they are on an uncompromising mission to enforce what they believe to be their mandate. Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) said bluntly before the election that “there will be no compromise.” Presumptive Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) has said that “to the extent that [Obama] wants to work with us in terms of where we’re going, I would certainly welcome it.” Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA) believes “the word ‘compromise’ has been misunderstood” and that his job will be “getting America back to the center right where it exists.”

If one were to look to public opinion, it’s also clear that no mandate for Republican policy prescriptions exists, as today’s Progress Report notes. The vast majority of voters — 64 percent — continue to blame either Wall Street (35 percent) or George W. Bush (29 percent) for the troubled economy. Fully 78 percent of all voters support comprehensive immigration reform, with a path to legal status by far the most popular. And voters from Connecticut to California and Michigan to Florida are more likely to support candidates who support an energy bill that cuts climate change pollution, polling shows. Voters clearly voiced frustration with the government yesterday — but they did not endorse a Republican policy mandate.

Health

Watching Deceiving Ads About Health Reform, Led Many Voters To Oppose It

GOP pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies has some numbers out today that only reiterate my original contention that yesterday’s election should not be interpreted as a mandate to repeal the Affordable Care Act. And that’s for two reasons: 1) while it’s been first in my heart, reform took a back seat to the economy and 2) Americans didn’t oppose the actual law as much as they opposed the GOP’s version of the law, which as everyone has documented is full of lies and distortions.

As McInturff reports, “[t]he health care advertising could not be clearer to those respondents who recall seeing it in terms of message: 70% say the ad was in opposition to the Obama plan, 8% in support, with another 20% of voters saying they recall advertising on both sides of the issue” (Check out some of these ads here and here):

In other words: the GOP and outside groups funded by corporate interests that include parts of the health care sector have been far more successful in defining the legislation than HHS — even with the help of Andy Griffith. “Opponents of the legislation, including independent groups, have spent $108 million since March to advertise against it” — “six times more than supporters have spent, including $5.1 million by the Department of Health and Human Services to promote the new law.” That $108 million went to finance the false claims that individuals who don’t purchase coverage will go to jail, or sex offenders will have access to government subsidized Viagara and seniors will lose all their Medicare benefits.

HHS officials should keep that in mind when they’re forced to testify before Congress about implementing the law. It’s another opportunity to re-frame the discussion and tell the public about some key provisions as they go into effect.

Security

The Post-Election Day Immigration Fallout

While many Democrats are lamenting post-Election Day results, immigration advocates are breathing a small sigh of relief. The general sentiment seems to be that things are bad, but they could’ve been much worse. While several anti-immigrant politicians won last night, a few close key races swung in favor of pro-immigrant candidates:

Nevada [Senate]: The most recent pre-election polls put Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) neck-in-neck with his opponent, Sharron Angle (R-NV). However, while exit polls show Angle received 51 percent of the White vote, it appears Latino voters helped put Reid over the edge. Exit polls reveal Latinos accounted for a record 16 percent of total voters. At least sixty-eight percent of Latino voters supported Reid. This likely had a lot to do with Angle’s race-baiting ads that used nasty images of Latinos to portray Reid as “the best friend of an illegal alien.” Latino voters were also riled by a controversial voter suppression ad aired by a GOP group telling Latinos not to vote. Meanwhile, Reid has repeatedly vowed to use his leadership position to jump start the immigration debate.

Colorado [Governor]: Both Tom Tancredo, who ran for Colorado governor as an independent, and GOP candidate Dan Maes pulled all the stunts to frustrate Democrat John Hickenlooper’s gubernatorial bid by saying he is soft on immigration. Tancredo is one of the nation’s leading anti-immigrant zealots and wasn’t afraid to make that known during his campaigning. Last week, he told the Denver Post, “working with the General Assembly, I will support strong enforcement of existing laws aimed at illegal immigrants and will sign new legislation on the Arizona model if passed by the legislature.” Hickenlooper has said he would veto a law like Arizona’s. He won with 51 percent of the vote.

California [Senate and Governor]:Gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman (R-CA) realized early on in the general election that she needed the support of Latinos in order to win. She poured millions of dollars into Latino voter outreach. However, her popularity dipped amongst Latinos and the California electorate in general when news broke that she had employed an undocumented housekeeper for nine years and then fired her. Both Whitman and senatorial candidate Carly Fiorina held harsh views on immigration. Both lost handily, particularly amongst Latinos. Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) was reelected with 65 percent of the Latino vote while gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown (D) carried 64 percent.

Nonetheless, the immigrants rights movement also took some big hits last night:

Kansas [Secretary of State]:Architect of Arizona’s immigration law Kris Kobach won his bid for Kansas Secretary of State. Kobach pledged to eliminate voter fraud, a phenomena he insists is rampant in the immigrant community.

Florida [Senate and Governor]:Tea Party darling Marco Rubio won Florida’s Senate seat handily. During his primary against Charlie Crist, Rubio used the immigration issue as a wedge. During the general election, Rubio adopted a softer tone, though he still supports making English the official language of the U.S. and opposes comprehensive immigration reform. This morning, gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink (D) conceded defeat. Republican Rick Scott, who wants to bring Arizona’s immigration law to Florida, won by about 1 percent.

Kentucky [Senate]: Tea Party patriot Rand Paul (R), who proposed building an underground electric fence on the U.S.-Mexico border, won his bid for Kentucky senate. Paul also supports changing the 14th amendment to deny the American-born children of undocumented immigrants U.S. citizenship.

Arizona [Governor]:As many predicted, Republican Jan Brewer will remain governor of Arizona. Brewer signed off on Arizona’s immigration law and remains its staunchest proponent. In the next legislative season, she will be in the middle of a legislative debate on whether to deny the children of undocumented immigrants citizenship and make them pay public school tuition.

Pennsylvania [House]: The former mayor of Hazleton — one of the first towns to pass a stringent anti-immigrant ordinance — unseated longtime incumbent Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D). The winner, Lou Barletta told Politico earlier this week, “We can convince others, if we’re going to deal with the deficit and the budget, you can’t exclude the illegal immigration problem out of that equation because it has a direct effect on the budget.”

Overall, the biggest hit didn’t come in the form of one particular race, but rather in a series of losses in the House which shifted control from Democrats to Republicans. As I explained yesterday, Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX) will head the House Judiciary Committee which oversees all immigration issues. His outspoken colleague, Rep. Steve King (R-IA), will be in charge of the House Judiciary’s Subcommittee on Immigration. Both lawmakers will put immigration advocates on the defense with their planned assault on legal and undocumented immigrants alike.

Politics

Money Well Spent: 64 Percent of Races Chamber Helped Won; At Least 21 Incumbent Democrats Defeated

Our guest blogger is Tony Carrk, policy director of Progressive Media at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

For months, Think Progress has been chronicling the “U.S.” Chamber of Commerce’s $75 million campaign to put its interests over working- and middle-class families. It uses its substantial war chest to protect companies that outsource, oppose health reform, oppose Wall Street reform, and oppose clean energy. The Chamber will not disclose who is financing this campaign, fearing a public backlash. But we know the results: The 112th Congress will have more members to protect its pro-outsourcing, anti-middle class agenda.

So far, the Chamber’s spending contributed to the defeat of 21 incumbent Democrats. In all, the Chamber spent $32.1 million on ads or independent expenditures in 62 races. Five of those races are too close to call as of this afternoon. Of the remaining 59, the Chamber’s candidate won 38 of them — or 64 percent. The cost of those 38 wins: nearly $17.3 million.

Here is a list of races the Chamber won:

Race Total Chamber Position Chamber Win/Lose?
New York’s 24th district $25,712 Oppose Arcuri (D)* Win
Ohio’s 18th district $45,415 Oppose Space (D)* Win
Georgia’s 12th district $78,558 Support Barrow (D)* Win
Wisconsin’s 8th district $89,418 Oppose Kagen (D)* Win
Florida’s 25th district $99,310 Oppose Garcia (D) Win
Illinois’s 14th district $99,952 Oppose Foster (D)* Win
Illinois’s 10th District $100,000 Oppose Seals (D) Win
Oklahoma’s 2nd district $134,390 Supporting Boren (D)* Win
Pennsylvania’s 7th district $146,680 Oppose Lentz (D) Win
New Hampshire’s 1st district $148,640 Oppose Shea-Porter (D)* Win
New Hampshire’s 2nd district $149,380 Oppose Kuster (D) Win
Washington’s 3rd district $149,540 Oppose Dennis Heck (D)* Win
Pennsylvania’s 8th district $170,000 Oppose P. Murphy (D) Win
Kansas’s 3rd district $172,864 Oppose Moore (D) Win
Utah’s 2nd district $180,308 Support J. Matheson (D)* Win
New York’s 19th district $192,206 Oppose Hall (D)* Win
Arkansas’s 4th district $223,148 Support Ross (D)* Win
New Mexico’s 2nd district $436,953 Oppose Teague (D)* Win
Pennsylvania’s 3rd district $248,500 Oppose Dahlkemper (D)* Win
Colorado’s 4th district $250,000 Oppose B. Markey (D)* Win
Indiana Senate $250,000 Oppose Ellsworth (D)** Win
Florida’s 8th district $250,000 Oppose Grayson (D)* Win
Florida’s 24th district $250,000 Oppose Kosmas (D)* Win
Ohio’s 15th district $261,735 Oppose Kilroy (D)* Win
Wisconsin’s 7th district $266,593 Oppose Lassa (D) Win
North Dakota’s 1st district $273,525 Oppose Pomeroy (D)* Win
Illinois’s 11th district $300,000 Oppose Halvorson (D)* Win
Pennsylvania’s 10th district $398,365 Oppose Carney (D)* Win
Ohio’s 16th district $354,120 Oppose Boccieri (D)* Win
Virginia’s 5th district $442,765 Oppose Perriello (D)* Win
Nevada’s 3rd district $549,850 Oppose Titus (D)* Win
Wisconsin Senate $748,300 Oppose Feingold (D)* Win
Missouri Senate $1,110,461 Oppose Carnahan (D) Win
Kentucky Senate $1,254,010 Oppose Conway (D) Win
Illinois Senate $1,682,856 Oppose Giannoulis (D) Win
Pennsylvania Senate $1,488,880 Oppose Sestak (D)** Win
Florida Senate $2,000,000 Oppose Crist (I) Win
New Hampshire Senate $2,324,730 Oppose Hodes (D)** Win
Total $17,347,164  

* – Incumbent
** – Running for Senate

On the flip side, the Chamber spent $11.4 million on races it lost. However, that figure is deceptive since nearly $5 million of that amount went to unsuccessfully defeat Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA).

Update

The post was updated on Thurs., Nov. 4, to reflect updated statistics.

LGBT

Giuliani Calls On Republicans To ‘Ease Up’ And Repeal Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell

Rudy Giuliani called on Republicans to “ease up a little bit” on social issues like Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, telling CNN’s Wolf Blitzer that while he opposed ending the ban at the height of the Iraq war, “you can probably accomplish it now”:

GIULIANI: I didn’t see [Don't Ask, Don't Tell] as a big issue in this. The social issues were not in this. So maybe that’s an area where Republican can ease up a little bit and not

BLITZER: But you support gay rights?

GIULIANI: I do.

BLITZER: So you would get rid of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell?

GIULIANI: My feeling about Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell was, in the middle of the height of the Iraq war, not a good time to do it. We’re not in the middle of the height of the Iraq war. Afghanistan is a different kind of thing. You could probably accomplish it now. It’s eventually going to happen and it seems to me that it gets my party out of this anti-gay, feeling that we’re being unfair to people who are gay.

Watch it:

Several moderate Republicans have said they would support repealing the ban if the Pentagon’s study of the issue showed that ending the policy would not undermine unit cohesion or military readiness. Military sources that have seen a copy of the report — which is due to come out December 1 — indicate that it would not.

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