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Yglesias

No Policy, No Policy

I don’t share Kevin Drum’s worry that just because left-of-center elites can’t cohere around a policy agenda for jobs that Barack Obama won’t be able to take credit for a recovery if one happens:

And what’s the liberal story about what the economy needs? Don’t all raise your hands at once. More stimulus? That’s a good answer, but every Democrat in an actual position of power is either afraid to say so or doesn’t believe it. Hell, most of them weren’t even willing to take credit for the positive effects of the 2009 stimulus. A payroll tax holiday? Also not a bad answer, but no one is pushing it. Policies to weaken the dollar? That’ll be a cold day in hell. Massive infrastructure investment? A direct government jobs program? Work subsidies? Maybe, kind of, and we’re not sure.

In other words, liberals don’t have a story at all. A few of them do — call them the Krugmanites for short — but it’s a small and uninfluential band. In the halls of power and the corridors of the media, liberals have nothing but a collective clamor of pet ideas and peevish finger pointing. So even if the economy does improve, there won’t be any way for them to persuade the public that their policies were responsible. For starters, they themselves probably won’t really believe it.

I think this is totally wrong. Bill Clinton had no trouble whatsoever getting credit from the American people for the strong economic performance of the late-1990s and continues to be credited by them for it to this day even though it’s now clear that some of that performance was a mirage induced by irrational exuberance about Internet start-ups. The fact of the matter is that the American people are really good at over-attributing things to the President of the United States.

Also note that media narratives are absolutely insane. Back when Republicans were unpopular because of the poor economy in late 2008, Barack Obama’s calm demeanor amidst economic crisis was said to be key to his popularity. Then when Democrats became unpopular because of the poor economy in late 2009, Barack Obama’s calm demeanor amidst economic crisis was said to be the key to his unpopularity. But if the economy improves, then conventional wisdom about every single aspect of Obama’s personality and policy agenda will pivot around that fact. With the economy in the dumps, the health care bill is liberal overreach. If the economy improves, the health care bill will be said to demonstrate the genius of pushing a moderate proposal with no public option. Just you wait.

Incidentally, to fix the economy we should do this.

Politics

Oklahoma Voters May Have Accidentally Voted Against Ten Commandments, Too

Last year, radical right-wing politicians in Oklahoma passed the Ten Commandments Monument Display Act, which ordered “the placement of a monument displaying and honoring the Ten Commandments on the grounds of the Oklahoma State Capitol.” The bill authors noted that “the Ten Commandments found in the Bible, Exodus 20:1-17 and Deuteronomy 5:6-21, are an important component of the moral foundation of the laws and legal system of the United States of America and of the State of Oklahoma.”

As ThinkProgress noted, many of these same legislators voted to put a proposal on this week’s ballot, the “Save Our State” constitutional amendment, that bans Sharia from being considered in Oklahoma courts. The ballot states that Oklahoma courts must “rely on federal and state law when deciding cases” and forbids them from “considering or using international law” and “from considering or using Sharia Law.” The measure passed with 70 percent of the vote.

As a law professor noted to CNN, however, the religious zealotry of these lawmakers may now be in serious self-conflict:

Rick Tepker, the first member of the University of Oklahoma School of Law faculty to try a case before the U.S. Supreme Court…called the passage of the measure “a mess” with implications unknown until a case that challenges it arises.

“Many of us who understand the law are scratching our heads this morning, laughing so we don’t cry,” he said. “I would like to see Oklahoma politicians explain if this means that the courts can no longer consider the Ten Commandments. Isn’t that a precept of another culture and another nation? The result of this is that judges aren’t going to know when and how they can look at sources of American law that were international law in origin.”

The complicated “mess” caused by the Sharia ban is also affecting Oklahoma Muslims, who say that, though they obviously never considered seeking sharia law remedies, the constitutional amendment makes them feel alienated. “It’s really brought the Muslim-haters out,” said Allison Moore, a Muslim activist in Tulsa. Sheryl Siddiqui, a spokeswoman for the Edmond-based Islamic Council of Oklahoma, said her group tries outreach and education about Islam, though clearly with frustrating results. “Muslims in Oklahoma do a phenomenal amount of outreach,” she said. “It’s not on us anymore. There are people out there who still believe Obama is a Muslim.”

A lawsuit has also been filed against the amendment, which charges it transforms Oklahoma’s Constitution into “an enduring condemnation” of Islam by singling it out for special restrictions. “We have a handful of politicians who have pushed an amendment onto our state ballot and then conducted a well-planned and well-funded campaign of misinformation and fear,” said Muneer Awad, who filed the suit and is executive director of the Council on American-Islamic Relations in Oklahoma.

Yglesias

The 75 Year Itch

I was slightly surprised to discover that I agree with one of the central points of Third Way’s post-election column, namely that with the passage of the Affordable Care Act we’re now faced with the end of big government liberalism and progressive politics will necessarily need to concern itself primarily with operating the public sector more efficiently rather than operating a larger public sector.

That said, I can’t resist the temptation to note this bit of bizarre history:

For roughly 75 years, America dominated the world economy, taking robust economic expansion for granted. Those days are over. If the United States doesn’t attain growth far greater than what is projected for the next 20 years, we will never attain the middle class living standards we expect; claim the leadership role we need for a safer world, or pay for the entitlement state we’ve created.

What 75 year period was that? They seem to have totally forgotten the Great Depression, a period during which people certainly didn’t take robust economic expansion for granted.

Yglesias

Pelosi Sticking Around

It looks like Nancy Pelosi is going to stick around as Top Democrat in the House. This has led to a dumb media meme about her continued presence being a political millstone for the party moving forward. That’s dumb. People pushing that narrative should recall that when Pelosi first took over as minority leader the CW was that her ascension doomed the party to perpetual minority status. The fact of the matter is that congressional leaders just don’t play that kind of role. House leadership is very important to what actually happens in the House of Representatives and their political importance is strictly secondary to that.

Now of course if you just don’t like the idea of liberals having a strong voice as a matter of substance, then yes it would be better to dump her for someone more moderate. But there’s no extra political bonus to be gained that way. Legislative caucuses need to pick people who they think will be effective at leading a legislative caucus, not a “public face” for the party or whatever.

Politics

New GOP Governors Kill $1.2 Billion In High-Speed Rail Jobs


Govs. elect John Kasich (R-OH) and Scott Walker (R-WI).

Republicans who were elected on Tuesday are beginning to deliver on their campaign promises to kill America’s future. Within hours of declaring victory, the incoming tea-party governors of Wisconsin and Ohio stood fast on pledges to kill $1.2 billion in funding for high-speed rail in their states. The funding, part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will revert to the federal government for investment in other states — unless Republicans in Congress are able to kill that, too. Walker warned he would fight President Obama to keep the Milwaukee-Madison link killed “if he tries to force this down the throats of the taxpayers.” Kasich — who called the high-speed rail project linking Cleveland, Columbus, and Cincinnati “one of the dumbest ideas” he’s ever heard — used his victory speech to announce, “That train is dead“:

Scott Walker, the incoming governor of Wisconsin, for instance, vowed on Wednesday to carry out a campaign pledge to kill a proposed high-speed rail link between Milwaukee and Madison, part of a larger project to create a high-speed rail corridor across the upper Midwest, from Minneapolis to Chicago. The project was to be fully paid for with $810 million in federal stimulus funds. Mr. Walker said he wanted the money spent on roads, although under the terms of the grants, such a use of the funds is prohibited.

The newly elected Republican governor of Ohio, John Kasich, who ousted Ted Strickland, a Democrat, has also reiterated a campaign pledge to kill a $400 million stimulus-funded rail project in his state. “Passenger rail is not in Ohio’s future,” Mr. Kasich said at his first news conference after the election. “That train is dead.

In addition to their ideological opposition to creating new jobs through government investment, both Walker and Kasich question the reality of climate science, like other new Republican governors threatening clean energy projects across the nation.

Cross-posted on the Wonk Room.

Health

Federal Officials Offer New Options For High Risk Insurance Coverage In Effort To Boost Enrollment

The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced new plan options and lower premiums in the 24 high risk insurance pools that are under federal control in an effort to bolster enrollment in the fledgling program. The so-called Pre-Existing Condition Insurance Plan (PCIP) functions as a bridge to the Affordable Care Act’s exchanges for people who can’t find affordable coverage in the individual market, but thus far, the program’s high premiums have kept many eligible individuals from enrolling. The program currently boasts just 8,011 beneficiaries.

Starting January 1, however, Americans enrolled in a federally-run PCIP program, will have two new coverage options: a plan with a $1,000 deductible and $250 deductible for prescriptions, a $2,000 deductible with $500 deductible for prescriptions and the exiting option of a combined medical and prescription drug deductible of $2,500, which will be paired with a federal health savings account.

“Adjustment in rates in existing and new premiums will be nearly 20 percent below what is currently being charged today, ” Richard Popper, Director for the Office of Insurance Programs in HHS’s Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight, a said on a conference call attended by the Wonk Room. He suggested that PCIP enrollment levels are comparable to the early enrollment rates in CHIP and predicted that the program’s “enrollment continue to grow and with the change in premiums we see that trend escalate.”

In working towards that end, the government is also stepping up its outreach and enrollment efforts:

- Working with states in the federally-run pool programs to encourage their state insurance departments to require individual market insurance companies to notify those who may deny coverage about the availability of PCIP.

- Encouraging insurers to notify denied applicants about the PCIP option. A number of insurers have agreed to put notice in their denial letters about availability of PCIP.

- Working with the Social Security Administration to inform individuals under 65, who are not yet eligible for Medicare, about PCIP.

- AARP has sent out notices to their 24 million members about the availability of PCIP.

Some of the 27 states that are operating their own high risk health insurance pools are already offering similar options and all states will have “the opportunity to submit any changes they would like to make in their benefits or premiums for 2011.” “But we are not requiring the states to exactly adopt the changes that we are rolling out,” Popper said. “This program is largely build on state flexibility. With that flexibility and with the available products available we don’t feel the need to require them to copy what’s being done on the federal pool level.”

“We are doing everything we can do get as much enrollment and we’re doing as much outreach and we think premiums will help and hope that other states will follow suite,” Liz Fowler, Director for Policy in HHS’s Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight said on the call.

Yglesias

What’s the Deal With Dino Rossi?

In all seriousness, how many times does this guy need to lose close, winnable races in Washington State before the WA GOP stops nominating him? It’s not like he’s the only Republican in the state, after all. They’ve got several congressmen, a couple of downballot statewide officeholders, and there’s got to be someone recruitable among the ranks of Microsoft/Amazon/Starbucks executives. Right?

Climate Progress

New GOP Governors Kill $1.2 Billion In High-Speed Rail Jobs


Govs. elect John Kasich (R-OH) and Scott Walker (R-WI).

Republicans who were elected on Tuesday are beginning to deliver on their campaign promises to kill America’s future. Within hours of being elected, the incoming tea-party governors of Wisconsin and Ohio stood fast on pledges to kill $1.2 billion in funding for high-speed rail in their states. The funding, part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, will revert to the federal government for investment in other states — unless Republicans in Congress are able to kill that, too. Walker warned he would fight President Obama to keep the Milwaukee-Madison link killed “if he tries to force this down the throats of the taxpayers.” Kasich — who called the high-speed rail project linking Cleveland, Columbus, and Cincinnati “one of the dumbest ideas” he’s ever heard — used his victory speech to announce, “That train is dead“:

Scott Walker, the incoming governor of Wisconsin, for instance, vowed on Wednesday to carry out a campaign pledge to kill a proposed high-speed rail link between Milwaukee and Madison, part of a larger project to create a high-speed rail corridor across the upper Midwest, from Minneapolis to Chicago. The project was to be fully paid for with $810 million in federal stimulus funds. Mr. Walker said he wanted the money spent on roads, although under the terms of the grants, such a use of the funds is prohibited.

The newly elected Republican governor of Ohio, John Kasich, who ousted Ted Strickland, a Democrat, has also reiterated a campaign pledge to kill a $400 million stimulus-funded rail project in his state. “Passenger rail is not in Ohio’s future,” Mr. Kasich said at his first news conference after the election. “That train is dead.

In addition to their ideological opposition to creating new jobs through government investment, both Walker and Kasich question the reality of climate science, like other new Republican governors threatening clean energy projects across the nation.

Politics

Rick Perry Proposes Letting States Opt Out of Social Security

Appearing on CNN’s Parker/Spitzer this past week, occasionally secessionist Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) proposed allowing states to opt-out of Social Security:

“Here’s what I think would be a very wise thing,” he began. “In 1981, Matagorda, Brazoria, and Galveston Counties all opted out of the Social Security program for their employees. Today, their program is very, very well-funded and there is no question about whether it’s going to be funded in the out years. It’s there. That’s an option out there.”

“So, you want to let people opt out?” responded Spitzer.

“I think, let the states decide if that’s what’s best for their cities,” Perry replied.

“So the states will let people opt out of Social Security?” Spitzer asked

“They should,” the recently reelected Texas governor said.

Watch it:

Perry should learn a little history before he raises up the 1981 experiment as a model for Social Security reform. In that experiment, three Texas counties “decided to opt out of Social Security and instead to provide their public employees with a system of privatized accounts.” But this system left participants worse off than they would have been under Social Security.

Moreover, Perry’s proposal closely resembles Alaska GOP Senate candidate Joe “A Noun, a Verb and Unconstitutional” Miller’s economically impossible plan for a state takeover of Social Security and Medicare. A workable plan to allow states to opt out of Social Security would require draconian provisions, such as a mandate that everyone must retire in the same state that they worked and paid taxes in. Otherwise, workers who are too young to receive Social Security benefits would move to an opt-out state to avoid paying Social Security taxes — and then promptly move to a state with Social Security benefits the moment they became eligible. Eventually, the entire system would collapse under the weight of too many Social Security beneficiaries who had not paid into the system.

And this isn’t even the first time this week that Perry released a completely unworkable idea whose only virtue is that it will poll well with the Tea Party. Earlier this week, Perry released excerpts from his forthcoming book that attack the Constitution for allowing a national income tax and for requiring senators to be chosen through a radical process known as an “election.”

Yglesias

The District of Short Buildings

One of the most pathetic aspects of life in the District of Columbia is that you actually have to live in the shadows of taller buildings in the suburbs. Lydia DePillis observes that it’s happening again in Wheaton:

While reading about the new Safeway-anchored residential development just approved in Wheaton, all I could think was: Why can’t we get these kinds of buildings in the District? It’s a 17-story, 486-unit, 195-foot-tall apartment complex that will add density and vibrance to the suburb’s delightfully diverse and quirky town center. But it won’t look like the superblocks that proliferate within the D.C. diamond, which are the way they are because developers must ask their architects to pack as much square footage under the 130-foot height limit as possible to make the deal work financially. Since Wheaton is not bound by such restrictions, this development can achieve a kind of light, airy quality with towers on each corner and quite a bit of open space in the middle of the block. That also creates higher-quality living spaces for apartment dwellers, many more of whom will be able to have natural light.

Exactly, exactly. The Height Act is bad aesthetically, it’s ecologically destructive, and in economic terms it’s hugely costly for DC residents. Time for a change!

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