MSNBC’s President Phil Griffin released the following statement this evening:
After several days of deliberation and discussion, I have determined that suspending Keith through and including Monday night’s program is an appropriate punishment for his violation of our policy. We look forward to having him back on the air Tuesday night.
The Progressive Change Campaign Committee touts at least 280,000 people who signed a petition to “put Keith back on TV now!“
By Climate Guest Blogger on Nov 7, 2010 at 6:06 pm
The best science available suggests that without taking action to fundamentally change how we produce and use energy, we could see temperatures rise 9 to 11 degrees Fahrenheit over much of the United States by 2090. These estimates have sometimes been called high-end predictions, but the corresponding low-end forecasts assume we will rally as a country to shift course. That hasn’t happened, so the worst case must become our best guess….
Today’s conservatives would do well to start thinking more like military planners, reexamining the risks inherent in their strategy. If, instead, newly elected Republicans do nothing, they will doom us all to bigger government interventions and a large dose of suffering – a reckless choice that’s anything but conservative.
Now that the campaign’s been over for a while can we all step back and ponder how nutty it was for Meg Whitman to spend $140 million on a failed bid to become Governor of California? That’s a lot of money. And if you spent that kind of money on philanthropic pursuits, you’d be a very powerful and influential person. If you’re determined to exchange personal wealth for prestige and power, bankrolling your own political campaign seems like a very bad way to go about it.
At any rate, my advice to rich businesspeople who want to get into politics would be to aim lower. Self-finance a campaign for Mayor or State Treasurer or something. Try to do a good job. And then parlay your vast wealth into a leg up in your run for a major office. Politics is difficult. People who’ve run successful statewide campaigns in the past have real skills that money can’t easily substitute for.
I wrote about this once before, but the scandal of America’s taxpayer-subsidized initiative aimed at getting people to eat more cheese has made it to the New York Times:
Then help arrived from an organization called Dairy Management. It teamed up with Domino’s to develop a new line of pizzas with 40 percent more cheese, and proceeded to devise and pay for a $12 million marketing campaign.
Consumers devoured the cheesier pizza, and sales soared by double digits. “This partnership is clearly working,” Brandon Solano, the Domino’s vice president for brand innovation, said in a statement to The New York Times.
But as healthy as this pizza has been for Domino’s, one slice contains as much as two-thirds of a day’s maximum recommended amount of saturated fat, which has been linked to heart disease and is high in calories.
And Dairy Management, which has made cheese its cause, is not a private business consultant. It is a marketing creation of the United States Department of Agriculture — the same agency at the center of a federal anti-obesity drive that discourages over-consumption of some of the very foods Dairy Management is vigorously promoting.
Except for the fact that their pizza is bad, I don’t particularly think it’s worth giving Dominoes an especially hard time about their nutritional practices. Their nutritional calculator page is very handy (though the assumption that you’re eating just one slice is a bit unrealistic) and many eateries leave you totally in the dark about this stuff. But there’s just no need whatsoever for a government program of this sort.
And that, to me, is what’s frustrating about a lot of the recent conversation around “government spending” and “are public employees paid too much.” When the government is doing something useless or harmful that it shouldn’t be doing at all then there’s no salary or pension level at which public employees or government contractors are delivering value to the American people. If you’ve got a worthwhile public function, it’s foolish to undermine it by being stingy about spending. But there’s a fair amount of stuff like this in the budget that we could entirely do without. I’d like to think that the new Republican Congress’ budget cutting zeal will give us a chance to re-examine some of these programs, but realistically I think we’ll find that implicit and explicit subsidies to US producers of this sort continue to find favor.
Outgoing Minnesota Governor and potential presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty (R) reiterated his opposition to the Affordable Care Act this morning on CNN’s State of the Union, touting his principled rejection of the law’s grants and programs:
PAWLENTY: I think ObamaCare is one of the worst pieces of legislation passed in the modern history of the country. I’m doing everything I can in Minnesota to stop delay or avoid its implementation in my state, including signing an executive order saying we’re not going to participate unless required by law or approved by me. We’ve been given opportunities to early enroll in that program and take advantage of other aspects of it. We’ve declined and I hope between now and 2014, when it’s fully kicked in, that as many states as possible do what they can to reel that program back or that the new Republican congress, better yet, can repeal it. Because it’s dragging stuff into Washington, DC, creating a new bureaucracy, spending a lot of new money that they don’t have isn’t going to work. We should have market-based solutions.
Watch it:
But Pawlenty’s opposition to federal funds isn’t nearly as absolute or widespread as he would have his party faithful believe. Pawlenty’s executive order includes a caveat that allows the Governor to “evaluate federal funding opportunities on a case by case basis,” and he has recently allowed the state’s Management and Budget Office to apply for a grant from the Early Retiree Reinsurance Program, “a $5 billion program that helps pay for the insurance costs of retirees between the ages of 55 and 64.” So far, Minnesota has received some $11.1 million in ACA grants, and Pawlenty has separately accepted $263 million in federal dollars to bolster the state’s Medicaid program.
Texas Governor Rick Perry (R), who appeared on the show with Pawlenty, also denounced the new law without noting that his state legislature and state agencies are busy implementing the measure. As Thomas M. Suehs, the state’s commissioner of health and human services told the New York Times, the governor “expects me to implement the federal law in the most cost-effective, efficient manner.” According to HealthCare.gov, the federal government has made $47.5 million in new grant funding available in Texas since passage of the law.
Evan Bayh thinks “Democrats should support a freeze on federal hiring and pay increases. Government isn’t a privileged class and cannot be immune to the times.”
Reading this, I’m wondering, “How would that help the economy?” Bayh is arguing that we’d be better off if fewer unemployed workers get jobs and federal workers have less money. I’m sure he can explain why this would help the economy — and I’m sure it’s very “moderate” — but I have no idea what that explanation might be.
I think that Bayh is probably operating with an explicit model of the economy as a closed zero-sum system. A recession is a negative shock leading to bad times. Policymakers then have the opportunity to influence the course of the recession by allocating the badness around. Failure to cut public sector compensation creates a “privileged class” and increases the quantity of pain felt by people outside that class, whereas ensuring that members of that class experience pain reduces the pain felt by others.
My view is that the Bayh Model is mistaken. Of course the primary losers in Bayh’s plan will be those whose incomes are directly reduced. But individuals will respond to reduced income by reducing spending, and those reductions in spending will reduce everyone else’s income. My model of the economy isn’t a zero sum system. In my version, a typical recession is a needless waste of resources—unemployed workers, vacant storefronts, empty offices, idled factories—and public policy actually impacts the extent to which resources are wasted and the pace at which they’re put back into use.
I think the primary political problem progressives have had over the past two years stems from the fact that our accurate account of the recession is less believed than Bayh’s inaccurate model. I think virtually all Republican members of congress and many Democratic members of congress embrace the Bayh Model. And I think this is how it goes throughout the ranks. From ordinary citizens to campaign operatives to Hill staff to reporters etc. The Bayh Model had common sense on its side, most people are not specialists in the subject, and I think most non-specialists believe in it. They think that being hit by a recession is like being hit by a hurricane or a drought. It’s something that causes a temporary period of intense suffering that can be managed well or poorly but primarily has to be endured. Common sense views “fiscal stimulus” (whether for good or for ill) as a form of humanitarian disaster relief, and common sense views Bayh’s pain-sharing proposal as reasonable, and common sense doesn’t think about monetary policy at all.
I think all this is mistaken and recessions are quite different from hurricanes. But I think that progressives have tended to focus too much on “crazy person misinformation” (Obama is a secret Muslim, Obama spent nine trillion dollars on a trip to India, Obama is from Kenya) and not enough on “common sense misinformation” of the sort Bayh is expressing. The widespread nature of common sense misinformation about the nature of recessions—not just among low-information voters but even among political professionals and policy elites—has been a huge drag on macroeconomic performance and that in turn has dragged down the entire progressive agenda.
This morning on ABC’s This Week, host Christiane Amanpour asked Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN) whether he considers it “fair” that the richest Americans should get an extra tax cut. “What’s not fair,” Pence responded in defense of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, “is that you would actually allow a tax increase on job creators.” Former Reagan Budget Director David Stockman, who ushered in one of the most sweeping tax cuts in history, rejected Pence’s argument:
Two years after the crisis on Wall Street, it has been announced that bonuses this year will be $144 billion — the highest in history. That’s who’s gonna get this tax cut on the top, you know, 2 percent of the population. They don’t need a tax cut. They don’t deserve it. And therefore, what we have to do is focus on Main Street.
Outgoing Minnesota Governor and potential presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty (R) reiterated his opposition to the Affordable Care Act this morning on CNN’s State of the Union, touting his principled rejection of the law’s grants and programs:
PAWLENTY: I think ObamaCare is one of the worst pieces of legislation passed in the modern history of the country. I’m doing everything I can in Minnesota to stop delay or avoid its implementation in my state, including signing an executive order saying we’re not going to participate unless required by law or approved by me. We’ve been given opportunities to early enroll in that program and take advantage of other aspects of it. We’ve declined and I hope between now and 2014, when it’s fully kicked in, that as many states as possible do what they can to reel that program back or that the new Republican congress, better yet, can repeal it. Because it’s dragging stuff into Washington, DC, creating a new bureaucracy, spending a lot of new money that they don’t have isn’t going to work. We should have market-based solutions.
Watch it:
But as I’ve been chronicling here, Pawlenty’s opposition to federal funds isn’t nearly as absolute or widespread as he would have his party faithful believe. In reality, Pawlenty is trying to present himself as a strong opponent of ACA funding, while simultaneously carving out exceptions to his own position.
Pawlenty’s executive order includes a caveat that allows the Governor to “evaluate federal funding opportunities on a case by case basis” and he has recently allowed the state’s Management and Budget Office to apply for a grant from the Early Retiree Reinsurance Program, “a $5 billion program that helps pay for the insurance costs of retirees between the ages of 55 and 64.” So far, Minnesota has received some $11.1 million in ACA grants and Pawlenty has separately accepted $263 million in federal dollars to bolster the state’s Medicaid program.
Asked if repealing health reform would be a center piece of his campaign platform, should he choose to run for president in 2012, Pawlenty spouted off a succession of trite catch phrases about the law and said that he would, in fact, run on repeal.
Texas Governor Rick Perry (R), who appeared on the show with Pawlenty, also denounced the new law without noting that his legislature and state agencies are busy implementing the measure. As Thomas M. Suehs, the state’s commissioner of health and human services told the New York Times, the governor “expects me to implement the federal law in the most cost-effective, efficient manner.” According to HealthCare.gov, the federal government has made $47.5 million in new grant funding available in Texas since passage of the law.
Rick Perry’s odd notion that states should be allowed to opt out of Social Security seems like a good opportunity to discuss the useful role of social welfare programs in promoting “automatic” economic stabilizers.
The way this works is that 50 million or so people—about one American in six—gets a Social Security check on a regular basis. And importantly the size of the check is unrelated to short-term or localized economic fluctuations. During downturns, that’s nice for the Social Security recipients who are cushioned from the blow. During upsides, it’s bad for the Social Security recipients who tend to fall behind. So it kind of nets out. But crucially this stability is nice for everyone else participating in the economy since the fact that a certain proportion of your customer base doesn’t fully participate in short-term swings reduces the exposure of your business to those swings.
Many Floridians, for example, are getting hammered by the precipitous decline in Florida home prices. Many other Floridians are getting hammered by the precipitous decline in Florida home construction. But many other Floridians are getting hammered by the fact that their customers are being hammered by the decline in home prices and construction activity. The existence of Social Security benefits is one of the few things that helps halt the downward cycle of other people’s misfortunes becoming your misfortune. The checks keep flowing and their recipients keep buying stuff and their spending becomes your income becomes your spending becomes someone else’s income.
This is an excellent feature of the modern social insurance state that accounts of the negative impact on incentives of taxation tend to neglect. But unfortunately, in America state and local government doesn’t operate like Social Security. One of the key lessons of the current crisis should be about the importance of “automatic stabilizers” we have, but also the extent to which their gross impact is offset by very unsound budgetary practices elsewhere. This is an issue that can be fixed in principle and would leave us in much better shape to weather the next economic storm.
In an interview with Fox News Sunday this morning, Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA), the #2 Republican in the House, threatened to take the nation’s economy hostage if President Obama does not comply with House GOPers’ as yet undefined demands. When asked if he would take a government shutdown on forcing the United States to default on its debt off the table, Cantor responded that it would somehow be President Obama’s fault if House Republicans press this agenda:
QUESTION: Are you willing to say right now we’re not going to let the country go into default, and we won’t allow a government shutdown?
CANTOR: Chris, look at this now. The chief executive, the president, is as responsible as any in terms of running this government. The president has a responsibility, as much or more so than Congress, to make sure that we are continuing to function in a way that the people want.
Watch it:
It’s difficult to exaggerate just how harmful a shutdown or default would be for the United States and its economy. A “shutdown” occurs when Congress fails to appropriate money to fund the federal agencies. As a result, nearly every federal employee is sent home, including the officials who cut Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid checks. In other words, by threatening a shutdown, Cantor is holding the incomes of millions of American seniors hostage unless Obama complies with his petty demands.
The consequences of a default would be even worse — indeed, if a shutdown amounts to a hostage crisis, a default is the equivalent of shooting the hostage. A default could occur if the House GOP refuses to authorize the Treasury to issue new bonds in order to cover the interest on the nation’s existing debt, and the results of such a default would be catastrophic.
If the world’s safest investment — US Treasury bonds — were essentially converted into junk bonds overnight, it would trigger a worldwide financial panic. Meanwhile, the extraordinary economic steps America would need to take in order to mitigate the possibility of a default would pull more than a trillion dollars of spending out of the world economy, potentially triggering a second Great Depression. And even if Cantor eventually backed down, the lasting effects of a default would drive up borrowing costs for the United States — jacking up our national debt in the process.
To date, Cantor has not indicated just how large a suitcase of small, unmarked bills the American people will need to deliver if they ever want to see their economy alive again. But there are early signs that Cantor’s ransom note will make pretty steep demands. After acknowledging that Obama’s offered a hand to House Republicans after this week’s election, Cantor promptly tried to bite that hand off — warning that Republicans are “not going to be willing to work with him” on what Cantor describes as an “expansive liberal agenda.”