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Judith Curry abandons science

But I’m glad the GOP chose her as a witness for a climate hearing

Curry pic

Only three things in life are certain:  Death, taxes, and the grim consequences humanity faces if we take no serious action to restrict greenhouse gas emissions.

Now that I think of it, though, lots people on this planet don’t pay taxes.  I guess only two things are certain after all.

Then again, who wasn’t certain the anti-science crowd in Congress would get around to inviting Judith Curry as a witness for the prosecution of their case against climate science?  I suspect they’ll be disappointed.  More on that at the end.

My one-time lecture-circuit companion, Dr. Judith Curry, Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Georgia Tech, has now taken the crown as the most debunked person on the science blogosphere, which is quite a feat considering the competition.  But she invites debunking by her tendency to make scientific-sounding pronouncements without having actually read the relevant literature, and then backing down the minute she is challenged by someone who has or who has actually contributed to that literature.

And then there’s her tendency to libel people, such as this whopper in an interview by Eric Berger of the Houston Chronicle:

Read more

Politics

Judge Hearing Joe Millers’ Voter Disenfranchisement Lawsuit Recuses Because Of His ‘Negative Opinion’ Of Miller

Earlier this week, Alaska GOP Senate candidate Joe Miller — aka “Mr. Noun, Verb and Unconstitutional” — filed a lawsuit seeking to disenfranchise write-in candidate Lisa Murkowski’s voters who misspelled Murkowski’s name.  In an amusing twist, Miller’s lawsuit was originally assigned to one of his former supervisors, a federal judge with a pretty low opinion of Joe Miller:

The federal judge originally assigned to hear Joe Miller’s lawsuit to challenge how write-in ballots are counted took himself off the case Wednesday because of the “negative opinion” he held of Miller. . . .

“The process for filling a part-time magistrate judge position is lengthy, a fact well known to Mr. Miller because he had gone through that process,” [Judge John] Sedwick wrote in an order from his chambers. “Mr. Miller’s failure to give reasonable notice of his resignation left the court with no judicial officer resident in Fairbanks, and no ability to fill the vacancy for many months. This incident caused me to form a negative opinion of Mr. Miller.

At the time, Sedwick was the chief federal judge in Alaska and Miller’s supervisor.

Judge Sedwick is only the most recent in a long string of Miller’s former supervisors who were turned off by his poor conduct in the workplace.  Former Fairbanks North Star Borough Mayor Jim Whitaker, who supervised Miller when he worked as a part-time attorney for the borough, was forced to discipline Miller for engaging in unethical activity.  Likewise, Miller’s former supervisor at a law firm he worked at for three years explained that “we at this firm were not eager to have him stay, and so when he announced he was leaving, we were relieved.”

Alyssa

London and Heartland

As much as I found myself frustrated by Perdido Street Station, I did very much enjoy reading it around the same time that I got to watch Sherlock. In conjunction, and as I’ve been reading Drood, they were a reminder of one of the things I like best about both real and fictional London, its capacity for mystery, its resistance to complete mapping, discovery, and explanation. London may be a mess in fiction and in truth (though very much less so in truth these days), but the trash contains wonder, if not treasure.

It’s a quality very much particular to the mythos of that city, and I was struck by it reading this review of two new major Bob Dylan surveys. Giles Harvey writes:

Dylan’s songs (there are now more than five hundred of them) seem to unearth a strange, alternate, subterranean America, an antic shadow country of dirt roads and frontier towns, abandoned mines and teeming plantations, a land inhabited by outlaws, vagabonds, crapshooters, confidence men, vigilantes, and religious fanatics, to name only its most conspicuous citizens….al happenings of the day. They no longer partitioned the country into moral factions, with arms dealers, corrupt politicians, Southern racists, and conventional bourgeois society on one side and the young, the poor, the downtrodden, and the guitar-and- harmonica-wielding troubadours on the other. They no longer asked—as Florence Reece’s pro-union protest song of the 1930s had done—”Which Side Are You On?” Instead, Dylan began writing a kind of visionary nonsense verse, in which the rough, ribald, lawless America of the country’s traditional folk music collided with a surreal ensemble of characters from history, literature, legend, the Bible, and many other places besides.

I sometimes wonder if Dylan owes his popularity to a wildness we wish was still is ours, to a more raffish origin story that is solidly cloistered in the American past and that is no longer part of our essential nature. 


Maybe it’s that a city is the largest structure we can build on a foundation of catacombs and labyrinths, and countries require more stable foundations. London is counterbalanced by the more (theoretically) wholesome English countryside. America has its sinkholes and its mystery cities, and its (theoretically) wide-open, sound heartland. Enigmas pale in the sweep of larger countries.

Yglesias

Currency Battle Rap

Funny:

I will say, though, that looking at any trade-related issues as a question of “China” versus “America” is always misleading. Industry employes just 27 percent of China’s workforce. Almost 40 percent of Chinese workers are laboring in agriculture, together producing only 10 percent of China’s GDP and thus being quite poor. These people do not benefit from an undervalued RMB. On the contrary, the low price of the RMB further depresses the value of their already meager earnings. The main beneficiares of the cheap yuan are the owners of China’s exporting enterprises, and the people who work at our supply those enterprises. This, however, isn’t “China” it’s a particular set of politically influential Chinee people who have a dominant voice in China’s economic policy.

America has a bizarre cotton policy. But that’s not because “America” has decided that this policy is good for “America,” it’s because cotton-growers control the relevant levers of power.

Politics

On Veterans Day, Conrad Invokes Veterans To Praise Proposal Adding Co-Pays To The VA

Yesterday, the chairmen of President Obama’s Deficit Reduction Commission released a report outlining their recommendations to reduce the budget deficit. The report has sparked a furious debate over what measures should be taken to reduce U.S. debt.

Today, ABC News’s George Stephanopolous interviewed Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) about the Commission’s recommendations. The senator repeatedly praised the proposals, distancing himself from other leading Democrats like House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (CA), who has roundly condemned the deep cuts to social services advocated within them. At one point, Stephanopolous asked Conrad if he would vote for the proposals as written. The senator didn’t give a direct answer, but said that there’s no way to reduce the deficit in a way “that’s not controversial and difficult.” He then reminded the ABC host that today is Veterans’ Day, and that we should “think of what they sacrificed for this country. If some of us have to sacrifice a political career to get this country back on track then so be it. It has to be done”:

STEPHANOPOLOUS: Could you vote for these proposals?

CONRAD: Look, we’re going to have a chance to change them. But I am going to vote for proposals that do as much as this does to reduce the debt [...] There is no way doing it that’s not controversial and difficult. But you know today is Veterans’ Day. You think of what they sacrificed for this country. If some of us have to sacrifice a political career to get this country back on track then so be it. It has to be done.

STEPHANOPOLOUS: That is an admirable sentiment, sir, it doesn’t appear to be shared by other members of the Commission.

Watch it:

What Conrad failed to mention as he was invoking American veterans to praise the commission’s report is that it one of its recommendations could seriously hurt the veteran population. One of its proposals is to “establish co-pays in the VA medical system and change the co-pays and deductibles for military retirees that remain in that system,” meaning that it asks America’s veterans to shoulder a greater financial burden in order to utilize the VA system — in a way, moving it towards privatization, and undermining the principle that America will pay to take care of its warriors. (HT: DailyKos diarist Barbara Morrill).

Yglesias

Against The Revenue Cap

The worst thing about the Bowles-Simpson plan is that for a deficit reduction plan it took the odd step of asserting that the federal government ought to implement a permanent arbitrary cap of revenue at 21 percent of GDP. Fortunately, Michael Linden, our Associate Director for Tax and Budget Policy at CAP released a paper on November 1 about why this kind of thing is a bad idea. So read what he has to say.

Let me just note separately that it’s especially ridiculous to look at the federal government in isolation. State and local government activity counts, too. If you “cap” federal spending, then congress will just spend more time dreaming up ways to semi-coerce state government into spending more money. If we’re trying to ask what kind of tax burden the country can afford overall, we need to look at the whole picture.

Alyssa

You Know What’s Boring?

Movies that purport to be about people defying sexual and relational norms but are really about how sexual compatibility+friendship=soulmates with as much certainty and inevitability as a mathematical equation:

You know what’s even more boring? Two of them:

When even Mindy Kaling doesn’t change things, you know there’s trouble. Would it kill someone to make a movie with a messy ending about a couple that doesn’t end up choosing romance?

Politics

UPDATED: Allen West Ditches Right-Wing Radio Host Who May Have Triggered Violent Threat For Chief Of Staff

On Tuesday, ThinkProgress reported that Rep.-elect Allen West (R-FL) — who received unusually strong backing from national Republicans — had hired Joyce Kaufman, a Florida right-wing radio host to be his congressional chief of staff. Kaufman has a long history of making offensive and inflammatory comments, and a House of Representatives standards official told ThinkProgress that hiring Kaufman, who said she would continue to do work for her radio station, was “potentially problematic.” “There may be potential confidentiality issues” in her duel roles, the official said. But today on her radio show, Kaufman said she will be not be taking the job because she does not want to be subject to an “electronic lynching”:

I will not be used in an electronic lynching by proxy,” radio talk show host Joyce Kaufman just said, announcing why she won’t come to Washington to serve as the Broward Republican’s chief of staff. The conservative host’s appointment earlier this week touched off an uproar on the Internet — and TV — and Kaufman said she doesn’t want it to tarnish West, calling him a “distinguished, monumental man.”

You guys can do all the things you want to me, but I will not participate in you trying to destroy him,” she said on her radio show, apparently referring to the press — whom she is now calling “vermin.”

West confirmed the news in a statement, saying, “It is with deep regret that this congressional office and the people of CD 22 will not have Joyce Kaufman as my chief of staff.” However, he said he will still rely on Kaufman for “counsel.” Following ThinkProgress’ report, MSNBC host Rachel Maddow highlighted a statement from Kaufman promoting violent insurrection, saying that “if ballots don’t work, bullets will.” Watch it:


Update

Several Florida news outlets are reporting that Kaufman “may have triggered” a threat against Broward County public schools this weak that led to a lockdown of the entire system, affecting over 230,000 students. “According to sources, something Kaufman had said at a tea party rally, set someone off to write a threatening email to that station,” Miami TV station WSNV reports. “According to sources close to the investigation into that threat, which forced the county-wide lockdown of Broward schools, libraries and other government buildings, the person who sent the email was motivated by hearing Kaufman’s words on Maddow’s show,” and police said the threat was issued “soon after” Maddow’s segment highlighting Kaufman’s call for violent insurrection aired. Police have identified a subject, who issued the threat in an email to Kaufman that read: “I’m planning something big around the government building here in Broward County, maybe a post office, maybe even a school.”

Media

Kaplan, Inc

The Washington Post company is most identified with its newspaper, the Washington Post. But in fact its biggest source of revenue is its Kaplan subsidiary. Kaplan, in turn, is primarily identified with test prep work. In fact, however, its low-performing for-profit university unit is its biggest source of growth as Tamar Lewin points out in an excellent NYT piece:

Over the last decade, Kaplan has moved aggressively into for-profit higher education, acquiring 75 small colleges and starting the huge online Kaplan University. Now, Kaplan higher education revenues eclipse not only the test-prep operations, but all the rest of the Washington Post Company’s operations. And Kaplan’s revenue grew 9 percent during the last quarter to $743.3 million — with higher education revenues more than four times greater than those from test-prep — helping its parent company more than triple its profits. [...]

According to 2009 data released this summer by the Department of Education, only 28 percent of Kaplan’s students were repaying their student loans. That figure is well below the 45 percent threshold that most programs will need to remain fully eligible for the federal aid on which they rely. By comparison, 44 percent of students at the largest for-profit, the University of Phoenix, were repaying their loans.

So to clarify, the basic business model of the Washington Post Company’s key business unit is as follows. They say “in exchange for paying us money, we’ll provide you education services that pay off in the long run.” Potential customers think that sounds like a good proposition, and they avail themselves of taxpayer-subsidized loans in order to take the Post up on their offer. But 72 percent of the Post’s customers find that they’re actually unable to repay those taxpayer-subsidized loans.

Fairly reasonably, the Obama administration has proposed that taxpayers stop subsidizing programs with dismal performance rates. That way educational entrepreneurs at places like the Post will have to work on making sure they’re delivering some real value to their customers. Also quote reasonable, the Post would prefer to keep on getting free money from taxpayers and thus “spent $350,000 on lobbying in the third quarter of this year, more than any other higher-education company.”

But what’s more, Donald Graham has personally “gone to Capitol Hill to argue against the regulations in private visits with lawmakers” and just to make the full scope of his interest in the issue clear “[h]is newspaper, too, has editorialized against the regulations.” Meanwhile, it looks like the new GOP majority in the House of Representatives has decided that taxpayer subsidies to low-performing for-profit colleges like Kaplan is one of the forms of wasteful government spending they like. And presumably every member of congress is now on notice that the city’s most influential newspaper is prepared to go to bat for its corporate partners.

Politics

In Banning Sharia Law, Oklahoma Voters May Have Voted Against Native American Rights, Too

Oklahoma voters recently celebrated the novelty of becoming the first state to ban the non-existent threat of Sharia law. Under the “Save Our State” constitutional amendment, Oklahoma courts are forbidden from considering or using international and Sharia law in their rulings. Beyond the obvious First Amendment problems with the law, in their zealous “war” against the phantom Sharia menace, Oklahomans might find unexpected collateral damage to the Ten Commandments, businesses, and now, Native Americans.

Oklahoma has the second largest population of Native Americans in the U.S and law experts like Oklahoma University law professor Taiawagi Helton point out that language in the law banning courts from looking at “legal precepts of other nations or cultures” could pose a problem if applied to tribal legal cases, as the tribes are considered sovereign nations. In fact, the Oklahoma Indian Affairs Commission released an official memo on October 20 explaining how the “lack of specific tribal law language” could “damage the sovereignty of all Oklahoma tribes” and “starkly reminds [the Commission] that some Oklahoma lawmakers forgot that our nation and state were built on the principles, blood, and back of other nations and cultures, namely, ou[r] tribes”:

[The law]completely ignores the possibility that an Oklahoma state court may be called upon to apply the law of any of the 39 Indian tribes located with the borders of Oklahoma to resolve a dispute.[...]

The language of this proposed amendment starkly reminds us that some Oklahoma lawmakers forgot that our nation and state were built on the principles, blood, and backs of other nations and cultures, namely, out [sic] tribes. It also ignores that Oklahoma tribes have become valuable economic partners with the State that it cannot afford to ignore or exclude.

If SQ 755 is approved, the lack of specific tribal law language could easily be interpreted by a state judge to leave no room to refer to a tribe’s law to determine the existence of a valid waiver of a tribe’s sovereign immunity, for example. Thus, SQ 755 has the potential to provide state court judges with yet another opportunity to further erode tribal sovereignty. A state court judge could rely on the amendment’s absence of recognition of any tribal law to avoid or disavow its application.Tribes and tribal members should be aware of this glaring omission for Oklahoma courts to look to and apply our tribal laws when appropriate, and vote on this question accordingly.

Ohio University international law professor Peter Krug said Oklahoma businesses that deal with companies overseas could also suffer as “many transactions between companies rely on international treaties to uphold contracts” and “lawyers could take advantage of the lack of clarity in the language” to challenge cases.” “I think we will see extended legal arguments from both sides, and, quite honestly, any court decision that addresses [the amendment] will likely be appealed,” he said.

Fortunately, as Helton notes, it is unlikely that courts will uphold the law. A federal judge’s temporary order to block the law on Tuesday certainly lends credence to that notion.

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