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Pentagon Moves Up Release Of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell Study To November 30th

Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has agreed to move up the release date of the Pentagon’s study of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell by one day — from Wednesday December 1st to Tuesday, November 30, Defense Department spokesperson Geoff Morrell said in a statement emailed to reporters tonight. Politico’s Josh Gerstein has Morrell’s statement:

“Secretary Gates is pushing all involved in the Comprehensive Review Working Group’s report to have it ready for public release on November 30th in order to accommodate the desire of the Senate Armed Services Committee to hold hearings as soon as possible.” [...]

“Frankly, December 1st was already an aggressive deadline by which to complete the report, incorporate the views of service secretaries and chiefs and for the Secretary to make a recommendation on the way ahead, but he has further compressed the timeline in order to support Congress’ wish to consider repeal before they adjourn,” Morell wrote. “Now, the Secretary has instructed his staff, without cutting any corners, to have everything ready a day sooner because he wants to ensure members of the Armed Services Committee are able to read and consider the complex, lengthy report before holding hearings with its authors and the Joint Chiefs of Staff.”

Last week, hoping to ensure that repeal can be passed during the lame duck session, Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Susan Collins (R-ME) sent a letter to Gates asking the Secretary to release the study as soon as possible. “Given the limited amount of time remaining in the 111th Congress, the soonest possible release of the working group’s report could therefore be instrumental in allowing the defense bill to move forward,” they wrote.

But until tonight, the Pentagon has argued that it was already operating on an expedited timeline and wouldn’t release the study before the first of the month. “We have compressed that timeline such that we are now operating on parallel tracks. Not only is the draft report still being finalized, but we are also doing the internal work that would have taken place after December 1st simultaneously so that we can, on December the 1, not just release the report but the Secretary can state where he wants to take us with regards to this measure,” Morrell said in his press conference on Thursday. He also assured reporters, “Congress will see this report on December the 1, not before December the 1. So don’t go camped out on the Hill, it’s not going to be worth your while.”

A leak to the Washington Post from two sources who have seen a copy of the study have said that more than “70 percent of respondents to a survey sent to active-duty and reserve troops over the summer said the effect of repealing the ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’ policy would be positive, mixed or nonexistent. Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-MI) is expected to hold hearings on the report during the “first days of December.”

Yglesias

Kids These Days

Matt Richtel in the NYT about the the new generation’s brain being fried by technology:

Students have always faced distractions and time-wasters. But computers and cellphones, and the constant stream of stimuli they offer, pose a profound new challenge to focusing and learning.

Researchers say the lure of these technologies, while it affects adults too, is particularly powerful for young people. The risk, they say, is that developing brains can become more easily habituated than adult brains to constantly switching tasks — and less able to sustain attention.

“Their brains are rewarded not for staying on task but for jumping to the next thing,” said Michael Rich, an associate professor at Harvard Medical School and executive director of the Center on Media and Child Health in Boston. And the effects could linger: “The worry is we’re raising a generation of kids in front of screens whose brains are going to be wired differently.”

Maybe. Certainly this line of research is worth undertaking. To me, though, brains that are wired to perform well in an environment of task-switching sounds like a step forward. When looking at something like the anecdote that opens the piece—a kid who’s supposed to be reading Cat’s Cradle but keeps screwing around online instead—I think it’s worth taking an initial stab at a more deflationary account.

Circa 1810 there were very few things one could do to entertain oneself at home. Even reading a book posed serious logistical challenges after sunset. Then throughout the 19th century, illumination technology steadily improved inaugurating a golden age of reading long books. Then in the early 20th century we got the player piano, better phonographs, the radio, movies, movies with sound, movies with color, broadcast television, broadcast television with color, cable television, the VCR, the Walkman, video rental stores, videogames, CDs, DVDs, on-demand television, MP3s, HDTVs, Netflix, YouTube, Blu-Ray, etc., etc., etc., That’s a large increase in the number of ways you could be entertaining yourself. But since the incandescent lightbulb and rural electrification, we haven’t devised new ways to fundamentally increase the amount of time one has in the day to do things. Under the circumstances, things that you could do in 1810—to wit, read a book—are bound to tend to get squeezed, neurology aside.

Climate Progress

Wegman exposed: Experts find “shocking” plagiarism in 2006 climate report requested by Joe Barton (R-TX)

Meanwhile, evidence grows that recent global warming is unprecedented in magnitude and speed and cause

An influential 2006 congressional report that raised questions about the validity of global warming research was partly based on material copied from textbooks, Wikipedia and the writings of one of the scientists criticized in the report, plagiarism experts say.

Review of the 91-page report by three experts contacted by USA TODAY found repeated instances of passages lifted word for word and what appear to be thinly disguised paraphrases.

The evidence has become overwhelming that recent global warming is unprecedented in magnitude and speed and cause (see “Two more independent studies back the Hockey Stick and below).  Indeed, as WAG notes, within a few decades, nobody is going to be talking about hockey sticks, they will be talking about right angles or hockey skates (see chart above).

The disinformers (and the confusionists who Curry favor with them), however, are not merely oblivious to the multiple, independent lines of scientific investigation that lead to that conclusion.  They have for over a decade tried to discredit one small piece of that underlying analysis, the Hockey Stick graph developed by Michael Mann, Raymond S. Bradley & Malcolm K. Hughes — continuing their obsession even after that analysis was largely reaffirmed by a 2006 report from the National Academy of Sciences, the “Supreme Court of science.”

A cornerstone of the disinformer’s ultimately self-destructive attack on climate science is a 2006 report, commissioned by Rep. Joe Barton (R-TX) and Rep. Ed Whitfield (R-KY), and led by George Mason University statistician Edward Wegman, who is now himself under investigation by GMU.  You can find all the details you could want about the shoddy analysis of the report at Deep Climate — including his “methodical demolishing of any hint of statistics” in the report, as John Mashey puts it in the comments.

Here’s more from the stunning USA Today piece:

Read more

Yglesias

“The Perils of Presidential Democracy” Revisited

In his classic essay “The Perils of Presidentialism” (PDF) political scientist Juan Linz noted the striking fact that “the only presidential democracy with a long history of constitutional continuity is the United States . . . [a]side from the United States, only Chile has managed a century and a half of relatively undisturbed constitutional continuity under presidential government—but Chilean democracy broke down in the 1970s.” By contrast, many parliamentary democracies have managed to hold together for a long time.

Linz briefly treats the question of why presidential democracy, which basically doesn’t work, has managed to work in the United States:

But what is most striking is that in a presidential system, the legislators, especially when they represent cohesive, disciplined parties that offer clear ideological and political alternatives, can also claim democratic legitimacy. This claim is thrown into high relief when a majority of the legislature represents a political option opposed to the one the president represents. Under such circumstances, who has the stronger claim to speak on behalf of the people: the president or the legislative majority that opposes his policies? Since both derive their power from the votes of the people in a free competition among well-defined alternatives, a conflict is always possible and at times may erupt dramatically. Theme is no democratic principle on the basis of which it can be resolved, and the mechanisms the constitution might provide are likely to prove too complicated and aridly legalistic to be of much force in the eyes of the electorate. It is therefore no accident that in some such situations in the past, the armed forces were often tempted to intervene as a mediating power. One might argue that the United
States has successfully rendered such conflicts “normal” and thus defused them. To explain how American political institutions and practices have achieved this result would exceed the scope of this essay, but it is worth noting that the uniquely diffuse character of American political parties—which, ironically, exasperates many American political scientists and leads them to call for responsible, ideologically disciplined parties—has something to do with it
.

Linz’s article was published in 1990 at a time when the observation about the lack of ideological coherent and rigorous discipline had been true for the overwhelming majority of American history. And, indeed, as recently as 1988 one could have witnessed moderate Democrat Joe Lieberman successfully challenging incumbent liberal Republican Senator Lowell Weicker with the support of, among others, William F Buckley, Jr.

But it turns out that Lieberman vs Weicker was something of a dying gasp of a political order that was rendered obsolete by the civil rights revolution. Twenty years later we find ourselves several congresses into a brave new world in which every single Democratic Party legislator is to the left of every single Republican Party legislator. In terms of partisan politics, in other words, we’ve become a normal country. But as Linz observed, the “normal” outcome for a country with our political institutions and ideologically sorted parties is constitutional crisis and a collapse into dictatorship.

So far it hasn’t happened here. The 1998-99 effort to impeach Bill Clinton was sufficiently unpopular that moderate Republicans wouldn’t vote for it. Al Gore chose not to contest the legitimacy of the Supreme Court ruling that handed the White House to George W Bush despite the fact that the electorate preferred Gore. And by 2007-2008, Bush was so unpopular that the Democratic Party leadership felt the wisest course was to avoid provoking a crisis and basically just wait him out. But we live in interesting times….

Yglesias

Green Lantern

Saw the Green Lantern trailer while I was at the movies watching Harry Potter:

It seems a bit weak to me. The normal problem you see with superhero movie series is that a lot of the iconic characters (Superman, Spiderman, Batman, X-Men) have these thematically resonant origin stories that transcend the inherent goofiness of a superhero story. Then when you try to extend the series, the tendency is for things to bog down. But Green Lantern really isn’t like that. The origin of Hal Jordan is kind of banal, and the iconic Jordan plotlines I can think of are probably too bogged down in DC cosmos to make any kind of sense to normal people. I think a Kyle Rainer story might be more compelling in this context.

Media

Meet The Press Uncritically Features Radical Rep.-Elect Allen West

This morning on NBC’s Meet the Press, Rep.-elect Allen West (R-FL) somewhat puzzlingly joined the show’s panel, which also featured Paul Gigot of the Wall Street Journal, author and reporter Richard Wolffe, and the New York Times’ Robert Draper. West is not yet a member of Congress, and is known mostly for his history of extreme statements targeting Islam, liberals, women — all issues host David Gregory chose not to explore with West, instead asking him somewhat banal questions about things like TSA screenings and a possible Sarah Palin candidacy.

Gregory began the panel by asking West if he thought the uproar over TSA screenings would become an expanding political issue. West calmly replied that it may, given heightened holiday travel, and wondered if there is “a better way here,” like perhaps “psychological profiling” in the Israeli model. Watch:

This might have been a good opportunity for Gregory to ask West if his “psychological profiling” plan might include anyone who identifies as Muslim. West has, after all, said that Islam is “a totalitarian theocratic political ideology, it is not a religion.” He believes that terrorism is part of being Muslim: “This is not a perversion. They are doing exactly what this book (the Quran) says.” West is proud of these beliefs — he says that “[u]ntil you get principled leadership in the United States of America that is willing to say that,” we won’t be able to “secure Western civilization.” So it seems natural that Gregory might ask West if he thought every Muslim passing through airport security should be profiled, since, after all, West’s logic dictates that every Muslim is a terrorist. But Gregory did not ask that question.

Gregory also failed to ask West about the recent high-profile scandal involving Joyce Kaufman, the hate-radio host West briefly planned to hire as his congressional chief of staff. Kaufman also has a history of saying inflammatory things, like that when illegal immigrants who commit crimes, the U.S. “should hang you and send your body back to where you came from, and your family should pay for it.” Kaufman withdrew after an individual in Florida threatened government buildings after hearing Kaufman say on cable news that “if ballots don’t work, bullets will.” Gregory might have raised this episode in the panel’s discussion over possible tensions between the Tea Party and establishment Republicans, but he did not.

Among the other things viewers never learned about West when hearing his views on Meet the Press:

– Following Kaufman’s resignation over statements threatening political violence, West said he was “even more focused that this liberal, progressive, socialist agenda, this left-wing, vile, vicious, despicable machine that’s out there is soundly brought to its knees.”

– West slammed “chicken” leaders who read “memos from the feminists,” and defended his outsized rhetoric thusly: “That’s how people talk. … And you can print that: That’s how men talk.”

– Meet the Press graphics noted that West served in Iraq, but did not disclose that he resigned after facing a court martial for brutal interrogation tactics carried out against an Iraqi man.

If Meet the Press is going to ask extremists like Allen West to offer political analysis, it’s their responsibility to let viewers understand West’s philosophy clearly, so they can consider his views in the proper context.

Yglesias

Joe Klein on the Pain Caucus

Why is it that we’re so focused on deficit reduction at a time when more urgent problems loom?

here is, for example, Glenn Hubbard, who was featured on the New York Times op-ed page recently in defense of the deficit commission, describing the problem this way: “We have designed entitlements for a welfare state we cannot afford.” This is the same Glenn Hubbard who served as George W. Bush’s chief economic adviser when Dick Cheney was saying that “Reagan proved deficits don’t matter.” One imagines that if Hubbard was so concerned about deficits, he might have resigned in protest from an Administration dedicated to creating them. But, no, he’s here to speak truth to the powerless — to the middle-class folks whose major asset, their home, was trashed by financial speculators, thereby wrecking their retirement plans and creating the consumer implosion we’re now suffering. Hubbard is telling them they now have to take yet another hit, on their old-age pensions and health insurance, for the greater good.

The obsession with long-term deficits is not limited to conservatives. Exuberantly wealthy center-left types who staged a leveraged buyout of the Democratic Party’s economic policies in the 1980s — people like the deficit commission’s Democratic co-chair, Erskine Bowles — have been reliable foghorns for long-term middle-class sacrifice. They tended to be big supporters of the irresponsible federal lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and most egregiously, they shepherded the deregulation of the financial sector through Congress in the late 1990s. But unlike the Republicans, they trend toward fiscal responsibility. Pete Peterson, a nominal Republican who is a leader of this group, is in favor of higher taxes for the wealthy, means testing for Social Security and Medicare, serious cuts in the defense budget — and even a provision that would tax the profits of private-equity moguls as regular income instead of capital gains, a proposal that his former partner at the Blackstone Group, Stephen Schwarzman, compared to Hitler’s invasion of Poland in 1939.

The really noteworthy thing about Hubbard, it seems to me, is this. His administration was involved in deficit-increasing tax cuts. Fine. Maybe conservative care about the deficit, but care about low taxes more. His administration was also involved in deficit-financed wars. Fine. And deficit-financed increases in domestic security spending. Fine. And in deficit-financed increases in the “baseline” defense budget. Fine. Maybe conservatives care about the deficit, but care about hawkish security policies more. Fine. But his administration was also involved in a deficit-financed increase in Medicare benefits! So the concern is . . . what . . . ? But somehow now mired in a severe recession with huge quantities of idle resources and idle workers now we’re supposed to worry about the deficit.

Security

Admiral Mullen: New START Is ‘Absolutely Critical,’ Calls For A Vote In Lame Duck

On ABC’s This Week, Admiral Michael Mullen, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, aggressively urged the Senate to ratify the New START treaty, which Senate Republicans are threatening to obstruct. Mullen stressed the urgency of getting the treaty ratified, as US inspectors haven’t been on the ground monitoring Russian nuclear weapons for almost a year now.

MULLEN: This is a national security issue… From a national security perspective this is absolutely critical.

AMANPOUR: …Is the Senate playing politics with American national security?

MULLEN: You would have to ask the Senate … What I think is – there is a sense of urgency with respect to ratifying this treaty that needs to be recognized. Historically this has been bipartisan. This is a national security issue of great significance and the sooner we get it don the better.

AMANPOUR: In a lame duck session?

MULLEN: As soon as possible.
AMANPOUR: In In a lame duck session?

MULLEN: The potential is there for lame duck.

AMANPOUR: And you would want that?

MULLEN: That’s the soonest possible time, absolutely.

Watch it:

Republican Senators, led by Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ), are deliberately bucking the military leadership of the United States and, according to editorial boards across the country, are playing politics with US national security. The Washington Post’s Dana Milbank, wrote this weekend:

Suppose that during the previous administration, the Democrats had opposed President George W. Bush’s efforts to protect airplanes from would-be bombers and had blocked his strategy to keep nuclear weapons out of terrorists’ hands… Republicans would no doubt be running ads juxtaposing Democrats with Osama bin Laden, or alleging, as they did then, that Democrats are giving “comfort to America’s enemies.” Yet right now, Republicans are providing the comfort… they are blocking a Senate vote on a treaty with Russia that is critical to securing loose nukes and keeping Iran from gaining the bomb… Republicans seem to have entered a post-post-9/11 era, in which national security is no longer a higher priority than their interest in undermining President Obama.

Climate Progress

McKibben on eARTh: Earth art

Earth Art1

The Santa Fe EARTH event, put on by 350.org and the Santa Fe Art Institute, shows how the Santa Fe River could look if there was water running through it. With global warming decreasing snow melt, Santa Fe is running out of water. This river is one of the 10 most endangered in North America. Over a 1,000 people came out and held up blue painted pieces of cardboard or tarps as a satellite passed over. Click to enlarge.

Guest blogger Bill McKibben, 350.org founder and author of the must-read book Eaarth, has the story of eARTh, with more images below.

Read more

Security

Mullen Rejects Bush’s Claim That NATO To Blame For Afghanistan Decline: ‘We Were Heavily Focused On Iraq’

Last week during his book/legacy polishing tour, President Bush tried to absolve himself from responsibility for the downward spiral that became the war in Afghanistan by the end of his presidency. Host Candy Crowley challenged Bush on Afghanistan saying that Americans are “weary” that U.S. troops are still being killed there after nine years and that Bush “ventured off into a war that began at least on one great false premise unknown at the time.” But instead of taking responsibility, Bush blamed NATO:

BUSH: What happened in Afghanistan was that our NATO allies turned out — some of them turned out not to be willing to fight. And therefore, our assumption that we had ample troops, U.S. and NATO troops, turned out to be a not true assumption and so we adjusted. And I completely disagree with the take eye off the ball. I found that to be empty political rhetoric.

Today on CNN, when Crowley asked Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Adm. Mike Mullen — whom Bush appointed to in 2007 — about Bush’s version of history Mullen contradicted Bush entirely:

MULLEN: We really, from my perspective fought Afghanistan for years from an economy of force standpoint and I have said for a long time that we didn’t have enough forces there. We didn’t have enough U.S. forces and we didn’t have enough NATO forces that was from my perspective because we were heavily focused on Iraq and I was literally looking at the resources that were headed in both directions and so as we have changed the strategy, focused and gotten the resources right over the course of the last year. This is the first time we really are where we need to be in terms of executing a comprehensive strategy.

CROWLEY: Would you agree with the premise that some NATO forces did not perform in the way you expected them to perform in terms of combat?

MULLEN: I’d actually come at it from a different point of view. We’ve worked with a lot of our NATO forces, our NATO partners over many years now and in fact we have increased forces over the course of the last year, they have also added an additional 10,000 forces. So while it was sort of across the board I think now we have the resources and the unity in NATO that we just didn’t have before.

Watch it:

Indeed, on Dec. 11, 2007, Mullen said that he and Defense Secretary Robert Gates ignored an urgent request from U.S. commanders in Afghanistan for 50,000 more troops. “In Afghanistan, we do what we can. In Iraq, we do what we must,” he said.

But Bush may have to revisit his version of history because the U.S. Army’s official history of the war coincides with Mullen’s view. Reporting on the report, the New York Times noted that American forces were “hamstrung by inadequate resources” and thus “missed opportunities to stabilize Afghanistan during the early years of the war.” The Times added that “the invasion of Iraq was siphoning away resources. After the invasion started in March 2003, the history says, the United States clearly ‘had a very limited ability to increase its forces’ in Afghanistan.”

It’s also quite ironic that Bush would blame NATO for his incompetence seeing that members of the Atlantic Alliance wanted to be more involved in the war at the beginning but Bush rebuffed their offers:

Aside from letting a handful of NATO’s AWACS radar planes come help patrol American skies, Bush’s response was a shockingly terse: Thanks, but no thanks; we’ll handle it by ourselves. Marc Grossman, the undersecretary of state for political affairs, later admitted to the Washington Times that the United States initially “blew off” the allies. Douglas Feith, the undersecretary of defense for policy, said that the United States, in the Times’ words, “was so busy developing its [Afghanistan] war plans that it did not have time to focus on coordinating Europe’s military role.”

The effect, of course, was to alienate the allies just as they were rediscovering their affections. As London’s conservative Financial Times later put it, “A disdainful refusal even to respond to a genuine offer of support from close allies, at the time of America’s most serious crisis in decades, spoke volumes about its attitude to the alliance.”

So it seems Bush has no problem revising history by throwing America’s closest allies under the bus in an effort to make himself look good.

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