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Justice

How The Chamber of Commerce Became An Oppressed Dissenting Voice

Dahlia Lithwick asks “[w]hy hasn’t the war against terrorism produced any great First Amendment cases?” As she notes, the absence of any major recent wartime free speech cases does not stem from the justices’ lack of interest in the First Amendment:

There seems to be no one answer to why there hasn’t been a single important First Amendment protest case in the last decade. It’s certainly not that the court is reluctant to rule on First Amendment issues altogether. The Supreme Court has taken up a surprising number of speech cases recently. But right now the court is more interested in crush videos, gay marriage bans, anti-Hillary Clinton movies, violent video games, corporate speech, and funeral protests than in the rights of people to criticize government wars. What does this say about the war on terror? And what does it say about what Americans care about most?

It’s not clear, however, that the Court’s docket says much at all about what the nation as a whole cares about.  Indeed, if anything, the Court’s First Amendment docket is a symptom of a strange self-image newly embraced by legal conservatives.

As Dahlia notes, wartime often produces the Court’s “very worst” free speech cases.  America is only a few generations removed from the time when anti-war protestors were jailed with the Supreme Court’s blessing.  Modern First Amendment doctrine, by contrast, recognizes that dissenting voices must be accorded the highest degree of legal protection — after all people who disagree with the government are ultimately the only people who need the First Amendment.

As the nation evolved from one that criminalizes dissent to one that shields it, something odd happened to conservatives.  Consider a statement by tenther law professor Randy Barnett explaining why he values the Federalist Society:  “It’s kind of a support network for people who are sort of dissidents within their own academic environment — and I was one, before there was a Federalist Society, so I know how lonely it can be to be alone . . . .”

In the most superficial sense, Barnett is right.  People who think that the minimum wage or anti-pollution laws are unconstitutional are very uncommon in the legal academy.  They’re also a lunatic fringe pretty much everywhere else. On the same day that Democrats got shellacked at the polls, voters largely shunned candidates who vocally embraced Barnett’s radical vision of the Constitution.

But there’s something absolutely nuts about Barnett claiming the mantle of the oppressed minority.  Barnett’s entire scholarly career has been devoted to rendering workers, children — indeed anyone who breathes air — powerless against corporate oppressors.  Barnett is fundamentally on the same side as the early 20th century coal barons who forced children to toil in coal mines for pennies a day.

In some ways, the right’s new solidarity with political dissenters is a good thing — if they think they know what it’s like to be punished for speaking out, maybe conservative judges will also protect those who truly need the First Amendment’s protection.  But America has also paid a step price for the right’s new self-image as the oppressed dissent.

In its loathsome Citizens United decision, the Court struck down limits on corporate takeovers of elections by warning that such limits “allow[] speech by some but not others” — the “others,” in this case, being massive pools of corporate money.  In Hollingsworth v. Perry, a 5-4 Court forbade broadcasting the recent Prop 8 trial because anti-gay expert witnesses claimed that they would face “harassment” if the world got to see their faces.

But the right’s new self-image comes out most clearly in Christian Legal Society v. Martinez, an entirely banal case which reached the obvious conclusion that the government is not required to subsidize anti-gay student groups.  The only interesting thing about Martinez is the fact that it produced a dissent.  Justice Alito, joined by his three most conservative colleagues, compared the anti-gays to a 60s era new left group that was unconstitutionally kicked off of college campus’ because of its political views.

In other words, the answer to Dahlia’s question may be that a majority of the Supreme Court is no longer interested in helping the government suppress speech — they’re too busy finding new ways to amplify voices they agree with.

Politics

Did Fox News Remove Fox News Jabs From Latest Simpsons Episode?

The award-winning cartoon series The Simpsons proved its long-standing relevance with a swipe at its parent network Fox News last week, animating a news helicopter with the fictional tagline “Fox News: Not racist, but #1 with racists.” With “a license to make any anti-corporate joke that is at their avail,” the show doubled-down last night with another jab at Fox: “Fox News: Unsuitable for viewers under 75.”

Despite giving the show license for mockery, it appears Fox may not be able to take the joke. Today, Webnewser pointed out that the latest jab has been removed from the online version. As Mediate notes, it is possible that the producers might have added the joke after the websites received their copy. However, Fox’s resident “culture warrior” Bill O’Reilly’s recent huff over last week’s joke couldn’t have gone unnoticed:

O’REILLY: Continuing to bite the hand that feeds part of it, Fox Broadcasting once again allows its cartoon characters to run wild. Pinheads? I believe so.

Watch it:

Certainly, The Simpsons has a well-established (and well-watched) record of swipes at “the most swipeable network on this planet,” so it is unclear why this episode in particular would require scrubbing now. However, Fox’s parent company News Corp certainly has toyed with its Hulu viewers before and, as Mediate’s Jon Bershad points out, “you’d think that the TV channels would get the shows before the websites so you never know.” Regardless of why, the absence of the joke doesn’t remove the truth behind it – Fox news is unbalanced, and yes, it’s not fair.

Update

The Simpsons‘ executive producer Al Jean explained its “kinda-sorta feud with Fox News” to the New York Times today, ensuring that “neither he nor his ‘Simpsons’ colleagues have ever been told by their corporate Fox parents to stop making fun of Fox News.” Unable to let O’Reilly’s stuffy remark stand, the producers “rushed their second Fox News joke into Sunday’s episode — so late in the production process that the gag could only be inserted into the version shown in North America, but not into versions shown in foreign markets or on the Internet.”

Economy

Conservative Lawmakers Want To Spend Billions To Give 0.1 Percent Of The Richest Estates A Tax Break

Sens. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR)

While much of the attention regarding the looming expiration of the Bush tax cuts is focused on where income tax rates will be set, the 2011 estate tax rate also has yet to be resolved. As a reminder, the estate tax, which is levied on inheritance, doesn’t exist this year, but comes back next year at the 2001 level of 55 percent with a $1 million exemption (meaning the first million is passed on entirely tax-free) due to a Bush-era budgeting gimmick.

Instead of allowing that reset to occur, the Obama administration has proposed setting the estate tax permanently at 45 percent with a $3.5 million exemption. But conservatives in both the Senate and the House — led by Sens. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) — want to see a 35 percent rate and a $5 million exemption.

The Kyl-Lincoln plan to cut the estate tax would cost about $91 billion over ten years. Today, Bloomberg pointed to a Congressional Research Service report, which found that those billions would be spent to save just 0.1 percent of estates from a possible tax increase:

The Congressional Research Service says using [President Obama's] parameters in 2011 would subject 0.25 percent of U.S. estates to any tax in 2011 and generate $18.1 billion in revenue. By contrast, a 55 percent top rate, with a $1 million exclusion, would affect 1.76 percent of estates and generate $34.4 billion in revenue, the CRS said. That’s enough to fund the departments of Labor and State. The Kyl-Lincoln approach would subject just 0.14 percent of estates to any tax and generate $11.2 billion, according to the CRS.

At the 2008 level, which is slightly higher than Obama’s proposal, just 0.6 percent of deaths resulted in any estate tax liability at all. Under Obama’s plan, just 0.25 percent of estates in the country would conceivably have to pay the estate tax, but Lincoln and Kyl want to spend billions to lop another 0.11 percent off of that.

And how rich are these estates Lincoln and Kyl are working so hard to defend? Well, at the 2009 level, 62.5 percent of estate tax revenue comes from estates worth more than $20 million and another 35 percent comes from estates worth between $5 million and $20 million.

With Congress refusing to fund unemployment benefits and middle-class government workers being asked to swallow a pay freeze, spending billion of dollars on a tax break for the richest quarter percent of households in the country would be completely unconscionable. But such a move is actually on the table for the current lame-duck session.

Politics

Advocating Raising Social Security Retirement Age And Privatization, Third Way Brags Its Proposal Is ‘Hot’

Earlier this month, Alan Simpson and Erskine Bowles, the co-chairs of President Obama’s deficit commission, released their recommendations for reining in the U.S. budget deficit. Part of their recommendations included raising the retirement age for Social Security, a proposal that sparked a wide political backlash.

Now, Third Way, which calls itself the “leading moderate think-tank of the progressive movement,” has revealed its own plan for the Social Security system. The group’s proposal radically alters Social Security much more than the Bowles-Simpson recommendations. Not only does it call for hiking the retirement age, but it also reiterates the Bush administration’s failed call for introducing privatization into the system.

Explaining the plan in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg News, Third Way spokesman Sean Gibbons explained that whatever comes out of the deficit commission’s final report “is going to be a hot potato.” He continued, “So we wanted to send something over that was especially hot“:

Washington-based Third Way said its plan would raise the retirement age, trim or eliminate Social Security benefits for high-income retirees, limit cost-of-living increases and provide money to help young workers create private retirement accounts.

The proposal, to be released after the presidential panel is due to issue its report on Dec. 1, is timed to help create a buffer for congressional Democrats to support politically unpopular deficit-trimming measures, said Third Way spokesman Sean Gibbons. “Whatever comes out of the commission is going to be a hot potato,” Gibbons said. “So we wanted to send something over that was especially hot.” [...]

The retirement age, now scheduled to rise to 67 in 2027, would gradually increase to 68 by 2041, to 69 by 2059, and to 70 by 2077. This would reduce total benefits by roughly $1 trillion by 2040, according to the plan. The plan would provide annual subsidies of up to $500 to help workers under age 30 create 401(k)-style retirement savings accounts.

To start with, Social Security is currently projected to be fully solvent until the year 2037. After that, it is expected to be able to pay out 75 percent of benefits until 2084 (once you account for inflation those basically consist of full benefits). It is far from in crisis. That does not mean that there aren’t positive and progressive changes that could possibly be made to the system.

Raising the retirement age, however, would be a particularly punitive way to solve future deficits in the program’s funding. While it is true that average life expectancy has increased over time, these gains are largely a result of life expectancy rising among upper income earners. Among moderate and low income workers, life expectancy has barely changed. And “nearly half of workers over the age of 58 work at jobs that are either physically demanding or involve difficult work conditions.” Raising the retirement age would create enormous burdens on those who work at these jobs.

And introducing privatization into the system is an idea so extreme that it was even rejected by former President Bush’s own party when it controlled every branch of government. Introducing private accounts into Social Security would create burdensome new administrative costs and force benefit reductions, it would impose significant risk on seniors and would actually cost more than the current system.

In an interview with Bloomberg, Third Way co-founder Jim Kessler complains that “strongest and loudest voices on the left have nailed up the barricades on Social Security and said ‘hell, no’ and don’t want any type of cuts in benefits at all.” Yet it isn’t just the “strongest and loudest voices on the left” that would oppose the punitive cuts and privatization in Third Way’s plan. A CBS News poll taken just days before the election found that that 71 percent of Americans oppose cuts in benefits for future retirees and that 54 percent oppose any hike in the retirement age for Social Security. Meanwhile, a May 2005 poll taken at the height of Republican-led dominance in the federal government found that 56 percent of Americans said it was a “bad idea” to introduce private accounts into Social Security.

One place to start to find better, more progressive solutions involves raising the payroll tax cap. Currently, only the first $106,800 of a person’s income is considered taxable for the purpose of funding Social Security. Raising this cap significantly or eliminating it would essentially leave the program fully funded for decades to come, and not create undue hardship on those working physically demanding jobs. An Election Day poll by Survey USA found that 85 percent of voters are opposed to cutting Social Security, and that even Republicans by a 2-to-1 margin back raising the tax cap over raising the retirement age.

Climate Progress

Chu Criticizes Anti-Innovation Conservatives: ‘We Have To Press Forward’

While the Obama administration is working to restore American innovation, particularly through Secretary Steven Chu’s Department of Energy, the Tea Party movement is increasingly attacking 21st-century jobs on all fronts. Rush Limbaugh is leading the charge against the breakthrough Chevy Volt, Republican governors are killing high-speed rail, Glenn Beck is cooking up conspiracy theories about smart grid technology, Sen. Lamar Alexander (R-TN) is trying to kill the wind industry, and the entire right-wing movement is convinced green jobs are going to destroy the United States economy.

At a National Press Club speech today, Secretary Chu warned that China is outpacing the United States in innovating clean technology, and pointed to a new report from the Presidential Council of Advisors on Science and Technology that recommended an integrated federal energy policy to spur domestic progress. “I believe innovation adds to the wealth of society,” he said. “Science and technology are at the heart of innovation.”

In a blogger call following the speech, the Wonk Room asked Secretary Chu about the right wing’s opposition to clean technology innovation. Chu derided this desire to turn back the clock, saying that the “United States is still the greatest innovation machine in the world”:

You know, what can I say? I disagree.

The people who are saying we don’t want to change are holding a view that when a new technology comes along it’s going to displace an old technology. The people whose business depends on old technology might get nervous. They can adapt and innovate or fight the change. That used to work when we weren’t so interconnected. In this new very flat world of multinational corporations, virtually all of western Europe, Japan, Korea, China are saying, “This is our future.” If we don’t go in this direction, we will be importing many of the technologies we could be exporting. I just installed an on-demand water heater and there were no American manufacturers. There were Korean, Japanese, European manufacturers. Kind of scary.

The American people need to be convinced. Or I should say: Does everyone else know something we don’t know or do we know something everyone else doesn’t know?

I believe the right direction is to develop these technologies. The United States is still the greatest innovation machine in the world. There will always be people who don’t want to go in a new direction, but you can’t go back to 1950 when we were exporting oil. We have to press forward. It’s very important to get that message out. This is how we have always achieved. Not by clutching to the past but by seizing the future.

“We are no longer the leaders in manufacturing, but more startlingly, we are no longer the leaders in high-tech manufacturing,” Chu said in his Press Club speech. However, he saw room for hope. “The good news is that if I look across the country, young people are seeing the energy and climate challenge and going into science and technology.”

Security

What Do The Cables Tell Us About ‘Linkage’?

Jennifer Rubin, the latest neocon hack to fail upward into a job at the Washington Post, insists that the WikiLeaks cables offer “confirmation that the Obama ‘linkage’ argument was pure bunk“:

Recall that the Obama team over and over again has made the argument that progress on the Palestinian conflict was essential to obtaining the help of the Arab states in confronting Iran’s nuclear threat. We know that this is simply and completely false.

This is a complete misrepresentation of the linkage argument. I’m continually amused by the consistent inability of linkage deniers to actually confront the argument honestly and without resort to strawmen. As I wrote previously, if you were to judge an argument solely by the wild pitches it prompts from critics, linkage would appear to be an impressively strong one.

The actual linkage argument is much more modest, and was outlined pretty well by Gen. David Petraeus in March, when he said that the Israeli-Palestinian conflict “make[s] situations more challenging” in the Middle East:

If you go to moderate leaders in the Arab world, they will tell you that the lack of progress in the Middle East peace process causes them problems, because their concern is that those who promote violence in Gaza and the West Bank will claim that because there’s no progress diplomatically that the only way to get progress is through violence. And that’s their concern. And that was really what we were trying to convey.

That’s why we support Senator Mitchell so much. We have invited Senator Mitchell to every single conference that I have hosted — for ambassadors, for chiefs of defense staff, what have you, which we do about three times a year — because everyone is so keenly riveted on that issue even though, again, it is not in our area. And we keep an eye on it, because we need to know the atmospherics there because they do — there is a certain spillover effect.

Or take Dennis Ross, who said in May that “Pursuing peace is instrumental to shaping a new regional context” in the Middle East:

Pursuing peace is not a substitute for dealing with the other challenges… It is also not a panacea. But especially as it relates to resolving the Arab-Israeli conflict, if one could do that, it would deny state and non-state actors a tool they use to exploit anger and grievances.

What do the WikiLeaks cables have to say on this?

A January 2008 cable reports that Egyptian intelligence chief Omar Soliman told a Congressional delegation that, “The Israeli-Palestinian conflict remains the core issue,” and “contended a peaceful resolution would be a ‘big blow’ to terrorist organizations that use the conflict as a pretext.”

Then there’s this from a February 2010 meeting between Sen. John Kerry and the Emir of Qatar:

38. (C) The Amir advised the U.S. to continue trying to open a dialogue with the Iranian leadership. He also told Senator Kerry the U.S. needs to tell the Israelis they are causing the U.S. to lose the hearts and minds of Muslims. There was a time, such as during the Suez Canal crisis, when the Arabs loved the Americans and disliked the British and French, he said.

39. (C) Senator Kerry asked the Amir how the U.S. goes about changing its reputation. The Amir said first and foremost the U.S. must do everything in its power to find a lasting solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the best way to begin is by moving first on the Syrian track.

From a January 2007 meeting between U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns and Dubai’s ruler, Mohamed bin Rashid Al Makhtoum:

9.(C) Israel/Palestinians: U/S Burns stressed that the US believes progress between Israel and the Palestinians toward peace is central to regional stability, and supports the creation of a Palestinian state. This would be “the best thing,” MbR replied; a peace deal would make radical groups like HAMAS “everyone’s enemy”.

From the July 2009 Gulf Security Dialog:

16. (C) When the floor was open to general discussion, two topics dominated: Iran and Yemen. The UAE asked whether the USG had any new information since the December 2007 NIE regarding Iran’s nuclear weaponization program; the U.S. team noted that a new estimate was in progress but it was premature to comment. The DMI representative also noted that Iran exploits crises for its own advantage, making the defusing of crises like Palestine and Lebanon imperative if we are to keep Iran in check. In the case of Palestine, he added optimistically, it is time to “cut to the chase” and deal with final status issues; Lebanon is also ripe for progress, he suggested, without a drawn out process.

From an April 2009 meeting at the U.S. Embassy in Amman:

2. (S) The metaphor most commonly deployed by Jordanian officials when discussing Iran is of an octopus whose tentacles reach out insidiously to manipulate, foment, and undermine the best laid plans of the West and regional moderates. Iran’s tentacles include its allies Qatar and Syria, Hizballah in Lebanon, Hamas in the Palestinian territories, an Iraqi government sometimes seen as supplicant to Tehran, and Shia communities throughout the region. While Jordanian officials doubt dialogue with the U.S. will convince Iran to withdraw its “tentacles,” they believe they can be severed if Iran is deprived of hot-button issues that make it a hero to many on the Arab street, such as its championing of the Palestinian cause.

3. (C) According to the GOJ analysis, Iran’s influence derives from the perception that Tehran is able to “deliver” while moderates are not. The main failure of moderates as cited by radicals is ongoing Palestinian suffering and dispossession despite an international consensus favoring a viable, independent Palestinian state living peacefully next to Israel. The MFA’s Deputy Director of the Arab and Middle East Affairs Department, Muwaffaq Ajlouni, put it this way: “Iran is not welcomed in the Arab world, but it is taking advantage of helpless people.” From Jordan’s perspective, the U.S. would benefit from pressing Israel to proceed to final status negotiations, which would garner Arab support to deal with shared security concerns about Iran.

From a July 2009 meeting between Gen. Petraeus and Lebanon’s Fuad Siniora:

5. (C) Siniora said that Lebanon was encouraged by and supportive of President Obama’s commitment to achieving a comprehensive Middle East Peace. He said the U.S. administration’s recognition of the centrality of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was an opportunity to push the Arab Peace Initiative forward and to finally achieve a resolution.

No doubt Rubin will dismiss these statements, because, you know, Arabs lie. Except when they say they want us to attack Iran.

Politics

Swastika-Branding Case First To Be Charged Under New Hate Crimes Law

Prosecutors in Farmington, NM have said that after three men finished their shifts working at a local McDonald’s this past April, they “shaped a coat hanger into a swastika, placed it on a heated stove and branded the symbol on the arm of the mentally disabled Navajo man.” They also allegedly “shaved a swastika on the back of the 22-year-old victim’s head and used markers to scrawl messages and images on his body, including ‘KKK,’ ‘White Power,’ a pentagram and a graphic image of a penis.” The AP reports that the three men have become the first in the nation to be charged under the new hate crimes law President Obama signed last year. While the new law expanded the federal definition of violent hate crimes to include those committed because of a person’s sexual orientation, it also made it easier to charge attacks similar to the one that occurred in Farmington as hate crimes:

The defendants are accused of violating the Matthew Shepard and James Byrd Jr. Hate Crimes Prevention Act and could face 10 years in prison if convicted. The sentences could be extended to life if the government proves kidnapping occurred. [...]

Federal prosecutors say they were able to bring the case because the 2009 law eliminated a requirement that a victim must be engaged in a federally protected activity, such as voting or attending school, for hate crime charges to be leveled.

The defendants have pleaded not guilty.

LGBT

Graham Flip-Flops On DADT To Cover McCain: Suddenly Claims DADT Study Is Flawed

On Sunday, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) echoed Sen. John McCain’s (R-AZ) concerns about the soon-to-be-released Pentagon study of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, predicting that there isn’t “anywhere near the votes to repeal Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell.” “On the Republican side, I think we will be united in the lame duck [session] and the study I would be looking for is asking military members: Should it be repealed, not how to implement it once you as a politician decide to repeal it,” he said, adding, “So I think in a lame duck setting Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell is not going anywhere.”

But a cursory examination of Graham’s past public statements about DADT repeal suggest that the above comments represent a serious rhetorical shift. Graham has previously argued that he was open to repeal if the military supported lifting the ban. Now, he’s criticizing the very same study he said he was waiting to see and review before reaching a decision and he’s making that argument on the eve of the study’s release, as the Pentagon lavishes praise on the ‘comprehensive’ nature of the review:

July 2009: “‘Don’t ask, don’t tell’ is a policy I think has served the country well,” said South Carolina Republican Lindsey Graham, a prosecutor in the Air Force Reserve. “Why should we change it? I’m not going to be persuaded to change military policy by a bunch of political activists. If the military leadership tells me that ‘don’t ask, don’t tell’ needs to be changed, I’ll certainly be open-minded to that.”

October 2009: “They [military] should be included in this,” said Graham. “I am open-minded to what the military may suggest, but I can tell you, I’m not going to make policy based on a campaign rally.”

February 2010: “Statutory changes to Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, I think, are ill advised until the military has a chance to tell us what works and what doesn’t.”

May 2010: “I do not support the idea of repealing Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell before our military members and commanders complete their review. This so-called compromise would repeal the legislation first then receive input from the military. This is not the proper way to change any policy, particularly something as controversial as Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell.”

Graham is likely offering McCain cover for opposing repeal and is trying to line-up support in the GOP caucus, despite the Pentagon’s endorsement of the review and the servicemembers’ strong support for ending the policy. As Secretary of Defense Robert Gates explained to McCain, “The Chairman and I fully support the approach and the efforts of the working group, as do the Service Chiefs. We are confident that the working group’s report will provide us with the information we need to appropriately advise the President, and, if requested to do so, to provide our fully informed views to Congress as it considers legislative action.”

Graham’s rhetoric may also serve as preview of some of the arguments moderate lawmakers — who promised to review the study before voting on repeal — will make to substantiate their ‘no’ votes. They’ll claim that the study was flawed from the very beginning, suddenly closing their “open” minds about repeal.

Yglesias

Iran and Saudi Arabia

I think Mark Kleiman gets this right:

What could be better, from a Saudi viewpoint, than war between the U.S. and Iran? Note that the Saudis (and our other Arab quasi-friends) are willing to fight Iran to the last American. They have no interest whatever in doing anything themselves.

Again, rather than rely on private “secret” information to guide our analysis the best thing to do is to think about what’s objectively known. For example, while potential disruption of global oil supplies is a major downside risk of war with Iran from a US (or Japanese or European or Chinese) perspective, such disruption could be hugely beneficial to oil exporters such as Saudi Arabia and Russia. What various actors say about a scenario like that is less revelatory than simply understanding the reality.

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