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Politics

Bachmann’s Former Chief Of Staff: I’m Voting For Tim Pawlenty

Thrilling tea partiers and liberals alike, CNN reported today that right-wing Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) will form a presidential exploratory committee by July. Boasting a pseudo-firm grasp on U.S. history, policy priorities, and reality, Bachmann hopes to secure America’s vote of confidence come 2012. Unfortunately, she’s already lost one vote: her most recent chief of staff’s. Serving as her fifth Chief of Staff before resigning last summer, Ron Carey said he intends to vote for Tim Pawlenty in the GOP race for President because “electability is a very, very high attribute you have to have”:

“My experience with Pawlenty , the more people get to know him, he’s a very sharp guy. He’s very likable,” Carey said. “I see him walk into a room of 200 people and everyone he meets leaves the room and says, ‘he’s a great guy.’ He has that Midwest charm and ability to connect with people.”

Carey adds, “His [Pawlenty's] roots are so humble and main street America. It’s easy for people to connect with him and say, ‘he’s one of us, he’s just like me.’ ”

Carey points out, it’s one thing to be able to give a speech and fire up a big crowd, but it’s quite another to win enough votes to get elected. “Electability is a very, very high attribute you have to have this year to win. I don’t want to have an emotionally filled endeavor only to get 35 percent [of the vote] in November [2012].”

In February, Carey also stated that “even if [Bachmann] were elected I don’t believe she would be ready for the position of the president of the United States.” Certainly not the ringing endorsement a lawmaker might expect from her own staff. Alas, for Carney, Pawlenty provides the “sharp,” “likable,” “humble,” “main street” qualifications needed for the presidency. Bachmann, however, did provide employment.

Health

GOP ‘Uncovers’ And Attacks Widely Known Program For Early-Retirees In Health Law

Yesterday, the Republicans on the Energy and Commerce Committee issued a press release (and this analysis) in which they claimed to have discovered “a $5 billion bailout fund for state governments, Fortune 500 companies, and Hollywood unions”:

So what is this mysterious $5 billion bailout? Known as the Early Retiree Reinsurance Program, it provides federal dollars to employers and unions that provide health coverage to early retirees. Like many provisions and accounting gimmicks in the health care law, it has largely escaped public scrutiny because of the sheer volume of programs and spending crammed into the law without scrutiny or Congressional oversight.

“Escaped public scrutiny” is an exaggeration to say the least. The program was so secretive that it was extensively covered by the press and regularly touted by Democrats as an example of how the Affordable Care Act would help businesses struggling with growing health care spending and prevent companies from dropping early retiree coverage (seniors 55-64 years old who are not yet eligible for Medicare) before the exchanges begin in 2014. Consider:

- NYT headline: Bristling at Health Plan to Cover Early Retirees [9/9/2009]

- NYT: “Reinsurance program for early retirees Both the House and Senate bills would provide federal financing for a new reinsurance program to encourage employers to maintain health benefits for employees and early retirees age 55 to 64.” [12/28/2009]

- The Hill headline: “HHS begins accepting applications for early retiree reinsurance program” [6/29/2010]

- Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-NY)’s fact sheet: “The Early Retiree Reinsurance Program provides much-needed financial relief for employers, unions and state and local governments so retirees can get quality, affordable insurance. [2010]

Many different businesses and state governments have benefited from the provision, including the Koch brothers, who applied for federal funding despite spending millions of dollars trying to repeal reform. The provision also resembles one passed by Republicans in 2003, which gave subsidies to employers who offered drug coverage to their retirees before the Medicare Part D program went into effect in 2006. As the New York Times explained, the goal then was the same as it is with the early retiree grants today, “to discourage those employers from terminating those programs, which would have saddled the government and seniors with higher costs.”

Some states have adopted similar programs. In 2010, for instance, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) extended early retirement benefits to state workers.

Climate Progress

NOAA says GOP’s proposed satellite funding cuts could halve accuracy of precipitation forecasts

SP NOAA

Michael Conathan, CAPAF’s Director of Ocean Programs, in a Science Progress cross-post.

The National Ocean and Atmospheric Association released new data yesterday showing precisely how the loss of environmental monitoring satellites would affect our ability to forecast extreme weather events.  NOAA used the example of the “Snowmageddon” storm that dumped massive precipitation from the Gulf of Mexico to New England on February 5-6, 2010.

We here at CAPAF and Climate Progress have been keeping close tabs on House Republicans’ efforts to make the country more vulnerable to extreme weather events. If Congress refuses to fund new environmental monitoring satellites to replace aging spacecraft that could fail at any time, it will undoubtedly expose Americans to increased risk from storms, floods, blizzards, and hurricanes. Meanwhile, more and more science is emerging that strengthens the link between unprecedented weather phenomena and human-caused global climate change.

Read more

Politics

‘Fiscal Conservative’ Richard Shelby Forces NASA To Spend $1.4 Million A Day On Program It Doesn’t Want

Sen. Richard Shelby (R-AL) is a “self-professed fiscal conservative” who often rails against government spending and the supposed fiscally imprudent policies of his progressive opponents. He recently put out a statement that said, “Washington must put its fiscal house in order. American taxpayers are rightly infuriated by the federal government’s disregard for the same economic principles that govern every household and business budget.”

Yet when it comes to pork barrel spending for his home state, he is willing to go to extraordinary lengths to waste taxpayers’ money. The Chicago Tribune reports today that a provision Shelby inserted into the 2010 budget that has survived both recent continuing resolutions is costing taxpayers more than a million dollars every single day. The “Shelby provision,” as it is called, forces NASA to spend $1.4 million daily on the Constellation moon program, which it already canceled and doesn’t even want:

Congress has again failed to rid a temporary spending bill of language forcing NASA to waste $1.4 million a day on its defunct Constellation moon program. [...]

This so-called “Shelby provision” — named for U.S. Sen. Richard Shelby, R-Alabama, who inserted it into the 2010 budget — is expected to cost NASA roughly $29 million during the three-week budget extension through April 8. It has already cost the agency nearly $250 million since Oct. 1.

Unfortunately, this isn’t Shelby’s only act of defending his home state’s pork. He previously forced NASA to spend $500 million on the Ares 1 shuttle program, which was also canceled by the agency and considered defunct.

This comes at a time when Shelby and his Republican colleagues are voting to cut billions of dollars out of Pell Grants, slash funding for community health centers, send thousands of veterans into homelessness, force the firings of tens of thousands of teachers, gut funding for cancer research and the National Institute of Health, and de-fund public broadcasting. It appears that Shelby is intent on cutting spending as long as it hurts Main Street Americans, but not if it sacrifices his pork barrel and thus electoral interests.

Health

Romney And His Argument For A ‘State-Based’ Health Reform Solution

Greg Sargent is giving Mitt Romney the benefit of the doubt on his support for state-based health care reform, pointing to this quote from a 2007 speech that seems to suggest that Romney has always argued for a state-by-state solution:

A one-size-fits-all national healthcare system is bound to fail. It ignores the very dramatic differences between states and it relies on a Washington bureaucracy to manage. You think about this, I do not want the guys that ran the Katrina clean up running our healthcare system. So in my view, healthcare reform has to take a federalist approach … We let states decide how they craft their own program. States are able to craft programs to match their unique needs and of course we let states remain as the laboratories of innovation. And by the way, I like the plan we came up with in Massachusetts. I wouldn’t be surprised if other states say, `I like that way, I’m going to copy it.’ And I’d be proud if they did. Some states will find they’ve got better answers than what we came up with, and if they do, hats off to them.

Putting aside Romney’s 2009 comments that Massachusetts reform should serve as a “model” for extending coverage to the nation (which Greg reported on yesterday and I’ve written about here, here, and here), I think the more troubling aspect of this quote isn’t Romney’s position, but the false implication that the Affordable Care Act is a “one-size-fits all national health care system” that does not recognize “very dramatic differences” between the states. In other words, even if Romney has been consistent in his stance, his characterization of the law is self-serving and dead wrong.

In reality, while the ACA lays out a certain framework stats have to follow — there is no question about that — it still provides governors with a great deal of flexibility in how they implement reform, allowing each state an opportunity to develop a somewhat unique solution. Even the waivers HHS is granting to some states (but mostly businesses) is an acknowledgment of the fact that states have what Romney describes as “unique needs.” As Tim Jost recently observed on the Health Affairs blog:

The states, for example, have the option of either implementing the health insurance exchanges themselves or allowing the federal government to do so. States may establish their own risk adjustment programs, preexisting condition high risk pools, and excessive premium increase review programs or leave these tasks to the federal government.

The states also have the option of either enforcing the ACA’s basic insurance regulatory reforms (the ban on rescissions, the requirement of coverage for adult children and of preventive services without cost-sharing, and others), or letting the federal government do it. If a state chooses to implement the law itself, moreover, it generally has a great deal of flexibility in the approach it takes to implementation, as we are witnessing currently in the widely varying approaches the states are taking to establishing their exchanges. [...]

The greatest flexibility, however, is provided by section 1332. This provision authorizes the Departments of Health and Human Services and Treasury to waive key provisions of the ACA and to provide block grants in the amount that the federal government would otherwise have spent in a state on ACA tax credits to states that develop their own innovative proposals for reforming health care. Regulations to implement this provision were proposed on March 10, 2011.

So the more honest position would be to drop the pretense of ACA rigidity and propose different ways to allow states even greater flexibility, if that’s what Romney believes would solve the health care crisis. But those kinds of solutions would require actual policy proposals that don’t lend themselves to the candidate’s one-liner zingers and soundbites.

Yglesias

Endgame

You’ve come so very far:

— ICC chief prosector says Gaddafi will be indicted.

Must read from Brian Beutler on the human consequences of ACA repeal.

— Tim Pawlenty’s big challenging is that people keep forgetting he exists.

— Denmark should let the krone float, but I think this would violate some treaty commitments.

Goat rodeo.

— The trouble with multilateralism.

For the coalition! It’s British Sea Power, “Waving Flags”

Security

SB-1070 Mass Deportation Policy Could Shrink Arizona Economy By $48.8 Billion

When Arizona passed SB-1070 last year, the state began to feel the economic pain almost immediately due to a boycott that was organized in response. This past fall, the Center for American Progress, along with the consulting firm Elliott D. Pollack & Company, found that the boycott itself could cost the State Convention Industry 2,800 jobs and $141 million.

Today, the Center for American Progress, together with the Immigration Policy Center, released a report that details the more long-term economic effects of the law itself. According to the study, the SB-1070 approach “would have devastating economic consequences” if its goal of driving out undocumented immigrants was accomplished. “Driving the undocumented immigrants out of Arizona would lead to significant losses of jobs for both native-born and foreign-born workers,” states the report. “It would trigger a significant contraction of the state economy as it struggles to grow its way past the Great Recession. And it would lead to substantial lost tax revenue for the state government which is already reeling from the recession and high unemployment.”

The report compares the cost of mass deportation versus the economic benefits associated with legalizing Arizona’s undocumented population:

Deportation effects in Arizona

  • Decrease total employment by 17.2 percent
  • Eliminate 581,000 jobs for immigrant and native-born workers alike
  • Shrink state economy by $48.8 billion
  • Reduce state tax revenues by 10.1 percent
  • Legalization effects in Arizona

  • Increase total employment by 7.7 percent
  • Add 261,000 jobs for immigrant and native-born workers alike
  • Increase labor income by $5.6 billion
  • Increase tax revenues by $1.68 billion
  • The report does not include an analysis of the costs associated with defending SB-1070 in court. Since Gov. Jan Brewer (R-AZ) signed the bill into law in April, the state of Arizona has spent over $1.5 million fighting legal challenges against it and will likely spend even more as the lawsuit moves its way through the courts.

    Arizona is currently facing an estimated $825 million budget deficit. Brewer has already proposed a budget containing $1 billion in spending reductions to Medicaid and other services. Republicans are now demanding another $600 million in additional spending cuts, including $200 million from K-12 education.

    Climate Progress

    Richard Clarke says U.S. Chamber committed a felony by cyber-targeting political opponents

    CP has been tracking TP’s reporting on the Chamber of Commerce’s effort to intimidate bloggers (see Chamber lobbyists solicited firm to investigate opponents’ families, children).

    Now TP’s Lee Fang has elicited comments on the Chamber’s tactics from one of the country’s leading experts on cyber-security, in a ThinkProgress repost.

    Read more

    Yglesias

    The Future of Labor Force Participation

    It’ll come as no surprise to anyone to learn that the recent bleak labor market has led to a decline in the labor force participation rate. But Catherine Rampell finds a new study out from the Congressional Budget Office (PDF) that predicts this is actually a long-term trend:

    The report observes that the participation rate peaked at about 67 percent during the late 1990s and in 2000, since that’s when baby boomers were in their prime working-age years of 25 to 54. Women had also been entering the labor force at a rapid clip. But since then the share of women who choose to work has fallen. In fact, it’s now at the lowest level in nearly 20 years. Meanwhile baby boomers are reaching retirement age and dropping out of the labor force. Additionally, the share of people under age 25 who are working or looking for work has also fallen.

    This logic seems a bit questionable to me. In the late 1990s we had a tight labor market. That was reflected in growing wages, and the growing wages reflected themselves in a growing labor force participation rate. In the aughts expansion, we didn’t get to the part of the business cycle where wages go up. What’s more, we never re-reached the previous peak of labor force participation. To me those sound like two ways of saying the same thing—weak labor market—not we had weak wage growth due to a weak labor market and this just happened to coincide with women and young people losing interest in work.

    Health

    The Life-Saving Surgery Ron Johnson’s Daughter Had Was Not Developed By American Health System

    In his editorial yesterday claiming that the his daughter Carey would have been unable to receive a life-saving heart operation under the Affordable Care Act, Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) argued that the new law stifles medical innovation and would jeopardize new medical breakthroughs :

    I can’t help but reflect on a medical miracle made possible by the American health-care system. The procedure that saved her, and has given her a chance at a full life, was available because America has a free-market system that has advanced medicine at a phenomenal pace. [...]

    The plain truth is that the American system is better at rewarding innovation and responding to consumer needs. But the history of government-led care is there for all to see. Are we doomed to repeat it?

    America has certainly had its share of medical breakthroughs, but the procedure Johnson’s daughter received may not have been developed in the United States but rather in Brazil or France — nations that now benefit from some form of universal coverage.

    According to CAP Senior Fellow (and resident biochemist) Dr. Lesley Russell, it is most likely that the surgery Carey had was first performed and reported in Brazil in 1975, where doctors described their version of the procedure as “the first successful report of total correction of transposition of the great vessels at the arterial level.” Alternatively, Johnson’s daughter may have had what’s known as The LeCompte procedure, which was developed in France in 1981.

    Unfortunately for Johnson, both country’s systems seem far more government-centered than the Affordable Care Act. While Brazil’s system has evolved over time, France — which is often thought to have the best system in the world — has compulsory health insurance. Care is distributed through large occupation-based funds—alliances of professional groups—that are overseen by the government (it sets reimbursement fees with physicians and establishes premiums) and financed through taxes and general government revenues.

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