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Obama’s Call For Israeli & Palestinian Borders To Be ‘Based On The 1967 Lines’ Mirrors Bush, Clinton Policy

Today in his speech on the Middle East and North Africa, President Obama said that “a lasting peace” between the Israelis and the Palestinians “will involve two states” and that “the borders of Israel and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines.”

For some reason, the Beltway media is treating this as some kind of breaking news. Foreign Policy reported that Obama is altering U.S. policy, and the Washington Post claimed that the Obama administration referred to the 1967 border as part of the solution “[f]or the first time.”

Next came the right-wing outrage that Obama hates Israel. Matt Drudge published the talking points soon after the speech ended with the headline, “Obama sides with Palestine.” Mitt Romney then accused Obama of “throwing Israel under the bus.” Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) said Obama “betrayed” Israel, saying on Twitter, “Obama’s call for 1967 borders will cause chaos, division & more aggression in Middle East & put Israel at further risk.” The far-right Simon Wiesenthal Center, which purports to promote tolerance, basically called Obama a Nazi, saying that “Israel should reject a return to 1967 ‘Auschwitz’ borders.”

But Obama’s pronouncement today isn’t new. Even President Bush in 2005 endorsed a two-state solution with negotiations based on the post-1949 Armistice, pre-1967 borders:

Any final status agreement must be reached between the two parties, and changes to the 1949 Armistice lines must be mutually agreed to. A viable two-state solution must ensure contiguity of the West Bank, and a state of scattered territories will not work.

And the 1967 borders were the basis for the two future states in negotiations during the Clinton administration. Then-Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, now Israel’s Defense Minister, signed a document “understanding that the negotiations on the Permanent Status will lead to the implementation of Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338.” UNSR 242, passed in November 1967, calls for the “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.”

NBC’s Chuck Todd noticed all the commotion, tweeting, “Surprised at venom re: 1967 lines. Has been part of the proposed solution for years.”

Ali Gharib contributed to this post.

Update

Andrew Sullivan has more.


Update

,Jeffrey Goldberg notes that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said in 2009, “We [support]…the Palestinian goal of an independent and viable state, based on the 1967 lines, with agreed swaps.”

Security

Anti-Immigrant Leader Accuses Carlos Santana Of Being A Bigot, Says Hatred Is ‘Stuck In His Gut’

This past weekend, famed guitarist Carlos Santana reacted to the Arizona copycat immigration bill that was recently signed into law in Georgia by Gov. Nathan Deal (R). “The people of Arizona, the people of Atlanta, Georgia, you should be ashamed of yourselves,” Santana stated at Sunday’s MLB Civil Rights Game at Turner Field. Santana called the law “anti-American” and reasoned that its passage is “about fear, that people are going to steal my job.” Santana responded, “No we ain’t. You don’t clean toilets and clean sheets, stop shucking and jiving.”

Roy Beck, founder and CEO of the anti-immigrant group NumbersUSA which fervently supports Arizona’s immigration law, believes Santana has “reached a new low in hate speech“:

Rock guitarist Carlos Santana may have reached a new low in hate speech against American workers when he took to a microphone on the field before the Atlanta Braves-Philadelphia Phillies game yesterday. [...]

Santana is like most bigots who speak, not from knowledge or facts, but from the emotional hatred stuck in their guts. [...] The people of Georgia who supported and pressed for the new mandatory E-Veriy law were operating in the best traditions of the Civil Rights movement and should have been given the civil rights award at the baseball ceremony.

Instead, the ceremony was dominated by Santana who shamed himself and tarnished the civil rights tradition with his hateful diatribe against the most vulnerable members of our national community.

You’d think Beck would choose his words more carefully given how sensitive he is about how people describe his own ideology. A year ago, NumbersUSA took issue with posts I wrote that included excerpts from troubling videos it was promoting on its website — one which made the case against Mexican migration and the “exportation of poverty” and another that included speakers who, in the past, have expressed concerns about an “illegal alien invasion” and the spread of bilingualism. Beck’s organization submitted a complaint to YouTube and had Think Progress’ entire YouTube account shut down.

In 2009, a NumbersUSA employee sent Think Progress a sharply worded email threatening to sue us for libel after I wrote a post which linked back to a Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) report that identified NumbersUSA as an anti-immigrant group and quoted a respected researcher who challenged several of the group’s questionable research findings.

And during the march for immigration reform in 2010, Beck accused three pro-immigrant female mimes of threatening him and his bodyguards with “constant efforts at crushing physical intimidation” instigated by “blowing hateful whistles” and waving balloons.

Yet, Beck isn’t nearly as touchy when it comes to the rhetoric coming from people who support his organization. During a public conference call hosted by NumbersUSA last year, one NumbersUSA supporter suggested portraying women from Mexico as the “new welfare queens.” Meanwhile, during the 1990′s, Beck was editor of The Social Contract, a journal started by John Tanton that “routinely publishes race-baiting articles penned by white nationalists.”

Santana’s comments were controversial, but they pale in comparison to some of the overtly racist diatribes that have been published by the Social Contract Press and they hardly qualify as hate speech. There are plenty of reasons to believe that Arizona’s approach to immigration would lead to rampant racial profiling and potential human rights violations. Two courts have already stated that it is likely unconstitutional. That’s pretty much the antithesis of what America stands for.

Politics

Republican Rep. Calls For Default On The Debt: ‘It Could Benefit Us To Go Through A Period Of Crisis’

Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA)

Several Congressional Republicans, including Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA), have posited that failing to raise the debt ceiling — and thus forcing the U.S. to default on some of its obligations — would not be bad for the economy. “I don’t think it’s going to have an adverse impact on the economy for the days or weeks or perhaps even months that this would continue,” Toomey said.

These “default deniers” don’t believe that failing to raise the debt ceiling would have the negative consequences that most economic analysts say it will. Radio shock-jock Rush Limbaugh even said yesterday that failing to raise the debt ceiling will improve the nation’s creditworthiness.

Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA), though, believes that default would cause a “crisis.” But, as he told Politico, he actively wants it to happen anyway:

Nunes says the debt cap must be raised at some point but not necessarily before the point of default.

“By defaulting on the debt, in the short and long term, it could benefit us to go through a period of crisis that forces politicians to make decisions” on major policies that affect the budget, he told POLITICO.

The GOP has been playing chicken with the debt ceiling for months, but Nunes is now advocating outright default and all of the consequences such a default would bring. As Princeton Professor Alan Blinder noted in the Wall Street Journal this morning, the U.S. defaulting on its obligations could eventually “reignite the world financial crisis”:

Should it occur, the consequences could be severe. It might, for example, reignite the world financial crisis. Remember how rattled financial markets became last year when it looked like Greece might default? And that was just little Greece and the possibility of default. An actual default by the mightiest nation on Earth would be immeasurably more unsettling. Where, in such a case, would frightened investors run to hide? The U.S. dollar would be among the first casualties. If hot money were to flee what was once its safest haven, the dollar would sink and U.S. interest rates would rise. The latter could lead us back into recession.

There would also be lasting costs to the U.S. government in the form of higher interest rates…How much? Again, no one can know. But even if it’s as little as 10-20 basis points on the U.S. government’s average borrowing cost, that’s an additional $10 billion to $20 billion in interest expenses every year. Seems like an expensive way to score a political point

Bank of America analysts agreed, noting that not raising the debt ceiling “would likely push the U.S. into recession and drag down the stock market.”

Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) said earlier this month that “no one is advocating defaulting.” But it seems, for the House Republicans at least, that is no longer the case.

Cross-posted on The Wonk Room.

Economy

While South Carolina Hands Out Corporate Tax Breaks, It Cuts Aid To Low-Income Families And The Unemployed

I noted earlier that South Carolina’s state House gave in to a temper tantrum thrown by online retailer Amazon, granting the company an exemption from collecting sales tax, in addition to “a free site to build [its new South Carolina] facility, property tax breaks on equipment, [and] job tax credits from the state.” The South Carolina state Senate, meanwhile, is cooking up a budget that includes $100 million in corporate tax breaks.

At the same time that it is serving up all these corporate goodies, South Carolina is moving to cut aid to two of its most vulnerable groups of residents: low-income families and the unemployed. Already, the state has reduced its benefits under the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) program by 20 percent to $216 per month, which is just 14 percent of the poverty line. And as The Huffington Post’s Arthur Delaney reported, South Carolina is also looking at cutting its unemployment insurance system:

The South Carolina State Senate gave preliminary approval last week to a bill that would reduce state unemployment benefits from 26 weeks to 20 weeks while simultaneously cutting unemployment surtaxes for businesses. In recent months Michigan and Missouri cut benefits to 20 weeks, and Florida and Arkansas have slashed aid as well. Those reductions served as models for South Carolina, where the idea to decrease the number of benefits popped up in the last few weeks.

As Heather Boushey and Danielle Lazarowitz pointed out, cuts to jobless benefits can stifle economic growth and increase poverty. In fact, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released a good chart today (based off of this study) showing that public programs, including TANF and unemployment benefits, successfully keep millions of people out of poverty:

However, government expenditures have recently shifted “away from those with the lowest incomes and toward those with higher incomes, with the consequence that post-transfer rates of deep poverty for some groups have increased.” South Carolina, if all of the ideas being proposed become law, will certainly not help reverse that trend.

Yglesias

Endgame

A different dimension:

“Health Inflation, Wealth Inflation, and the Discounting of Human Life”.

— “The Elusive Craft of Evaluating Advocacy” (PDF).

Keynes stuff.

— Most Americans support marriage equality.

— 41 percent of Americans say Jesus Christ will return by 2050 which makes complacency about climate change a lot easier to understand.

— Newt Gingrich lectures the world on how unprepared we are for the world-historical nature of the Gingrich campaign.

— 31 percent of Pakistanis say the ISI knew where bin Laden was.

Katy Perry, “E.T.”

Yglesias

How Can Borders Israel’s Defended In The Past Be Indefensible?

Given Benjamin Netanyahu’s scorn for negotiating on the basis of the 1949 armistice lines, it seems to me that it’s eminently reasonable to ask whether the Israeli government will recognize Palestine’s right to exist:

Mr. Netanyahu, who is due to meet with Mr. Obama at the White House on Friday in what seems likely now to be a tense encounter, added that the commitments “relate to Israel not having to withdraw to the 1967 lines which are both indefensible and which would leave major Israeli population centers in Judea and Samaria beyond those lines,” a reference to large Israeli settlement blocs in the West Bank.

The point about the settlements is perfectly valid. Having illegally build Israeli towns and suburbs on occupied land, the Israeli government naturally prefers not to give the land up. But how can the borders be indefensible? How does Netanyahu think Israel managed to win the war that gave them control over the West Bank? The defensible borders issue certainly sounds more sympathetic than the “we want to keep as much land as possible” issue, but unlike desire to grab land it doesn’t make any kind of sense.

I think it would be healthier to just state things frankly. Netanyahu wants the settlements that exist to expand, he wants new settlements started, and he doesn’t want to give up the settlements that he has. Meanwhile, it seems to me that the Obama administration keeps answering the wrong question. They keep telling us what they want the Israeli government to do. And what they want it to do, basically, is have different preferences. But the question for Obama isn’t what Israeli policy should be, it’s what should American policy be.

Security

Obama’s Call For Israeli & Palestinian Borders To Be ‘Based On The 1967 Lines’ Mirrors Bush, Clinton Policy

Today in his speech on the Middle East and North Africa, President Obama said that “a lasting peace” between the Israelis and the Palestinians “will involve two states” and that “the borders of Israel and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines.”

For some reason, the Beltway media is treating this as some kind of breaking news. Foreign Policy reported that Obama is altering U.S. policy and the Washington Post claimed that the Obama administration referred to the 1967 border as part of the solution “[f]or the first time.”

Next came the right-wing outrage that Obama hates Israel. Matt Drudge issued the marching orders soon after the speech ended with the headline, “Obama sides with Palestine.” Mitt Romney then accused Obama of “throwing Israel under the bus.” Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) said Obama “betrayed” Israel, saying on Twitter, “Obama’s call for 1967 borders will cause chaos, division & more aggression in Middle East & put Israel at further risk.” The far-right Simon Wiesenthal Center, which purports to promote tolerance, basically called Obama a Nazi, saying that “Israel should reject a return to 1967 ‘Auschwitz’ borders.”

But the problem is that this just isn’t new. Even President Bush in 2005 endorsed a two-state solution with negotiations based on the post-1949 Armistice, pre-1967 borders:

Any final status agreement must be reached between the two parties, and changes to the 1949 Armistice lines must be mutually agreed to. A viable two-state solution must ensure contiguity of the West Bank, and a state of scattered territories will not work.

And the 1967 borders were the basis for the two future states in negotiations during the Clinton administration. Then-Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, now Israel’s Defense Minister, signed a document “understanding that the negotiations on the Permanent Status will lead to the implementation of Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338.” UNSR 242, passed in November 1967, calls for the “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.”

NBC’s Chuck Todd noticed all the commotion, tweeting, “Surprised at venom re: 1967 lines. Has been part of the proposed solution for years.”

Ali Gharib contributed to this post.

Update

Andrew Sullivan has more.


Update

,Jeffrey Goldberg notes that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said in 2009, “We [support]…the Palestinian goal of an independent and viable state, based on the 1967 lines, with agreed swaps.”

Politics

GOP Predecessor On Pawlenty: ‘I Don’t Think Any Governor Has Left Behind A Worse Financial Mess’

Tim Pawlenty is hoping to leverage his record as governor of Minnesota into a successful presidential bid, often touting his tenure as evidence that he can successfully govern as a fiscal conservative. For example, during Fox News’ presidential debate in South Carolina earlier this month, Pawlenty said, “Every budget during my time as governor was balanced and the last one of those two-year budgets ends this coming summer, on June 30, and it’s going to end up in the black.”

But not everyone agrees with Pawlenty’s fiscal bona fides. Pawlenty’s predecessor, Arne Carlson, a Republican who was governor of Minnesota from 1991 to 1999, recently told Time magazine of the presidential hopeful, “I don’t think any governor has left behind a worse financial mess than he has.” Carlson is an avowed fiscal conservative who, in his retirement, has led a “Paul Revere Tour” to raise alarm about the state’s finances. Carlson has been a frequent critic of Pawlenty’s fiscal mismanagement and in April, he told Minn Post that Pawlenty undid important fiscal reforms and is solely to blame for the state’s fiscal morass:

Under Tim Pawlenty, it became deficit heaven,” said Carlson. “All the things we did were undone. Now, what bothers me is you get these holier-than-thou attitudes. Oh, we’re all to blame. But that’s just not true. There’s one person who has the power to insist on a balanced budget. That’s the chief executive officer, the governor.”

Indeed, history sides with Carlson on this one. As CNN reported, thanks to Pawlenty’s refusal to even consider raising revenue, he left office “with a $6 billion deficit and higher unemployment than when he became governor.” In fact, Pawlenty’s deficit was “one of the highest in the nation as a percentage of the state’s general fund, only slightly trailing California’s massive gap,” the Los Angeles Times noted.

When he did balance the budget, Pawlenty relied on budget “gimmicks.” For example, “He postponed school and other obligations, leading to hikes in local property taxes and strains on school districts as burdens shifted downward.”

Perhaps even more unforgivable to conservatives, Pawlenty was only able to balance his budget by relying on President Obama’s stimulus package — the same stimulus package he derided as “a house of cards” of borrowed money that was “misdirected” and “largely wasted”. In fact, stimulus dollars accounted for “nearly one-third” of his budget gap. This led to what a local Fox affiliate dubbed a “faux-surplus.”

As for Pawlenty’s claim in the Fox News debate that he balanced the budget, while technically correct, it’s hardly something to write home about considering every Minnesota budget has to be balanced — the state constitution requires it.

Yglesias

Tim Pawlenty Is Running For President Because He Doesn’t Want To “Play Hockey and Drink Beer.”

Tim Pawlenty’s book is called Courage to Stand: An American Story and it certainly takes some kind of courage to run for president and then sit down for multiple interviews with a Time Magazine correspondent doing a profile without having come up with an explanation of why you’re running:

And when I ask Pawlenty, during a second interview in Des Moines, Iowa, exactly when he decided he was up to the grand challenge of the presidency, he answers in less than grandiose terms, explaining how he’d set up a political-action committee in 2009. I try again, saying I am curious about when he first imagined himself worthy of the history books, ready to send soldiers to their deaths and endure the national stage’s harsh toll. “I don’t know,” he replies. “I wish I had a good answer for you on that.” Pawlenty says it is not an idea that crossed his mind 15 or 20 years ago but that as he considered life as a relatively young ex-governor, he felt obliged not to take the easy path and “go make some money and play hockey and drink beer.” He adds that he almost didn’t run at all. “Mary and I talked about this at length, and many times, and it was a close call,” he says, mentioning his wife of 24 years. He adds with a laugh, “It could have gone the other way for all the reasons you’re suggesting.”

What kind of answer is that? If Pawlenty didn’t want to make money, play hockey, and drink beer he had any number of options available. He could be doing charity work in Africa. He could found a charter school. He could have run for re-election as Governor of Minnesota. But he decided to step aside even though he wasn’t term limited in order to take on an incumbent President of the United States. And he seems like the kind of guy who could win. But “I seemed like the kind of guy who could win” isn’t a very good reason for running.

Update

Here’s Tim Pawlenty playing hockey on March 14.

Climate Progress

Arctic sea ice volume: The death spiral continues

One-year-old ice in Beaufort Sea now a foot thinner than in 2009

In November, Rear Admiral David Titley, the Oceanographer of the Navy, testified that  “the volume of ice as of last September has never been lower”¦in the last several thousand years.” Titley, who is also the Director of Navy’s Task Force Climate Change, said he has told the Chief of Naval Operations that “we expect to see four weeks of basically ice free conditions in the mid to late 2030s.”

Wieslaw Maslowski of the Naval Postgraduate School has “projected a (virtually) ice-free fall by 2016 (+/- 3 yrs).” Contrary to some reporting, that projection has been unchanged for years, though Maslowski is in the process of creating a more sophisticated model that he expects “will improve prediction of sea ice melt,” as he explained to me recently.

Until then, we have some new observational data of Canadian sea ice thickness and this remarkable figure of sea ice volume since 1979 from Neven’s Arctic Sea Ice Blog, based on data from the University of Washington’s Polar Science Center [click to enlarge]:

Neven

Arctic sea ice volume by month in cubic kilometers (with simple quadratic trend lines projecting to zero volume, details here).  The bottom (red) line is September volume.

Compare this to Maslowski’s March 2010 PowerPoint:

Read more

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