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Health

Will Seniors Really Be Able To ‘Deny Business To Inefficient Providers’ Under GOP Budget?

Jared Bernstein has a good and clear explanation as to why Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) argument about seniors using “premium support” vouchers to “deny business to inefficient providers” is so horribly wrong:

Suppose you send me to the grocery store to buy you a gallon of milk. Milk costs $3.50 a gallon but you give me $2. I spend the whole day “denying business to inefficient providers”—i.e., grocers who all charge more than that—and at the end of the day, bring you back a pint.

Now, instead of milk, where I’ve got the information I need to be a smart shopper, suppose you give me the same under-priced voucher but ask me to bring you back a plan for treating that strange pain you’ve been experiencing on your left side on humid days.

There’s no “denying business to inefficient providers” in the Ryan plan because there’s no market discipline that average folks with incomplete information armed with an inadequate voucher can enforce on a private health insurance market that’s…well, different.

Part of the problem is that individuals don’t have the market clout of a large employer or a program like traditional Medicare, which are able to secure better prices from providers than future retirees purchasing coverage on their own (under Ryan’s plan) or many other private payers.

Look at this data from S&P tracking the growth of health care costs. As Maggie Mahar points out, over the year ending March 2011, Medicare spending rose at an annual rate of 2.78% — the lowest rate posted for the Medicare Index in its six-year history — while “health care costs covered by commercial insurers rose by 7.57%.” This creates a problem for those who argue that private businesses are magically able to control costs better than government programs:

Why is Medicare cost growth slowing? It appears that “costs for Medicare patients are being better contained than those covered under commercial insurance plans,” observes David M. Blitzer, chairman of the S&P Index Committee. And the provisions in the Affordable Care Act that will put Medicare on the road to financial solvency haven’t even begun to kick in. Meanwhile, conservatives argue that we must privatize Medicare, because taxpayers cannot affords “runaway” government entitlement programs. I wonder how they explain the S&P report.

Security

Russell Pearce Admits To Taking Alleged Neo-Nazi Under His Wing

Long before he introduced Arizona’s controversial immigration law — SB-1070 — state Senate President Russell Pearce (R) has had to respond to allegations that he is a racist. These accusations have not only stemmed from his political crusade against undocumented immigrants; they are also a product of the company he has kept over the past several years. Last week, Fox 10 posted a lengthy 30-minute interview in which Pearce was forced to address his controversial ties — namely his relationship with J.T. Ready, one of “Arizona’s leading neo-Nazis.”

Pearce — who ordained Ready as an “elder” in the Mormon church and supported his unsuccessful City Council run — has always claimed that he had no knowledge of Ready’s controversial beliefs and affiliations. (Meanwhile, Bill Straus, regional director of the Arizona Anti-Defamation League, claims to have met with Pearce and informed him on J.T. Ready and other neo-Nazis flocking to his anti-immigrant cause). Yet, in this interview, Pearce admits to taking Ready under his wing and bringing him into his family:

FOX 10: He says to say that you were a friend would be an understatement. [...] He’s saying that you took him under your wing and he says that there’s no doubt about that.

PEARCE: I think that’s probably a fair statement initially. [...] I had great hopes for J.T. in terms of just being a good patriot. And it wasn’t until years later that he brought to light that he had associations. [...] As a young man, I put my arm around him. I cared about J.T. But I will not support those kinds of activities. [...]

I’m a natural kind of lover of guys. I’m a hugger, kind of touchy feely kind of guy. I care about people, but I will not put up with misbehavior and improper conduct. I don’t care who you are. I think he had a lot of potential. But when he associated himself with those sort of organizations — he can’t do that and be a part of our family.

In a separate interview with Fox 10, Ready went as far as to call Pearce “a surrogate father” who “enlightened him.” “I more or less evolved from there,” explained Ready. “I didn’t really heed his word on staying more covert.”

Ready also claims that he was with Pearce’s son, Josh Pearce, when he got a tattoo of an iron eagle with a swastika on his neck and chest. Ready told Fox 10 that he talked Josh Pearce out of joining a skinhead group. Josh Pearce was recently sentenced to a year in the Arizona Department of Corrections for violating the conditions of his probation on a 2007 conviction for aggravated DUI.

When asked if he believes Russell Pearce is a racist, former state legislator Bill Konopnicki (R) — who feels that he was bullied by Pearce for voting against one of his immigration bills in 2007 — stated, “My personal opinion is I hope not, but some of the things that he has said would lead one to that conclusion.”

Watch Fox 10′s report:

Russell Pearce: Pioneer Against Illegal Immigration or Racist?: MyFoxPHOENIX.com

Politics

Focus On The Family’s President Concedes Loss On Same-Sex Marriage, But Still Compares It To Polygamy

While Focus on the Family (FOTF) is still working hard to mislead women away from having abortions and mislead young people into bullying their LGBT peers, Jim Daly, FOTF’s CEO and President, admitted this week that they’ve “lost” on same-sex marriage:

WORLD MAGAZINE: We’re winning the younger generation on abortion, at least in theory. What about same-sex marriage?

DALY: We’re losing on that one, especially among the 20- and 30-somethings: 65 to 70 percent of them favor same-sex marriage. I don’t know if that’s going to change with a little more age—demographers would say probably not. We’ve probably lost that. I don’t want to be extremist here, but I think we need to start calculating where we are in the culture.

Both World and Daly are presumably using “we” to speak on behalf of all evangelical Christians, but perhaps they should be more careful in doing so. Besides the fact that the latest Gallup poll shows “they” might not even have the momentum on abortion that they think they do, FOTF is struggling with marriage across all age groups as well. A new poll from HRC/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research shows that people who identify as Christian overwhelmingly support LGBT equality, regardless of age:

Despite the concession, Daly still attacks same-sex families with a comparison to polygamy:

DALY: We’ve got to look at what God is doing in all of this. Have we done such a poor job with marriage, is He so upset with our mishandling of it in the Christian community, along with our lust of the flesh as a nation, that He is handing us over to this polygamy and same-sex situation in order to, perhaps, drive the Christian community, the remnant, into saying, “OK, there’s not-fault divorce in our church”?

Because polygamy has nothing to do with same-sex marriage and there is no wide-spread push for it, no polling is available to defend or reject Daly’s claim. The mere fact that he thinks polygamy is in any way relevant to the discussion shows just how out of touch he continues to be. It seems Focus on the Family is going to keep focusing on the discrimination anyway.

Cross-posted on Wonk Room.

Education

Prominent Professor Leaves Wisconsin, Cites ‘Political Attacks,’ ‘Low Morale’ From Walker Proposals

Prof. Jeremi Suri

Last week, Dr. Jeremi Suri, an award-winning Professor of History at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, confirmed that he will be leaving the school next fall to accept the Mack Brown Chair of Global Leadership at University of Texas Austin.

Upon first glance, nothing is striking about this news. Due to funding constraints, faculty retention — especially for rising academic stars such as Suri – has always been a challenge for public universities, as private institutions often offer a significant pay increase, as well as academic prestige.

But this time, there is another factor that must be considered: Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (R), who has launched a high-profile assault on Wisconsin’s public employees. “I love this place and am really sad about leaving, but it’s been a really hard year here,” Suri told the Capital Times:

I think with the political attacks on the university and the budget cutting, it’s hard. And that’s not the fault of the university, but it’s the environment that we’re operating in… There’s a lot of uncertainty and a lot of worry – and legitimate worry – about where things are going.

Under Walker’s controversial budget plan, public employees — including UW faculty — will take sizable pay cut, with the UW-Madison losing an additional $125 million in state funding in the next two years alone. While Walker claimed that his proposal was in the public interest, many public employees understand they face an uncertain future as Walker continues to advocate for further slashing of the state’s budget.

Suri has received lucrative offers before, but had always turned them down to remain in Madison, where he was known for being a top rate scholar, a highly gifted teacher, and a strong presence within the community. “We probably overuse this term, but he really did embody the Wisconsin Idea and I know he took that very seriously,” said Professor David McDonald, Chair of the History Department. In response to Walker’s proposals, professors at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse voted overwhelmingly to join the American Federation of Teachers.

– Jennifer Kalaidis

Politics

Baptist Group: Oklahoma’s Sharia Ban Is Unconstitutional

Last year, Oklahoma became the first state to ban the non-existent threat of Islamic Sharia law, jeopardizing Native American rights, Oklahoma businesses, and even the Ten Commandments to do it. But state Republicans’ fervor for this “preemptive strike” — known as the “Save Our State” amendment — hit an inevitable snag of constitutionality, compelling a federal judge to block the law’s implementation. Nevertheless, Oklahoma election authorities appealed the judge’s injunction to the 10th Circuit Court of Appeals.

Regardless of what Oklahoma Republicans may think, numerous religious groups view the law as a clear infringement on the First Amendment and are now taking a stand. Last week, the Baptist Joint Committee for Religious Liberty (BJC) signed on to an amicus brief urging the 10th Circuit to invalidate the law as it has “the unambiguous effect of communicating official disapproval of Islam“:

“The BJC’s brief argues that the Oklahoma amendment violates the Establishment Clause for two separate and distinct reasons. First, “the amendment’s purpose plainly is to disapprove of the Islamic tradition.” Secondly, “the amendment’s dual specific references to Shari law – and to no other religious tradition – have the unambiguous effect of communicating official disapproval of Islam.”

Both reasons put the Oklahoma amendment in violation of the U.S. Supreme Court’s Lemon Test which is used to determine whether a law is in violation of the First Amendment’s Establishment Clause.”

The American Jewish Committee, the Anti-Defamation League, the Center for Islamic Pluralism, Interfaith Alliance, Union for Reform Judaism, and several civil liberties groups joined BJC in signing the brief. Viewing fear as the “driving force” behind state Sharia bans, Texas Baptist pastor Bob Roberts Jr. urged Christians supporting anti-Sharia laws to put their faith in God rather than in legislation. “When we fear to that degree, then we start pushing laws because somebody else’s beliefs make us nervous,” said Roberts.

Yglesias

Endgame

You made me boring:

— Tim Pawlenty is boring: in a good way.

— Alyssa Katz says the housing collapse was avoidable.

— There’s something fascinating about the idea of a whole neighborhood vanishing from the conceptual map.

— Former Elizabeth Warren foe now thinks she should get a recess appointment.

— Political reform badly needed in Gulf Arab states.

— IMF women object to NY Times characterization of the environment there.

More evidence that college students need to do a better job of picking majors.

EMA, “California”.

Health

Obama Administration To Prevent Conservatives From Rationing Care To Medicaid Patients

Robert Pear reports that the Obama administration is raising concerns about Indiana’s new law to cut off all state and federal dollars to Planned Parenthood, arguing that the measure may impose “impermissible restrictions on the freedom of Medicaid recipients to choose health care providers.” The Indiana measure “prohibits state agencies from entering contracts with or making grants to ‘any entity that performs abortions or maintains or operates a facility where abortions are performed’ and “terminates existing state contracts with such entities”:

Asked for comment on the Indiana law, the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services provided this statement, cleared by the White House: “Federal law prohibits federal Medicaid dollars from being spent on abortion services. Medicaid does not allow states to stop beneficiaries from getting care they need — like cancer screenings and preventive care — because their provider offers certain other services. We are reviewing this particular situation and situations in other states.” [...]

States can obtain federal permission to waive certain requirements of the federal Medicaid law. But the federal law says that “no waiver” may restrict the choice of Medicaid beneficiaries in receiving family planning services.

In other words: House Republicans who voted to ban federal funding to Planned Parenthood in Congress and the five states — Kansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Texas and Wisconsin — considering similar legislation are actively trying to do what they accuse the federal government of doing: ration health care to millions of lower-income Americans. The Obama administration — the alleged rationer-in-chief — is working to preserve “choice” and fair access to providers.

The other irony is that the GOP’s efforts to restrict funding to contraception will great increase spending, further undermining the GOP’s claims of fiscal responsibility. According to a new study from the Guttmacher Institute, unintended pregnancies cost taxpayers approximately $11 billion per year. Not surprisingly, “rates of unintended pregnancy are far higher among poor and near-poor women (those with incomes under twice the federal poverty level) than those with higher incomes” — the very women who would be denied contraception under the GOP’s reforms. As NPR’s Julie Rovner reports, “As a result, nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of the 1.6 million births resulting from unintended pregnancies in 2006 were paid for by public health insurance programs.”

Yglesias

Sales Tax On Furniture Imported From China Fails To Halt Rise In Asia-Made Furniture

(cc photo by me vs gutenberg)

In January 2005, the Bush administration’s Commerce Department slapped new taxes on furniture made in China, accusing Chinese manufacturers of “dumping” products (i.e., selling them too cheaply) on the American market. In response, Chinese furniture firms started setting up plants in Vietnam and Indonesia:

The result: Imports now account for about 70 percent of the U.S. market for beds and similar items, up from 58 percent before Washington intervened to try and protect domestic manufacturers from Chinese “dumping,” or the export of goods at unfairly low prices. [...] The trade concerns have led to growing calls for tougher action from Washington to stem the tide and protect U.S. jobs. But do tariffs work? In the case of bedroom furniture, they’ve clearly helped slow China’s export machine. In 2004, before tariffs went into force, China exported $1.2 billion worth of beds and such to the United States. The figure last year was just $691 million.

Over the same period, however, imports of the same goods from Vietnam — where wages and other costs are even lower than in China — have surged, rising from $151 million to $931 million. The loss of jobs in America, meanwhile, only accelerated. The number of Americans now employed making bedroom furniture is less than half what it was when the tariffs began.

Part of the moral of the story here, again, is that if you want to subsidize something the best way to do it is with a direct subsidy. I don’t personally think that paying a subsidy to American-made furniture makes a ton of sense as a policy, but if we did it then it would definitely “work” and increase the quantity of domestically produced furniture. Trying to do things through the dumping/tariff route seems to mainly operated as a subsidy to Vietnamese producers, which isn’t what anyone wanted.

LGBT

Focus On The Family’s President Concedes Loss On Same-Sex Marriage, But Still Compares It To Polygamy

While Focus on the Family (FOTF) is still working hard to mislead women away from having abortions and mislead young people into bullying their LGBT peers, Jim Daly, FOTF’s CEO and President, admitted this week that they’ve “lost” on same-sex marriage:

WORLD MAGAZINE: We’re winning the younger generation on abortion, at least in theory. What about same-sex marriage?

DALY: We’re losing on that one, especially among the 20- and 30-somethings: 65 to 70 percent of them favor same-sex marriage. I don’t know if that’s going to change with a little more age—demographers would say probably not. We’ve probably lost that. I don’t want to be extremist here, but I think we need to start calculating where we are in the culture.

Both World and Daly are presumably using “we” to speak on behalf of all evangelical Christians, but perhaps they should be more careful in doing so. Besides the fact that the latest Gallup poll shows “they” might not even have the momentum on abortion that they think they do, FOTF is struggling with marriage across all age groups as well. A new poll from HRC/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research shows that people who identify as Christian overwhelmingly support LGBT equality, regardless of age:

Despite the concession, Daly still attacks same-sex families with a comparison to polygamy:

DALY: We’ve got to look at what God is doing in all of this. Have we done such a poor job with marriage, is He so upset with our mishandling of it in the Christian community, along with our lust of the flesh as a nation, that He is handing us over to this polygamy and same-sex situation in order to, perhaps, drive the Christian community, the remnant, into saying, “OK, there’s not-fault divorce in our church”?

Because polygamy has nothing to do with same-sex marriage and there is no wide-spread push for it, no polling is available to defend or reject Daly’s claim. The mere fact that he thinks polygamy is in any way relevant to the discussion shows just how out of touch he continues to be. It seems Focus on the Family is going to keep focusing on the discrimination anyway.

Climate Progress

Australian Climate Commission says act now or “the global climate may be so irreversibly altered we will struggle to maintain our present way of life.”

ACC tempsAnother week, another group of leading scientists pleading with humanity to stop the self-destruction of modern human civilization as we know it ASAP.  The Australian Climate Commission even titled their report, “The Critical Decade.”

The figure on the right shows the catastrophic warming we risk if we stay on our current emissions path (in °C — multiple by 1.8 for °F).  The report warns, “A plausible estimate of the amount of sea-level rise by 2100 compared to 2000 is 0.5 to 1.0 meter.” The report notes that we are acidifying the oceans at “an exceptionally rapid rate of change, likely unprecedented in the 25 million years of the record,” gravely threatening marine life.  The study documents how the weather is already becoming more extreme in Australia — worse droughts, worse deluges, and worse heatwaves — and warns of “Abrupt, non-linear and irreversible changes
in the climate system.”

The report opens by slamming the media miscoverage of the story of the century.  It explains that climate science “is being attacked in the media by many with no credentials in the field….   By contrast to the noisy, confusing ‘debate’ in the media, within the climate research community our understanding of the climate system continues to advance strongly.”

Indeed, the conclusion uses language that will be familiar to Americans — language I recommend everyone use:  “we know beyond reasonable doubt that the world is warming and that human emissions of greenhouse gases are the primary cause.”

The report warns, “Failing to take sufficient action today entails potentially huge risks to our economy, society and way of life into the future. This is the critical decade for action.”

Here are the “key messages” of the report:

Read more

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