ThinkProgress Logo

Climate Progress

James Hansen slams Keystone XL Canada-U.S. Pipeline: “Exploitation of tar sands would make it implausible to stabilize climate and avoid disastrous global climate impacts”

X-axis is the range of potential resource in billions of barrels. Y-axis is grams of Carbon per MegaJoule of final fuel.

The Canadian tar sands are substantially dirtier than conventional oil as the chart above shows (longer analysis here).  They may contain enough carbon-intensive fuel to make stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide at non-catastrophic levels all but impossible.

And that is the point of Dr. James Hansen in a must-read essay on the proposed Keystone XL Pipeline to bring that dirty fuel into this country, “Silence Is Deadly: I’m Speaking Out Against Canada-U.S. Tar Sands Pipeline.”

Hansen, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, has been right longer about the climate than just about anyone else (see “Right for 27 years: 1981 Hansen study finds warming trend that could raise sea levels“).  So he deserves to be heard.

Here is his essay, to which I’ve added some commentary with links:

Read more

Yglesias

There’s More To The Weak Recovery Than Unemployment

I hesitate to say this in a way that will invite misquotation, but I almost feel as if on some level the media is talking too much about the jobs crisis in America. Kevin Drum, for example, asks “Why Is Unemployment Still So High?” and I saw a CNN chyron the other evening about a “jobless recovery.” This kind of talk seems to imply that there’s something mysterious happening specifically to the labor market and that concerns about the economic situation should be limited to the minority of Americans who are unemployed. The truth, however, is that the bleak economic situation is much broader than unemployed people. Nothing “funny” is happening in the link between output and employment. What happened is that we were chugging along, then output fell by a lot, and then when output stopped falling it started growing at a slow rate.

If unemployment were at 5 percent and the economy was growing slowly nobody would be surprised to see unemployment continue to be at 5 percent. What else would happen? The unemployment rate normally only falls if the economy is growing rapidly, and right now the economy isn’t growing rapidly.

So the question we should ask is: Why such slow economic growth? This opens you up to a bonanza of possible answers. Probably no country on earth has ever had perfectly optimal economic policy. Which means that there are a lot of things the US could do to increase economic growth, and there’s also a lot of disagreement about what those things are. Consequently, at a time of high unemployment and depressed output it’s possible to go down a rabbit hole of controversies about what “the real problem” and the “real solution” and blah blah blah. And of course arguing about how to make economic policy better is often worth doing. But you also should be constantly asking yourself “could we make real output grow faster by boosting demand, or are we facing some binding supply constraints that mean efforts to boost demand will just lead to inflation?” This is an important question because if we could boost real output by boosting aggregate demand, then our failure to do so means we’re leaving money on the table. It means that unemployment is higher than it needs to be, and also that economy-wide production of goods and services is lower than it needs to be.

Unfortunately, we see more and more evidence that policymakers from the Obama administration on down have decided they don’t have a problem with this.

Security

Israeli Forces Attack Nonviolent Protesters In Golan Heights

Today, hundreds of Palestinians and Syrians marched in the occupied Golan Heights, protesting the Israeli military presence and confronting the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF).

At one point, the confrontation between the IDF and protesters turned violent, as the IDF responded to the demonstrators forcefully, using multiple means of force, including tear gas and live ammunition, resulting in the killing of at least a dozen demonstrators and the wounding of many more. Mustafa Barghouti, a famous independent Palestinian politician and a critic of terrorism and corruption, was among the protesters. He described the event to Al Jazeera:

“What we saw in the Golan heights, in front of the checkpoint to Jerusalem, were peaceful Palestinian demonstrators demanding their freedom and the end of occupation, which has become the longest in modern history.

“And they were encountered by terrible violence from Israel. They have used gunshots, tear gas, sound bombs and canisters emanating dangerous chemicals against demonstrators.

“They also beat us. I was one of those who was beaten today by the Israel soldiers today while we were peacefully trying to reach the checkpoint to Jerusalem.”

SkyNews had a reporter at the scene. Watch his dispatch:

The State Department responded to the events with the following statement: “We call for all sides to exercise restraint. Provocative actions like this should be avoided. Israel, like any sovereign nation, has a right to defend itself.”

It is certainly true that the demonstrators were engaged in provocative actions — they were attempting to breach a border Israel had set up, even if it is widely agreed to be illegitimate by international law. Yet the United States and international community have often implored Palestinians to take up their cause nonviolently. President Obama, in his Cairo address, used the analogy of Black South Africans who used civil disobedience to protest apartheid. (h/t: @maxblumenthal)

Security

Concerns About Muslim Brotherhood Trending on Sunday Shows

Two major national talk shows delved into questions about the Muslim Brotherhood on Sunday, hearing from the organization itself and an analyst who looked at its role in Syria and region-wide concerns about the region’s most influential Islamist group.

On CNN, Essam El Erian, a senior official from Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood widely considered a spokesman for the organization’s more moderate wing, spoke to Fareed Zakaria about worries that the group would seek to leverage diplomatic support to implement religious law. “In Islam you don’t have a religious law. In Islam you have a civil law,” said El Erian. “Civil law means that the people have decisions in their parliament after giving them a reference in Islam or Sharia.”

“Non-Muslims, even infidels, in an Islamic state or a civil state with a background of sharia have equal rights and equal duties,” El Erian said, noting that while in some cases Sharia could relegate women to a lower status, but that other interpretations prescribed equality.

Asked about Egyptians’ concerns, El Erian said: “People are facing the unknown. The unknown is democracy, not Muslim Brotherhood… Suspicions are not towards us only, it is for everything.”

In a poll released today by Gallup, the Muslim Brotherhood garnered more support than other opposition parties, reflecting the long-held view that they are best organized opposition group:

Nonetheless, some Egyptians’ and, more broadly, the Arab world’s views track closely with what El Erian describes: A system informed by religion but not dominated by it. From Gallup polling:

Read more

Yglesias

Thomas Jefferson On The Limits Of Property Rights

Thomas Jefferson is not my favorite among the founding fathers, but this 1785 letter to James Madison quoted by Daniel Kuehn is another good example of the non-libertarianism of classical liberalism:

Another means of silently lessening the inequality of property is to exempt all from taxation below a certain point, and to tax the higher portions of property in geometrical progression as they rise. Whenever there is in any country, uncultivated lands and unemployed poor, it is clear that the laws of property have been so far extended as to violate natural right. The earth is given as a common stock for man to labour and live on. If, for the encouragement of industry we allow it to be appropriated, we must take care that other employment be furnished to those excluded from the appropriation. If we do not the fundamental right to labour the earth returns to the unemployed. It is too soon yet in our country to say that every man who cannot find employment but who can find uncultivated land, shall be at liberty to cultivate it, paying a moderate rent. But it is not too soon to provide by every possible means that as few as possible shall be without a little portion of land. The small landholders are the most precious part of a state.

As with John Locke you see this concern about concentrated appropriation of finite resources. In practical terms, Jefferson and other leaders of the early Republic were able to sidestep inequality within the white community by redistributing land from Native Americans to white people.

LGBT

Marine Asks Robert Gates If He Could Opt Out Of Military Following Repeal Of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell

Lez Get Real’s Bridgette P. LaVictoire catches this incident of a Marine in Afghanistan asking Secretary of Defense Robert Gates if he could leave the military following the repeal of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell. “Sir, we joined the Marine Corps because the Marine Corps has a set of standards and values that is better than that of the civilian sector. And we have gone and changed those values and repealed the ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’ policy,” the Marine said. “Is there going to be an option for those Marines that no longer wish to serve due to the fact their moral values have not changed?”

Gates stressed that Marines were already serving in a socially diverse force and said that all servicemembers are required to complete their enlistments:

No. You’ll have to complete your … enlistment just like everybody else.”

“The reality is that you don’t all agree with each other on your politics, you don’t agree with each other on your religion, you don’t agree with each other on a lot of things,” he added. “But you still serve together. And you work together. And you look out for each other. And that’s all that matters.” [...]

If we do this right, nothing will change. You will still have to abide by the same rules of behavior, the same discipline, the same respect for each other that has been the case through all the history of the Marine Corps.”

In December of last year, opponents of repealing the policy warned that up to 265,000 servicemembers would exit the military if the ban against open service was lifted. No such exodus has occurred and as Gates explained during a hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee “if I believed that a quarter of a million people would leave immediately, if given the opportunity, I would certainly have second thoughts about that.”

Education

After Gutting Education Budget, GOP NC House Speaker Says Teachers Don’t Care About Kids

One of the current trends that is vogue in the politics of K-12 education is to bash teachers and claim that they do not care about the quality of education they are providing and that they are solely responsible for poor outcomes in schools in impoverished communities.

After passing a new bill that would make it much more difficult for the North Carolina Association of Educators to collect dues from its members, North Carolina House Speaker Thom Tillis (R) said at the state’s GOP convention that teachers who oppose the new legislation — which could dramatically harm teachers’ collective bargaining organizations — don’t care about kids and only care about their jobs and pensions:

Tillis drew applause also when he said the legislature planned next week to adopt both a bill requiring voters to produce a photo identification, and a bill that would bar the state from collecting dues for the N.C. Association of Educators, the group that lobbies for teachers and other groups. “They don’t care about kids. They don’t care about classrooms,” Tillis said. “They only care about their jobs and their pensions.”

It’s highly ironic for Tillis to claim that the state’s teachers do not care about the education their children are provided, given his own actions on education during the budget debate. Tillis and his Republican colleagues cut over a hundred million dollars from K-12 spending, including $92.2 million from textbook purchases alone. 13,000 education jobs are expected to be lost as a result of these cuts. Local news station WCNC reviewed some of these cuts in a special report. Watch it:

While teacher-bashing may be vogue at the moment, one would hope that cynicism that involves cutting the state’s education budget by nine figures and then claiming that it’s teachers who don’t care about kids would not be acceptable to North Carolinians. (h/t: @21stprincipal)

Yglesias

The Fruits of The Peterson Solutions Project

The latest crusade up in FireDogLake land is to castigate the Roosevelt Institute, the Economic Policy Institute, and the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities for having the temerity to participate in the Peterson Foundation’s effort to get six think tanks to write down scored plans for reducing the long-term debt load of the country. I take it that the selloutery of my colleagues at the Center for American Progress goes without saying to such an extent that we don’t even warrant a mention in Yves Smith’s righteous condemnation. But personally I’ve always liked EPI’s work, and CBPP’s, and Roosevelt’s, so I’ll be happy to welcome them into team sellout and let Jane Hamsher keep tending the lonely flame of true faith.

On another level, I believe we should judge an exercise like this based on its outcome. And it seems to me that progressives have a lot to be proud of here. Four of the six proposals (CAP, EPI, Roosevelt, and Bipartisan Policy Center) argue for defense spending cuts. Four of the six proposals (CAP, EPI, Roosevelt, and AEI) argue for a carbon tax. Three (CAP, EPI, Roosevelt) call for financial transaction taxes, and three (CAP, EPI, Roosevelt) argue for a public option. Four (CAP, EPI, Roosevelt, BPC) call for short-term fiscal stimulus. Five of the six proposals feature good ideas about farm subsidies. Four of the six proposals feature higher income revenues than called for by current law.

Now of course there are also of plenty of bad ideas on the table in this exercise. I disagree with the vast majority of AEI’s ideas, basically all of Heritage’s, and many of the Bipartisan Policy Center’s. But the point is that when you look at the debate as a whole inside the Peterson Fiscal Summit, it’s actually a debate that’s titled way to the left of the official debate that’s playing out in congress. On Capitol Hill right now, bank taxes and carbon taxes and defense cuts and income tax hikes are all marginal ideas. Inside Pete Peterson’s Stealth Plan To Destroy The Welfare State they’re at the heart of the debate. That, to me, sounds like a job well done. It sounds to me like progressives ideas have real merit, and that the main thing we learned from this exercise is that progressive policy prescriptions will have to be a major part of any realistic long-term fiscal solution.

Economy

Boehner Spokesman: Auto Industry Revival Is ‘Nothing To Celebrate’

Last week, the Obama administration announced that Fiat has agreed to buy the final government share in Chrysler, officially completing that company’s trip through federally managed bankruptcy. The U.S. losses from the auto industry rescue, according to the latest projections, will be much lower than estimates showed over the last few years.

In the first quarter of this year, all three of the Big Three auto companies were profitable. As President Obama said, were it not for the government rescue, “by the time the dominos stopped falling, more than a million jobs, in countless communities, in a proud industry that helped build America’s middle class for generations, wouldn’t have been around any more.”

But Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) would rather have seen those jobs disappear, as his spokesman said yesterday that the auto industry’s revival is “nothing to celebrate”:

“The administration’s auto bailout is nothing to celebrate,” said Brendan Buck, a spokesman for House Speaker John Boehner, an Ohio Republican. “The model the White House should be touting is Ford, which, instead of relying on a taxpayer-funded bailout, saw trouble coming and made the tough decisions necessary to preserve jobs and weather the storm.”

This is hardly the first time that Boehner has been utterly unsympathetic to the prospect of widespread job losses. Back in February, for instance, Boehner said “so be it” when asked about the loss of federal jobs that would occur if the House Republicans’ desired spending cuts were implemented.

Boehner is also highlighting Ford’s refusal of money as if Ford did not benefit from the auto rescue. But as the Wall Street Journal noted, Ford will “benefit from many of the concessions that General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC exact from the suppliers, unions, dealers and debt holders shared by all three companies.”

As The Economist said regarding the auto rescue, “the doomsayers were wrong.” And since Republicans were totally opposed to the rescue, they are now scrambling to find some way to spin it as a failure.

Older

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up