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Politics

Cantor Opposed Short-Term Debt Ceiling Increase, Now Calls Obama’s Opposition to Short-Term Increase ‘Indefensible’

Today, Speaker John Boehner told the House GOP caucus that he is preparing a short-term bill that would raise the debt ceiling for about six months, despite Obama’s pledge to veto such a measure. On the call, Majority Leader Eric Cantor blasted Obama for opposing it. The Wall Street Journal reports:

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor indicated in his remarks during the conference call that Republicans don’t want to give President Barack Obama a debt-ceiling deal that lasts past the 2012 elections. Mr. Cantor called the president’s insistence on a deal that carries through the election purely political and indefensible.

But late last month, Cantor himself vehemently opposed a short term deal:

House Majority Leader Eric Cantor pushed back hard Tuesday against Senate Republican suggestions of a scaled-back, short-term debt deal, saying it’s “crunch time” in White House budget talks and “if we can’t make the tough decisions now, why … would [we] be making those tough decisions later.”

“I don’t see how multiple votes on a debt ceiling increase can help get us to where we want to go,” the Virginia Republican told reporters. “It is my preference that we do this thing one time. … Putting off tough decisions is not what people want in this town.

Standard and Poors, a credit rating agency, agrees that a short term deal would be bad for the nation’s credit. In a July 14 release S&P wrote “We may also lower the long-term rating and affirm the short-term rating if we conclude that future adjustments to the debt ceiling are likely to be the subject of political maneuvering.”

Yglesias

Who Commits Terrorist Attacks In Europe?

According to Europol’s 2010 data (PDF) attacks by separatist/nationalist groups far outnumber attacks by Islamists.

I think this is important since the background condition of fairly widespread terrorism on the part of, say, Basque or Corsican terrorists helps us understand the correct context for a lot of Islamist violence, namely nationalism. If you look at Hamas, or the Taliban, or Pakistan-backed radicals in and around Kashmir it should be clear that ethnic nationalism is a major factor in all of these conflicts. It’s true that because Islam is also the dominant religion in the areas in question that the groups have an Islamist ideological orientation that we should construe as sincere. But you also see violence associated with secular nationalism in Europe, with the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka. The long (and mercifully waning) conflict in Ireland has tended to break down along sectarian lines, but is normally (and correctly) seen as primarily national in character and not “about” theological disputes between Catholics, Anglicans, and Calvinists—i.e., it’s not a conflict that gets resolved by making people less devoutly religious, and it’s not mediated by compromising over liturgy.

Yglesias

New Research On Male Contraceptives

Pam Belluck rounds up the latest for the NYT:

The most studied approach in the United States uses testosterone and progestin hormones, which send the body signals to stop producing sperm. While effective and safe for most men, they have not worked for everyone, and questions about side effects remain.

So scientists are also testing other ways of interrupting sperm production, maturation or mobility.

One potential male birth control pill, gamendazole, derived from an anticancer drug, interrupts sperm maturation so “you’re making nonfunctional sperm,” said Gregory S. Kopf, associate vice chancellor for research administration at the University of Kansas Medical Center. The center has begun discussions with the Food and Drug Administration about the drug, already tested in rats and monkeys.

It seems to me that doesn’t work for everyone and questions about side effect remain characterizes existing methods of contraception for women. That’s one of the reasons why a variety of different methods have been developed. But isn’t the real issue with male contraceptives the question of trust? After all, if something goes wrong, it’s the woman who ends up pregnant and has a lot more on the line.

Yglesias

How To Move Americans Politics To The Left

Jeffrey Sachs unloads a truck full of righteous indignation on Barack Obama and the leaders of the Democratic Party. Some my find it cathartic. I find that while Sachs is a brilliant economist, his model of American politics seems flawed. In particular, the concluding thought that “America needs a third-party movement to break the hammerlock of the financial elites” is badly under-explained.

My counter-proposal, which is boring, goes like this. If you want to move US public policy to the left, what you have to do is to identify incumbent holders of political office and then defeat them on Election Day with alternative candidates who are more left-wing. I think this works pretty reliable. To my mind, the evidence is pretty clear that even the election of fairly conservative pushes policy outcomes to the left as long as the guy they’re replacing was more conservative. And if your specific concern is that the Democratic Party isn’t as left-wing as you’d like it to be, then what you need to do is identify incumbent holders of political office and then defeat them in primaries with alternative candidates who are more left-wing. It’s noteworthy that even failed efforts to do this, such as Ned Lamont’s 2006 run against Joe Lieberman and Bill Halter’s 2010 run against Blanche Lincoln led to meaningful policy shifts simply by being credible. But left-wing critics of the Democrats often seem to me to be somewhat in denial about their poor record of success with these endeavors. “If we can’t beat a Senator in Connecticut, let’s take on an incumbent president who’s substantially more liberal than Lieberman” isn’t a logical program of action. The right lesson to learn from these Senate bids is that they’re worth trying again if circumstances are right, but that even they may be too ambitious. You walk before you run. Maybe you win state legislative and House races before you win Senate elections. Research indicates that previous experience in elective office is one of the main predictors of candidate success, so perhaps it’s only through a concentrated effort to increase progressive representation in state government that a pool of talented primary challenges can be generated. Or maybe there’s a great Senate challenger right around the corner, and if so that would be well worth writing a column about.

This prescription is, I’m afraid, boring. And the solution proposed is, I’m afraid, hard work. But politics is hard work! The Republican Party has become very ideologically rigorous because the conservative movement now has a decades-long record of defeating incumbent officeholders at all levels in primaries, and then of having those winning primary candidates win a general election. This was and is an impressive achievement that required a lot of hard work over a long period of time.

Media

Fox Pundit Defends Coverage Of News Corp Scandal By Fox News And Wall Street Journal: ‘We’ve Covered This Well’

Appearing on ABC’s This Week with Christiane Amanpour, Fox Business Network Senior Correspondent Charlie Gasparino defended the Wall Street Journal and Fox News’ coverage of News Corp’s — Fox and the WSJ’s parent company — phone hacking scandal in the UK, in the following exchange:

Gasparino: It’s a story, we’ve been covering it a lot. Thank God I cover Wall Street, I don’t need to report on my boss. If you look at this from a purely business standpoint[...] when the market heard [Murdoch's] explanation they believed him. Confidence was returning back to the company. I see a lot of corporate executives go before Congress and similar panels and the flub it and they lose confidence in the market and Wall Street. And that did not happen this time.

Arianna Huffington: The coverage of Fox and The Wall Street Journal of this story has been embarassing for journalism. [...} The Wall Street Journal editorial's whitewashing what is a very serious scandal.

Gasparino: I think we've covered this well. We have straight news reporters that have covered this all day.

Fox News coverage of the News Of The World phone hacking allegations has been far less comprehensive than Gasparino suggests. Last week, Fox and Friends finally addressed their parent company's scandal, described Murdoch as having done "all the right things," and argued that the public and the media "should move on."

The Wall Street Journal's editorial board, as mentioned by Arianna Huffington in the exchange this morning, came to News Corp's defense, characterizing the call for an investigation into News Corp in the U.S. as "liberal press demand[ing] a media prosecutor.”

Economy

Coburn Bemoans FAA Shutdown, Doesn’t Mention House GOP’s Anti-Union Demands

As of midnight yesterday, the Federal Aviation Administration shut down due to Congress’ failure to reauthorize it. (Critical functions such as air traffic control will continue.) The shutdown means that up to 4,000 federal employees will be furloughed, around $2.5 billion worth of airport construction will cease, and around $200 million a week in ticket taxes will go uncollected.

Sen. Tom Coburn bemoaned the FAA shutdown on NBC’s Meet the Press this morning, saying that the shutdown occurred because of Washington’s inability to cut government spending to rural airports:

You mentioned the FAA program with [White House Chief of Staff Bill] Daley. You know what’s holding up the FAA program? Is essential air services where the American people are paying a thousand dollar a ticket subsidy to people that are riding from airports with six passengers on a plane, when they could drive an hour and a half to get an airplane and we wouldn’t be paying the thousand dollars. So continued waste and duplication in the federal government, and they won’t approve the FAA because they continue to want to subsidize irresponsible and wasteful behavior.

Watch it:

But Coburn left out a key part of the story. House Republicans, in their zeal to undercut workers’ rights wherever possible, are insisting on the inclusion of an anti-union provision in the FAA bill. The provision would make it harder for workers at airlines and railway companies to unionize by counting voters who don’t vote in union elections as having voted against the union (as if non-voters in a political election were counted as voting for one party or the other).

The cuts in subsidies to rural airports that Coburn mentioned were only added to the bill by House Transportation Committee John Mica (R-FL) in retaliation for Democrats in the Senate not bowing to the GOP’s anti-union demands. Mica admitted as much, calling the cuts “just a tool to try to motivate some action.” The real issue is that the GOP wants to legislatively strip workers of their rights, and are willing to shut down the FAA in order to do it.

Yglesias

Ideological Disagreement In Low Tax America

I think this chart from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities about how the United States is a low-tax country does a lot to explain the constant ideological angst that exists inside the progressive camp in this country. The issue is that the United States is a low tax country. In a high-tax country like Austria there’s a relatively narrow range of plausible center-left views about the size and scope of the welfare state. It’s always possible to mount a fairly radical critique of the Austrian status quo. But anyone thinking of themselves as a moderate sensible progressive is going to see a pretty narrow range of options available. “Maybe we should be more like Denmark.” And maybe we should.

The United States is different. This is a country where saying that the state ought to be as large a role in the economy as it did in pre-crisis Ireland counts as a left-wing perspective rather than a right-wing one as it did in most countries. “We ought to be around the OECD average” is an even further left position. But a lot of people look at the Netherlands or even Sweden and see economically and socially dynamic societies with many admirable features. People holding all these views find themselves in the same political coalition. And since people holding all these views are arguing for the United States to imitate actually existing pleasant places (albeit small ones) it’s possible for people holding all these views to deem themselves to be sensible, practical-minded, reformers and not at all pie in the sky radicals. But “we should be like Ireland,” “we should be like the Netherlands,” and “we should be like Sweden” are actually dramatically different policy proposals. And certainly in the Netherlands “we should be like Ireland” and “we should be like Sweden” would be correctly understood as very different agendas, whose adherents would find themselves on opposite sides of the political debate. Here in the United States, a very right-leaning status quo combined with a two party political system means that people with sharply divergent ideas are all “on the same team.”

A related point, very relevant to the ongoing debt ceiling negotiations, is that there’s substantial ambiguity around what the status quo even means going forward. The United States has the option of persisting with some very much like Medicare and Medicaid in their current forms, but doing so would require substantial changes in the level of taxation. Conversely, we have the option of persisting with a level of taxation similar to what we’ve had historically but doing so would require fundamental changes in government health care and retirement programs. Consequently, people proposing fairly dramatic changes on both the tax and health can can plausibly see themselves as defending the status quo.

Climate Progress

How Murdoch’s Times of London and Fox News Coordinate Their Deceitful Reporting on Climate Change

By David Fiderer, a lawyer who covers the energy industry for several global banks in New York.  This is an OpEdNews.com repost.

If you wondered whether Murdoch’s various news outlets operate in sync when they misrepresent the facts about climate change, consider the deceitful reporting done by Ben Webster, the Environmental Editor for The Times of London. His smears against the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were immediately amplified and embellished by Fox News in New York. Both Webster’s story and its Fox News incarnation were used to defame the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and to lend an air of legitimacy to the phony “Climate-gate” scandal that had already been debunked by scientific journals and scientific inquiries .

Today we know that one of the Murdoch employees arrested in Britain, Neil Wallis, was deeply implicated in two hacking scandals, the first pertaining to the News of the World, and the second pertaining to the invasion of computers at the University of East Anglia, the victim of the phony Climate-gate scandal touted by Fox News. So it may be worthwhile to take another look at how deceitful reporting within the Murdoch empire can spread like a virus. Look at the opening paragraphs in The Times of London story:

Read more

Economy

Mayor Bloomberg: ‘America Is Very Low-Tax Compared To Other Developed Countries’

During an interview on ABC’s This Week today, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I) said that Republican demands that a deal to raise the debt ceiling include only spending cuts and no tax increases are unrealistic. To bolster his case, he noted that America is already “very low-tax compared to other developed countries”:

It is also true, incidentally, that America is very low-tax compared to other developed countries. So nobody likes to pay taxes, everybody says ‘my taxes are too damn high,’ and they’re right, except that if we want services and the services we want — we want to protect democracy, you have to have men and women who are willing able to go overseas and able to be supplied…I pay my taxes and I get pretty good value for my taxes. I live in the greatest democracy in the world.

It’s true that America is a very low-tax country. Revenues are currently at a 60 year low, and “total revenue as a share of gross domestic product has now been under 15 percent for three straight years — the first time that has happened since before World War II.” Revenue in the U.S. is 25 percent below the OECD average, while U.S. corporations are taxed significantly less than their foreign rivals.

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