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Yglesias

FDR’s First Inaugural Address

A leader who knew better than to heed the siren’s song of austerity budgeting. Or not:

Hand in hand with this we must frankly recognize the overbalance of population in our industrial centers and, by engaging on a national scale in a redistribution, endeavor to provide a better use of the land for those best fitted for the land. The task can be helped by definite efforts to raise the values of agricultural products and with this the power to purchase the output of our cities. It can be helped by preventing realistically the tragedy of the growing loss through foreclosure of our small homes and our farms. It can be helped by insistence that the Federal, State, and local governments act forthwith on the demand that their cost be drastically reduced. It can be helped by the unifying of relief activities which today are often scattered, uneconomical, and unequal. It can be helped by national planning for and supervision of all forms of transportation and of communications and other utilities which have a definitely public character. There are many ways in which it can be helped, but it can never be helped merely by talking about it. We must act and act quickly.

The other interesting thing here is that judging by the President’s rhetoric, his expansionary monetary policy, though highly successful, was based in part on a misunderstanding. The idea espoused here is that if commodity prices were higher, commodity producers could afford to buy more industrial goods, which would decrease urban unemployment. That, however, is an issue of the real value of agricultural products which should have nothing to do with devaluing the dollar. Dollar devaluation worked, by contrast, worked to raise the nominal price of all sorts of products which boosted the economy by reducing real interest rates.

Yglesias

18th Century Fiscal Policy

From Christopher Clark’s Iron Kingdom: The Rise and Downfall of Prussia, 1600-1947, a window into the fiscal policy dilemmas of a large north German state in the early 18th century:

Waldburg focused above all on the iniquities of the existing tax system, which tended to operate to the disadvantage of the smallholding peasants. Under the traditional arrangements in the province, every landowner paid a flat rate of tax for every Hufe of land in his possession (the Hufe was one of the basic contemporary units of land; the English equivalent was ‘hide’). But since the tax-collecting agencies of the administration were still largely in the hands of the corporate nobility, the authorities tended to turn a blind eye when noble landowners understated their taxable landholdings. The returns of peasant households, by contrast, were subjected to the most pedantic scrutiny, so that not a single hide was missed. Further iniquities arose from the fact that no account was taken of the quality and yield of the land in question, so that smallholders, who tended in general to occupy the less fertile land, were subject to proportionally greater burdens than the major landowners. The problem, in Frederick William’s eyes, was not the fact of inequality as such, which was accepted as inherent in all social order, but the depression of revenues that resulted from the operation of this particular system.

At the time, tax systems throughout Europe tended to be regressive since the nature of an Estates General (or a House of Lords) was to sharply overrepresent a given area’s wealthiest residents. At the same time, public expenditures went overwhelmingly to finance either the instruments of war or else the rituals of court. Consequently, Enlightenment-era calls for low taxes and “small government” were essentially left-wing political movements. The alternative was to tax the poor in order to finance the whims of dynastic politics. Today is a very different situation. But it’s a reminder that the questions of what’s the taxes are and what the money is spent on are more important than simple questions about how high or low the tax rate is.

Climate Progress

Horn Of Africa Famine: The Perfect Storm For Food Insecurity

Our guest blogger is Laura Heaton, the writer-editor for the blog, Enough Said. Cross-posted from Daily Kos’s East Africa Food Crisis: 48 Hours of Action.

Eminent Somalia expert and political science professor Ken Menkhaus spoke to Laura Heaton of the Enough Project about what’s behind the famine sweeping East Africa and lessons that we should take away from the crisis.

HEATON: The famine in the Horn of Africa was spurred by a drought, but there are plenty of man-made triggers of the current crisis. Can you pinpoint the most responsible?

MENKHAUS: This is a part of the world that is more susceptible to extreme variations in seasonal rainfall than almost anywhere in the world. One in every five years there is an extreme drought; one in every five years there is an extreme flood. Historically, local populations have developed pretty elaborate coping mechanisms. But those coping mechanisms have been overloaded in recent decades by a wide range of factors, some environmental but also by more direct man-made problems like armed conflict – all of which have disrupted the old coping mechanisms that populations used to have. Previously, people would suffer during these years of extremes, but they would usually survive. Now that’s broken, particularly in Somalia.

So what we’ve got is the worst drought in 60 years, combined with 1.4 million Somalis internally displaced by years of warfare. As we all know, internally displaced people are always the most vulnerable because they’ve lost their livelihoods and their support system at home. And this has all been unfolding in the context of a perfect storm for food insecurity globally: We have a spike in fuel prices and food prices. A big part of the crisis in Somalia is not just that people used to be able to farm for subsistence and now can’t; there are lots of people whose purchasing power has been badly eroded. There is food on the market in much of Somalia, but people can’t afford it.

Another element of this perfect storm is the suspension of food aid to southern Somalia [the area controlled by the militant group al-Shabaab] for two years. Somalia hasn’t been self-sufficient since the early 1970s; the country is dependent on food aid from World Food Program and others. But aid delivery has been suspended in recent years for three main reasons: Insecurity – In 2008 Somalia was the most dangerous place in the world for aid workers, whether international or national. A third of all casualties worldwide occurred in Somalia, so aid groups started pulling out because they couldn’t justify the risk. Second, the U.S. government’s suspension of aid due to counterterrorism grounds; allowing aid to reach Shabaab was a violation of the Patriot Act. Third was Shabaab’s ban on most international agencies from working in the areas it controlled, accusing them of being spies and of trying to put Somali farmers out of business. We heard good news this week on a shift in U.S. policy to legally protect NGOs from being prosecuted under the Patriot Act. But that third bottleneck is still unresolved. As long as Shabaab continues blocking food aid, we’re limited in what we can do. Read more

Yglesias

Separating Grading From Teaching Without “Teaching To The Test”

One of the quirks of educational practice is that testing and teaching are typically done by the same institution and most often done by the very same person. But the main alternatives to doing it this way tend to invite the criticism that instructors will now merely “teach to the test.” Arnold Kling, in the course of outlining a larger project, offers a concrete example of an alternative method:

The practicality of “test to what you teach” as a model for independent grading has been demonstrated by the Swarthmore College Honors program. The courses are seminars, taken by juniors and seniors in their major and minor subjects. The professors who teach the courses have control over the curriculum. The college hires outside examiners who write exams, based on syllabus material supplied by the instructors. The college administers the exams, and the outside examiners grade them. In the Swarthmore program, the exams are all free-response, without any machine-graded component. They also include an oral component. For A Means A, the mix of machine-graded,, free-response, and oral examinations is yet to be determined.

That seems clever. Basically the teacher says in advance what he or she is going to try to teach, and then the exam-designer is responsible for building a test of that material and the teacher is responsible for teaching it.

Climate Progress

Must-Read Drew Westen Op-Ed Spells Out Obama’s Catastrophic Failure of Messaging

Westen:  “When faced with the greatest economic crisis, the greatest levels of economic inequality, and the greatest levels of corporate influence on politics since the Depression, Barack Obama stared into the eyes of history and chose to avert his gaze. Instead of indicting the people whose recklessness wrecked the economy, he put them in charge of it. He never explained that decision to the public — a failure in storytelling as extraordinary as the failure in judgment behind it.

The White House is just lousy at messaging across the board, as I and others have noted many times.

I am hoping my book on messaging and communications will find a publisher this year.  It explains what Obama and other progressives have done wrong — and details what the winning strategies and tactics are.

For now, the single best piece dissecting Obama’s catastrophically bad messaging is by Drew Westen in today’s NY Times, “What Happened to Obama?“  Westen is a psychology professor at Emory and author of The Political Brain: The Role of Emotion in Deciding the Fate of the Nation.

Westen is the closest thing progressives have to Frank Luntz.  I’ve long been a fan of Westen, and even more so since I was able to spend some time listening to and talking with him last year.  Before excerpting his must-read diagnosis, Westen directs us to a masterful speech from a truly great President that shows how it is done — and how shockingly little things have changed:

Powerful influences strive today to restore that kind of government with its doctrine that that Government is best which is most indifferent.

For nearly four years you have had an Administration which instead of twirling its thumbs has rolled up its sleeves. We will keep our sleeves rolled up.

We had to struggle with the old enemies of peace — business and financial monopoly, speculation, reckless banking, class antagonism, sectionalism, war profiteering.

They had begun to consider the Government of the United States as a mere appendage to their own affairs. We know now that Government by organized money is just as dangerous as Government by organized mob.

Never before in all our history have these forces been so united against one candidate as they stand today. They are unanimous in their hate for me — and I welcome their hatred.”

FDR, 1936.  Ah, they don’t make Presidents like that any more.

Here’s the key parts of Westen’s piece:

Read more

Politics

Paul Ryan Signals Willingness To Raise Revenues, Shifting Positions Following Downgrade

House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) said he is open to revenue increases as part of a deal to reduce the deficit today, seemingly shifting positions from the hardline opposition his party has maintained against revenue growth. Ryan said on Fox News Sunday that he would be open to a deal that containes $3 or $4 in spending cuts for every $1 in revenue increases if it came through a major reform of the tax code and was large enough. Host Chris Wallace asked if Ryan would be open such hypothetical deal if he were sitting on the joint super committee created by the deal to raise the debt ceiling. Ryan responded, “yes”:

WALLACE: If you were on that committee, and you get a deal — let’s say $3 or $4 dollars in spending cuts and entitlement cuts for every $1 in revenue increases, and the revenue increases came from tax reform [...] — would you be open minded to including some of that revenue as part of a debt deal?

RYAN: It all depends on the spending side of the ledger. … If we’re convincingly restructuring these entitlement programs and getting that spending line down to meet that revenue line, then can you have higher revenue growth through more economic growth and tax reform? Yes, the answer is yes.

Watch it:

This willingness to consider revenue increases appears to be a significant shift in position for Ryan and the GOP, who have previously insisted that any tax reform be “revenue neutral,” i.e. offset every dollar in revenue increases with cuts to tax rates, ensuring no extra money flows into the Treasury. “Our budget calls for revenue neutral tax reform,” Ryan said on the Laura Ingraham show last month. “You keep people’s tax rates high” if tax reform is not revenue neutral, he said. “We’re not going to raise taxes in this committee — number one,” Ryan said on Fox News host Sean Hannity’s show on Monday.

During negotiations over raising the debt ceiling, President Obama proposed several comprehensive plans that would have cut up to $4 trillion in spending for modest revenue increases. Republicans refused every one. When he abandoned negotiations on July 22, Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) said the deal presented by Obama “was going to be nothing more than a tax hike on the American people.” That deal contained $3.5 trillion in spending cuts and about $1 trillion in revenue increases — exactly the ratio Wallace proposed today — and Republicans rejected it.

Now, however, it seems Ryan would be open to such a deal. While he didn’t acknowledge shifting his position, the move comes just two days after S&P downgraded U.S. debt for first time in history, placing much of the blame at the feet of Republicans for refusing to raise revenues.

Yglesias

Education Subsidies And Activist Culture

Via Zunguzungu an interesting point that starts as a discussion of the debt ceiling deal’s reduced subsidies for graduate students but is really about the origins of protest culture:

Large debt–and the fear it creates–is a pacifying force. There was no tuition at the City University of New York when I attended one of its colleges in the 1970s, a time when tuition at many U.S. public universities was so affordable that it was easy to get a B.A. and even a graduate degree without accruing any student-loan debt. While those days are gone in the United States, public universities continue to be free in the Arab world and are either free or with very low fees in many countries throughout the world. The millions of young Iranians who risked getting shot to protest their disputed 2009 presidential election, the millions of young Egyptians who risked their lives earlier this year to eliminate Mubarak, and the millions of young Americans who demonstrated against the Vietnam War all had in common the absence of pacifying huge student-loan debt. Today in the United States, two-thirds of graduating seniors at four-year colleges have student-loan debt, including over 62 percent of public university graduates. While average undergraduate debt is close to $25,000, I increasingly talk to college graduates with closer to $100,000 in student-loan debt. During the time in one’s life when it should be easiest to resist authority because one does not yet have family responsibilities, many young people worry about the cost of bucking authority, losing their job, and being unable to pay an ever-increasing debt.

Obviously, though, neither college nor graduate school is ever “free.” The professors who teach the classes expect to get paid, as do the janitors who clean the classrooms. But higher education is usually subsidized by taxpayers, sometimes extremely subsidized. This creates a climate in which people have both the time, social capital, and sense of security necessary to engage in a lot of political activism. Reduced subsidization tends to cut that off. That said, it seems to me that it would be difficult to make the case to the country’s non-college educated majority in order to create the social and psychological conditions for left-wing political activism should be a high priority use of tax dollars. This does, however, cast the Tea Party movement in a suggestive light. The United States has moved to making students bear a much higher share of the cost of their education, but remains strongly committing to subsidizing senior citizens’ retirements. At the same time, one of the points of consensus in the fiscal policy debate is that today’s old people should be held harmless in any set of potential entitlement cuts. Is it a coincidence that so much of present-day activist energy is located in the heavily conservative senior cohort and its peculiar brand of nostalgic nationalism?

NEWS FLASH

VIDEO: Protesters Picket Gov. Rick Perry’s Prayer Rally In Houston | Yesterday at Reliant Stadium in Houston, Gov. Rick Perry hosted “The Response,” a prayer rally with evangelical pastors like John Hagee, Jim Garlow, and David Barton. Like Perry, many of the leaders of the rally have espoused a hate ideology, demonizing the LGBT community, programs for the poor, and Muslim Americans. Outside the event, a large contingent of protesters made their voices heard. Individuals from the group GetEqual, along with protesters from groups supporting the separation of church and state waved signs outside the stadium. ThinkProgress also spoke with Jeff, a local teacher demonstrating against Perry’s abismal record on K-12 education. Watch it:

Climate Progress

Donald Trump and His Hair Oppose Offshore Wind Farm, Saying It Ruins View from his Golf Course’s Despoiled Land

http://www.insidesocal.com/tomhoffarth/hair404a_677734n.jpg

Donald Trump has pledged to use “any legal means” to block the building of an offshore windfarm near his championship golf course in Aberdeenshire, claiming the development would spoil his view.

The proposed windfarm in Aberdeen Bay, about 1.5 miles from the golf resort, would install the next generation of offshore wind turbine technology.

Donald Trump, a man for whom the term ‘bad hair day’ was coined, is seeking revenge on the wind.  The UK Guardian piece — “Donald Trump pledges ‘any legal means’ fight against windfarm: US tycoon saying proposed offshire turbines will ‘compromise’ golf resort – and ruin his sea view” — uses a classic dry British with to expose Trump’s hypocrisy, starting with its photo and caption:

Read more

NEWS FLASH

Sen. John Kerry: This Is The ‘Tea Party Downgrade’ | Appearing on Meet the Press today, Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) slammed Republicans’ and the Tea Party’s intransigence and hostage taking on negotiating over the debt, calling S&P’s downgrade of U.S. debt the “Tea Party downgrade”:

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Indeed, S&P said it made the move in part because Republicans took the debt ceiling hostage and refused to consider raising taxes.

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