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NEWS FLASH

Iran Sentences American Hikers To 8 Years | Two Americans known for being the hikers imprisoned in Iran were reportedly sentenced by a court there to 8 years in prison. Joshua Fattal and Shane Bauer, both 29, said they were merely hiking in Iraq near the Iranian border when they were arrested two years ago by the Islamic Republic and accused of espionage for the U.S. Today, despite hints they might be released, they received three years apiece for illegally entering the country and five apiece for spying. No public evidence has been presented in the case. They have 20 days to appeal the verdict.

Politics

Koch Responds To Buffett: ‘My Business And Non-Profit Investments Are Much More Beneficial To Society’

America’s current tax system forces people making $50,000 a year to pay a higher rate than hedge fund managers making $2.4 million an hour. Warren Buffett penned an op-ed last week declaring that America’s super-rich have been “coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress.” Lamenting the numerous tax loopholes and special breaks afforded to billionaire investors, Buffett noted that in his entire career, even when capital gains rates were as high as 39.9 percent, he never saw anyone “shy away from a sensible investment because of the tax rate on the potential gain.”

Charles Koch, head of the massive petrochemical, manufacturing, and commodity speculating Koch Industries corporation, has responded to Warren’s call for shared sacrifice: “No Thanks.” In a statement to right-wing media, Koch states:

Much of what the government spends money on does more harm than good; this is particularly true over the past several years with the massive uncontrolled increase in government spending. I believe my business and non-profit investments are much more beneficial to societal well-being than sending more money to Washington.

Koch’s “non-profit investments” include the group founded by his brother David, “Americans for Prosperity” (formerly known as Citizens for a Sound Economy). As ThinkProgress first reported, AFP was one the first and most well-resourced drivers of the anti-Obama so-called “Tea Party” movement. Koch-funded Tea Party events have featured speakers comparing health reform to the Holocaust, and in some cases have sponsored rallies with leaders of the “birther” conspiracy theory.

Among the Koch brothers’ other non-profit investments include far-right conservative think tanks dedicated to cheerleading the war in Iraq, spreading anti-science propaganda, and smears claiming that the poor do not really suffer. Koch has given money to educational initiatives, but in exchange for control over academic freedom that simply furthered Koch’s political beliefs. These “investments” at best advance Koch’s political ideology and at worst misinform American voters. Either way, they are hardly a replacement for “government spend[ing]” on things like food assistance and basic medical service.

According to Forbes, the Koch brothers have seen their wealth rise $11 billion in recent years, making the Koch brother among the richest in the country by being worth around $22.5 billion each. Much of those profits, however, are due to soaring gas prices and the fact Koch Industries has avoided compensating the public for one hundred million tons of carbon pollution the company produces each year. Other Koch companies also receive significant taxpayer subsidies, despite Koch’s supposed opposition to government spending. This company is among the country’s top sources of carcinogenic chemicals and air pollutants.

America has been good to Charles Koch, providing an environment where his family has made billions. But Koch doesn’t want to give back, especially through more taxation. His charitable foundation, which gives largely to right-wing organizations that support his politics and Koch Industries’ business interests, still only donates about $12 million a year — 0.05 percent of Koch’s net worth. If higher rates were imposed on the super-rich, would Koch retreat to the family’s fabulous mansions, like this one in the Hamptons, aboard its fleet of private jets in a John Galt-inspired temper tantrum? Or would they act like any respectable businessman, and continue to make a profit without complaining?

Climate Progress

Karl Rove Predicts Sarah Palin Will Run for President

Karl Rove aka Bush’s Brain predicted this morning on Fox News that Sarah Palin “gets in” to the presidential race next month (h/t TP):

One can never really figure out Rove’s machinations since he helped ruin the country and his own party as President Bush’s consigliere. He and the Bush mob don’t like Rick “Four Pinocchios” Perry — even though Rove  helped make Perry possible, as HuffPost has noted.

Certainly Obama looks beatable with his plummeting popularity and lame messaging, which is no doubt why Perry got it.  But if Palin were smart — yes, I know — why would she get in now, rather than a month ago, which might have forestalled Perry — or even earlier, to forestall  Michele Bachmann?  Her entry now means a three-way split for the tea party vote and would probably make Mitt Romney the happiest of all.

As for Palin herself, she makes Perry seem like Lincoln (see Palin blames ‘Gore-gate’ for “this snake oil science stuff”).  During the 2008 presidential campaign, the Washington Post itself gave her its highest (which is to say lowest) rating of “Four Pinocchios” for continuing to “to peddle bogus [energy] statistics three days after the original error was pointed out by independent fact-checkers.”

There aren’t enough Pinocchios in a children’s library for this crop of GOP presidential candidates.

Yglesias

The Best Of Times

One the oddities about the current economic doldrums afflicting the developed world is that if you look at the global average, this is almost certainly the best time to be alive in human history. Not only have we seen rapid per capita GDP growth in many poor countries, but even in countries that haven’t gotten richer major development progress has occurred. Last, but by no means least, the world is getting much less violent:

In fact, the last decade has seen fewer war deaths than any decade in the past 100 years, based on data compiled by researchers Bethany Lacina and Nils Petter Gleditsch of the Peace Research Institute Oslo. Worldwide, deaths caused directly by war-related violence in the new century have averaged about 55,000 per year, just over half of what they were in the 1990s (100,000 a year), a third of what they were during the Cold War (180,000 a year from 1950 to 1989), and a hundredth of what they were in World War II. If you factor in the growing global population, which has nearly quadrupled in the last century, the decrease is even sharper. Far from being an age of killer anarchy, the 20 years since the Cold War ended have been an era of rapid progress toward peace.

This is major good news.

Yglesias

Texas and Revealed Preferences

A note on Texas’ population-driven jobs boom. A few people came up to me after the Cato event on Thursday night and said something like, you may be right but doesn’t the population boom show that people are voting with their feet for Texas-style public policy? Alternatively, Brad DeLong says it’s just about weather and has nothing to do with public policy.

I think both of those views are wrong. You can’t talk about revealed preferences without looking at prices. Notwithstanding the real estate crash, someone who bought a building in Williamsburg or Central Square or Logan Circle ten or fifteen years ago has done very well for himself. This would not be a million dollar house in Houston. In Brooklyn and Cambridge and DC we have “gentrification.” In Dallas they have population growth. There’s little net population increase in coastal states because THE RENT IS TOO DAMN HIGH (book forthcoming).

NEWS FLASH

Karl Rove: Sarah Palin will run for President | This morning on Fox & Friends, Karl Rove predicted that Sarah Palin will enter the Republican presidential campaign. Rove said her schedule next week “like that of a candidate” and predicted she “gets in” after visiting Iowa on September 3. Watch it:

Yglesias

Why Is Abortion Legal?

For the endless presidential power debate, I wonder how it is people think that abortion is still legal in the United States of America. Is its availability severely curtailed? Sure. Has the core holding of Roe v. Wade been substantially eroded? Obviously. Has illegal terrorist violence reduced the practical availability of abortions beyond what’s been done through the political process? Clearly. But still, we have over 800,000 abortions per year in the United States and we have over 200 abortions per 1,000 live births, each and every one of them legal.

That’s despite Ronald Reagan and the big GOP gains in the 1980 election. It’s despite twelve years of Republican control of the White House. It’s despite taking the majority in Congress in 1994, despite eight years of George W Bush, despite Tom DeLay, despite a wide range of Supreme Court appointments, etc. It’s possible to argue that all this talk of banning abortion has been bad-faith. But it seems quite clear to me from the sheer variety of abortion restrictions that are promulgated every time conservatives make gains in state legislatures, that political opposition to legal abortion is quite sincere.

My working hypothesis is that we have hundreds of thousands of legal abortions every year in the United States because major policy shifts are difficult to undertake. Sometimes your initiatives are foiled by determined opponents (Robert Bork) or something weird happens (Texas sends a pro-choice Republican woman to the Senate) or you miscalculate (David Souter). You run into agenda crowding issues. You didn’t do something as modest as defunding Planned Parenthood in 2003 when you had the chance because you were working on other priorities.

Climate Progress

Washington Post Labels Global Warming a ‘Wedge Issue’ — But Doesn’t Seem to Know What That Term Means

The second lead story in today’s Washington post is a so-so piece on climate science merged with a very confused political analysis.

Contrary to the sub-head, for instance, the scientific consensus — or, more accurately, the scientific understanding — around climate change and its threat to humanity has strengthened considerably in the last few years (see links below).

But it is the use of the term “wedge issue,” which the article never defines, that is the source of the political mischief.  For the record, “A wedge issue is a social or political issue, often of a divisive or otherwise controversial nature, which splits apart or creates a ‘wedge’ in the support base of one political group.”

Where there is confusion on climate change and politics, Roger Pielke, Jr., is often found.  The article quotes him as the sole source on the “wedge issue” claim:

“Climate change has become a wedge issue,” said Roger Pielke Jr., a University of Colorado professor who has written extensively on the climate debate. “It’s today’s flag-burning or today’s partial-birth-abortion issue.”

Pielke cites two well-known wedge issues that split Democrats, issues that Republicans have used to their advantage to drive a wedge between liberal Democrats and more moderate or conservative ones (as well as independents)

But the article actually makes the case that climate change is an issue splitting Republicans, and thus — intentionally or otherwise — it makes the case that global warming potentially can be used to the advantage of progressives.

That isn’t typically the view of Pielke and his fellow “climate pragmatists,” who argue that the best way climate activists and others can achieve mitigation and adaptation policies is to downplay climate change or stop talking about it entirely.  Of course, there is no evidence for this view whatsoever and much evidence to the contrary (see “Can you solve global warming without talking about global warming?” and “The GOP War Against Climate Adaptation“).

That said, the article actually seems to treat the term “wedge issue” as if it just means  “divisive issue” or “controversial issue.”  Let’s look at the story:

Read more

Yglesias

Has Japan Gone The Way Of Japan?

Something I’ve sporadically wondered about since the US fell into its funk and people started wondering if we would go the way of Japan is whether Japan has actually gone the way of Japan. Like consider the unemployment rate:

That’s not so bad. I sometimes think Japan may just be Texas in reverse. The Texas economy is growing sharply because people are moving there, which seems to have confused Richard Fisher into not noticing that it’s in the same severe recession as the rest of the United States. Japan’s labor force is shrinking because of low birthrates, very high life expectancy, and an unusually severe case of aversion to immigrants. Japan also clearly did have a very real recession in the 1990s after the stock market crash. But at first blush it doesn’t seem obvious that present-day Japan actually does have large quantities of idle resources. Japanese firms seem to have coordinated around expectations of sluggish growth and investment, but why wouldn’t growth be sluggish if the workforce is shrinking?

NEWS FLASH

Keystone XL Tar Sands Action: Day One | Today, one hundred people from across the country are expected to be arrested at the White House for taking part in a sit-in to pressure President Obama to deny the permit for the Keystone XL tar sands pipeline. Those planning to be arrested include leading environmentalist Bill McKibben, former White House official and Yale dean Gus Speth, and gay rights activist Lt. Dan Choi. Over 2,000 more people are expected to take part in similar sit-ins at the White House every day for the next two weeks. “Better to spend a few days in jail than silently watch our planet become a permanent gas chamber,” tweeted Lt. Choi.

Update

From the Tar Sands Action Flickr stream, the activists sit in front of the White House, challenging President Obama to stand up to oil interests (photo by Shadia Fayne Wood):

Update

The arrest of Bill McKibben, founder of 350.org and friend to ThinkProgress Green:

Update

The people arrested this morning were taken to District 5 Station of the U.S. Park Police in Anacostia for booking. The determination was made that participants would be held until Monday, with the exception of 9-15 DC area residents who will be released this evening.

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