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Climate Progress

State Climatologist: “It’s Likely Much of Texas Will Still Be in Severe Drought” Next August, With Worse Water Shortages

Even The PBS Newshour’s Coverage is “Climate” Free

Sign seen in Austin, TX.

The U.S. Drought Monitor puts it another way [click on map for detail].  Over 80% of the state is now rated under “Exceptional Drought” (darkest red):

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-aC9RmkK9NxU/Tl-yhoSI5sI/AAAAAAAACZw/ee0n1OYykVc/s400/drought.tx.090111.JPG

Texas State Climatologist John Nielsen-Gammon has a number of charts that provide some historical quantification and comparison.  In his Monday post, “Texas Drought: Spot the Outlier,” N-G offers “a plot of Texas average summer (June-August) temperature versus Texas summer precipitation” as far back as records go (1895):

Nielsen-Gammon explains, “Can you spot the outlier?  The year 2011 continues the recent trend of being much warmer than the historical precipitation-temperature relationship would indicate, although with no previous points so dry it’s hard to say exactly what history would say about a summer such as this one.  Except that this summer is way beyond the previous envelope of summer temperature and precipitation.

Human-caused climate change is starting to take us outside the bounds of the recorded weather extremes.  And the Texas State Climatologist warned it is likely to get worse:

I’ve started telling anyone who’s interested that it’s likely that much of Texas will still be in severe drought this time next summer, with water supply implications even worse than those we are now experiencing.

The link to climate change is clear — record-smashing heat makes any drought more devastating — even if major media outlets, including PBS’s News Hour, choose to ignore it.

Texas climatologist Katherine Hayhoe put it this way in an email:

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Security

Top Ten Right-Wing Responses To CAP’s Islamophobia Report: ‘Cowards,’ ‘Straight Out of Mein Kampf,’ ‘A Pile Of Dung’

Frank Gaffney and Pamela Geller

The Center for American Progress’s new report, “Fear, Inc.: The Roots of the Islamophobia Network in America” is receiving a positive welcome from neutral observers as journalists and pundits pore over the 139-page exposé on the U.S. Islamophobia network.

The report’s authors have appeared on CNN.com, Al Jazeera English, Current TV, Guardian.co.uk and numerous radio interviews. Print media outlet such as The Jewish Daily Forward, The Atlantic, Salon.com, The Washington Post and The Nation have all run articles discussing the report’s findings.

Unfortunately, that accuracy and thorougness has proven a challenge for many of the Islamophobes mentioned in the report. With no serious factual errors with which to attack the authors, they’ve fallen back on attacking straw men and offering vitriolic, if at times colorful, ad hominem attacks.

Here’s the top ten list of right-wing responses to “Fear, Inc.” Read more

Climate Progress

McKibben: Pipeline Decision Tells Us “Whether It Would’ve Made Much Difference If We’d Elected Hillary Instead.”

http://www.treehugger.com/20090626-hillary-clinton-tar-sands-cartoon.jpg

I went down to the site of the Keystone XL Tar Sands Pipeline protest today with Bill McKibben.  No, I didn’t go to get arrested — though over 100 people did — just to cover the event.  The energy of the crowd was amazing, so to speak.

Oscar-nominated director Josh Fox (Gasland) was there, and  I will post a video of his remarks tomorrow.  McKibben invites all Climate Progress readers to the big final rally in DC at the White House this Saturday.

I interviewed McKibben on the pipeline and among my questions was one about the role of Hillary Clinton.  I did not raise the counterfactual question — which has become popular among some liberals, though not Salon’s Joan Walsh — but McKibben did.

I’ll have more to say on it below the jump, but first here’s the video of the full interview:

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Justice

After Blocking A Judicial Nominee To Arizona District Court, McCain Falsely Claims The Nomination Was Never Made

District Court nominee Rosemary Marquez

Last week, ThinkProgress reported that Arizona’s two Republican senators, John McCain and Jon Kyl, are obstructing judicial nominees for their own state, which happens to be one of the most overloaded court system in America. Ian Millhiser wrote how McCain is holding up Rosemary Marquez, a defense attorney nominated by President Obama for the District Court of Arizona. Now, McCain is offering a demonstrably false explanation of why Marquez’ nomination is not moving forward:

When asked about attorney Rosemary Marquez’s appointment, he said her name hadn’t been submitted yet to the U.S. Judiciary Committee.

We have not seen it submitted by the administration so neither Jon Kyl and I are blocking it. If her name is submitted we will go through the process which is our constitutional responsibility,” said Senator John McCain.

In reality, Marquez’s nomination was submitted to the Judiciary Committee three months ago on June 23, 2011. As the local Fox affiliate notes, Judiciary Committee staff confirmed the nomination with reporters in Arizona, and even provided Marquez’s nominee number (PN724112).

The massacre this year, in which Chief Judge John Roll was murdered in the same shooting that targeted Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-AZ), left the district court with three vacancies. The Judicial Conference of the United States believes that eight additional judges are required to keep up with the court’s exploding caseload, where felony case filings alone nearly doubled from 3,023 in 2008 to 5,219 in 2010.

Why is McCain offering false explanations for why Marquez’ nomination is not moving forward? Its not clear. However, McCain has a long history of exploiting the broken rules of the Senate to in ways that benefit his corporate benefactors. In 2009, he worked with corporate lobbyists at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to block a key nominee to the Labor Relations Board. Chamber board members donated nearly $400,000 to his presidential campaign in 2008, and he received renewed Chamber support shortly after he placed a hold on this nomination.

Health

After Aggressive Lobbying From Health Insurance Industry, Premium Rate Regulation Bill Is Dropped In California

The California Health Plans coalition, representing the health insurance industry, led over 100 opponents of the rate review bill

In California, Democrats in the legislature proposed a bill to add greater oversight over the health insurance industry. The rate regulation bill, proposed by Assemblyman Mike Feuer (D-Los Angeles), would have allowed the Insurance Commissioner to review rate hikes proposed by insurers, and block hikes if they are without justification.

The bill, which mirrors similar policies for the auto insurance industry and health rate review laws in other states, died a sudden death yesterday as health care industry lobbying intensified:

Groups representing insurers, hospitals and doctors lobbied against the bill, saying the regulations would add bureaucracy and do nothing to address high and fast-rising medical costs that help drive rate increases. Ultimately, they argued, rate regulation could reduce access to care.

As ThinkProgress reported back in June, health insurers mobilized opposition through a number of third party groups funded by health insurers and other health care industry businesses. For instance, the California Chamber of Commerce slated Feurer’s bill, AB 52, as a “Job Killer,” but obscured the fact that Kaiser Health Plans, UnitedHealthcare of Southern California, and Anthem Blue Cross of California are major donors to the Chamber’s political coffers.

Although Feurer’s bill is dead for now, the fight has not yet ended. Next year, advocates will push again for the bill, which passed the Assembly earlier this year and died due to obstruction in the Senate.

Rate regulation might also see momentum in the form a ballot initiative drafted by California Watchdog for the polls next year. According to reports, California Watchdog’s rate review initiative would not only include elements of Feuer’s bill, but also require a 20 percent rollback of existing rates. “We’re preparing an initiative to be ready to go on health insurance reform if we’re not able to get satisfactory results in the Legislature,” said Doug Heller, executive director of the group.

Economy

Five GOP Presidential Candidates Have Proposed Eliminating Capital Gains Tax, A $1 Trillion Giveaway To The Rich

Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) and former Gov. Jon Huntsman (R-UT)

Yesterday, 2012 GOP presidential long-shot Jon Huntsman unveiled an economic plan that, in addition to including standard conservative tropes about repealing the Affordable Care Act and the Dodd-Frank financial reform law, would eliminate the capital gains tax entirely. This proposal came just a week after Huntsman hinted that he may be open to raising the capital gains tax, which currently stands at 15 percent.

But Huntsman is far from alone in the GOP primary in proposing full elimination of the capital gains tax. In fact, five GOP presidential candidates have proposed the very same thing:

At least five Republican presidential candidates support eliminating taxes on capital gains, proposing even deeper cuts than former President George W. Bush endorsed and standing in contrast to advocates of higher investment tax rates such as Warren Buffett.

According to published reports or their websites, Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former pizza executive Herman Cain and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich have said they back getting rid of the capital gains tax, which now has a top rate of 15 percent for most assets held for more than a year.

Republicans have proven time and again that they really love tax cuts for the wealthy, but completely eliminating the capital gains tax is nothing but a pure handout to the ultra-rich. At the moment, the richest 0.1 percent of Americans pay 44 percent of the capital gains tax, and 68.3 percent of the tax is paid by the richest 1 percent. The bottom 95 percent of Americans pay just 10 percent of capitals gains taxes.

But the tax still brings in a substantial amount of revenue. Complete repeal, using data from the Congressional Budget Office, would cost about $1 trillion over 10 years. [See methodology below.]

As billionaire investor Warren Buffett wrote in an op-ed, “I have worked with investors for 60 years and I have yet to see anyone — not even when capital gains rates were 39.9 percent in 1976-77 — shy away from a sensible investment because of the tax rate on the potential gain. People invest to make money, and potential taxes have never scared them off.” Indeed, the conservative claim that lower capital gains rates leads to increased investment and job creations doesn’t hold up to scrutiny. Perhaps that’s why conservative icon Ronald Reagan actually equalized the capital gains rate with the regular income rate, a fact that conservatives tend to forget.

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Climate Progress

Will the GOP Celebrate the Solyndra Bankruptcy to Attack Clean Energy, or Will We Learn Some Valuable Lessons?

The U.S. solar industry had $1.8 billion in net exports last year.  But it faces daunting challenges from both Chinese competitors and GOP budget cutters.  Not every U.S. company will survive global industry consolidation.  But the PV segment as a whole has seen more than 10% annual job growth since 2003 and is certain to continue being a big job creator — if the U.S. government doesn’t let the playing field tilt to foreign companies.

The news broke yesterday that solar manufacturer Solyndra was filing for bankruptcy.  The thin-film producer closed its California-based manufacturing facility and laid off 1,100 workers.

One more business going bankrupt in these tough times wouldn’t normally make big news and draw GOP cheers.  Solyndra, though, had received a $535 million loan guarantee from the federal government to manufacture a unique cylindrical solar module that reduced installation time, increased efficiencies, and didn’t use the most expensive material in conventional solar modules, silicon.

GTM Research Senior Solar Analyst Shyam Mehta made an accurate (if somewhat understated) observation about the coming blowback:

Unfortunately, most coverage of today’s news is likely to gloss over the market’s subtleties and conclude that supporting domestic solar manufacturing is a waste of taxpayer money. Thus, the image of the U.S. solar industry is likely to be affected negatively in the minds of both policymakers and the general public in this post-Solyndra world.

The fact is that with a glut of solar panels on the market today, depressed silicon prices, and the Chinese government lavishing huge amounts of subsidies on domestic manufacturers — 30 times the amount of loans as the U.S. in 2010 — Solyndra’s cost structure simply couldn’t compete in an increasingly-commoditized market. In a statement yesterday, the company cited “global economic conditions” as the main reason for the shutdown.

Conservatives are dancing all over Solyndra’s grave, trying to turn it into a referendum on renewable energy and green jobs.  But the U.S. invented the modern solar cell half a century ago, and the route to sustainable wealth can’t possibly be one where we invent technologies and other countries manufacture them.

No, rather than a referendum, this should be is a chance to learn the lesson of how the US can compete in one of the fastest job-creating sectors in the world.

Read more

Security

Leaked U.N. Report: Israeli Raid On Gaza Flotilla Boat ‘Excessive And Unreasonable’

Israeli Commandos Board A Flotilla Ship

A U.N. report about the Israeli naval commando raid on a Turkish boat in the 2010 Gaza Freedom Flotilla said the manner in which Israelis boarded the boat was “excessive and unreasonable,” according to a leaked copy posted online by the New York Times. The report, which was to be released Friday, was authored by former New Zealand Prime Minister Sir Geoffrey Palmer and an assembled panel that included Israelis and Turks to examine the incident where eight Turks and one American were killed by Israeli forces.

While the report affirmed the legitimacy of Israel’s blockade of the Gaza Strip for security reasons, the authors called the loss of life resulting from Israel’s raid “unacceptable.” The report called on Israel to express “regret” — something Israeli officials have already rejected — and pay compensation to the families of victims.

The panel also placed some blame on the flotilla organizers. The report admonished flotilla participants for acting “recklessly” in their attempt to break the blockade of Gaza and questioned the motives of a Turkish Islamic NGO that spearheaded the effort, though it acknowledged that the “majority of the flotilla participants had no violent intentions.”

One of the victims of the raid, Furkan Doğan, was an American citizen of Turkish descent who lived in Turkey. The report described the circumstances of his death and its immediate aftermath:

Furkan Doğan received five gunshot wounds in the back of his head, nose, left leg, left ankle and in the back, all from close range. A citizen of the United States, Mr. Doğan was a 19-year-old high school student with ambitions of becoming a medical doctor. Mr. Doğan’s motionless, wounded body was kicked and shot upon, execution-style by two Israeli soldiers.

In a different section, the report goes on:

At least one of those killed, Furkan Doğan, was shot at extremely close range. Mr. Doğan sustained wounds to the face, back of the skull, back and left leg. That suggests he may already have been lying wounded when the fatal shot was delivered, as suggested by witness accounts to that effect.

No evidence has been provided to establish that any of the deceased were armed with lethal weapons.

The panel found those facts to be “of particular concern,” and expressed consternation that Israel did not provide any information about the specific killings beyond decrying the “chaotic” atmosphere. The report did acknowledge that once the Israeli commandos boarded the Turkish boat, the Mavi Marmara, they were compelled to use force because of resistance from flotilla participants.

The raid on the boat soured relations between Turkey and Israel, formerly strong Middle East allies. Both have close security relationships with the U.S. With Israel’s refusal to accept recommendations of the report, a thaw in relations in the near term seems unlikely.

Update

Tablet’s Marc Tracy points out on Twitter that Israel says it is willing to express regret. According to today’s New York Times, talks over an Israeli apology to Turkey “ended in failure with Israel saying it is willing to express regret and pay compensation but not offer the full apology Turkey is demanding.”

Yglesias

Is The Great Recession Forcing Graduates Of Elite Colleges Into A Desperate Life Of Rockstardom?

As we saw yesterday, the recession’s bite has been broad, including on the earnings of recent college graduates. But this seems to be going a bit far:

Likewise, Amy Klein, who graduated from Harvard in 2007 with a degree in English literature, couldn’t find a job in publishing. At one point, she had applied for an editorial-assistant job at Gourmet magazine. Less than two weeks later, Condé Nast shut down that 68- year-old magazine. “So much for that job application,” said Ms. Klein, now 26.

One night she bumped into a friend, who asked her to join a punk rock band, Titus Andronicus, as a guitarist. Once, that might have been considered professional suicide. But weighed against a dreary day job, music suddenly held considerable appeal. So last spring, she sublet her room in the Fort Greene section of Brooklyn and toured the country in an old Chevy minivan.

“I’m fulfilling my artistic goals,” Ms. Klein said.

Meet the members of what might be called Generation Limbo: highly educated 20-somethings, whose careers are stuck in neutral, coping with dead-end jobs and listless prospects.

Amy Klein’s not “stick in neutral” or “coping” with a dead-end job and “listless prospects.” She’s a rock star! I promise. Everybody loves her band. She tweets things like “Just sang rebel girl with titus andronicus at a positive force show in d.c. I can now die happy.” If this was a typical story of life in America in 2011, America in 2011 would be an awesome place. The real story of Amy Klein is that America is a large country so even when things are bad on average, plenty of individual people are still enjoying success and upward mobility.

Alyssa

Me, On Vacation

I’m taking off now for a mini-vacation — there will be a few posts tomorrow and weekend TV recaps will be back up and running on Tuesday, and my responses to email may be a little pokey. In my absence, be excellent to each other in comments, have a great Labor Day weekend.

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