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Yglesias

Another Depression Chart

Eric Rauchway sent me another chart that helps illustrate the issue of the puzzling Cole/Ohanian theory that there was no demand-driven recovery from the Great Depression:

According to Cole and Ohanian, demand-driven changes in output can be distinguished from productivity-driven ones, because they’re manifested by changes in hours worked. On this chart, it becomes very difficult to miss the Depression-era collapse in the demand for workers, and recovery of demand during the mid-30s and during World War II. You also see that there was a long-term structural transition to more leisure, but that the line tends to squiggle around with the business cycle. But the Depression is no squiggle. It’s there plain as day, as is the recovery.

Security

Swedish Terrorist Suspects Were Reportedly Influenced By Anders Breivik

Anders Behring Breivik

Two Swedish men arrested for the attempted murder of two South Asian men reportedly gained inspiration for their attacks from Norwegian terrorist Anders Behring Brevik.

The Local — a Swedish English language news website — reports that four days after Breivik’s attacks in Oslo and Utøya, a South Asian man sleeping on a bench in Västerås, a city in central Sweden, was attacked and seriously injured. In a second attack, two days later, a Sri Lankan man was stabbed while delivering newspapers.

Police reports obtained by the Dagens Nyheter daily and translated by the Local, say that one of the defendants sent the other attacker the following text message shortly after Breivik’s massacre on July 22:

A Norwegian ‘Nazi’ has killed like, around 84! From the left who, like, cheered on Islam. HAHAHA!! WHITE POWER!

The accused attacker reportedly screamed “Go home” and drew a swastika on the Sri Lankan man’s bag after stabbing him.

While the two suspects may have been motivated by a broader white supremacist ideology, Breivik appears to have served as an inspiration for them in their decision to attack South Asians. The text message indicates that they shared the same anger with left wing politics, and its supposed embrace of Muslim immigrants.

Both Sweden and Norway have growing white supremacist movements, but U.S. Islamophobes and European white supremacists appear to have found common ground in stoking fears about Muslim immigration into Europe. Indeed, Anders Breivik cited U.S. “counterjihad” bloggers, such as Robert Spencer and Pamela Geller, numerous times in his manifesto.

While European white supremacists have been implicated in hate crimes against numerous ethnic and religious minorities, the growing uptick in European Islamophobia is shedding new light on the overlapping ideologies of anti-Muslim advocates and white supremacists.

For more information on Breivik and his manifesto’s references to American Islamophobes, see the Guardian’s visualization of his citations and the Center for American Progress’ new report, Fear Inc.

Alyssa

Roman Polanski’s Apology

I suppose it’s nice that Roman Polanski is expressing contrition for raping Samantha Geimer in his new documentary memoir. But I think that declaring her “a double victim: my victim and a victim of the press,” is perhaps not quite as effective as it could have been. The press doesn’t get involved unless Roman Polanski gives a 13-year-old drugs and alcohol and rapes her. In any case, it’s important to recognize that the reason Polanski can’t come back to the United States and has to circumscribe his travel is not solely because something happened between him and his victim: it’s because something happened between Polanski and the state. Our rule of law does not—and shouldn’t—depend on individual offenders and individual victims making peace. It’s good for her to get some matter of personal peace. But it’s not enough for the rest of us.

Yglesias

L’Shanah Tovah Tikatevu

Happy New Year:

I’ll be in California for the next couple of days, but there should still be posts.

Justice

Stony Brook University Student Is Being Deported Despite Being In America Since She Was 20 Months Old

Over at Reason’s Hit & Run blog, Mike Riggs writes of an immigration case that is indicative of the broken nature of the nation’s immigration system. Nadia Habib is a junior psychology major and an honor student who is attending Stony Brook University in New York. Her father has a green card and has been living in the United States for 20 years, and all three of her siblings are American citizens.

Yet despite living in the United States since she was brought here by her mother when she was 20 months old, she is expected to be deported back to Bangladesh alongside her mom tomorrow. “I feel like I’m just going to be in a room depressed. I don’t know anybody there. I don’t speak the language,” Habib told a local news station.

Her planned deportation comes at a time when the Obama administration has made repeated promises to focus its deportation on immigrants who’ve committed crimes while in the U.S. “Although Obama has promised not to be going after non-criminal cases, he’s going after Nadia and her mom,” noted Hunter College student Sonia Guinansaca, who works with the New York State Youth Leadership Council and is fighting Habib’s deportation. Local students have launched campaigns on Facebook in her support and Sen. Kristen Gillibrand (D-NY) has spoken up against her deportation as well. Both Habib and her mother are expected to be deported at 11 a.m. tomorrow.

NEWS FLASH

Allen West Attacks Wasserman Schultz Again: ‘I Need A Bucket’ | Tea Party Rep. Allen West (R-FL) faced serious criticism from Democrats and Republicans alike in July when he viciously attacked fellow Florida representative and Democratic National Committee Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-FL). In a disparaging email, he called her “vile, unprofessional, and despicable” and “not a lady,” then refused to apologize (even though he falsely claimed at one point that he had). West also tried to blame his sexist conduct on his military background. But it’s obvious from a radio interview today that West’s opinion of Wasserman Schultz hasn’t changed, nor have his insulting comments. While playing a game of “free association,” during which West would give the first word or phrase that came to mind when radio host Michael Berry said a person’s name, West said “I need a bucket” to describe Wasserman Schultz. He went on to give a lengthy defense of his hateful comments, saying, “I stand by what I said.” Watch it:

Economy

Will Ford Refuse To Share Profits With Its Workers After Paying Its CEO $26 Million?

The United Auto Workers and General Motors are close to finalizing a new contract, following the first contract negotiations to take place between the two since GM was rescued by the Obama administration. But the UAW is still working on a deal with Ford, the only one of Detroit’s big three companies to turn down government aid.

Ford has had nine profitable quarters in a row, and paid its CEO, Alan Mulally, $26.5 million last year. But at the same time, it is fighting against giving its factory workers their fair share of the profits from the company’s success:

At The Rouge, Ford’s massive, 94-year-old factory complex in Dearborn, Mich., there’s talk along the assembly lines of winning back raises and bonuses lost when the company was near financial collapse in 2007. Workers, who assemble F-150 pickup trucks at the site, are upset that Ford is trying to cut labor costs, especially after nine straight profitable quarters and a $26.5 million pay package for CEO Alan Mulally.

When the company was going to fail, the workers “gave up cost-of-living pay raises, performance bonuses and other benefits.” Last year, Ford reinstated merit pay and some bonuses to the company’s salaried, white-collar workers, but has yet to do so for its hourly-wage factory workers.

“We have the big honchos taking multimillion-dollar bonuses and they can’t even give us back” concessions, said Joe Pack, 50, who works at Michigan Assembly in Wayne, Michigan. “Ford has to do a lot more,” agreed Gary Walkowicz, who works at Ford’s Dearborn, Michigan plant.

In 2010, CEO pay across the corporate world went up 27 percent, while worker pay went up just 2 percent. Ford’s continued profitability would not have been possible without its workforce, and the company should be sure to recognize that fact during contract negotiations.

NEWS FLASH

News Corp Wants To Market To LGBT Community And Bash It Too | Equality Matters’ Carlos Maza offers a thorough report on what he identifies as News Corp’s “two-faced approach to dealing with the LGBT people – using Fox News to smear and attack them while simultaneously profiting off of appearing LGBT-friendly.” For instance, while Fox News devotes minimal coverage to issues like same-sex marriage, News Corp hopes to profit off marriage equality through a publication called Wedding Pride. Read the full report for more examples of the internal consistency and the company’s “broader strategy when dealing with issues typically scorned by right-wing conservatives.”

Security

Romney: U.S. Should ‘Reconsider Our Relationship’ With Countries That Support Palestinian U.N. Bid

Yesterday on his radio show, right-wing host Jordan Sekulow asked Mitt Romney how he would have handled the Palestinian bid for United Nations statehood recognition if he was president. Romney of course immediately jumped into to the standard, tired, old hat right-wing Obama-hates-Israel talking points but then he said something rather peculiar. Romney said the United States should reconsider its relationships with countries that vote in support of the Palestinian bid:

ROMNEY: Putting aside what’s already happened, at this stage the president should make it very clear that we stand with Israel, that this is very important to the United States of America and that any nation that votes against Israel and against the United States in the vote in the United Nations will recognize that America will very carefully reconsider our relationship with that nation.

I think that people who vote against us in significant ways have to understand that there are consequenses of that and we will see them in a different light and our support for the Palestinian people will be adjusted if they continue to pursue this desire to have a separate vote and to be established as having a quasi-state status within the U.N. This is something which will end our support in foreign aid to the Palestinian effort. It will at the same time reshape our policy with regards to nations that oppose us. People have to recognize that we’re nice but we’re not crazy. And when people oppose us, we’re not going to reward them for doing so.

So which countries would a President Romney “reconsider” America’s relationship with? As it stands right now, the Palestinian U.N. bid will be up for a vote in the 13-member Security Council (of which the United States, along with France, the U.K., China and Russia are permanent members with veto power). China, Russia, India, Brazil and South Africa have all said they would support the bid. France and the U.K. haven’t said either way, but the New York Times reported this month that they “might vote in favor.”

If the Palestinian bid goes to the General Assembly, which could elevate the Palestinian Authority’s status from nonvoting “observer entity” to “observer state,” the number of countries that the U.S. would have to reevaluate its relationship with, under a President Romney, would grow significantly. For example, the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM), the 118-member U.N. bloc, announced that it supported the Palestinian U.N. membership move (although it is not certain if all member states would vote in favor). Members of the NAM include most African countries — including Egypt — Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Pakistan, Chile, and Peru.

So how exactly would Romney “reconsider” relationships with these countries — many of them close American allies — for supporting the Palestinians? The former Massachusetts governor didn’t expound on that point. But perhaps these nations would like to know what their punishment will be if Romney moves in to the White House in 2013.

Yglesias

European Debt Crisis FAQ

Why does Greece need a bailout?

This is pretty simple. The Greek budget is way out of whack and Greece can’t repay what it owes.

Why don’t the other Euro countries just let Greece default?

The concern is that if one Euro country defaults, this will increase the perceived riskiness of all European countries. The higher interest rates will be bad for everyone, but in particular could push countries like Ireland, Portugal, Spain, and Italy into default.

Well so what?

That many defaults would call other countries (Belgium, even France) into question. What’s more, the losses to banks would be enormous. Countries would then either need to choose between witnessing massive bank failures, or else engaging in bank bailouts much larger than the cost of just bailing Greece out.

Is this all caused by high taxes and socialism?

No. Sweden’s not on the Euro and they’re fine, notwithstanding high taxes. Even within the Eurozone, relatively high tax countries such as Finland and Austria are doing okay on their own terms.

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