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GRAPHIC: Most Common Words At CNN Debate: ‘War,’ And ‘Israel’ | The Washington Post, as part of their helpful interactive transcript of tonight’s Republican presidential primary debate, has a graphic of the evening’s most commonly uttered words. It’s no surprise that, at a debate sponsored by two neoconservative think-tanks (American Enterprise Institute and the Heritage Foundation), candidates from the party that brought you the Iraq debacle said “war” more than just about any other word, along with “Israel.” Not on the list? “Al Qaeda,” “terror,” or “Osama Bin Laden.” Here’s the Post’s complete graphic of the top GOP foreign policy vocab:

Politics

CNN National Security Debate Live-Blog

10:01: Top AEI Iran hawk Danielle Pletka, who asked a question of the candidates earlier, is married to former lobbyist and Bush administration official Stephen Rademaker, who was named last month as a Romney campaign adviser.

10:00: The GOP’s foreign policy debate ends without a single mention of Europe, where the world’s largest economy is currently in peril, and only a passing mention of China.

9:50: Huntsman says the Iranians “have already decided to go nuclear.” Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said this year that the Iranians have not made a decision on whether to develop nuclear weapons.

9:48: Are there any other neocons who led us into the Iraq disaster that would like to ask a question?

9:48: Cain says in order to deal with Assad regime, he would get America’s allies to stop buying oil from Syria. The European Union already instituted an oil embargo on Syria last September.

9:44: David Addington — ie, “Cheney’s Cheney” who engaged in various abuses of power — asks the next question.

9:37: In their discussions of immigration, none of the candidates mentioned the extreme immigration laws in Alabama, Arizona, or other states that have approved draconian measures.

9:36: Romney’s claim that in-state tuition is a “magnet” for immigration is shaky at best. California law enables immigrants “to pay the same lower college fees as California residents if they attend high school in California,” but it has not seen an increase in immigration. Arizona, meanwhile, experienced a 42 percent rise in its immigrant population over the last decade, despite its prohibitions on in-state tuition for undocumented immigrants.

9:34: Gingrich tests Bachmann’s commitment to family values by asking her why she’s willing to break up immigrant families through deportation.

9:28: In order to deal with undocumented immigrants already in the country, Herman Cain proposes handing the problem off to individual states. The Constitution tasks the federal government – not the states – with overseeing citizenship.

9:28: Does anyone besides an AEI or Heritage staffer get to ask a question tonight?

9:27: Wondering where the candidates stand on immigration? Here’s a chart tracking their positions.

9:26: Surprisingly strong applause for Ron Paul’s call to “cancel” the war on drugs. He gets a second round when he says current drug policy has been a “failure.” The Global Commission on Drug Policy, which includes former presidents of Brazil, Colombia, Mexico and Switzerland, agrees. Paul also advocates allowing medicinal marijuana. He correctly notes that prescription drugs kill far more people than illegal drugs.

9:26: Perry says we need a “new Monroe Doctrine” to prevent meddling from Hezbollah and Iran in South America.

9:16: Here’s a reminder for during the commercial break: Newt Gingrich is listed as a former senior fellow on debate sponsor AEI’s website.

9:15: Bachmann, who has missed most of her congressional votes while campaigning, claims she was “in the middle” of the super committee fight. Survey says: no.

9:13: Now that the candidates are talking about the super committee and spending cuts, it’s worth noting that an economist at AEI – one of tonight’s co-hosts – said last week that engaging in austerity now would be a “great mistake” that would “push the economy into a great recession.”

9:09: Perry calls on Leon Panetta to resign in protest if the military spending cuts trigger goes into effect. Panetta has said those cuts will invite an attack on the United States, certainly aiding Perry’s argument.

9:05: Pledging to make his first state visit to Israel to show them he cares, Romney did what former Israeli prime minister and current defense minister said no one should: “[R]aise any question mark about the devotion of this president [Obama] to the security of Israel.”

9:04: Gingrich draws a line — he’ll only bomb Iran if it forces a regime change. Iranian civil society opposes that and says it won’t work.

8:58: But, Santorum is right — PEPFAR has helped the African continent prevent and treat HIV/AIDS and the Obama administration is now building on its success. Last month, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton called on the United States and her allies to scale up their funding for HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment to “change the course of this pandemic and usher in an AIDS-free generation.”

8:57: Santorum has a little trouble with geography: “Africa was a country on the brink.” Memo to Santorum: Africa is not a country. Watch:

8:56: “Audience question” goes to AEI’s Paul Wolfowitz. Yes, that Wolfowitz — “we settled on the one issue that everyone could agree on which was weapons of mass destruction as the core reason [for going to war in Iraq].”

8:55: Bachmann says that Iran has said it will attack Israel with nuclear weapons. Iran has made no such threat and as ABC’s Christiane Amanpour noted to Bachmann recently, denies it is pursuing nuclear weapons.

8:51: Another “audience question” goes to AEI scholar Danielle Pletka.

8:49: Cain reminds the audience that Iran is a very mountainous country, and clearly this impacts our national security. Apparently when he said it before, it was not a gaffe but his actually policy.

8:49: Herman Cain says that if Israel comes up with a good plan for attacking Iran, he would have the U.S. join them.

8:48: CNN takes “audience questions.” Goes to the communications director of the Heritage Foundation, one of the sponsors of the debate.

8:43: After the break, candidates will name what they think is the top national security threat to America. Will Bachmann say it’s “Obamacare“?

8:37: Huntsman warns that “listening to the generals” in Afghanistan may lead to another Vietnam — which may be the first time this point has been made in a Republican presidential debate.

8:36: When will Newt begin bashing the media?

8:36: At the Republican foreign policy debate, Jon Huntsman gives a rundown of President Obama’s foreign policy successes — weakening the Taliban in Afghanistan, killing Osama bin Laden, and removing troops from Iraq and Afghanistan.

8:32: Rick “zero foreign aid” Perry says he won’t “send a penny” to Pakistan “until they show they have America’s best interests in mind.” CAP experts note that “Ad hoc increases or cuts to American aid programs will not be effective as a carrot or stick for enticing cooperation with American security priorities.”

8:29: Cain flubs Wolf Blitzer’s name, calling him “Blitz,” even after Blitzer clarified at the top of the debate what his “real name” was. At least Cain knew his name.

8:26: Cain also calls for profiling, but has another word for it: “targeted identification.” President Bush’s Homeland Security Secretary has said that profiling is “misleading and arguably dangerous.”

8:23: Santorum makes first mention of Muslims. “Obviously, Muslims should be people we look out,” he says in support of ethnic and religious profiling. Santorum says “Muslims” — then adds “radical Muslims” — should be profiled at the airport. Last year, he said if T.S.A. doesn’t profile, “terrorists win.”

8:20: Bachmann criticized giving the so-called “underwear bomber” his Miranda rights. Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab pleaded guilty to terrorism and attempted murder and faces life in prison.

8:19: Bachmann: “We don’t give miranda warnings to terrorists, we don’t read them they’re rights. They don’t have rights.” She claims that President Obama has “handed over interrogation of terror suspects to the ACLU.” (Read the ACLU response here.)

8:17: Strong applause for Ron Paul’s strong defense of civil liberties and refutation of the Patriot Act. “We can still protect our security without losing our liberty.”

8:17: Gingrich says the U.S. needs every tool to get information about a nuclear weapon going off in an American city. Intelligence officials have repeatedly rejected the idea of this so-called “ticking time bomb scenario.”

8:15: Gingrich is a big fan of the Heritage Foundation. In 1993, he supported the individual health insurance mandate that the center developed.

8:12: Mitt’s first lie of the debate: claims his first name is Mitt, but his actual first name is Willard.

8:10: In its opening intro montage, CNN introduced Herman Cain as a “business executive who worked for firms with global reach.”

8:09: CNN does its third — yes, third — introduction of the night, allowing all the candidates to introduce themselves. 15 minutes wasted.

8:08: Today is the 48th anniversary of the assassination of President John F. Kennedy, a strong advocate for America developing its global relationships through programs like foreign aid and the Peace Corps. Will the GOP candidates have any words of praise for him tonight?

8:07: Four years ago, Mitt Romney made a splash in the GOP foreign policy debate when he called for “doubling” the size of Guantanamo Bay. Perhaps tonight he will try to grab headlines by calling for tripling it?

8:06: CNN airs a 3-minute montage to introduce all the candidates. And then spends another 3 minutes to re-introduce them.

8:00: Another big question for tonight’s debate: will Herman Cain finally make some foreign policy sense?

7:57: One of the big issues tonight of course revolves around the story first broken by ThinkProgress – namely, that Mitt Romney put out an intentionally deceptive and “ridiculously misleading” ad. Will he stand behind it? Earlier today, CNN’s Joe Johns ripped Romney’s explanation, saying it “makes little sense unless you ignore the truth.”

7:55: Last night, Newt Gingrich announced his team of foreign policy advisers. Spoiler alert: it’s chock-full of militaristic neoconservatives. One of his key advisers made his money lobbying for many foreign governments.

7:53: This is “the first think tank co-sponsored presidential debate.” We’re pro-think tank here on this blog.

7:50: Tonight’s national security debate, live from Washington, D.C., will be moderated by CNN’s Wolf Blitzer, but experts from the right-wing think tanks American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and the Heritage Foundation will also ask the candidates some questions.

Climate Progress

Fool Me Once, Shame on You, Fool Me Twice, Shame on the Media: More Stolen Emails Can’t Stop Catastrophic Global Warming, Only We Can

http://media.nj.com/njv_shenemans_sketchpad/photo/climate-changejpg-848943ae7786e958.jpg

The UK Guardian reports today that the deniers are serving 2-year-old leftovers for Thanksgiving:

Fresh round of hacked climate science emails leaked online

A file containing 5,000 emails has been made available in an apparent attempt to repeat the impact of 2009′s similar release….

The initial email dump was apparently timed to disrupt the Copenhagen climate talks. It prompted three official inquiries in the UK and two in the US into the working practices of climate scientists. Although these were critical of the scientists’ handling of Freedom of Information Act requests and lack of openness they did not find fault with the climate change science they had produced.

Norfolk police have said the new set of emails is “of interest” to their investigation to find the perpetrator of the initial email release who has not yet been identified.

Actually nine independent investigations have vindicated climate science and climate scientists on the hacked University of East Anglia emails (as Skeptical Science explains, for those who want the full history).

As one scientist put it to me today:

“Two years ago, emails were released and the American people were lied to about their content.  Now, we are expected to be gullible enough to believe the original liars a second time.”

Media Matters also has a good post, “Memo To Media: Research First, Then Report On Climate Emails.”

The bad news is that, as Media Matters explains in its latest post, “Media Already Botching Reports On Hacked Climate Emails,” with some awful “reporting” by the Washington Post already (see below).

The good news is that the perpetrators and their fellow deniers apparently think the international climate talks in Durban are actually important enough to try to trick the media once again into prematurely running stories on out-of-context excerpts from private emails from scientists, most of which were written years ago, discussing science that has long since been resolved.

Leftovers, again? One climate scientist calls the email dump, “Two-year-old turkey from Thanksgiving 2009.”

These are the “second string” emails.  The Varsity team couldn’t derail the science so it’s  really hard to see how the Junior Varsity team could. In other words, if multiple independent investigations showed that climate science was unscathed by the original batch of emails — which must have been the ones the deniers thought were the best they had — then what precisely are the chances these even weaker second-stringers are going to beat the climate science team?  After all, the climate science team has gotten considerably stronger in recent years.

The U.S. National Academy of Sciences concluded its 2010 review of climate science, saying it is a “settled fact” that “the Earth system is warming.”  As for the cause, last year, Time reported on a comprehensive new review paper of “100 peer-reviewed post-IPCC studies” in an article titled, “Report: The Case for Global Warming Stronger Than Ever”:

By looking at a wide range of observations from all over the world,  the Met Office study concludes that the fingerprint of human influence on climate is stronger than ever. “We can say with a very high significance level that the effects we see in the climate cannot be attributed to any other forcings [factors that push the climate in one direction or another],” says study co-author Gabriele Hegerl of the University of Edinburgh.

In a AAAS presentation last year, the late William R. Freudenburg of UC Santa Barbara discussed his research on “the Asymmetry of Scientific Challenge“: New scientific findings since the 2007 IPCC report are found to be more than twenty times as likely to indicate that global climate disruption is “worse than previously expected,” rather than “not as bad as previously expected.”

And, of course,  in the real world, Arctic sea ice is disappearing faster than the IPCC climate models projected, the  Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets are disintegrating faster than the climate models projected, the tropical zones  are expanding faster than the models projected (a key cause of Dust-Bowlification), and, sadly, greenhouse gas emissions are rising faster than the primary worst-case IPCC scenario — see An Illustrated Guide to the Science of Global Warming Impacts.

Recall the foundation of the phony Climategate charge.  Somehow the climate scientists at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia, led by Phil Jones, were manipulating the data and the peer review process as part of a grand conspiracy to convince the public the earth has been warming faster than it really is.  The “CRU compiles the land component of the record and the Hadley Centre provides the marine component.”

The BEST team vindicated climate science.  The key paper found “ a degree of global land-surface warming during the anthropogenic era that is consistent with prior work (e.g. NOAA) but on the high end of the existing range of reconstruction.

D’oh!  The BEST data shows considerably higher warming in recent years than HadCRUThe group whose emails were hack have been UNDERestimating global warming!

If you waste your time looking at these second-string emails, you’ll see, for instance, the perpetrators tout e-mails involved the urban heat island issue, but BEST have already demonstrated for the umpteenth time that that it isn’t tainting the surface temperature record.

So you can see why these emails didn’t make the Varsity team.  These truly are minor league emails.

Here is the UEA response to the emails, yet one more plea to the media from the scientists involved not to fall for the trick of the out-of-context excerpt:

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE OR COMMENT

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Climate Progress

Climate-Control Policies Cannot Rely on Carbon Capture and Storage: That’s My Side of The Economist Debates

For the second time, I’m participating in an online debate sponsored by The Economist.

The proposition is awkwardly worded, as always, “This house believes that climate-control policies cannot rely on carbon capture and storage.”

The debate will be “decided” by online voting, so do go and vote.  And, no, I haven’t changed my view of online voting, but I don’t make the rules. Yes, it is sponsored by Statoil.  ’nuff said.

Here is my opening statement as the “proposer”:

Read more

NEWS FLASH

Another Survey Finds Small Business Owners Don’t Feel Overtaxed Or Overregulated | Congressional Republicans have relentlessly invoked the “concerns of small business owners” in their crusade against federal regulation and raising taxes. But according to a new poll by the Hartford Financial Group, “it turns out that these concerns are not shared by as many actual small-business owners as you might expect.” Only 9 percent of small business owners cited government rules and regulations as the single biggest barrier to success, and just 2 percent cited “too many taxes or uncertainty related to taxes.” This follows several other surveys that found the exact same thing. Ironically, the New York Times notes that “the myth of the overregulated and overtaxed small business has such a strong hold over the public imagination that the survey’s authors appear to believe it themselves, despite their own findings.”

Special Topic

Occupy Athens Scores Victory As Commissioners Place 90-Day Hold On Wal-Mart Construction

Wal-Mart is facing stiff opposition from Athens residents.

Last week, Occupy Athens teamed up with Georgia Democratic Party State Treasurer Russell Edwards to campaign against the construction of a massive Wal-Mart in the heart of downtown Athens, one of the country’s most classic college towns.

Yesterday, Occupy Athens, Edwards, and the thousands of Athens residents who signed a petition assembled by Edwards against the Wal-Mart’s construction won a small victory. Two Athens-Clarke County commissions, Alice Kinman and Kelly Girtz placed a 90-day hold on the construction “under a local law that allows the commission to stop historic buildings from being torn down.” Girtz explained that the hold will give everyone “breathing room” to discuss the retail development.

“I strongly suggest we email Alice Kinman and Kelly Girtz and thank them for their action. We have long said that the commissioners have courses of actions than can be taken. Thanking them would show good faith,” writes Georgia Politico’s Dustin Baker, noting the following e-mail addresses for the two commissioners: kelly.girtz@athensclarkecounty.com and alice.kinman@athensclarkecounty.com. Meanwhile, Edwards’s petition against the construction has reached almost 15,000 signatures.

It should be noted that there are already two Wal-Mart locations in the city of Athens that are fully accessible to residents.

NEWS FLASH

Police Won’t Press Charges In Suicide Of Gay Teen, Hope Incident Will Still Serve As Deterrent To Bullying | Police will not pursue criminal charges in the suicide of 14-year-old Jamey Rodemeyer, who took his life in September after facing repeated bullying and harassment for being gay. In a press conference this afternoon, the authorities explained that they will not be charging Rodemeyer’s bullies with a crime, since existing laws require the testimony of the victim, but said the case will still serve as a deterrent to others. “It’s not just the police department responding to this incident. It’s the school, it’s the public. The community has said how they feel about the way Jamey was treated,” the officer said. The aggravators’ “friends know who they are, their peers know who they are. And they know that it’s completely unacceptable in the eyes of this community, this police department, and their peers.” Watch an excerpt from the press conference:

Security

Senior Gingrich Foreign Policy Adviser Lobbied For Foreign Companies And Governments

The Newt Gingrich campaign’s choice of foreign policy advisers follows the trend of GOP candidates borrowing heavily from the neoconservative policymakers who helped form the hawkish foreign policy of the George W. Bush administration. But Gingrich, who denied his own history of influence peddling for corporate clients, made an interesting choice in adding Stephen Yates, a Washington lobbyist specializing in foreign companies and governments, to his national security team.

Yates, whose biography on the Newt Gingrich campaign website only lists him as president of DC International Advisors, “a consultancy,” since 2006, had an extremely active lobbying career in the two years following his job as Deputy Assistant to Vice President Dick Cheney for National Security Affairs from 2001 to 2005. The Gingrich campaign’s decision to leave Yates’ career as vice president of the “global affairs practice” at Barbour Griffith & Rogers off his official bio, might have something to do with the two years of active lobbying he conducted on behalf of foreign clients.

In 2005 and 2006, while he was based at Barbour Griffith & Rogers, Yates was listed on lobbying disclosures as having represented the interests of:

  • Taiwan
  • The Indonesian National Shipowners’ Association
  • Moneygram International
  • Lebanon’s National Dialogue Party
  • The Republic of India
  • British Nuclear Fuels, Plc. (via a contract with Sutherland Asbill & Brennan)
  • Yates also serves as a director at the U.S.-Taiwan Business Council.

    The campaign’s decision to present Yates’ biography without any reference to his career at Barbour Griffith & Rogers or his representation of Taiwanese, Indonesian, Lebanese, Indian and British interests in Washington, raises questions. Indeed, Yates’ two-year career as a lobbyist focusing almost exclusively on foreign clients seeking influence in Washington is an interesting omission from a biography that portrays Gingrich’s national security adviser as a career civil servant.

    Yates’ background in public service would indicate that he has a strong interest in U.S. foreign policy and national security. But his two years as a professional lobbyist might also suggest that annual contracts of $740,000 with the Indonesian National Shipowners Association, $720,000 with the Republic of India, and $1.5 million with the Republic of China (Taiwan), held a certain appeal in more recent years.

    Health

    Virginia GOP Lawmaker Introduces Bill To Revive ‘Personhood’ Legislation

    Less than two weeks after Mississippi voters overwhelmingly defeated a measure that would give two-celled zygotes the full rights of American citizens, Virginia Republicans are reviving the fight for “personhood” legislation in their state:

    Del. Bob Marshall (R-Prince William), one of the most outspoken legislators on abortion issues, filed a so-called personhood bill for the upcoming legislative session, which will begin in January.

    The bill provides that “unborn children at every stage of development enjoy all the rights, privileges, and immunities available to other persons, citizens, and residents of the commonwealth, subject only to the laws and constitutions of Virginia and the United States, precedents of the United States Supreme Court, and provisions to the contrary in the statutes of the commonwealth.” [...]

    Many Virginia Republicans have said they are eager to revive socially conservative legislation that stalled or died in a Democratic-controlled Senate, now that both chambers are controlled by the GOP.

    Despite the nation’s continuing unemployment crisis, Virginia Republicans are determined to use their new power to launch an all-out assault on women’s reproductive freedom. Like other personhood amendments, Marshall’s bill would effectively criminalize birth control and in vitro fertilization, in addition to abortion in all cases. Despite the defeat in Mississippi anti-abortion forces are pushing ahead with personhood initiatives in states including Oregon, Colorado, Montana, and Georgia.

    Proponents say they will add greater specificity to their amendments “so it’s clearly understood by doctors and those women using contraceptives and fertility treatment,” although the text of the Virginia measure does not make any such destinations.

    Special Topic

    Occupy Chicago Mic Checks Mayor Rahm Emanuel

    Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel has had a hostile relationship with Occupy Chicago, repeatedly ordering the group to be kicked out of public spaces rather than allowing them to exercise their First Amendment rights. Emmanuel has also raised the ire of the group by championing a budget that will shutter half of the mental health clinics in the city and harmed many other social services.

    Today, while delivering a presentation on a new winter attraction in Chicago, Emanuel was confronted by Occupy Chicago. As the mayor was speaking, a cry of “Mic Check!” rang out, and protesters started delivering complaints about Emanuel’s budget and his attacks on free speech. The protesters also tried to deliver a petition requesting access to a public space to continue their 24/7 protest. Emanuel cut his speech short to escape the demonstration. Watch NBC Chicago’s video from the incident:


    Earlier, Occupy Chicago attended a town hall meeting of Alderman Joe Moore, taking him to task for supporting Emanuel’s budget. Watch them confronting Moore here.

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