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Alyssa

Storytelling v. Statistics at Sundance

Whatever you thought of Drew Westen’s op-ed earlier this year, he’s an interesting thinker, and I wasn’t surprised (and from the perspective of getting politics and art in conversation with each other, rather gratified) to find him on a panel at Sundance with Sen. Barbara Boxer, Margaret Atwood, and director Mark Kitchell. Fittingly for an event on the power of narrative, Westen said that one of the things his research had uncovered was the extent to which people shut down when you give them statistics about policy issues, while stories kept their minds opened.

“In Florida, over 10 percent of the homes have been foreclosed. When you say something like that, it’s an interesting thing…But it doesn’t tend to draw the feeling that a story would draw,” he argued. “It means one in ten parents in Florida has gone to their child and said ‘I’m sorry, this isn’t your room any more.’… Unconsciously, it is extremely difficult to live with the idea that the world is unjust…we all know victims of diseases, and catastrophes, but to live in a world where we honestly believe that things are capricious and things just happen and there’s nothing you can do about it is a really awful place to be…Never talk about the unemployed. Because when you talk about the unemployed, you take real people with pain-lined faces, and you turn them into a nameless, faceless abstraction…People start to go with the just world hypothesis, and asking ‘what did he do to lose his job?’”

Obviously, I don’t think this means that you should never use statistics in policy discourse: we don’t do private bills in the United States, and you’ve got to prove the magnitude of a problem in addition to its emotional impact on a single person. But I wonder if it makes sense to start with stories, and then hit folks with the numbers? Or does that risk overwhelming listeners with emotions that they can’t accept exist on a large scale because it’s simply too much to process?

In any case, I think there’s no question that structuring narratives is critically important to give people a hook into issues. And while humans may be the most effective protagonists, there are other ways to set up drama. Mark Kitchell, the director and producer of environmental documentary A Fierce Green Fire pointed out that telling a story doesn’t always require that narrative to be character-driven, or driven by a single main character. I’d argue that March of the Penguins did perhaps the best job I’ve ever seen, outside of Pixar movies, of creating non-human protagonists and creating drama out of its protagonists’ struggle to reproduce. It didn’t need a baroque villain: the forces at work were unfamiliar enough to most people to be dramatic standing on their own.

Justice

Right Wing Groups Spend Over $1 Million To Elect Senate Candidate With Fringe Constitutional Theories

Texas Republican Senate candidate Ted Cruz

Senate candidate Ted Cruz (R-TX)

While most of the coverage of skyrocketing spending by SuperPACs and tax-exempt 501(c)(4) organizations has focused on the tens of millions going to presidential campaign attack ads, one statewide candidate has been the beneficiary of $1.1 million in spending by right-wing groups already this cycle — a radical attorney named Ted Cruz.

Cruz, a former Texas state solicitor general, is seeking the Republican nomination for Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison’s (R-TX) open senate seat. Although his two primary opponents have raised much more in campaign cash to date, every “independent expenditure” reported for the race, to date, has been aimed at helping Cruz’s candidacy or hurting his opponents.

Yesterday, Sen. Jim DeMint’s (R-SC) Senate Conservatives Fund reported spending $500,000 on a pro-Cruz independent expenditure. Likewise, the conservative Club for Growth, Club for Growth Action, and former Rep. Dick Armey’s (R-TX) FreedomWorks have spent more than $634,000 on pro-Cruz ads and over $468,000 on ads bashing primary opponent Texas Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst for being a “moderate.”

So what’s so exciting about Cruz that far right groups are willing to pay top dollar to put him in the Senate? Cruz excited anti-government groups with his unconstitutional proposal for a backdoor method of state nullification of federal laws and the Affordable Care Act. He co-authored a white paper advocating a radical reading of the Constitution that would lead to Medicaid and most federal education programs being declared unconstitutional, and he supports an equally radical plan to privatize much of Social Security.

Moreover, if Cruz is elected, he would quickly find several new friends who share his inability to distinguish the Constitution from the Tea Party’s policy preferences. Sens. Mike Lee (R-UT), Tom Coburn (R-OK) and Rand Paul (R-KY) have all pushed even more radical efforts to declare much of the Twentieth Century unconstitutional.

Economy

How The GOP Candidates Would Affect The People Of South Carolina, By The Numbers

Tomorrow, South Carolina will hold its First in the South primary to determine the state’s pick for the GOP nomination. But while most of the state’s focus is on who people will be voting for, what about those who are actually doing the voting?

With the state’s unemployment rate well above the national average and more than 18 percent of residents living in poverty, economic security is certainly a driving concern for the majority of voters. But, given the GOP field’s stances, it doesn’t seem to be a concern candidates are taking to heart.

Here’s a look at how the GOP candidates’ positions would affect the vulnerable populations of South Carolina, by the numbers:

–Over 3,000,000: There are at least at least 3,380,000 eligible voters in South Carolina, but many students, seniors, low-income voters, and minority voters may find it difficult to actually cast a ballot thanks to the state’s new voter ID law. Rick Santorum called it a “common-sense anti-fraud” measure that prevents the vote of “people who probably shouldn’t be voting.” Newt Gingrich blasted President Obama’s rejection of the law as trying to “steal elections.”

–Over 200,000: There are at least 213,000 unemployed South Carolinians contributing to the state’s 9.9 percent unemployment rate. While those receiving unemployment insurance actually work harder to find a job, according to studies, Gingrich equates joblessness with laziness and demands that any benefits come through a work-training program — or a drug test.

–Over 400,000: There were at least 408,000 veterans living in South Carolina in 2009. veterans increasingly need to be treated for traumatic brain injury, PTSD, and other health consequences of war. While Mitt Romney briefly flirted with turning the VA into a voucher system, Gingrich adopted the idea wholesale, stating we should “find a way to have a voucherized system for those who want it.”

–Over 650,000: In 2009, there were over 650,000 people in the state participating in the food stamp program, and the economic recession has no doubt only increased those numbers. Rather than address the need of vulnerable South Carolinians, Gingrich and Santorum traffic in “ugly, racial stereotypes” to justify calls to drug test recipients and cut funding for the needy.

NEWS FLASH

Bob McDonnell: I Endorse Mitt Romney…And Would Like To See His Tax Returns | In a remarkably quick political two-step, Gov. McDonnell (R-VA) endorsed Mitt Romney this morning, and told Politico the multi-million dollar candidate should speed up the disclosure of his tax returns this afternoon. “He said he’ll release them in April, that’s when most people have done it, that’s up to him,” McDonnell said. “I’d say the sooner the better, but look, that’s a call for him.” This follows Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA), who also piled on Romney earlier today concerning the same issue.

LGBT

Fox News ‘A-Team’ Psychiatrist: Being Married Three Times Could Make Gingrich A Better President

Assuming Marianne Gingrich’s allegations are true, Newt Gingrich reacted to news of his own wrongdoing by attempting to justify his deplorable behavior (asking for an “open marriage” after he’s already cheating) and then proceeding to continue down that path anyway (dumping Marianne for Callista). While most would be repelled by such actions, Dr. Keith Ablow of Fox News’ “Medical A-Team” believes Gingrich’s personal choices would not negatively impact his performance as president. In fact, Ablow argues’ that Gingrich’ ability to attract so many women is a sign that the rest of the country will fall for him too:

You can take any moral position you like about men and women who cheat while married, but there simply is no correlation, whatsoever—from a psychological perspective—between whether they can remain true to their wedding vows and whether they can remain true to the Oath of Office. [...]

Conclusion: When three women want to sign on for life with a man who is now running for president, I worry more about whether we’ll be clamoring for a third Gingrich term, not whether we’ll want to let him go after one.

Ablow’s words speak for themselves, and should not be surprising. Here’s a look back at how Fox News’ resident psychiatrist regularly insists on letting men off the hook for failed marriages:

Justice

Gingrich Says ‘Work’ Is A ‘Strange, Distant Concept’ To Juan Williams

Newt Gingrich launched a now-infamous tirade against moderator Juan Williams during Monday night’s GOP debate after Williams dared to ask him if he could understand why some African-Americans were offended by Gingrich’s obsession with food stamps and child labor. “No, I don’t see that,” Gingrich sneered back.

Williams later insisted he wasn’t offended by Gingrich’s pointed defense, but did say his food stamps rhetoric is “very racial and…unless I missed it, black people haven’t been out there demanding food stamps, or marching for food stamps.”

Today, during a campaign stop in South Carolina, Gingrich recalled his exchange with Williams and used the same kind of suggestive language that Williams had objected to — this time directed at Williams himself:

GINGRICH: I had a very interesting dialogue Monday night in Myrtle Beach with Juan Williams about the idea of work, which seemed to Juan Williams to be a strange, distant concept.

Watch it:

Many pundits have seen racial undertones in Gingrich’s belittling of Williams during the debate. “That’s the way I like to spend my Martin Luther King, Jr. Day: watching Newt Gingrich sneer at Juan Williams, a black man, for having the temerity to ask him” a tough question, New York Times columnist Charles Blow wrote.

Gingrich’s equally insulting assessment of the debate exchange likely won’t help.

Security

NJDC Condemns Editorial Suggesting That Israel Assassinate President Obama

Gawker reported today that Andrew Adler, the owner and publisher of the weekly newspaper the Atlanta Jewish Times, wrote in a January 13 column about what options Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Neyanyahu might have if he receives a report that Hezbollah is about to attack with thousands of rockets and Iran has “reached nuclear launch capabilities.” In this hypothetical scenario, Adler says that an Israeli diplomat will have informed Nethanyahu that he “cannot expect much help from the United States due to its newly implemented military budget and the administration’s never ending ‘Alice in Wonderland’ belief that diplomacy is the answer.”

One option (Option three), according to Adler, would be for U.S.-based Mossad agents to assassinate the President of the United States:

Three, give the go-ahead for U.S.-based Mossad agents to take out a president deemed unfriendly to Israel in order for the current vice president to take his place, and forcefully dictate that the United States’ policy includes its helping the Jewish state obliterate its enemies.

“Yes, you read ‘three’ correctly,” Adler says, “Order a hit on a president in order to preserve Israel’s existence. Think about it. If I have thought of this Tom Clancy-type scenario, don’t you think that this almost unfathomable idea has been discussed in Israel’s most inner circles?”

In a statement today, the National Jewish Democratic Council (NJDC) condemned Adler’s editorial:

It is the height of irresponsibility to make the horrific suggestion that the State of Israel should assassinate the President of the United States of America,” [NJDC President and CEO David] Harris said. “To dare to give such despicable ideas space in a newspaper — no less in the words of the paper’s owner and publisher, and a Jewish newspaper at that — is beyond the pale.”

As for Adler, Gawker caught up with him to see just what he was talking about. He said he wasn’t advocating for assassinating President Obama. “I was hoping to make clear that it’s unspeakable—god forbid this would ever happen,” Adler said, adding, “I wrote it to see what kind of reaction I was going to get from readers.”

“We’ve gotten a lot of calls and emails,” Adler told Gawker. “Nothing from the Secret Service, though. Yet,” Gawker’s John Cook adds.

Update

Adler told the Guardian that he deeply regrets writing the column suggesting that Israel assassinate Obama. It seems that Adler isn’t remorseful about suggesting that the president be assassinated, but that his readers might think Israel actually will do it:

Adler said he understood why readers might interpret his writing as suggesting that Israel is seriously considering assassinating the US president but that is not what he meant.

“No, no, no. It’s unfathomable, unthinkable,” he said, adding: “I’m definitely pro-Israel to the max.”

Alyssa

Going Too Far Fighting Crime In ‘Dredd’

As a new Judge Dredd convert, and a big fan of innovative action movies, I’m actually starting to get excited about Karl Urban-starring Dredd even though the production’s hit some difficulties. What really got my juices going was the news that Olivia Thirlby’s going to be playing Judge Anderson, which I would guess mean that the Big Bad in the movie is going to be Judge Death and the Dark Judges, who hate crime so much they’ve decided the best way to stop it is to wipe out all life in the universe. Now, there’s no question that the Judges are totalitarian, but I kind of appreciate the idea that the movie will show what the end consequence of a policy aimed at getting crime to zero.

I also appreciate that apparently, Judge Dredd and Judge Anderson will work together, but won’t kiss, staying faithful to a narrative in which the big emotional reveal is that Judge Dredd considers Judge Anderson his friend. That’s a welcome diversion from the standard stressful situation=smooches narrative, and it’d be nice to have a story where men and women actually get to focus on building their professional relationship and friendship rather than figuring out when they’re going to get down. Of course wartime romances are a thing But if you’re going to really go in on building the world the Judges live in, it makes sense that the standard emotional narratives that operate in that realm would be different. And cutting the Judges off from a range of human experiences emphasizes both the unnaturalness of what they’re being asked to do and their distance from the people they pass judgment on.

NEWS FLASH

Consumer Spending On Health Care Surged Since 1960s | Bloomberg.com’s “Chart of the Day” notes that consumer spending’s share of the U.S. GDP is experiencing a surge as household purchases, including health care expenses, has grown as a proportion of the economy, climbing from 61 percent in the mid 1960s to 71 percent today. “Medical payments now account for about 16 percent of total consumer spending, more than food and clothing combined, which make up about 11 percent, or housing, which accounts for about 15 percent.” Health care costs have remained steady in 2010, increasing by just 3.9 percent , thanks in part to the Affordable Care Act. Over time, reform will further lower the rate of increase by investing in comparative effectiveness research and rewarding more efficient delivery of services.

Fatima Najiy

NEWS FLASH

U.S. Considers Shuttering Syria Mission Over Security | Foreign Policy’s Josh Rogin reports that the U.S. is considering shutting down its embassy in the Syrian capital Damascus. Violence has recently reached near the central city, raising concerns among several missions there. The U.S. is negotiating with the Syrian government over new security measures in the surrounding streets, and if a suitable resolution cannot be reached, the embassy could close its doors. “We’ve had serious concerns about the fact that the mission is exposed, as have other embassies,” an administration official told Rogin. “We’ve been in to see the Syrians to request extra security measures. They are deciding what they can do.” Amb. Robert Ford, who showed “solidarity” with protesters and faced physical attacks, left Syria this fall for six weeks, but since returned.

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