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Election

Why Paul Ryan’s Lies Matter

On BuzzFeed today, Ben Smith argues that Paul Ryan’s false statements don’t matter that much because behind them are real policy differences with Obama. The core of Smith’s argument is this:

The Democrats are hoping to do to Paul Ryan what Republicans so successfully did to Al Gore: To conflate stray real personal exaggerations; rhetorical simplifications; and actual policy differences into an unfair character attack. Ryan (and now Romney) is in fact far more honest than any Republican national figure in memory in his explicit plan to turn Medicare into a less-expensive voucher system and to cut health care spending for poor people deeply.

Notably, Smith doesn’t really try to argue that Ryan’s statements are actually true. He just employs language to diminish their importance. The piece refers to “exaggerations,” “simplifications,” ” being tendentious,” and “caricature[s].”

Smith is correct, however, that Ryan would “turn Medicare into a less-expensive voucher system and … cut health care spending for poor people deeply.” That’s why his false statements about his plans are so consequential. He’s attempting to mislead the American people into accepting a policy agenda that, if presented honestly, they would be unlikely to support.

In his convention speech, Ryan was not honest about how he would “turn Medicare into a less-expensive voucher system.” Ryan said he “will protect and strengthen Medicare.” He didn’t admit that he plans to “cut health care spending for poor people deeply.” Rather, Ryan said the “truest measure of any society is how it treats those who cannot defend or care for themselves.”

Smith acknowledges Obama’s policies would “maintain” the current Medicare program. But Ryan told millions of people that “the greatest threat to Medicare is Obamacare,” blasting Obama for “$716 billion, funneled out of Medicare.” Ryan doesn’t mention that he included the same savings, which come from providers not recipients, in his own plan and that Obamacare provides billions in additional benefits to Medicare recipients and extends the life of the program by eight years.

Smith’s defense of Ryan’s claims on welfare reform, which even Republican governors supporting Romney and Ryan have acknowledged are false, is weaker. But his underlying point is the same. Underneath the false statements, there is a real policy dispute, so we should cut Ryan some slack.

The opposite is true. In 2008, Hillary Clinton claimed she came under sniper fire when she landed at the Tuzla Air Base in Bosnia in 1996. Video of the incident proved this never occured. What Clinton said was clearly false but there were no obvious policy consequences. She was not, after all, basing her campaign on the idea she would be quick on her feet on the battlefield.

Although Clinton acknowledged her error, Smith — who was writing at the time for POLITICO — had no issues with relentlessly covering the story for weeks. You can see examples of his coverage here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here, and here. He was just one of many reporters covering the story for POLITICO.

Paul Ryan’s false statements on matters of real importance deserve more, not less, scrutiny.

Disclosure: The writer worked for Hillary Clinton’s campaign in 2008.

NEWS FLASH

Romney’s Former Company Under Investigation For Tax Evasion | Bain Capital, the private equity firm founded by presidential candidate Mitt Romney, is under investigation for questionable tax practices, according to the New York Times. Since July, New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman has been issuing subpoenas to private equity firms including Bain, which he believes intentionally changed management fees into capital gains as a way of hanging onto millions of dollars that would have otherwise been taxed at a higher rate. Bain alone is estimated to have saved “more than $200 million in federal income taxes and more than $20 million in Medicare taxes.” It is unclear whether the tax strategy was used while Romney was at the helm of the company, but the Times reports that Romney is still making money on funds that are using the method in question. A lawyer who handles Romney’s money says he “can confirm that neither he nor the trust has ever done this, whether before or after he retired from Bain Capital.” Still, little is known about Romney’s finances, except that he makes a windfall on capital gains each year, since he has refused to release his tax returns.

Climate Progress

Massachusetts’ Clean Economy Sees Massive Growth, Now Hosts 71,000 Jobs In Cleantech

by Andrew, via CleanTechnica

Government investment and support for clean, renewable energy development is paying off handsomely in Massachusetts, where the clean energy economy grew 11.2% between July 2011 and July 2012. The state’s fast-growing clean energy sector now employs 71,523 people at 4,995 clean energy businesses across the state, according to a Massachusetts Clean Energy Center (MassCEC) report released Aug. 16.

“I have said from the beginning of this Administration that, if we get clean energy right, the world will be our customer,” Governor Deval Patrick, who’s serving his second term in office, stated in a press release. “This past year’s 11.2 percent increase in clean energy jobs means that we are getting it right and the world knows it.

“Investing in our nation-leading clean energy agenda is the right thing to do for our environment, our energy independence, our public health and our economic vitality. We owe it to our future to keep this momentum going strong.”

Investing in Clean Energy Paying Off for Massachusetts

The 11.2% economic growth rate for Massachusetts’ clean energy sector is well above that of even rapidly industrializing countries, such as China. The 71,523 people employed at clean energy businesses recorded by MassCEC in its latest annual report are working in jobs directly related to the state’s clean energy sector. Signs indicate the growth will continue:

Read more

Climate Progress

Realistically What Might The Future Climate Look Like?

If we continue forward on our current path, catastrophe is not just a possible outcome, it is the most probable outcome.”

JR: The recent scientific literature makes that conclusion crystal clear (see “An Illustrated Guide to the Science of Global Warming Impacts“). And that’s the basis of this piece explaining the rationale behind the 2°C (3.6°F) target.

by Dana Nuccitelli, via Skeptical Science

Robert Watson, former Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), recently made headlines by declaring that it is unlikely we will be able to limit global warming to the 2°C ‘danger limit’.  This past April, the International Energy Agency similarly warned that we are rapidly running out of time to avoid blowing past 2°C global warming compared to late 19th Century temperatures.  The reason for their pessimism is illustrated in the ‘ski slopes’ graphic, which depicts how steep emissions cuts will have to be in order to give ourselves a good chance to stay below the 2°C target, given different peak emissions dates (Figure 1).

ski slopes

Figure 1: Three scenarios, each of which would limit the total global emission of carbon dioxide from fossil-fuel burning and industrial processes to 750 billion tonnes over the period 2010–2050.  Source: German Advisory Council on Global Change, WBGU (2009)

Clearly our CO2 emissions have not yet peaked – in fact they increased by 1 billion tonnes between 2010 and 2011 despite a continued global economic recession; therefore, the green curve is no longer an option.  There has also been little progress toward an international climate accord to replace the Kyoto Protocol, which suggests that the blue curve does not represent a likely scenario either – in order to achieve peak emissions in 2015 we would have to take serious steps to reduce emissions today, which we are not.  The red curve seems the most likely, but the required cuts are so steep that it is unlikely we will be able to achieve them, which means we are indeed likely to surpass the 2°C target.

Thus it is worth exploring the question, what would a world with >2°C global surface warming look like?

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Health

Maryland Congressman Says ‘Few Pregnancies’ Result From Rape

Another House Republican is raising eyebrows for suggesting that women who are raped are less likely to become pregnant — just weeks after Rep. Todd Akin (R-MS) sparked controversy for his “legitimate rape” remark.

Speaking at a town hall on Thursday, Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD), responded to a question about abortion by reiterating his longstanding opposition to the procedure in every case except for rape, incest, and if the life of the woman is in danger. But when an audience member pressed Bartlett on the rape exception, he suggested that few pregnancies result from rape:

“Oh, life of the mother – exception of life of the mother, rape and incest. Yeah, I’ve always — that’s a mantra, you know, I’ve said it so often it just spills out,” he said. “If you really – there are very few pregnancies as a result of rape, fortunately, and incest — compared to the usual abortion, what is the percentage of abortions for rape? It is tiny. It is a tiny, tiny percentage.” …. [I]n terms of the percentage of pregnancies, percentage of abortions for rape as compared to overall abortions, it’s a tiny, tiny percentage,” Bartlett said. [...]

“Most abortions, most abortions are for what purpose? The just don’t want to have a baby! The second reason for abortion is you’d like a boy and it’s a girl, or vice versa. And I know a lot of people are opposed to abortion who are pro-choice,” Bartlett said.

Watch it:

Bartlett hasn’t always supported the rape and incest exception. In 2001, the conservative congressman — who is in a tight re-election race — “co-sponsored a constitutional amendment that would ban abortions and would include an exception only to protect the life of the mother, not for rape or incest.”

Multiple studies have also disproven Bartlett’s theory that rape is less likely to lead to pregnancy. Research from 2003 “found that a single act of rape was more than twice as likely to result in pregnancy than an act of consensual sex.” The scientists speculated that rapists are more attracted to fertile and ovulating women who not rebuke their advances.

NEWS FLASH

Romney To Homeless Hurricane Victim: ‘Go Home’ | Yesterday, GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney visited Louisiana, where much of the state was flooded due to Hurricane Issac. While visiting the Pelican State, however, Romney had some odd advice for one victim of the hurricane who had lost her home due to the flooding. According to Jodie Chiarello, a suddenly homeless resident of the state, Romney advised her to “go home and call 211.” 211 is a telephone number in Louisiana that provides information to residents about health and human services programs.

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