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Watts Up With That Double Feature: Invasion Of The Deniers And Gullible’s Travels

by Greg Laden via Scienceblogs

You may know the blog Watts Up With That. It is Anthony Watts’ anti-science blog, dedicated to climate change denialism.

A current post reports the finding of life forms from another planet, in a meteorite.

This looks to be a huge story, the first evidence of extraterrestrial life, if it holds up….

This is from a recent meteorite find in December 2012. A large fire ball was seen by a large number of people in Sri Lanka on December 29th 2012, during that episode a large meteorite disintegrated and fell to Earth in the village of Araganwila which is few miles away from the city of Polonnaruwa.

Look at what the electron microscope shows of a sample purported to be from the meteorite:

Then he shows a picture of a rock with a bunch of contemporary Earth-based diatoms stuck to it.

It is very fun to read the comments. I provided a comment that will not be printed because Watts never prints my comments, but I’ve screen captured it for you (it is below).

Phil Plait has reviewed the Alien Life in the Meteor story here, and as I said, it is not alien life come to earth in a meteor. It is (I guess) a fragment of a meteorite with fresh water diatoms stuck to it. There are fresh water diatoms stuck to your shoe, your car tires, your dog, everywhere. The silica bodies of these tiny algae are part of the dust, not as numerous perhaps as skin cells or, certain times of the year, pollen, or the loess blowing off the melting glaciers and such, but common. This is why real scientists grind down the meteorite, cross sectioning it, before looking at the sample.

As Phil points out, this report is by a “scientist” who has made many outrageous and incorrect claims about aliens, reported in a journal that is famous for printing bogus and incorrect science, the methods are obviously bogus and anyone who knew anything about, say, climate studies (where fresh water diatoms are used all the time as proxyindicators) would at least be suspicious, and would know how to check for veracity of the claim.

Anthony Watts, the anti-science global warming denialist, was not equipped to recognize this bogus science as bogus. We are not surprised.

JR UPDATE: Watts feels he was quoted out of context, that he put in appropriate caveats. His response is here. Greg Laden replies here. You decide.

Read more

Health

Why We May Not Actually Have To Worry About A Looming Doctor Shortage

Over the past several months, ThinkProgress, the New York Times, and several other outlets have reported about a potential future doctor shortage that could threaten Americans’ access to care. By 2020, the shortfall between the supply of physicians of all specialties and the demand for them is anticipated to top 91,000. By 2025, that number increases to over 130,000.

This problem existed long before the passage of Obamacare — the United States’ ratio of general practitioners to population has underperformed that of other developed countries for decades. But the Democrats’ signature health reform law does threaten to exacerbate the problem by bringing previously uninsured individuals into the nation’s health care system.

However, that’s assuming the threat of a doctor shortage actually exists. And according to a new paper in Health Affairs, flagged on Tuesday by The Washington Post’s Sarah Kliff, the extent of the problem may actually be vastly overstated. Researcher Linda Green points out that America’s health care market is capable of responding and adapting to pressures in unanticipated ways, and those adaptations could largely prevent the shortage:

Most forecasts of doctor shortages assume that a primary care physician can handle a set amount of patients in a practice, usually about 2,500. And if that remains the case, Green agrees there would indeed be too few doctors to meet the nation’s medical needs.

However, Green doesn’t think the status quo is here to stay: She argues that the health care system is rapidly changing. First, doctors are increasingly joining up into big practices. They’re able to share support staff and office space, which can make it easier to take on a bigger patient population. She refers to this as “physician pooling.”

Second, the health care workforce is changing, as physician assistants and nurse practitioners take on larger roles. Having non-physicians take care of routine care, things like strep throats and ear infections, can again increase the size of a doctor’s patient population.

In some ways, the country is already doing better than previosuly anticipated: Studies from back in 2002 pegged the doctor shortfall at 200,000 doctors, well above the current 91,000 prediction. And despite concerns about the programs that offer low reimbursement rates for doctors, recipients of Medicaid report a level of satisfaction with their access to care that’s virtually identical to those on private insurance.

On the other hand, Green’s anticipated innovations are much more likely to be taken advantage of by general practitioners than by specialists. That won’t address the fact that the latter group makes up half the incoming shortfall. But all of Green’s research goes to show that predicting the doctor shortfall isn’t an exact science, or an inevitable reality.

Justice

How Allowing Undocumented Immigrants To Obtain Driver’s Licenses Can Save Lives

Unlicensed drivers are three times more likely to cause a fatal car crash compared to licensed drivers, according to a new report from the California Department of Motor Vehicles. And requiring drivers to pass a written test and driving test before they can obtain licenses plays a major rule in reducing traffic fatalities. In California, where the majority of unlicensed drivers are undocumented, this is reviving the debate about whether or not undocumented immigrants should be able to apply for driver’s licenses:

Immigrant rights groups say that granting such licenses would reduce fatalities and costly uninsured motorist claims. Insurance companies paid out $634 million in claims for collisions related to uninsured motorists in 2009, according to the most recent data from the state.

It “really goes against public safety because the current law forces people who would otherwise be properly licensed to drive without one,” said Angela Sanbrano, board president for the Central American Resource Center in Los Angeles. [...]

The DMV report looked at 23 years of data on fatal accidents. Its conclusions were similar to the last such report in 1997, which looked at accident data from 1987 to 1992. The latest report was also the first analysis since a 1994 change in the state law that required all licensed drivers show proof of legal residency, which significantly increased the number of unlicensed drivers.

Maria Galvan, a 42-year-old undocumented immigrant living in Los Angeles, told the Los Angeles Times that she continues to drive without a license because she has to get to work and take her children to school. “We need driver’s licenses to be comfortable and be trusted and follow the law,” she said.

There are roughly 2 million unlicensed drivers in the state, compared to 24 million licensed drivers. Previous legislative efforts to allow undocumented immigrants to apply for driver’s licenses failed, but the Los Angeles Times points out that the issue might be gaining support. For the 2013 legislative session, one Democratic member of the state assembly has introduced a bill to allow anyone who can prove they pay taxes to apply for a driver’s license, regardless of their immigration status. Los Angeles Police Chief Charlie Beck and L.A. County Sheriff Lee Baca previously have said they would support a measure like that.

Last fall, Gov. Jerry Brown (D-CA) signed a bill allowing young undocumented immigrants who are granted temporary legal status under a deferred action policy President Obama announced in June 2012. Sixteen other states have also agreed to allow deferred action beneficiaries to apply for driver’s licenses, but at least six states are preventing them from becoming licensed drivers.

Alyssa

Teju Cole, Drones, ‘Zero Dark Thirty,’ And The Limits Of Literature

Teju Cole.

Novelist Teju Cole is Twitter’s foremost literary entrepreneur. His “Small Fates” project, which compresses a person’s life and death down to 140 characters, is a fascinating exercise in probing Twitter’s limits as an art form.

But I’m profoundly ambivalent about his newest project, a series of Tweeted musings on the American drone program. On the one hand, his entry on Tuesday — essentially seven fictionalized Small Fates of people killed by drone strikes — brilliantly humanizes some of the more problematic parts of America’s targeted killing campaign. One of Cole’s victims was killed in a “signature strikes,” wherein missiles are launched not because of concrete intelligence indicating the target is a part of a terrorist organization, but because the person or group of people ” bear[s] the characteristics of Qaeda or Taliban” targets. This tactic raises serious legal and ethical questions, the answer to which determines whether real people live or die. Cole’s work skillfully draws the public’s attention onto the all-too-often invisible foreign victims of our counterterrorism policies.

On the other, not all of Cole’s drone writing is so revealing. About a year ago, Cole wrote a series lumping together drones with Downton Abbey and Virgin Atlantic’s name for its first class section to show that “height” was “the commanding metaphor” of our time. At the time, it struck me as fruitless postmodern metaphor-play. I still think that now, but I’d add that, unlike his recent entry, it’s didactic and unhelpful. Virgin Atlantic’s semantic choices, while maybe obnoxious, don’t shed light on why the targeted killing program continues or what to do about it. The question “those people down there, are they really people?” that Cole suggests links the things he lists isn’t one whose answer explains the American targeted killing program. America’s use of drones in the war on terrorism is an incredibly difficult policy question, one that isn’t amenable to simple moralizing. Drawing attention to the moral stakes is one thing; reducing disagreement to a world-historical dispute over “for whose sake this world exists” is quite another.

The promises and pitfalls of Cole’s writing on drones aren’t created by his his chosen medium, as a lazy analysis might suggest, but reflective of the broader limitations of literary approaches to argument about politics and philosophy. Non-fiction has the luxury of being able to be boring: it can reflect every nuance, every subtle detail of an argument, however much rote recitation of facts that might require. Even narrative journalism, with all its literary trappings, still has a basic obligation to string together an argument based on the facts.

Fiction, by contrast, is about a universe that isn’t real. It isn’t about making an argument with facts that exist in our world; it’s about creating a new one. That world may be very similar to ours, but it isn’t the same thing. Fiction isn’t a direct argument, with clear premises and conclusions; it’s a means of pointing us in a certain direction. This can be brilliantly illuminating: think 1984 on the nature of totalitarianism. But the insights that book, brilliant as they are, could very well have wrong. Winston Smith’s world isn’t necessarily ours. We know from firsthand accounts of life in totalitarian nations that the book’s account of the psychology of repression is chillingly accurate. But other world-pictures, like Ayn Rand novels, miss the mark, yet remain stubbornly influential on the real-world outlooks of a shockingly large number of people. The seductive appeal of a worldview grounded in fiction can lead to mistaken judgments about the real world it obliquely argues about.

Cole’s blend of cultural criticism and life-like fiction in his drone writing blurs the line between non-fiction and fiction, as does the pseudo-journalistic portrayal of the hunt for bin Laden in Zero Dark Thirty. Both are ways to use the tools of literature, word and screen, to heighten our awareness of our real past, present, and future. That’s a laudable goal. But art can mislead as much as guide, a point that Plato first recognized when writing about art and poetry in The Republic:

There is a principle in human nature which is disposed to raise a laugh, and this which you once restrained by reason, because you were afraid of being thought a buffoon, is now let out again…the same may be said of lust and anger and all the other affections, of desire and pain and pleasure, which are held to be inseparable from every action — in all of them poetry feeds and waters the passions instead of drying them up; she lets them rule, although they ought to be controlled, if mankind are ever to increase in happiness and virtue.

The irony, of course, is that The Republic itself is a fictional dialogue.

Education

How Your School Vouchers Fund Schools That Teach Creationism

Voucher programs are funneling millions of dollars to schools around the nation that teach creationism as science, according to new research by activist Zack Kopplin and MSNBC. Kopplin cross-referenced private schools that received public funding in the form of “school vouchers” with schools that publicly admitted that they used known creationist textbooks or curriculum. He found 310 schools receiving “tens of millions” of dollars from voucher programs around the country. Here are three of the sample curricula as described by Kopplin:

1. The Beverly Institute in Jacksonville, Florida, teaches “Evidence of a Flood,” and “Evidence against Evolution,” and ”The Evolution of Man: A Mistaken Belief.”

2. Creekside Christian Academy in McDonough, Georgia says, “The universe, a direct creation of God, refutes the man-made idea of evolution. Students will be called upon to see the divine order of creation and its implications on other subject areas.

3. Life Christian Academy in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma says their life science class will “lead the student to recognize that God created all living things and that these living things are fearfully and wonderfully made.” Evolution is taught only in history class, where students “evaluate the theory of evolution and its flaws.” The school uses the creationist Bob Jones and CSI curriculums.

In addition to funding strictly religious schools (unless they happen to be Muslim), school vouchers suck money from public schools without delivering appreciable benefits to students, potentially even worsening educational outcomes.

Creationism hasn’t only snuck into schools through vouchers. Louisiana state law allows creationism to be taught in public schools, which prompted New Orleans teachers to set up their own rules barring creationism from science classes in protest.

Health

Obama Clarifies That Doctors Can Openly Discuss Gun Ownership Under Health Reform Law

During his remarks on sweeping gun safety proposals today, President Obama sought to dispel any notions of gun lobby favoritism in Obamacare — addressing some concerns over a little-known Obamacare provision entitled the “Protection of Second Amendment Gun Rights” that was quietly inserted into the health care law at the request of pro-gun, NRA-backed Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV).

That measure seemingly gives gun owners special privileges by preventing wellness and better-living programs from requiring Americans to disclose information about their possible gun ownership, as well as prohibiting insurers from considering gun ownership when determining premium rates. As the President unveiled his gun safety proposals on Wednesday, he didn’t address those two points. But a fact sheet released to reporters does assert that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) will clarify that Obamacare doesn’t prohibit medical professionals from openly discussing gun ownership with their patients:

Protect the rights of health care providers to talk to their patients about gun safety: Doctors and other health care providers also need to be able to ask about firearms in their patients’ homes and safe storage of those firearms, especially if their patients show signs of certain mental illnesses or if they have a young child or mentally ill family member at home. Some have incorrectly claimed that language in the Affordable Care Act prohibits doctors from asking their patients about guns and gun safety. Medical groups also continue to fight against state laws attempting to ban doctors from asking these questions. The Administration will issue guidance clarifying that the Affordable Care Act does not prohibit or otherwise regulate communication between doctors and patients, including about firearms.

Public health officials overwhelmingly consider gun injuries and fatalities to be a public health concern. The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) estimate that gun violence costs $5.6 billion in annual medical bills, and up to $100 billion annually when also considering lost productivity from gun injuries and deaths.

Justice

Supreme Court Will Not Disturb Anti-Voter Intimidation Order Against The Republican Party

In 1981, the Republican National Committee allegedly engaged in an illegal campaign to intimidate minority voters, in some cases even enlisting armed, off-duty law enforcement as part of a “National Ballot Security Task Force.” The RNC eventually settled the lawsuit by agreeing to several conditions, including a promise that they would “refrain from undertaking any ballot security activities in polling places or election districts” for the purpose of targeting voters by race and discouraging them from voting.

Last year, a federal appeals court rejected the RNC’s request to lift this ban on voter intimidation. Under the lower courts’ decisions, the anti-intimidation order will remain in effect until at least 2017. The Supreme Court turned down the RNC’s petition to review this case Monday. Thus the Republicans will likely remain subject to the order’s ban on voter intimidation for at least one more presidential election cycle.

Although the RNC remained subject to this court order last November, other Republican Party groups actively partnered with Tea Party organizations to target African-American neighborhoods for anti-voter fraud witchhunts. Similarly, the Tea Party group True The Vote encouraged its members to circumvent the court order by engaging in voter suppression tactics independently of the Republican Party.

Economy

Wealthy CEOs Want To Force Americans To Retire Later

The Business Roundtable, a group representing the CEOs of the largest corporations in the nation — including the biggest banks, retailers, and insurance companies — is calling to raise the retirement age to 70. The group argues that Social Security is no longer affordable and plans to lobby Congressional lawmakers and the administration for its plan:

An influential group of business CEOs is pushing a plan to gradually increase the full retirement age to 70 for both Social Security and Medicare and to partially privatize the health insurance program for older Americans. [...]

“America can preserve the health and retirement safety net and rein in long-term spending growth by modernizing Medicare and Social Security in a way that addresses America’s new fiscal and demographic realities,” said Gary Loveman, chairman, president and chief executive of casino giant Caesars Entertainment Corp.

Loveman, who chairs the Business Roundtable’s health and retirement committee, said the business leaders will be meeting with members of Congress and the administration to press them to enact their plan.

CEO’s representing an organization called “Fix the Debthave made the same argument. But the idea that Social Security is unaffordable for future generations is nonsense. The program can pay full benefits for decades, and nearly full benefits after that, with literally no changes. Minor tweaks — such as raising the payroll tax cap — can render the program solvent for three-quarters of a century. Social Security is also statutorily barred from adding to the federal deficit.

It’s particularly galling for wealthy CEOs to call for raising the retirement age, as they are among those who will be least affected by the change. Average CEO pay for S&P 500 companies is nearly $13 million. Recent increases in life expectancy have only benefited wealthier workers in non-physical jobs. Poorer workers doing physical labor have not seen the same gains and would be most hurt by an increase in the retirement age.

Alyssa

Philadelphia Youth League Bans 11-Year-Old Girl From Playing Football

Caroline Pla (10) with teammates

The Archdiocese of Philadelphia’s Catholic Youth Organization (CYO) has banned an 11-year-old girl from participating in its youth football league, and her family says it’s because the organization told them that “football is for boys.”

Caroline Pla, according to news reports, has played football in the Archdiocese league for six years and in the CYO league for two years before officials made her aware of the rule that prevents girls from participating in the league. Neither her coaches nor her teammates were aware of the rule, and by all accounts, Pla is a standout player: she was voted to the league’s all-star team following the 2012 season. The Archdiocese bent its rule to allow her to finish this season but has not changed it to allow her to continue playing, citing safety concerns, ABC News reports:

“CYO football is a full-contact sport designated for boys,” archdiocese spokesman Ken Gavin wrote in a statement to ABC News. “There has been some perceived ambiguity in the policy regarding this point. It is currently being reviewed and will be addressed moving forward to provide complete clarity.”

That isn’t exactly a strong reason to ban Pla, who has started a Change.org petition asking for reinstatement, from playing the game. There are more than 1,500 girls playing high school football across the country, according to the National Federation of State High School Associations, and the number has increased more than 17.5 percent from four years ago. Multiple women have earned chances to play football at the college level, including Katie Hnida, who became the first woman to score a point in an NCAA Division I game when she kicked an extra point for the University of New Mexico in 2003. And Sam Gordon, the 9-year-old football sensation, captured America’s attention earlier this year and ultimately ended up on a Wheaties box.

There isn’t an alternative available to Pla, who didn’t abandon a female football league to play with the boys. She’s simply playing on the only field, in the only league, available to her, and there is no evidence that she does not belong. But she isn’t alone: across sports, there are cultural and systemic barriers to female participation, and those are barriers we as a country have been tearing down in the four decades since Title IX became law. We’ve made progress, but as participation rates and funding levels (not to mention senseless rules like the one enforced by the Archdiocese) show, there is still progress to be made.

The Archdiocese’s concerns for her safety and well-being are legitimate, but they should not arise simply because Pla is a girl. It is becoming increasingly evident that football and the head injuries that can accompany it can pose serious risks to the futures of the young men and women who play it, and those injuries don’t discriminate based on gender. If the Archdiocese is truly concerned about safety, those concerns ought to cover all of its players, not just the ones who happen to be female.

LGBT

Seattle Megachurch Moves To Gayborhood To Minister To Those ‘Infected With AIDS’

Seattle’s Mars Hill Church, a mega-church that allows LGBT people to attend services but not become members, has just moved to a new downtown location in the “gayborhood.” According to a press release obtained by KOMO news, lead pastor Tim Gaydos believes the move will help the Church better reach those “infected with AIDS”:

GAYDOS: This is an incredible opportunity to be a ministry hub for downtown Seattle as it will allow us to better serve the business men and women in our city, as well as the homeless and marginalized, as we’re closer to one of our ministry partner, Seattle’s Union Gospel Mission. Also, being closer to Capitol Hill is a blessing as we are serving and ministering to those who are infected with AIDS on the hill.

Apparently, the church believes that “people who are gay” is synonymous with “people with HIV.” Church leaders have admitted they believe homosexuality is a sin, but claim they can “save sinners” with Jesus’s love. Despite these claims, it turns out Mars Hill hasn’t taken any steps to affiliate with Lifelong AIDS Alliance, the Seattle-based advocacy group serving individuals with HIV/AIDS. This raises the question of whether the group has any real intentions to provide support to people who are HIV-positive or if it just intends to evangelize against the gay community it now calls its neighbors.

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