ThinkProgress Logo

Justice

Protests In Brooklyn After Police Kill 16-Year Old Boy

A memorial in Brooklyn for Kimani Gray

Around 100 people took to the streets of Brooklyn Monday night to protest the death of 16-year-old Kimani Gray, who was shot dead by the New York City Policy over the weekend. Police maintain that Gray pointed a gun at the officers prior to the shooting, but several witnesses dispute their account.

The demonstration, which started as a vigil, briefly turned violent when some protesters began “throwing bottles and rocks” at a police station. CBS New York reported that a worker at a local Rite Aid was assaulted. But “there were no reports of arrests or injuries.”

New York City Councilman Jumaane D. Williams was on the scene, live-tweeting the protest.

Climate Progress

Climate Progress Milestone: 50,000 Followers On Twitter And Facebook

While I was in the hospital for surgery, Climate Progress passed a real milestone: 50,000 total followers on Twitter and Facebook.

Social media aren’t just a convenient way for you to keep up with CP or share content with your friends. They are our most rapidly growing sources of traffic, and the core reason Climate Progress had its best year yet in 2012. Overall, traffic is up 30% to 50% on most days.

Social media are particularly effective at disseminating headlines, which are the most important part of any blog post, as I discuss in my book Language Intelligence.

The traffic of WattsUpWithThat, like ever other major denial site, has been flat or declining since Copenhagen (check it out at quantcast.com). A large part of the reason is that the disinformers’ social media efforts are flops, especially compared to climate hawks, as I wrote in January.

For instance, two months ago, CP had 36,900 followers on Twitter (subscribe here). I compared that to the self-proclaimed “world’s most viewed climate website” (not!) WattsUpWithThat, with its astounding 6,130 followers.

So what happened after Watts launched a big effort to boost his social media following? WUWT is at a slightly more astounding 6,430 followers. CP is at 40,700. Yes, we added over 10 times as many. I guess WUWT is not the most viewed via social media.

I don’t think that is an accident. The Internet was made possible by scientists, with a little help from Al Gore. More importantly, science is inherently a social enterprise — whereas denial, being anti-science, is in some sense an anti-social activity whose goal is to stop society from listening to the scientific community about the ever-growing risks to society posed by unrestricted emissions of carbon pollution.

Science is an inherently fascinating voyage of discovery in which people build on each others’ work toward a better and better understanding of life and the world around us. As Newton wrote, “If I have seen further it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.”

For deniers, who are on an inherently monotonous treadmill of anti-truth, misunderstanding, and disinformation that builds only toward nihilism, the quote might be, “If I have seen nothing, it is by standing with my head in the ground” (or maybe, “… it is by standing on my own shoulders”).

Health

CBO May Have Undershot Medicare’s Future Deficit Reduction By Over $300 Billion

Several weeks ago, the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities analyzed the latest budget outlook from the Congressional Budget Office, and found that Medicare’s projected spending between 2010 and 2020 had dropped by over $500 billion since CBO’s projections in 2010.

This was effectively free deficit reduction: no spending had to be cut or policies changed. Health care markets simply shifted in an unexpected way that slowed the growth of health care costs — and what Medicare is projected to spend to buy health care for seniors slowed accordingly.

The big question is whether this slow down is temporary or long-term. David Cutler and Nikhil Sahni took a closer look and found that CBO’s numbers assume the slow down is temporary. If that assumption is wrong, then Medicare could see $363 billion in additional savings by 2023.

Cutler and Sahni constructed the graph below using CBO data. The blue line shows CBO’s 2010 forecast of Medicare’s “excess” annual spending growth. (The increase in spending per beneficiary minus the increase in gross domestic product per capita.) The green line shows CBO’s 2013 forecast. As you can see, while the growth projected in 2013 undercuts what was projected in 2010, the lines re-converge after 2018:

Basically, CBO is projecting that excess spending growth will jump back from its recent average of -2.9 percent to 1.4 percent after 2018.

Cutler and Sahni raise several reasons why this projection could be mistaken, and why the changes we’ve seen will stick: Medicare and Medicaid are moving to reduce reimbursement rates; digital record-keeping and new business models are lowering administrative costs; more low-cost generic drugs are becoming available as patents end, allowing for low-cost generics); we’re turning to expensive and overused procedures less often; and many health care organizations are restructuring to deliver care more efficiently.

This is important because Medicare is the primary driver of CBO’ long-term debt projections. As a result, predicting our future debt levels is a very tricky business, something the Beltway would do well to remember as it’s been gripped by debt panic. Changes in health care markets may have quietly lowered Medicare’s future spending by levels that rival the deficit reduction in either the “fiscal cliff” deal or 2011 Budget Control Act — all without lawmakers reducing any of Medicare’s benefits.

Equally important, we may very well owe many of those market changes — especially lower reimbursement rates, digitized records, and delivery system efficiency — to the reforms and incentives built into Obamacare. If true, that would make the health care reform law a far larger deficit reducer than anyone, including the CBO, has given it credit for.

Security

Why Joe Lieberman And A Neocon Think Tank Are Perfect For Each Other

In a bid to lend a patina of “bipartisanship” to its ideas, the neoconservative American Enterprise Institute (AEI) has made former Senator Joe Lieberman (I-CT) the co-chair of its newest foreign policy initiative. The move has been met with raised eyebrows, as progressives have not considered Joe Lieberman an authentic representative of their foreign policy positions for quite some time, if they ever did in the first place.

Lieberman will co-chair the new “American Internationalism Project” with former Senator John Kyl (R-AZ). As the project is intended to “rebuild and reshape a bipartisan consensus around American global leadership and engagement,” Lieberman’s participation is aimed at blunting the perception that anything coming out of AEI is a dogmatically Republican plan. AEI generally hews to a hardline neoconservative standard on foreign policy; its staff in the area includes former Bush Administration officials John Bolton, Richard Perle, and Marc Thiessen.

Lieberman’s dogged support for George W. Bush’s foreign policy played a critical role in his in 2006 Democratic primary defeat (he subsequently won as an independent). endorsed arch-hawk John McCain over Barack Obama for President in 2008 on grounds that McCain was “the strongest candidate on security of all the candidates running.” Indeed, Lieberman’s views are far closer to AEI’s than they are to the progressive mainstream, as a quick survey of his particular positions will show:

1. Iraq. Lieberman himself credits his vociferous support for the Iraq War for making him “persona non grata with the Democrats.” As recently as 2011, Lieberman defended his vote to invade Iraq, saying “I believe that the evidence is very clear that [Saddam] was developing weapons of mass destruction.” During the height of the war debate in 2007, Lieberman accused war critics of committing “a kind of harassment” and being “invested in a narrative of retreat and defeat.”

2. Torture. Lieberman voted against legislation banning waterboarding in 2008 on grounds that it wasn’t torture. Because the torture technique “has a mostly psychological impact on people,” Lieberman argued, “we ought to be able to use [it],” adding that President Obama’s decision to release the Bush torture memos “help[ed] our enemies.” Though he once signed a letter that included a clause condemning waterboarding, it is unclear how he reconciled that with his long record of support for the practice.

3. Iran. When asked point-blank if he was endorsing an attack on Iran during a 2007 interview, Lieberman said “I am… We’ve got to use our force and to me that would include taking military action.” More recently, he has said a strike on Iran is highly likely, and that, in its aftermath, we should “hope and pray that there will be a regime change.”

4. Israel. Though Israeli leaders have praised Obama’s policy towards their country (even awarding him a prestigious medal), Lieberman has been persistent critic of the President’s policy — from the right. Lieberman denied that settlements were “a major impediment to peace” and suggested that Obama’s foreign policy “has encouraged Israel’s enemies.”

And it’s not just national security policy – Lieberman has tacked to the right on a variety of domestic policy issues as well, ranging from tax cuts to health care to energy.

Alyssa

As Steubenville Rape Trial Begins, Petition Seeks To Educate Coaches About Sexual Assault

Steubenville High School’s football team burst into national headlines last fall after video surfaced of former students joking about, in grotesque fashion, an apparent rape that had occurred at a house party attended by several of the team’s football players. The trial of two football players accused of raping a teenage girl from a nearby town begins this week, but the case has already divided Steubenville between those who rallied around the football team and those who believed the town’s reverence for that team played a role in the entire situation.

Two activists are now attempting to use the horrifying Steubenville case to raise awareness about the incidence of sexual assault in high school sports and to help prevent further assaults before they occur. Connor Clancy, a college football player, and Carmen Rios, a former campus sexual violence educator, launched a petition drive asking the National Federation of High School Associations to offer a course in sexual violence prevention for all high school coaches. The petition, hosted on Change.org, already has 25,000 signatures, according to a release:

“As a football player, I believe we have immense responsibility to be role models for younger boys,” said Connor Clancy, who co-launched the campaign on Change.org. “I want to help make sure what happened in Steubenville never happens again, and that starts with educating the people who young athletes look up to most, their coaches.”

“The issue of sexual violence has a monumental and overwhelming impact on the lives of girls and women across the world. We know that education, discussion, and action on the issue results in real, positive, and tangible changes in those lives — so why wait to create a new world?” said Rios. “We have the power to foster a culture without violence, but first we must all come together to build it.”

From Notre Dame to Steubenville to the higher rates of assault that occur among professional players, sexual violence is pervasive in American sports and in football in particular. That has happened, in part, because of how the sports world looks at and talks about both its athletes and its women, and educating young athletes about sex and sexual assault seems to be one clear way to positively address the problem.

That, as Clancy and Rios realized, begins with the men who coach those athletes, who at the high school level often spend more time with their coaches than with any other adults. And coaches aren’t just coaches — at the high school level, they are educators too, entrusted with the responsibility not just to teach classes but to mold young men in a positive manner. Despite that, many of the sexual assaults that occur at the high school level (and they aren’t hard to find in the news) often involve coaches looking the other way until it is too late not to. In Steubenville, assistant football coaches were reportedly at the party where the rape occurred and the head coach has been accused of helping to cover up the entire episode.

No one class will by itself fix the rape culture that pervades American sports (and America in general). Even in Steubenville, the players’ defense is arguing that what happened doesn’t qualify as rape because the victim “didn’t affirmatively say no.” But if eliminating that culture involves changing the way players’ view women and sex, educating the coaches who influence them is a good place to start. And it shouldn’t be hard to do. As the petition notes, the NFHSA covers 18,500 schools and 11 million high school athletes and already offers online training classes in a number of sports and education-related subjects. Adding a course on sexual violence wouldn’t be hard, and empowering more men in positions of authority to take a stand against sexual violence and teach their athletes to do the same is a step the world of sports needs to take.

LGBT

BREAKING: Colorado House Approves Initial Reading Of Civil Unions

After over four hours of heated debate, the Colorado House of Representatives has granted initial approval of the civil unions legislation with a resounding voice vote. Throughout the discussion, Republicans advanced several contentious amendments that would allow child placement services (like Catholic Charities), county clerks, and even average citizens (like bakers) to deny services to same-sex couples. All of those odious provisions failed to make it into the bill. The House is expected to grant final approval on Tuesday.

Last year, the then-Republican-controlled House killed civil unions using various techniques to prevent it coming to a full floor vote. What’s worse, the representative who cast the vote that doomed the bill has a gay son, who later accused his father of not taking a leadership role. As a result of these brash obstructionist tactics, Republicans lost their control of the House, and Democrats elected Rep. Mark Ferrandino, who is openly gay and an original sponsor of civil unions, to be Speaker. Ferrandino passionately defended the bill throughout the day, admitting he was getting “angrier and angrier” as Republicans repeatedly attempted to enshrine discrimination within its provisions.

The Senate has already approved the legislation and Gov. John Hickenlooper (D) is committed to signing it. According to a November poll, 70 percent of Coloradans support civil unions.

Update

Rep. Frank McNulty (R), who was Speaker last year and arranged for the bill to be killed, did not seem happy about today’s vote (HT: Out Front Colorado):

Economy

Paul Ryan’s ‘Pro-Growth Tax Reform’ Would Cut Taxes For The Rich, Likely Raise Them On The Middle Class

House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) will release the third edition of his budget Tuesday, and it will again make drastic changes to Medicare, Medicaid, and federal spending levels. It will also revamp the federal tax code through what Ryan touted as “pro-growth tax reform” during an appearance on Fox News Sunday this weekend. If his past budgets are any indication, such tax reform would dramatically lower tax rates on the wealthy and corporations, costing the government trillions of dollars in revenue.

The House budget, Ryan said, would achieve this “pro-growth tax reform” by lowering tax rates across the board while cutting tax expenditures, as CBS reports:

Ryan also repeated his call for “pro-growth tax reform” that lowers rates across the board by eliminating tax expenditures. “That’s good for economic growth,” he said, “That’s good for job creation and hard-working tax payers, by having less loopholes in the tax code.”

Ryan’s last budget, the Path to Prosperity, amounted to a $3 trillion tax cut for the rich and corporations. Ryan and House Republicans said they would make up for that lost revenue by closing tax loopholes, though they never took that step and it is unlikely there is enough politically-feasible revenue to be gained from doing so even if they tried. When Mitt Romney released a similar tax plan during the 2012 election, a nonpartisan analysis found that to avoid adding to the deficit, it would have to raise taxes on middle class families by an average of $2,000. Past plans included in House Republican budgets adhere to the same basic principles as the Romney tax plan and would almost surely require a similar tax increase.

Ryan promises his budget will balance in 10 years, a decade faster than the 2012 version. But he has only been able to claim balance because he assumes revenue will stay north of 18 percent of GDP, even though his tax plan would reduce it to roughly 15 percent of GDP, according to the Center for American Progress’ Michael Linden. To achieve balance without raising sufficient revenue from closing loopholes — which, again, likely isn’t politically possible — Ryan would be forced to raise taxes on the middle class. To avoid raising taxes on the middle class, his plan to reduce America’s debt would instead add substantial amounts to it.

Justice

Exonerated Man Wins $13.2M Award Against Police Who Built Case Against Him

David Ayers after he was released from jail in 2011.

An Ohio man exonerated after 11 years in prison for a murder conviction won a $13.2 million jury award Friday against the police detectives who built the case against him.

David Ayers, now 56, alleged police conspired to fabricate a confession he never made, and that they coerced a jailhouse informant whose testimony a federal appeals court found was “both inconsistent and unreliable.” After the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit ordered a new trial, a newly assigned prosecutor opted not to file new charges against him and Ayers was released from jail in 2011. Additional DNA testing, which prosecutors refused to conduct until a court order, linked the DNA evidence to another man, but prosecutors insisted that even the DNA test was not the reason they dropped charges against Ayers.

Ayers was a security guard in the building where victim Dorothy Brown lived, and was found shaking and bawling shortly after the crime occurred, which caused police to question him. He and another woman said they had helped Brown earlier that day after she had fallen down in her apartment, but police suspected him of lying because they misinterpreted building video footage.

In a ruling rejected the police officers’ attempt to claim immunity from the civil suit, U.S. District Judge James S. Gwin described the officers’ apparent attempts to manipulate the evidence, flagging their particularly alarming focus on the sexual orientation of Ayers:

First, [Ayers] says that Cleveland Defendant Detectives Cipo and Kovach coerced Ken Smith to give false testimony. The Defendants interviewed Smith, and Smith then signed a statement saying that Ayers called him and spoke about Brown’s murder before Brown’s body had even been discovered. Actually, police had records showing that Smith called Ayers, and not that Ayers had called Smith. During the trial, Smith said the written statement was false and testified that Cipo and Kovach pressured him to say that Ayers phoned him prior to the discovery of Brown’s body. Witness Smith now gives an affidavit that states:

the detectives showed me a statement they wanted me to sign. I didn’t want to sign it because I was not sure that it was the truth. The detectives told me that the statement was what I said yesterday, and that if I changed what I said I could be charged with a crime, I think it was perjury. . . . I was afraid to say anything else because they had threatened to charge me with a crime.

Ayers’s alleged confession also raises questions. In her deposition, Detective Kovach testified that on March 14, 2000, Ayers said something to the effect of, “if I say I hit her, can I go home?” Inexplicably, neither Detective Cipo nor Kovach made mention of Ayer’s incriminating question in their contemporaneous report. Then neither Cipo or [sic] Kovach mentioned anything about the confession to a prosecutor until shortly before Ayers’s trial was set to begin. Then, two days after the confession, Defendants Cipo and Kovach again interviewed Ayers yet their notes and reports show no mention of the previous confession, and the interrogation notes suggest that Ayers maintained his innocence. And perhaps most concerning: Defendant Cipo did not mention the confession in his March 17, 2000, affidavit for a search warrant. The inference that the confession was concocted grows even stronger after considering what did make its way into the police reports.

Defendants consistently made notes about Ayers’s sexual orientation, his friends’ sexual orientations, and whether people they questioned appeared “gay like.” They noted that certain witnesses “sat like a gay male.” Whatever the police officers meant to imply by sitting “like a gay male,” it surely is less material than an extremely inculpatory statement that Cipo and Kovach say was made by the investigation’s primary suspect during an early interrogation.

This case exemplifies several of the most alarming problems that lead to wrongful convictions. First, prosecutors resisted DNA testing that would have provided objective scientific evidence. Only after lawyers from the Ohio Innocence Project litigated the issue for more than a year were they able to obtain a judge’s order to perform the test. Even those few defendants who have access to the Innocence Project’s excellent legal assistance and are involved in cases where DNA evidence is even available do not always gain access to DNA testing. And a 2009 U.S. Supreme Court decision held that even a man seeking to test his own evidence entirely with his own funds did not have a right to do so.

Second, the case exemplifies the manner in which so-called “confessions” can be manipulated, and while most confessions are not even recorded, even those that are can be far less reliable than most assume.

Lastly, the case shows how investigators and prosecutors who hone in on a certain suspect – often because of biases about irrelevant factors such as sexual orientation – are incentivized to continue pursuing that suspect, even when the evidence is extremely lacking. They may even feel pressure to coerce an informant so that they can claim to have solved and closed a case that might otherwise be more difficult to “solve.”

LGBT

Illinois Republicans Fail To Oust Chairman Who Supports Marriage Equality

In early January, Illinois Republican Party Chairman Pat Brady spoke out in favor of marriage equality. Despite push-back from conservatives, as well as the National Organization for Marriage, Brady stood by his position. Last week, the state Republican Party’s central committee organized a meeting to consider ousting Brady over his controversial endorsement, but that meeting ended up not happening.

According to the State Journal-Register, the committee canceled that Saturday meeting late on Friday for two reasons: concern that firing Brady would limit the party’s appeal to moderate voters and more importantly, because it became clear that there weren’t enough votes. Apparently there were some members who had concerns about Brady that weren’t related to his position on marriage, but they didn’t want to be associated with the people opposed to him for that.

A recent study found that supporting marriage equality does not endanger Republicans’ chances of re-election, except when other conservatives wage campaigns of vengeance.

Health

Bloomberg’s Supersize Soda Ban Rejected By Judge, But Backed By Science

Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s (I) public health initiative to ban the sale of sugary drinks larger than 16 ounces was set to begin on Tuesday — but after a state judge struck down the initiative on Monday, New Yorkers won’t have to relinquish their supersize sodas anytime soon.

The news will likely come as a relief to the New Yorkers who were already preparing to circumvent the city’s ban. Even if the new regulation had gone into effect, there would still have been several ways for soda lovers to get their super size fix — by going to any local convenience store (which wouldn’t have been subjected to the rule because they’re regulated by the state), by crossing state lines into New Jersey, or simply buying several smaller-sized sodas at once.

The judge’s opinion cites those loopholes as one his primary reasons for striking down the law, since he believed the “uneven enforcement” throughout the city rendered the regulation ineffective. But even though Bloomberg’s proposal wasn’t perfect, it was on the right track.

As an increasing body of research has tied the consumption of sugary drinks to obesity, public efforts like Bloomberg’s represent one small step toward reorienting a culture where portion sizes have continued to spiral out of control. Restaurants’ portion sizes are more than four times larger now than they were in the 1950s — and that culture of excess is making its way into Americans’ homes, too, where meals are also getting bigger. Soft drinks sizes specifically have seen one of the largest increases, ballooning by over 50 percent since the mid-1970s. And research suggests that larger portion sizes do lead people to consume more than they would have otherwise, since we tend to estimate calories with our eyes rather than our stomachs.
Read more

Older

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up