Future Katrinas will become more and more devastating to New Orleans and the entire Gulf of Mexico. If we don’t tackle climate change ASAP, it is hard to see how New Orleans could survive the century.
July 2015 was Earth's hottest month "among all 1627 months in the record that began in January 1880.” 2014 was the hottest year on record. 2015 will easily top that. And 2016 could well beat 2015. The long-awaited speed up in global warming appears to starting now.
Embarrassingly, everyone from the EPA itself to the NY Times and Washington Post and Wall Street Journal continue to use wrong and outdated lowball numbers for methane's impact on global warming. In fact, as we’ll see, they are doubly outdated.
Would a brand-obsessed deal-maker risk permanent historical notoriety (think Neville Chamberlain or Herbert Hoover) -- all to destroy a global climate deal that requires minimal effort to fulfill? Not Donald "Art of the Deal" Trump.
The short-term burst of warming in the tropical Pacific (from the monster El Niño) is now combining with the strong underlying long-term global warming trend. So 2015 will likely blow past the record for hottest year just set in 2014. And if history is any guide, 2016 may well top 2015.
India may not commit to an absolute CO2 target for 2025-2030 at the Paris climate talks. But such a target is inevitable given the strong commitments by all other top global emitters, the ongoing price drops in renewables, and the growing reality that dangerous climate change is already here.