2007: First or second hottest year on record so far

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"2007: First or second hottest year on record so far"

glob-jan-jun-small.gifThe NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies data has January-June 2007 just edging out the same period in 1998 for the record. The National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) reported today that 2007 has been “the second warmest on record for January-June year-to-date period,” missing 1998 by only 0.01°C. Either way, it is hot!

Other factoids from the NCDC data:

  • For the January-June period, the global surface temperature over land ranked warmest on record, beating 2002 by 0.10°C.

Don’t worry Denyers–I wouldn’t dare attribute this extreme weather to human-caused climate change. No, let’s just say, if we don’t take action soon, this weather won’t be extreme for very long–it’ll just be the norm.

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9 Responses to 2007: First or second hottest year on record so far

  1. llewelly says:

    It should be noted that 1998’s record is in part due to the strongest recorded El Nino. (El Nino raises surface temperatures because it is the warm indo-pacific pool spreading out and rising up – effectively moving heat from deep water into shallow waters.) In effect, surface temperature anomalies overestimate pacific ocean heat content during El Nino episodes, and underestimate pacific ocean heat content during La Nina episodes. Therefor, surface anomalies likely overestimate the effect of AGW during El Nino episodes, and underestimate during La Nina years.
    2005 was ENSO neutral (with near La Nina conditions late in the year). 2007 is also so far ENSO neutral, but with La Nina late in the year still a strong possibility.

  2. Colorado Bob says:

    When on sees “Common Sense” as a screen name, you can be sure “Critical Thinking” ain’t in the mix.

  3. Bladerunner says:

    It’s like I’ve always said, “Common sense ain’t so common”.

  4. Raul the puppet says:

    Hey common sense. Is that before or after you were imbibing? Gee I should have some of the happy “kook” aid you been guzzling. No doubt you’re a well-oiled kolteresque “swifted” republicansmearmonger.

  5. Mike Hunt says:

    Except,
    http://www.nnseek.com/e/alt.globalwarming/coldest_summer_on_record_coming_up_for_europe_99386482m.html
    COLDEST SUMMER ON RECORD COMING UP FOR EUROPE
    “Whilst much of Europe seems to have been stuck in a depression for

    weeks on end now, summer 2007 is surely going to go down in history as

    one of the coldest on record. Currently above 3000m, you would be

    forgiven for thinking that Christmas was just around the corner! Last

    week in the Mont Blanc region alone, nearly 70cms of new snow fell

    around 4000m and another 30-40cms has come down since Sunday. As a

    result, all this new snow is creating a very unstable snow pack at

    altitude and many of the rescue call outs in recent days have been

    resulting from avalanches rather than rockfalls.”
    http://www.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/story/0,22049,22069080-5001031,00.html
    Fear of a global ‘coldening’
    “LAST month Australians endured our coldest June since 1950. Imagine that; all those trillions of tonnes of evil carbon we’ve horked up into the atmosphere over six decades of rampant industrialisation, and we’re still getting the same icy weather we got during the Cold War.

    Not that June should be presented as evidence that global warming isn’t happening, or that we’re causing it. Relying on such a tiny sample would be unscientific and wrong, even if it involves an entire freakin’ continent’s weather patterns throughout the course of a whole month, for Christ’s sake.

    No such foolishness will be indulged in here.

    Sadly, those who believe in global warming – and who would compel us also to believe – aren’t similarly constrained. A few hot days are all they ever need to get the global warming bandwagon rolling; evidently it’s solar powered. Here, for example, is an Australian Associated Press report on May’s weather, which in places was a little warmer than usual”

  6. Joe says:

    I deleted the comments of “Common Sense.” I don’t have a problem posting comments from Denyers (see Mike Hunt above — even though I’m assuming his name is a Simpson-esque alias). But ranting and swearing do not advance the debate.

    Mike didn’t bother to check the NCDC data before his post — http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2007/jun/global.html — or he would have learned that “Global land surface temperature was third warmest on record in June. Temperatures were above average in Europe, eastern Brazil, northwestern Africa, and most of Asia and the contiguous U.S. Cooler-than-average conditions occurred in Australia, western Russia, and the southcentral U.S.”

    So even with isolated cold spells, we keep seeing warmer and warmer temperatures around the globe.

  7. Dave Thomas says:

    I can’t get an accurate weather forecast for next week and “scientists” want me to pay attention to what they have to say about 2050. I chuckle reading about all of this “speculation.” It isn’t any more scientific than the stock market.

  8. Joe says:

    You are confusing weather and climate. Try googling the two. They ain’t the same.

  9. Joe says:

    One simple example — it is considerably easier to predict the average temperature for January than it is to predict the average temperature for a given day in January. So, too, it is a far, far easier to predict the average annual temperature 10 years from now, using the best climate models, than it is to predict the weather two weeks from now.