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The WSJ (and Climate Progress) on Liquid Coal

The Wall Street Journal (subs. req’d) has a good article on liquid coal today. The article focuses on the push by the Coal to Liquids Coalition to convince the Pentagon to sign long-term contracts to buy the dirtiest of fuels. The WSJ presents the many reasons this makes no sense:

Others are skeptical. They say the armed forces buy and consume a large percentage of fuel overseas, making it less useful to rely on fuels produced domestically. If the military wants to develop an assured supply of domestically available fuel, one option would be to create a military petroleum reserve that could be tapped in a crisis.

“Right now, coal-to-liquids looks to me to be pretty darn low on the reasonable list of alternatives,” said James Woolsey, former director of the Central Intelligence Agency. Mr. Woolsey is participating in a report being prepared by the Defense Science Board, which advises the Pentagon, on the military’s energy policy.

Joseph Romm, a senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, a left-leaning think tank who is also participating in the Defense Science Board’s report, said the military doesn’t need its own dedicated fuel supply.

“The notion that the Pentagon has to spend all this money to give itself assured supply is kind of a contrived argument,” Mr. Romm said. “The consensus of just about everybody on the panel was it didn’t make sense.”

[A left-leaning think tank? I guess that's the U.S. equivalent of the leaning tower of Pisa.]

The article has a nice chart on coal use and reserves:

coal-wsj.gif

The piece also discusses environmental issues:

A major problem confronting the coal-to-liquids industry is global warming. The Fischer-Tropsch process produces more than twice as much carbon dioxide, the main global-warming gas, as refining fuel from petroleum.

Proponents say coal-to-liquids plants can be outfitted to capture carbon dioxide and store it in underground caverns. It can even be piped to oil fields and pumped underground to help retrieve oil. But adding this capability also adds hundreds of millions of dollars to the cost of each plant.

A coal-to-liquids plant that doesn’t capture carbon dioxide can turn a profit with oil at $40 per barrel, but a plant with this capability can be profitable only when oil trades above $50 to $55 a barrel. The industry estimates that building an 80,000-barrel-per-day coal-to-liquids refinery would cost $7 billion to $9 billion, compared with less than $2 billion to build a similar-size petroleum refinery.

There are other environmental problems with coal-to-liquids plants, skeptics say. The Fischer-Tropsch process also uses five to seven gallons of water for each gallon of fuel produced, according to a 2006 Energy Department report. “Many of the places they talk about putting these plants, like the West, don’t have this type of water to waste,” Mr. Romm said.

This problem recently led China to scale back major investments it was making into coal-to-liquids plants. In July, China’s National Development and Reform Commission, the state’s industrial watchdog, restricted approval for coal-to-liquids plants, according to the Xinhua News Agency.

This technology should be a nonstarter for the Pentagon:

The military faces a five-year limit on how long it can sign contracts for supplies. Without the certainty that the military will be there to buy this product, regardless of what happens to oil prices, investors are unlikely to back coal-to-liquids plants.

But the lobbyists haven’t given up:

The Coal To Liquids Coalition hopes to extend the contracting authority to 25 years. Earlier this year, the House rejected several provisions that would provide loan guarantees and tax breaks for coal-to-liquids plants as part of comprehensive energy legislation moving through Congress. Changing the military’s contracting authority is now probably the coal industry’s best chance of receiving federal support.

And they have friends in the Air Force:

The Air Force, which consumes the most fuel of the military services, supports using coal-to-liquids fuel. It recently certified the B-52 bomber to run on a blend of Fischer-Tropsch fuel and normal fuel. The Air Force plans to do the same for its entire fleet by 2011. The Air Force intends to buy about 400 million gallons annually by 2016. The service supports legislation that would allow it to sign 25 year contracts for supply, even at historically high prices above $50 per barrel, said William Anderson, assistant secretary of the Air Force for installations, environment and logistics.

That’s all we need — the Air Force committing to buy liquid coal for 25 years, long after this fuel has been rendered uneconomic by the inevitable introduction of US climate controls.

2 Responses to The WSJ (and Climate Progress) on Liquid Coal

  1. E.M.Smith says:

    Nice post. Like the chart.

    One Big Feature of the military buying CTL fuels would be the dramatic reduction in the quantity of fuel they would need to burn up since they would no longer need to defend the entire middle east oil belt…

    There is already a military oil reserve. Look at the north shore of Alaska. See the North Slope oil fields? See all the stuff on the “right” (east) that’s ANWAR. Now look to the left (west). Most everything from there to the Pacific is the military oil reserve. Lease sales are planned but tied up in haggling and lawsuits. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Petroleum_Reserve

    Greens are trying to get it turned into another wildlife preserve (It’s bigger than ANWAR). I have a paranoid delusion that the Govt. has deliberately held off drilling it in an attempt to get ANWAR opened before folks realized there was all this OTHER oil ready to drill… In my worst moments I fear them declaring ANWAR to be the military oil reserve – left undrilled until time of war – and announcing that the present reserve is open for commercial use…

    The Big Problem: As N. Slope oil declines, the pipeline from Alaska flows ever slower. It’s presently at about 1/2 capacity. At some point it takes so much longer for the oil to flow that it can cool down and solidify before reaching the end. At that point the pipeline is out of commission with no clear idea how to restart it. I expect the “military reserve” to be tapped just in time to avoid this Big Freeze of the pipeline…

    Frankly, I think it would be a great solution to build the CTL factories and stock about 6 months worth of coal at them, then release an equivalent quantity of the SPR oil and / or drill an equal portion of the military oil reserve. That way we have the emergency “oil” supply via CTL IFF we need it. It avoids the problems of actually using the coal, it keeps the nation supplied with a buffer of emergency fuel capacity, and it keeps the pipeline full and warm.

    Problems? Well… there is the small matter of dozens of billions of dollars of capital stock needing maintenance and providing no revenue but hey, the military and government are good at that ;-) I know it will never happen, but it’s a nice dream…

    Per the inevitability of climate controls: This all hinges on Solar Cycle 24 / 25. They are predicted to cool the planet rather sharply (see last winters storms in China, snow in Israel, etc. and the dramatic return of the Arctic ice pack). We will be well into the middle of these cycles before any carbon system can go anywhere and if it’s snowing in Washington D.C. in June you can bet that the cap and trade will become “stuff it and flush”…

  2. Earl Killian says:

    E.M. Smith, global warming theory does not depend on solar cycles. You are posting disinformation. Milankovitch cycles do influence climate, but the effect can be calculated from orbital dynamics, and we know what it was and will be (it will be fairly constant for a few thousand years). See Figure S2 in James Hansen’s “Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim? “

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