ThinkProgress Logo

Climate Progress

Energy and Global Warming News for September 11: New York City braces for risk of higher seas; EU environment chief sees 100% chance of deal in Copenhagen

On a day of remembrance for that epic tragedy to hit New York, here’s a story about how New York is preparing for the tragedy ever knows is coming.

NY flooding

New York City Braces for Risk of Higher Seas

When major ice sheets thaw, they release enough fresh water to disrupt ocean currents world-wide and make the planet wobble with the uneven weight of so much meltwater on the move. Studying these effects more closely, scientists are discovering local variations in rising sea levels — and some signs pointing to higher seas around metropolitan New York.

Sea level may rise faster near New York than at most other densely populated ports due to local effects of gravity, water density and ocean currents, according to four new forecasts of melting ice sheets. The forecasts are the work of international research teams that included the University of Toronto, the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., Florida State University and the University of Bristol in the U.K., among others.

Scientists are laboring to make their predictions more reliable. While they do, New York has become an urban experiment in the ways that seaboard cities can adapt to climate change over the next century. For their part, the city’s long-term planners are taking action but are trying to balance the cost of re-engineering the largest city in the U.S. against the uncertainties of climate forecasts.

“We can’t make multibillion-dollar decisions based on the hypothetical,” says Rohit Aggarwala, the city’s director of long-term planning and sustainability.

Still, prompted by a possibility of floods from higher seas, some university-based marine researchers and civil engineers are debating whether New York ought to protect its low-lying financial district, port, power grid and subways with storm surge barriers like the mobile bulwarks that safeguard London, Rotterdam, Netherlands, and St. Petersburg, Russia. Engineering concepts for multibillion-dollar barriers around New York harbor were discussed here this week during the H209 Water Forum, an international conference on coastal cities and climate change, held by the Henry Hudson 400 Foundation at the Liberty Science Center.

EU Environment Chief Sees 100% Chance Of Deal In Copenhagen

There is no alternative to a global agreement on fighting climate change, so the chances of securing a deal at a meeting in Copenhagen later this year are 100%, European Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas said Thursday.

“This is what common sense tells us. We need to have an agreement, there is no alternative,” Dimas said during a press conference at which he presented a commission blueprint for financing the fight against climate change in developing countries.

The European Union wants to lead negotiations at the Copenhagen summit in December to reach an international agreement on limiting global”„warming to two degrees Celsius, compared with pre-industrial temperatures.

The deal would be the successor”„to”„the”„Kyoto”„Protocol, negotiated more than a decade ago.

Climate deal should not drive jobs offshore: U.N.

The world must devise a climate change treaty that will allow all countries to contribute to cutting emissions and not drive companies and jobs to other nations, the U.N.’s top climate official said on Thursday.

Negotiations on a new global accord to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are set to conclude in the Danish capital Copenhagen in December, but officials are struggling to come up with a division of responsibilities that will satisfy all sides.

The United States is committed to reducing its own carbon dioxide (CO2) output, but many legislators are worried that an emissions trading scheme will give a competitive edge to Chinese industries.

“There’s a huge concern on the part of employers and labor unions in the United States that an agreement that distorts economic relations is going to have a damaging effect on the United States economy,” said Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.

“The challenge is to craft a way forward in Copenhagen, to craft an agreement which does not result in economic activity shifting from one country to another. That doesn’t make sense at the end of the day,” he said on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Dalian.

Solar fab2farm„¢ Model Offers a Blueprint for Affordable Clean Energy and Local Economic Development

To help meet the world`s critical need for renewable energy, Applied Materials, Inc. has developed an innovative fab2farm„¢ business model for solar deployment designed to bring cost-effective, utility-scale solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation capability to local areas and stimulate economic development.
The fab2farm model represents a complete regional ecosystem, bringing together communities, utilities and solar panel manufacturers to drive down the cost of solar electricity, create green jobs, and spur local economic activity — while delivering a supply of clean energy for decades to come.

Key to the fab2farm model is a locally-sited solar panel factory built by a solar module manufacturer using Applied`s revolutionary SunFab thin film production line. The SunFab line produces the world`s largest and most powerful solar PV panels, which are optimally suited for utility-owned solar farms. Since electricity generation is sited for distribution near load centers, a solar farm can be quickly deployed without the need for extensive, costly transmission lines. This utility-scale solar farm would not only generate cost-competitive, clean, renewable energy for the community, it can help the utility avoid up to 170,000 metric tons of CO2 emissions per year.

“Applied`s fab2farm model unlocks a low-risk, cost-effective opportunity to integrate solar PV electricity into a community`s energy portfolio,” said John Antone, vice president, Energy and Environmental Solutions, Applied Materials. “This approach enables a significant share of solar PV investment dollars to remain in the community, in contrast to fossil fuel based power generation sources. It would create a regional economic engine generating a steady supply of skilled jobs and a path to achieving the lowest installed solar energy cost.”

Five EU states vow to step up climate diplomacy

Britain, France, Denmark, Sweden and Finland agreed Thursday to intensify “green diplomacy” to rescue an ambitious global climate agreement in Copenhagen in December, officials said.

Danish Foreign Minister Per Stig Moller said the European Union had shown leadership by committing itself to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 20 percent by 2020 or by 30 percent if other countries make comparable cuts.

“Now it is time to show the same leadership on ensuring an ambitious financial package that can assist the poorest countries to adapt to the challenges posed by climate change,” Moller told a news conference.

“We today have agreed to work together to secure an ambitious deal in Copenhagen,” Moller said after a meeting with British Foreign Secretary David Miliband, French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner and the Swedish and Finnish foreign ministers Carl Bildt and Alexander Stubb in the Danish capital.

With less than 100 days until the December 7-18 Copenhagen conference, Moller said the momentum toward a climate deal risked fading away if the opportunity were not seized now.

Differences between rich and poor countries over funds for dealing with the consequences of climate change have emerged as the main stumbling block to a new U.N. climate treaty which world leaders hope to agree in Copenhagen in December.

U.S. must lead at G20 on climate, says group

The United States should show decisive leadership at the Group of 20 summit in Pittsburgh this month and rally heads of state to prepare for the next global crisis — climate change.

In a speech before the G20 meeting on September 24-25, Nancy Birdsall, president of the Washington-based Center for Global Development, said preparing for climate change was key because it was a new issue and because the world’s poor will be severely hurt by it.

Influential think tanks in Washington typically schedule briefings and speeches ahead of big international gatherings in a bid to influence the agenda. This week, G20 ministers are meeting in Washington to finalize the agenda for Pittsburgh.

“To make this summit a success the heads of government must look beyond the current (financial) crisis and begin to prepare for the crisis next time,” said Birdsall.

She proposed G20 leaders pledge to work together, before the next summit in Seoul, South Korea, on reaching agreement on ways to implement a future global climate pact.

New Ad Campaign Promotes Climate Legislation

A newly formed alliance pushing for passage of climate legislation used President Obama’s prime-time speech on health care yesterday to launch an advertising campaign that asks people to lobby lawmakers for action on global warming.

Clean Energy Works — a coalition of environmental, labor, veteran and hunting and fishing advocacy groups — is footing the bill for the campaign that will run for a week on broadcast and cable television stations. The ad appeared during breaks in coverage of Obama’s speech and on NBC’s “Tonight Show.”

“We want to remind people that while health care is important, clean energy also is on the agenda,” said Josh Dorner, spokesman for Clean Energy Works. “It’s an issue that’s of equal if not greater concern to the American people than health care reform.”

The campaign launches as the Senate gets back to work after its August recess, with energy legislation on its plate along with health care.

The ads mark the latest salvo in a series of efforts to sway public opinion and Congress on climate legislation. The National Association of Manufacturers and the National Federation of Independent Businesses teamed up for ads that ran in late August in Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio and Virginia. Those were intended to drive opposition to climate legislation. Last month, coal’s biggest lobbying group launched a television ad campaign featuring ordinary people talking about the importance of low-cost electricity.

Poland sees lower shortfall of CO2 permits

“Poland’s shortfall of pollution permits under the European Union’s climate plan may reach a lower-than-expected 50 million tons between 2008 and 2012, Deputy Environment Minister Bernard Blaszczyk said on Thursday.

“The figure is lower than previous estimates because the economic crisis has crimped industry emissions and energy demand in the coal-reliant country and biggest ex-communist EU member.

“”The deficit should not top 50 million tons for the whole economy, but given the technology innovations and the crisis in particular, it could also be somehow lower than that. It should not amount to hundreds of millions of tons,” Blaszczyk said at the Reuters Global Climate and Alternative Energy Summit.

“Warsaw originally opposed the bloc’s climate package aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions to curb global warming, arguing less pollution rights would hurt its expanding economy. Poland eventually agreed to the plan after getting concessions.

“Until the end of 2012 many installations under the scheme receive some carbon dioxide (CO2) permits for free, but in the next phase of the plan the vast majority of them will be sold on market tenders.

House Passes Bill to Encourage Hybrid Trucks

The House on Wednesday passed a bill to encourage research and production of hybrid-powered commercial vehicles. The bill, passed by voice vote, would create a grant program for research and development of hybrid heavy-duty trucks. A similar bill passed the House in the last Congress but was never taken up by the Senate.

The bill, passed by voice vote, would create a grant program for research and development of hybrid heavy-duty trucks. A similar bill passed the House in the last Congress but was never taken up by the Senate.

“Hopefully we can get some movement on this measure this time around,” said Paul Tonko , D-N.Y. “By enhancing the Department of Energy’s research program in heavy duty hybrid trucks, this bill draws much-needed focus to a very critical component of the transportation sector “” that being commercial trucks.”

Heavy-duty trucks typically rely on diesel or gasoline engines for power, and have lower fuel economy and higher emissions than cars or SUVs because of their size and weight.

Carbon trading needs to be transparent, lawmakers told

If the Senate passes a cap and trade bill, it needs to be regulated so that trading of carbon credits is transparent and not subject to manipulation, members of the Senate Agriculture Committee were told Wednesday. “If we’re serious about a cap and trade system, that means we must get the trading part right,” Ag Committee Chairman Tom Harkin (D-IA) said when he opened the hearing. He added that he’s concerned about the potential for excessive speculation in carbon credits to distort their value.

Under a bill passed by the House, emitters of greenhouse gases will have to buy offsets, which could include carbon sequestered in the soil of farms that practice no-till, or on land planted to trees.

Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), told the panel that the CFTC aleady has experience monitoring the trading of offsets for sulfur dioxide, a regulated byproduct of coal burning that causes acid rain. And the CFTC monitors trading of carbon credits under a voluntary program run by the Chicago Climate Exchange.

For a carbon market to work properly, Gensler said, it will need 5 things: uniform standards, record keeping, oversight of trade, clearing of the trades and prevention of fraud.

19 Responses to Energy and Global Warming News for September 11: New York City braces for risk of higher seas; EU environment chief sees 100% chance of deal in Copenhagen

  1. Stephanie says:

    It’s obvious that something needs to be done. If carbon emissions continue at this rate, and we continue to bury our heads in the sand that’s all we will end up being- a big, heaping pile of sand. There’s no question that action needs to be taken, hopefully finger pointing wont detract from that. http://www.newsy.com/videos/cooling_the_planet_down

  2. paulm says:

    How can the dismiss GW like this. Chances are it is due to the fact that ocean temp are the highest on record.

    Sea Levels Rose Two Feet This Summer in U.S. East
    immediate cause of the unexpected rise has now been solved, U.S. officials say in a new report (hint: it wasn’t global warming). But the underlying reason remains a mystery.

  3. paulm says:

    Can the US really reduce emission by 90% in time?

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/sep/11/stern-economic-growth-emissions
    By that time, he said, the average for each of the 9bn people expected by then in the global population would be two tonnes. If done equitably, this would require a more than 90% reduction by the US, where each individual currently uses 25 tonnes of carbon per year.

  4. Its those really slow crashing airplanes that we fail to notice.

  5. J.A. Turner says:

    It’s good to see progress on hybrid trucks. Anything we can do to reduce the pain inflicted on truckers by spikes in fuel prices should help ease the political resistance to climate legislation and fuel taxes. We’re obviously going to see a repeat of the solo operator bankruptcy crisis the next time diesel prices spike if we don’t do something to help truckers reduce their dependence on oil.

  6. Marie says:

    While we are discussing heavy duty trucks…one pass by a single, properly loaded (not overweight) 18-wheeler causes as much damage as 9,000 passenger vehicles. Given the challenge maintaining our nation’s roads, it seems that truck use for freight transport should be minimized to the maximum extent possible and rail investments for freight are needed.

  7. ecostew says:

    US car dealers appeal ruling on emissions:
    Auto dealers and business leaders appeal a decision by the EPA that allows California to establish the first greenhouse gas standards for cars and trucks in the US. The appeal sets the stage for a potential attempt to block the global warming rules.
    AP/Nanet Poulsen 11/09/2009 20:20

    The National Automobile Dealers Association and the US Chamber of Commerce has asked the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit to review the EPA’s decision. The EPA in July granted California’s request for a waiver allowing it to push tougher air pollution rules.

    http://en.cop15.dk/news/view+news?newsid=2084

  8. alexy says:

    The map highlighting the impact of flooding in the NY metro area substantially understates the problem. For example, New Jersey is similarly vulnerable but not indicated as such in the map. With any serious flooding, all three major airports would be taken out. Even with the proposed barriers, JFK would still be vulnerable. Further, if the subways in lower Manhattan flood, so does much of the rest of the system, it is underground afterall. Plus, getting sea water in the subway electrical system will likely cause damage that is not quickly repaired. You may also lose tunnels, vehicle and train, between NJ and NYC. The list goes on.

    The barriers proposed are compared to, for example, the Thames barrier. These would be larger and much more expensive. The cost would likely be in the 10s of billions of $. Even with the barriers in place, there are many very low lying areas that could allow flood water to “flank” the barriers. Therefore, such land would need to be acquired and protected also. And, the map does not seem to consider the impact of a hurricane surge on top of the increasingly likely 2 meter sea level rise by 2100. Combined, that would probably dictate a barrier more than 10 meters high. That is a height comparable to the Thames barrier. Estimates to build the Thames barrier today put costs around US$10 billion (~US$1 billion in the 1970s when built).

  9. David B. Benson says:

    Reducing China’s Carbon Emissions a Breeze:
    http://www.livescience.com/environment/090910-china-wind.html

    More like blustery; a breeze isn’t enough to energize a windmill. :-)

  10. Gary says:

    Marie says:
    September 11, 2009 at 2:37 pm
    While we are discussing heavy duty trucks…one pass by a single, properly loaded (not overweight) 18-wheeler causes as much damage as 9,000 passenger vehicles.

    Even though you don’t specify what type of damage you are talking about, I feel pretty comfortable with calling that statement a blatant falsehood.

  11. Greg Robie says:

    Hello paulm,

    Thanks for the National Geographical Society link to the sea level rise here on the east cost and the northeastelies. Back in July I posted a comment asking for information any might have regarding the easterlies I was seeing in the jet stream winds (300 mb) and the lack of any apparent impact of the Gulf Stream on this level of the atmosphere. There was a two week period in late June/early July when a mass of air moved—as it tends to do in the Polar and Hadley Cells—east. To my untrained eye, it look like it countered the typical westerlies of the Ferrel Cell and held together until it broke apart in the Pacific south of the Gulf of Alaska. This confirmation of the slowing of the Gulf Stream explains part of what I was observing: the absence of its influence.

    As to the sea level rise not being due to land-based ice melt and global warming, this is correct. However, the slowing of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may be very much due to global warming.

    It is my understanding that while the down flows of water in the North Atlantic are variable—and the reasons for this are not well understood. There has been a 30% decrease in the down flow since the late ’50s (see http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v438/n7068/abs/nature04385.html ) and no ones knows the tipping point for it shutting down (looking up things to try to get my terms right I see that the Gulf Stream actually shut down for 10 days in November of 2004). ~11,000 years ago the Meridional Overturning Circulation did shut down when a prehistoric lake in Canada (Lake Agassiz) drained into the North Atlantic freshening the Ocean such that the flow of the Great Ocean Conveyor was stopped.

    The Arctic Ocean current flushes both ice and freshened ocean water into the North Atlantic. This water is also warming as the ice cover decreases and solar incidence does its thing. Both of these are factors that would slow what is currently part of what crates the down flow: increased density due to evaporation, and cooling. As best I can tell things are way too complex to sort the dynamics out beyond conjecture, but observed changes are happening. The rising temperatures in the Arctic can be seen as increasing forces that would explain the observations. So to the degree such conjecture makes sense, global warming may be the cause of the sea level rise. In addition, as the Gulf Stream weakens the effect of the rotation of the earth would also tend to stack up the water on the East Coast—and allow easterlies to organize.

  12. John McCormick says:

    Greg, a good post and you offered some useful information on the Nov 2004 slowdown-shutdown of the Gulf stream. Thanks.

  13. David B. Benson says:

    Fossils From Animals And Plants Are Not Necessary For Crude Oil And Natural Gas, Swedish Researchers Find:
    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/09/090910084259.htm

    The geologist Thomas Gold had a similar idea.

    Actually, I do hope these men are wrong.

  14. Dan Blossfeld says:

    David,

    This hypothesis is garnering more support as crude oil is found in places and depths were geologists claim is impossible based on fossil fuel theory. If correct, it means that cruse oil deposits are constantly forming from atmospheric or sequestered carbon. The burnign of fossil fuels may become another step in the carbon cycle.

ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up